DAX - those EMAs last intersected on November 6thHello Traders,
Following the New Year, the DAX has tempered its upward momentum. After the first significant correction in a long time, resulting in a 3.4% drop from the all-time high.
The price has fallen below the 32 EMA and the 82 EMA on the 4-hour time frame, leaving it sandwiched between the 200 SMA and the remaining pair of EMAs. The last time these two averages crossed was on November 6th, and today they intersect again for the first time since that period. Could this signal a weakening of the trend or even a reversal? Currently, I expect consolidation at these levels as the market seeks acceptance. However, in my opinion, the key will be the 16600 level. If it is positively accepted and the price bounces off from it upwards, I would anticipate a natural continuation of the upward trend.
Conversely, if the price breaks through this average at the 16600 level and is accepted from below, a reversal of the trend downwards is likely. In this scenario, I would consider short positions in the range of 15774 to 15352.
Dax30
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 03/01/2024 (+ HTF)In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 20/12/2023In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 18/12/2023 (+ HTF)In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 15/12/2023In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
DAX about to start its final leg up?What do we got here since the 2022 low? Right PA holding above 4.236 with actually already having triggered final target around 8.236.
Recent PA could be seen as a broadening wedge - typical for a wave 4 corrective pattern.
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 13/12/2023In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 11/12/2023 (+ HTF)In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 08/12/2023In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The lower time frame is currently hard to interpret. The 4h and 1h are showing divergence which indicates an ending structure. The 15m gives us a strong move which might indicate another upward cycle.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 06/12/2023In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The lower time frame is currently hard to interpret. The 4h and 1h are showing divergence which indicates an ending structure. The 15m gives us a strong move which might indicate another upward cycle.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 04/12/2023 (+ HTF)In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low can be in after a triple three correction or an expanded flat. As long as we do not take out the 31/07/23 high, there is still a possibility that we will have an expanded flat trap. The impulse we are seeing from the October low is then a wave C.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 30/11/2023 In the higher time frame, we are working on a wave ((2)) correction down. This wave ((2)) is unfolding as a WXY with an expanded flat as wave X. The secondary scenario assumes that the wave ((2)) low is in after a triple three correction. As long as we do not take out the 31/07/23 high, we are reluctant to make this our primary scenario.
DAX to break to the upside?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
Posted Mixed Daily results for the last 2 days.
Overnight losses have been limited.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
15956 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 15956 should result in a further move higher.
The bias is to break to the upside.
We look to Buy a break of 15966 (stop at 15866)
Our profit targets will be 16216 and 16276
Resistance: 15956 / 16000 / 16100
Support: 15917 / 15800 / 15720
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX to continue in the upward move?DE30EUR - intraday
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
A lower correction is expected.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 15694.
We look to Buy at 15705 (stop at 15605)
Our profit targets will be 15955 and 16005
Resistance: 15869 / 15900 / 16000
Support: 15778 / 15712 / 15650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 14/11/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher time frame, we are working on a wave ((2)) correction down. This wave ((2)) is unfolding as an ABC and we are currently working on the wave B. In the lower time frame, wave B can unfold as an ABC or WXY structure. We favor the WXY structure.
DAX to turn into an uptrend?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment.
Our short term bias remains positive.
The overnight dip has been bought into and there is scope for further bullish pressure going into this morning.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
Short term RSI is moving higher.
We look to Buy a break of 15301 (stop at 15201)
Our profit targets will be 15551 and 15601
Resistance: 15291 / 15400 / 15500
Support: 15180 / 15100 / 15068
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GER30 H4 | Potential Bullish breakout?Price is testing the multi-swing high resistance level, and we could potentially see price taking out liquidity, and causing a breakout. Our buy entry is at 15274.4, which is a multi-swing high resistance level. Stop loss is at 15055.8, which is below the multi-swing low support level/double bottom. Take profit is at 15553.1, which is a swing high resistance level.
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 09/11/2023In the higher time frame, we are working on a wave ((2)) correction down. This wave ((2)) is unfolding as an ABC or WXY structure. The lower time frame favors a WXY structure. We are currently working on the wave X as an expanded flat structure. The wave ((c)) of this expanded flat does not look finished.