Dax30short
DAX DAILY SHORT SWING TRADEDAX is hitting a powerful resistance level which has seen recency, strength & frequency since summer 2020. Double top showing on the 240 chart with a possible red kicker candle. Do choose your entry reasoning wisely & always manage your risk. We could see a failure on positive covid vaccine news, but interest in that could wane sharply as we saw recently.
S.L. 13520.6
Entry 13270.7
Take Profit 11721.2
Risk Reward = 6.2/1 (or 2.73/1 for conservative trades).
DAX30 - Short into 2021 updateWhy are we selling?
Updates in bold
Price is expensive and volatile - during the election process in the US, the worlds relationships are affected
The election is coming closer <8 days.
The S&P500 and NAS100 are not shown here but use reference for our previous ideas to show where price has reached our over exposed markers.
The stocks have recovered well from a V - shaped recovery, but the Gap fill has not occurred.
Covid 19 - second wave has concerned EU governements - with further pumping of money to "control" the costs of job losses and curb closures.
We have established a great supply or essentially a strongly overvalued market again in quick succession, however price will be giving some good areas to sell.
Germany light lockdown - retail investors were shook and banks covered positions, curfew in Paris, Italian local regions. UK tear 3, northern regions, London tier 2.
Particularly a break of 13,000 down to 10,000 and beyond for an extension.- good confirmation now to possibly break the range 13,000 - 12,000
Pay close attention to the markets like CAC, IBEX FTSE MIB and FTSE UK - all are showing signs of weakness and poor price action. - pay attention
The monthly shows us a perfect area which we are currently in to go short.
Keep your average price consistent when closing out profits or losses - this is important in trade management.
We are not selling at random times, there is a reason for this at specific levels. Because the market shows these levels.
The trade we will be taking is the least path of resistance.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
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Thanks,
Team Lupa
DAX30 Intraday Setup.GER30 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 13028 (stop at 13151)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
We have a Gap open at Monday from 12478 to 12668.
A higher correction is expected.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Short term MACD has turned negative.
With signals for sentiment at overbought extremes, the rally could not be extended.
Price action has formed a bearish ending wedge formation.
Our profit targets will be 12669 and 12542
Resistance: 13200 / 13300 / 13450
Support: 13090 / 12950 / 12700
Dax- potential drop of 700 pointsDax is trading above 13k figure, a zone that provided a strong sell zone since June.
I believe this time is no different and, with the "vaccine effect" gone the German index will fall to at least 12.500 support.
Also, a sell trade above 13150k can have a strong 1:4 R:R
DE30 Intraday Setup.GER30 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 12288 (stop at 12404)
Short term MACD has turned negative.
We expect an initial move higher to fail and look to set shorts on a break back through 12300.
Our outlook is bearish.
200-hour EMA is at 12324.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Broken out of the wedge to the downside.
The bias is to break to the downside.
Higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 11941 and 11806
Resistance: 12500 / 12600 / 12700
Support: 12400 / 12300 / 12100
DAX with major confluenceThe market is currently at a strong area of resistance which closed with a shooting start candlestick formation and has tested the area multiple times in the past 24 hours which is a good indication that the market could possibly turn around. The MACD shows along with the ADX and DI show that the bullish trend has weakened coupled with it being on a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. These three tools create confluence, a good entry would be a break of the trend line and a retest of the 61,8 fib.
Dax30- time to sell?After reaching my 11500 target, the German index had a false break under support and reversed.
Now is trading exactly in resistance (12500) which is also the neck-line support of H&S.
A new leg down is probable from this point and also we can have a great R:R if the index is retesting 11500 zone
DAX30 - UpdatedVery volatile last 48 hours because of US elections. US indices rose massively and DAX followed.
Fundamental is stronger than technical but now we will gradually see technical analysis take over again.
Find on our chart the next resistance level and remember to trade carefully these days.
DAX30- We did it again! (Dropped right on our resistance)FIRST~: PLEASE CHECK YESTERDAY'S IDEA
So, the chart never lies: the resistance level we had calculated acted perfectly , as the price dropped as soon as it was checked.
Our stop loss is now at entry point and we are expecting to see (hopefully) the drop further down.
Most importantly: DO YOU HAVE A TRADING STRATEGY?
Drawing a chart is part of the success but the most important element of trading is to have a Strategy that works.
How did we trade this?
Well we had a first sell position from last month, opened a second one yesterday earlier in the day and a third one when the price went to the resistance and a compounded 4th position after it started dropping.
Right now our risk is ZERO and the potential for a profit is huge, as if it drops we will take profit 4 times.
Dax30- Where to short it?My 11500 target was hit and now the German index is consolidating just above this support.
A correction from this point is not out of the question but with EU imminent lockdown I expect this to be short-lived and a new leg down is just around the corner.
12k zone is a great place to sell Dax30 and a target of 10k for swing traders is very probable
DAX30 Selloff target 11000.GER30 - Intraday - We look to Sell
Prices are extending lower from the bearish flag/pennant formation.
We can see no technical reason for a change of trend.
Our outlook is bearish.
Trades at the lowest level in 21 weeks.
We look for losses to be extended today.
Our profit targets will be 11104 and 11015
Resistance: 11400 / 11500 / 11700
Support: 11300 / 11100 / 11000
DE30 Sell a Break setup.GER30 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 11428 (stop at 11521)
Posted a bearish Flag formation.
A break of 11450 is needed to confirm the outlook.
This has resulted in signals for sentiment being at oversold extremes and we look for a move to the upside.
Our outlook is bearish.
Trades at the lowest level in 18 weeks.
We look for losses to be extended today.
Trend line resistance is located at 11640.
We can see no technical reason for a change of trend.
Our profit targets will be 11151 and 11081
Resistance: 11700 / 11800 / 11950
Support: 11550 / 11450 / 11300
Dax30- Target hit, now what?IN my previous analysis on Dax30 I said that although "timid", we can see an H&S reversal pattern for the German Index.
A break occurred and the price dropped quickly to reach the 11500 target.
In my opinion, we are at the beginning of a medium-term downtrend, and 12k should be very well defended by bears.
Sell rallies around this price could be a good strategy with a great R:R