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ES Trade Idea and Upcoming NFP ReportCME_MINI:ES1! • What has the market done? ES futures are lagging compared to tech heavy index NQ futures. ES futures are still below yearly open. Yearly open has been a strong area of resistance since the rally of April 6th Lows in futures complex. • What is it trying to do? ES futures are in consolidation mode, building value higher. VPOC has shifted higher since the gap up from May 11th open. VPOC and 0.786 fib level provide a base for a continuation higher. • How good of a job is it doing? Markets seem to be slowing its rally. After such a strong rebound, participants are wary of any pull-backs. Although a strong trend higher, consolidation or a pullback is not illogical at these levels. • What is more likely to happen from here? o Scenario 1: Hold steady and NFP provides needed boost for markets to get across yearly open resistance and climb higher. o Scenario 2: A mixed NFP report may point towards further consolidation. Key level 5873 as support on move lower before reverting higher. o Scenario 3: A hawkish NFP report that signals higher for longer rates, may be interpreted by market participants as less monetary stimulus and dwindling rate cut bets for this year. We anticipate a sell-off towards 0.618 fib level in this scenario, moving to the lower edge of micro composite volume profile. In all the above scenarios, there is a clear LIS at yearly open. Other key levels are defined cleanly on the higher time frame. Important thing for traders to note here is to trade what you see and not what you think. Having an alignment between fundamentals and technicals is sound but the markets do what they do, and price moves where it should. Painting narrative to any move may sound fancy but it gets less important at intraday time frames in our opinion. Hence why we view all this considering auction markets and volume profile. Glossary: ES - emini-S&P 500 Futures NQ - emini-NASDAQ 100 Futures VPOC - Volume Point of Control: The most traded price by volume in a given range. Represents acceptance or consensus NFP - Non-Farm Payroll: Released by the US Department of Labor around the 1st Friday of every month. It reports on Unemployment, Productivity and other key metrics. Key economic release LIS - Line In the Sand: A key zone that might tip buyers or sellers to act to cover risk and might change the overall bias of our analysis
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeClear
Full trade plan with exact prices laid out ahead of time!After shortsellers forcefully pushed NASDAQ:MODV down from mid $2's I said this will most likely result into powerful squeeze. I said buy at the dip $2.31 exactly, waited to get filled, double dip to $2.31 happened to get a full position and from there straight up to mid $3's, took profits in 2 parts and sent out messages live as it was happening so everyone that followed along knew what to do. Solid +30% gain in minutes, taking safest piece of the 200% move the stock made before focus shifted elsewhere. That's how it's done, in and out at highly predictable levels, then moving on to the next stock because NASDAQ:NIVF NASDAQ:EYEN NASDAQ:REVB are already up and hot this morning, not marrying it and holding & hoping forever.
