Market Bias & Top Stock Watches - 3/27/2023 - BullishBias: Bullish, will be watching for a move up to 400 area. 402.5 could be tested and broke today as well.
Top Watches: Long - PINS, TSEM, KEY, MSFT, FB. Short - BLK.
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Daytrade
GBPUSD TRADE IDEA / DAY TRADE / LONG (UK - RISK EVENT)This is trade idea for GBPUSD Day Trade Trade
-Buy in Order Block Area TF5M Near Sell Side Liquidity (SSLQ) of asian session with range 1.22674 - 1.22614 according to the confirmation that will occur.
-This trade for Event UK Retail Sales news.
-Risk Reward 1:3
Near Identical Rally SetupHello! Yesterday I posted an idea based on ascending triangles that turned into a pretty good trade (link below). In this idea, you can see that one included as well. The first set of triangles was yesterday's setup. Today's idea shows another set of triangles that have formed and they are nearly identical to yesterday's. I'm going to leave my long open for now. There was even a small dip at the end of the first triangles that has played out again here. Though I am long I think it's a pretty precarious situation. They won't play out the same way necessarily. There is many other factors I take into consideration when taking a position.
- Yesterdays Idea
AUDUSD TRADE IDEA / DAY TRADE / SHORTThis is trade idea for AUDUSD Day Trade
-Sell in Bearish Breaker (TF5M) Area with range 0.67146 - 0.67207 according to the confirmation that will occur.
-The dollar index edged below 103.8 on Monday, sliding for the third straight session as the forced takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS and global central banks' action to boost dollar liquidity somewhat eased market concerns about a wider banking and financial crisis.
-Risk Reward 1:2
Yemi_Fx1 | Long for GBPUSDPrice printed a bullish flag pattern which signifies a continuation of the preceeding move. My target is to the nearest area of value @ 1.2260.
I'll be considering
A Risk entry type at the bottom of the flag structure.
Share your thoughts in the comments and show your support for the idea by liking it. Thank you for your help.
SPY: Due for more downside?I've got a supply zone staring at $394 that I think will serve as a temporary top for the remainder of this week. We also have a strong resistance at $393. I may look to enter puts but I am more likely going to try to play UVXY calls with the extra volatility. I'm expecting this to get under $380 fairly quickly and ultimately down o $378 where I see a gap.
The Reason I don't recommend day trading stocks in Taiwan.Why I don't recommend day trading stocks in Taiwan?
"Using TSMC as an example for trading explanation"
Using a "valid", "stop-loss", "almost daily trading" short-term stock trading strategy for day trading or swing trading, the results are as follows:
1. Use a positive expected value trading strategy and follow discipline to take profit and stop loss.
2. Backtesting shows a substantial performance chart, 46 months, 527 trades, over five years +72%.
3. However, when you factor in the "0.4%" transaction tax + commission fee, you will find that you will lose badly. Why?
The reason is simple. 0.4% is very scary. If you trade 100 times, you will lose 40%. Will a person who trades every day trade 200 or even 300 times a year?
With 527 trades, your trading cost is 527*0.004 = -210.8%. Adding the +72% performance and subtracting the -210.8% trading cost, you will end up with a result of -100%, losing everything after working hard for four years without making any mistakes.
"If you are day trading stocks, I want to tell you to be clear-headed. The trading cost of day trading stocks is so cruel."
Choosing the right market, commodity, and understanding the rules of the game are essential!
For example:
Taiwan's stock trading tax is 0.1~0.3%, and commission fee is 0.1~0.3%
The US stock trading tax is 0.00207%, and commission fee is 0.1%~0.5%
Unless you are really skilled enough to overcome the trading cost. I do'nt recommend any traders to day trade stocks in Taiwan.
Feel free to share with those who need it to know.
Day ShortKing W. Harbmayg's Journal Entry #8
1. Thesis: Price is at my 50 level outside the 100 pip box and is at the HOD and HOW. It broke a low which influenced me to get in. This is a counter trend back to the 100 pip box where I will scout for a potential buy. Also the evening star presented, adding more confirmation with a tight SL right at the top of the formation.
2. Performance: (1 out of 5)
Confidence— 5
Discipline— 4
Communication— 5
Yemi_Fx1 | Short for NZDUSDPrice is in a consolidating phase in the form of a bearish flag pattern. If the pattern holds there will be a continuation for price movement to the downside. So,
I'll be considering
A Risk entry type at the top of the bearish flag structure at an area of value.
Reduced risk entry after the impulsive back down followed by a tight flag or break of the flag.
Share your thoughts in the comments and show your support for the idea by liking it. Thank you for your help.
EURUSD Possible Bullish WeekGoodmorning traders,
Im looking for a bullish week on EURUSD.
Needs to hold the last weeks range bottem for price in my eyes to continue bullish,
and a Market Maker Buy Model can be in play (Smart Money).
Im looking for a fake push down first to enter my Longs on smaller timeframe levels.
No Financial advice.
Have a great trading week.
Dave
Bitcoin Fib Levels and Prediction📰 Bitcoin played out like we expected, heading up to point (A). It did pump more than we thought it would though. Now it has retraced back down to a
settling level we like.
📉 From here we feel a drop back down to the golden pocket is more likely, than a pop back up to near 25k.
📥 We have entered a SHORT at $24,630 BTC
AMZN TRADE IDEAS 2/13-2/17AMZN consolidating on the primary trend line and the wedge of the secondary trend line.
A break above the daily 100ma, at 99.75, I'll look to take it to 101.18, 103.63.
Between the 200ma, 100ma, and 50ma, AMZN has rejected the primary trend line and broke below a key level at 103.63 and closed below both the 200 and 100ma. The next Moving Average support level down is the 50ma, sitting at 93.
A break below 95.75 and I profit target 94, 92.75. A break below the daily 50ma and I will have the demand zone of 85 in sights!
Bitcoin Scalp Signal for Day Trading🖥️ We have determined there is a 65% chance Bitcoin will Rise from our current entry point.
📉 LONG - BTC : $21,800 📉
💵 Length of trade: we are expecting BTC to hit a $400 scalp, with a high end of $700, and a minimum expectation of $250.
🕰️ Duration of trade: we are expecting the minimum target to occur within 10 hours. Then we see the rest of this trade playing out around market open for NYSE.
📊🖥️ INDICATOR SHOWN ON CHART : Scot Signal Indicator