Dax30long
DAX30 corrective ABC12410.19 is pivot point for moving wave 5,
but the pivot point for whole moving wave 1 - 5
is 50% fibo retracement level, which is exactly
10940.27.
In my opinion, there is no reason corrective A in ABC,
not to test 50% fibo level.
Below 50% fib level is possible test 38.2% even 23.6% for C.
DAX 30 German Index longs at weekly demandDAX 30 German Index breaking all time highs. Pausing on the weekly timeframe before a breaks out to create a potential weekly demand level on the way up if the second leg is created
New weekly demand zones created on the way up. Longs at weekly demand zones
DAX the Double Zig Zag complete, looking higher (Elliott Wave)The downfall in DAX that started from the 12950 levels seems to have come to a halt even if temporary, right now it seems that from 12950 to 11870 we had a double Zig Zag type of correction, now the movement till 11870 could be the end of the corrective Wave iv or it could be the just the continuation of Wave iv as a Triangle or a Flat or some other complex formation however in either case we should see atleast a 3 legged up move from this level of 11870.
The position of Wave 2 can lead to some alteration and hence a change in degree that is why I have labelled Wave 2 at two different locations, however in either case I believe we have atleast 1 up leg remaining minimum as a Wave 5.
Trade Setup :
Also as you can see above it looks like we have a Triangle forming in Wave 4 of this impulse which means that we can enter long trades on a clear break of the (B)-(D) trendline.
In short the impulse looks a clean and has a triangle formation in Wave 4 which gives us clear trading setup, at this point I would also like to point out that triangles can often be deceiving, this structure can also progress as some kind of complex correction or as a triangle in Wave (B) of an A-B-C type of Zig Zag correction hence only trades if initiated should be taken on clear break of the trendline and that too with strict stoploss.
The trade it and leave it rule... why did I not follow it?I was alerted of this trade via my friend's analysis which I also deemed fit to enter at my own risk. At 2017.07.26, Dax retested the broken support (which was also the 8 EMA at that time) which resulted to a formation of a bearish pin bar.
At the split second that I've adjusted the TP because of 'potential greed,' I have not kept in mind the possibility of such movement when the gap was filled. At the time the gap was filled, Dax, without hesitation, reversed to the upside probably for some breather. Sadly, it hit my SL which were adjusted to my entry levels.