NASDAQ:MODV
by ProfitTradeRoom
1
#ES_F Weekly Prep 06.01 - 06.06.25Last week we have consolidated, built a cost basis under HTF Edge Top and made a push into new HTF Ranges Value on Wednesday after some news, we made it into the Mean of that range but failed to hold before the open trapping Supply in Value. Thursday held under the Edge and by Friday built up enough supply to flush Holiday Cost basis into lower Value where the selling stopped at the Mean and we started covering, being mid day Friday and End of Month we got strong enough covering to take us all the way back into the Edge/into current Intraday Ranges top which is around 930 - 25 Area. Question for this week is, was that a strong bid on Friday which will give us a hold and continued pushes into above VAL over the Edge or was it just a retest of this Edge top from below, momentum traders pushed us out on news and now we are back inside 930 - 770s HTF Range ? Looking at our structure, we had Trend Change on Thursday during RTH Open and for now we have closed Friday in downward correction Trend. This tells us that its possible that we have failed to accept inside new above HTF Range and if that is the case then we could target moves back down towards lower areas of VAH / Mean / VAL and if there will be volume moves under it. For things to change and to see stability + strength out of here we would need to see a good push over 930s which could hold over AND see a move over 941 - 45 area, without that need to be careful with longs into those areas as our Supply and Sellers are around and over us. Things have been slow and moves take a while to set up so Current Intraday Range could act as support and we can see price trade back and forth inside it with Holiday Cost basis providing Support, BUT if we do get through that under VAH then we can see further moves down towards Mean and VAL which has another cost basis there that we can try to fill out and it could hold the price around it, to see any more weakness from there we would need to find ourself under VAL and be able to get into that 800 Balance area, it is new Month and we do have Market Moving Data this week so it could happen. If this will be the case good entry areas for continuation lower could be found around 914 - 10 // 900 - 896 // 869 - 65 // 855 - 51 careful around 824 - 20 and IF we attempt for move into lower Balance could find entries for it at 810 - 06 IF Trend does change and we hold over the Edge OR we hold Current Intraday Range and some of the weekly Data/News will push us over 941 - 45 then we could see moves into above VAL / Mean and would look for Entries around 955 - 59 // 986 - 90 if this will be the case need to be careful with looking for too much continuation over the Mean as there will be selling closer to above VAH we get and especially if we see pushes into/over it as there is more supply above, if move higher happens we would probably look to stay under 630 - 20s and If Holiday Cost Basis holds as Support the could also find long entries at 896 - 900 area after we hold under but need to be careful with looking for big moves and try to grab area to area as market moves and back fills very efficiently lately so watch out for back and forth trading while its moving towards targets.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
INTEL INTC Short setup target 15.29Fibonacci technical analysis : Intel Corporation NASDAQ:INTC has already found resistance at the Fib level 61.8% (23.07) of my Down Fib. The May 30th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 23.6% (19.73), confirming a sell signal. A Bear Flag pattern has also formed. My Down Fib guides me to look for NASDAQ:INTC to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (15.29). NASDAQ:INTC – Target 1 at -27.2% (15.29), Target 2 at -61.8% (12.26) and Target 3 at -78.6 (10.79) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (22.04). Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by rose_excellence
NQ Breakdown Plan: 3 Targets, 1 Setup, No Chasing🧠 NQ Short Plan – NY Open Game Plan Price has pulled back into a key structure zone, and I’m watching closely for a sell setup during the first two hours of the New York session tomorrow. 📌 My trade plan is simple: I want a solid pullback first — not chasing here. If I get a clean sell trigger (candle confirmation or momentum flush), I’m in. Break-even gets locked in once we break the 21,349 area. From there, I’ll take profits in three stages and trail the stop behind price if we get momentum. 🔐 Break-Even Lock: 21,349 ✅ TP #1 – 21,200 ✅ TP #2 – 21,050 ✅ TP #3 – 20,800 (final leg if sellers step in hard) The rising trendline break could be the domino. If it cracks, we roll. But if bulls defend again, no trade — discipline first. 📅 Session Focus: Only trading this setup if it unfolds in the first 2 hours of NY open. After that, I’m out. No chasing. No revenge. Just execution. 💬 Let me know if you’re watching this level too — or if you see something different. Always open to alternate perspectives.
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Short
by natron
1
Structure Shift at Key Support – Is the Bullish Reversal InPrice aggressively broke down recently but showed strong reaction near the 3,280–3,290 demand zone, reflecting potential buyer absorption at lower prices. Following several bearish attempts that failed, price started making higher lows, reflecting a change in short-term structure. Trade Idea: Expecting a bullish reversal from this demand zone with a clean RR setup. Entry Zone: 3,290–3,292 (bullish confirmation candle or wick rejection) Stop Loss: 3,280 (below liquidity sweep & structure low) Take Profit Targets: • TP1: 3,300 – intraday bounce zone • TP2: 3,305 – mid-level resistance • TP3: 3,310 – structural breakout area Why this setup? ✅ Structure shift (higher lows) ✅ Demand zone tapped with strong wick rejection ✅ Clean RR with risk tightly managed ✅ No major macro resistance until 3,310 Risk Note: Steer clear of early entries without confirmation. If price doesn't hold above 3,288, bearish continuation is still in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FadeTheFake
EUR/NZD Short and CAD/JPY ShortEUR/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. CAD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
1
EUR/AUD Short, CAD/JPY Short and GBP/AUD LongEUR/AUD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it. CAD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Break above area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. GBP/AUD Long Minimum entry requirements: • Break below area of value. • 1H impulse up above area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. EUR/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
by StewySongs
LYFT – High Tight Flag Setup Post Earnings BreakoutNASDAQ:LYFT – High Tight Flag Breakout Setup Post Earnings LYFT has exploded on earnings and is now setting up a textbook high tight flag — one of my favorite continuation patterns. 🔹 Earnings Surge → Flag Formation NASDAQ:LYFT followed a similar path to NYSE:HIMS , which ran to the 16s after earnings. Since the earnings pop, it has spent 6 days consolidating above the 9 EMA — strong bullish sign. Today, it opened down $0.50, but buyers stepped in immediately, defending support. 🔹 High Tight Flag Setup This is a classic high tight flag — strong initial move followed by tight sideways consolidation. The longer it stays in this tight range, the stronger the breakout can be. 🔹 My Trading Plan: 1️⃣ Starter Position: Considering a starter position here, just above the 9 EMA, to catch the early move. 2️⃣ Confirmation Add: Full size on a clean breakout over the $17 level. 3️⃣ Stop Loss: Tight stop just below the 9 EMA — risk defined, reward potential is high. 🔹 Why This Setup is Compelling: Strong earnings run + tight flag = perfect continuation setup. Similar setup worked on NYSE:HIMS — earnings pop followed by a massive run. Buyers stepping in at the first sign of weakness shows bullish strength. ⚠️ Risk Management: Start small, add on confirmation — always respect your stops.
NASDAQ:LYFTLong
by kunal00
GBP/JPY Short and CAD/JPY ShortGBP/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. CAD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
Nasdaq – Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Play: Breakout or Rejection?US100 is going up and reaching a critical inflection point, the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 21,500 and 21,700. This FVG is not just any level; it’s the last inefficiency left by aggressive sellers, and the market is now deciding whether to reclaim or reject it. Key Zones - Daily FVG (Supply): 21,400 – 21,600 - Major Resistance: 22,400 Trade Scenarios Bullish Continuation A clean daily close above 21,600 confirms FVG reclamation. Could trigger a momentum burst toward 22,250. Ideal play: wait for consolidation above 21,700 or breakout-retest setup. Bearish Rejection Rejection from the FVG could lead to a retracement toward 20,300, where demand and a lower imbalance reside. Look for rejection in the FVG zone. Technical Takeaways The FVG at 21,400–21,600 is acting as both a magnet and a battlefield expect volatility. The impulsive move leading here lacks a clear retest, which may increase the probability of a short-term correction. Momentum is strong, but traders should wait for confirmation not emotion. Summary The Nasdaq 100 is knocking on a daily FVG door and what happens next will set the tone for the coming weeks. Above 21,600 = bull trend continuation Rejection = short-term dip to 20,300 possible What's your take, breakout or rejection? Follow for real-time trade updates and educational charts.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Mrshazee
4
Two target/Take Profit Levels on EUR/USDDaily EURUSD still below the 10EMA, so I am bearish. Levels as you can see at the below dashed ray lines (1.11464 and 1.11156) looking to take profit on the short at these points and reverse into a buy for a quick day trade/scalp. First level reached has confluence as a previous resistance and a fair value gap (still not convinced on the validity of these). Lower level has also been a previous resistance creating a weak high on 3rd April. 2025.
Short
by BabylonAlchemy