DXY Weekly Chart: "The Bull-trap Breakout"The US Dollar Index is currently positioned at the top of its trading range, which has been in play since 2023 on the weekly timeframe. This presents a solid bearish setup, as the index is likely to reverse and trade back into the range.
This trade idea has been in play since September of 2024 when we were still trading at the BOTTOM of the rang e
Daytrading
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 2.16 - 2.21Last Week :
Sunday Globex again opened on a gap down just like previous week but this time it opened right at lower VAH and got a push back into over 6074 - 54 Edge. Holding over 6050s and inside/over the Edge meant stability for the market which brough in more buying but as we can see it took us a whole week of consolidating under VAL before we were able to push into upper Value towards the end of the week. We pushed into the Mean right up against our previous Supply area and that served as good resistance to keep us in small balance to finish the week on Friday.
This Week :
Tricky spot we find ourself in this week, on higher time frames like Monthly we are having inside month, weekly we are still holding sideways/up trend inside this 6230s - 5950s balance but one thing to note is we have mostly been back and forth between this balances Mean area and the low, so far dips under the low kept getting bought but we are not really getting any upside or holds over the Mean areas which could mean no acceptance inside it to cause continuation towards the top. On Daily TF we have been holding over between the Daily upper Edge of 6073 - 43 and upper Daily VAL of 6144 - 25 where we found balance to end the week on Friday.
Going into this week we are again inside the Value of this 6074 - 6195 Hourly's range and there are few things we can watch from here. If the market has truly accepted inside this range then we may hold inside the Value which will mean ranges will tighten up and we look to balance inside Current Intraday Range of 6155 - 6114, we have supply over 6144 so any pushes over it towards 6155 could find their way back into the Mean and we could see covering under 6125 over VAL. BUT something we have to watch out for is IF we again fail inside this Value and get into/under VAL this will be our first signal for a failure which can bring in weakness towards lower Edge, IF that happens and we find ourself inside lower Edge under 6074 - 60s that would confirm the failure and may bring in more weakness for market to try and go find Value lower, we do have lots of HTF stops lined up under us which would keep bringing weakness if we start taking them. We don't have any market moving data until Fed on Wednesday which could mean a slow start to the week and we must be careful forcing for downside IF we are holding over VAL because that keeps us stable. Of course IF we do again open on a gap down like we did last 2 weeks then that could change things BUT this time around IF we do then we need to be careful looking for a full return back like we had last 2 times.
For more strength out of this Value we would want price first show us holds over 6144 AND find stronger buying that can take us into/over upper VAH, until this happens we really need to watch out over 6140 as we may finish this month either inside +/- month inside this Value under 6160s OR since its our 3rd month in these areas without any upside, we could see size sell us back down towards Monthly balance lows which are down at 5950s.
LTC Aims for $140 After Mid S/R BreakoutPrice is trading within a broad range between the $98 support and $140 resistance. After breaking out of the mid S/R line around $115, the price could now move toward the $140 target.
A breakout above $140 may trigger a strong bullish rally, while a drop below $98 signals bearish risks. Watch for volume confirmation!
TOSH/USD Long Setup: OTE + Fake Supply zone reclaimed I've spotted a great long opportunity on TOSH/USD using a combination of advanced market analysis techniques:
1️⃣ Liquidity grab below recent lows, clearing out impatient buyers.
2️⃣ Entry at the OTE zone (Optimal Trade Entry) between 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, a key area for strong rejections.
3️⃣ A fake supply zone has been reclaimed, signaling bullish intent.
🎯 Trade Details:
Entry: 0.0006900 (validated in the OTE zone).
Context: Liquidity sweep below support followed by a bullish re-entry.
Confirmation: Clean reclaim of the fake supply zone with momentum.
Stop Loss: Below the last swing low for proper risk management.
Take Profits:
TP1: Previous Higher High (HH). 🚀
📊 Plan:
I’m watching for strong confirmation in the OTE zone and increased volume as the fake supply zone is reclaimed. Risk management is key—position sizing is based on capital and stop-loss placement.
This is not financial advice, just my personal setup idea based on market structure. What’s your take? Let me know below! 👇"
GBP/JPY Market Shift or Liquidity Grab? Here’s What I’m Seeing!Yesterday, we were focused on GBP/JPY selling off after a major support break, but today’s price action is revealing a potential shift in momentum. While the larger structure still suggests a bearish outlook, recent price behavior is showing signs of a liquidity grab before any major move.
On the H4 and H1 timeframes, we’re seeing slow but steady higher highs forming after a key support at 191.58 held. This suggests that before any deeper drop, GBP/JPY may need to sweep liquidity above recent highs at 192.50 and 193.18. The price action is creeping upward, with candle closures above key resistance levels—a major sign of potential upside before sellers truly take control.
Here’s what I’m watching:
📌 A breakout and liquidity sweep above 193.18 before a possible reversal
📌 Holding above 192.50 could indicate a continued bullish push toward 194.74
📌 If buyers fail and price rejects the highs, we may see a strong downside continuation
This is a crucial turning point—will GBP/JPY fake out buyers before dumping, or are we seeing the start of a larger move up?
Late night thoughts on XRPJust sharing some insights on what I have been seeing. I have been getting a feeling XRP can pop at any moment. Ideally I wanna see XRP reach AT LEAST $5 this market cycle. But we will see what happens!
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
GbpChf buy idea Taking yesterday's (Wednesday) low 1.13111 as Inducement and using previous week (Wednesday) High 1.13057 as my point of interest. I'm interested in going long on GBPCHF.
This is just my insight you can check usdChf chart I posted my insight in the Mind section.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
GBPCHF: Range BreakoutThis range breakout follows the same pattern as my other idea on CADCHF. In a very similar fashion, price has been in a range since September 2024.
The upper range boundary has shown signs of weakening or breaching a couple of times over the past few months. However, price recently closed above this range level over the past two days, which indicates a higher probability of sustained breakout.
The daily ATR is currently 64.3 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 32 and SL 64. Note that I'm only targeting 0.5x ATR because I scale into positions, but I also want to ensure I'm able to secure a profit with minimal holding costs.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.13.2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
No additional significant news beyond scheduled data releases.
📊 Key Data Releases:
📅 Thursday, Feb 13:
🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI) (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
Forecast: +3.3% YoY; Previous: +3.3% YoY.
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 217K; Previous: 219K.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
GBP/CAD Short, EUR/NZD Long and USD/JPY ShortGBP/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H high tests.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/NZD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation follows, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 1H continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Eur/Joy sell setup UsdJpy gave confluence to this. I'll be looking to go short from 159.788 you can wait for H4 rejection of the zone before looking for sell opportunities or you go aggressive, it depends on the kinda trader you are.
Taking the 159.5 as Inducement my point of interest looks valid and I'll be anticipating what price would do at that level.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
GbpUsd Long BiasMy first GU insight of the week.
I'm looking to buy from 1.23471 because it aligns with my potential buy model.
Although the bullish open and close level 1.23533 looks more enticing I won't be surprised if price reacts from there.
Please boost if you find it insightful so others can see it too 🫴
USD/JPY ShortUSD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Why you should choose your trading period carefullyFirst, let's look at the four most important trading sessions. The Forex and stock market is divided into different trading sessions, which are based on the opening hours of the main financial centers:
Session Opening Hours (UTC) Major Markets:
-> Sydney session 22:00 – 07:00 Australia, New Zealand
-> Tokyo session 00:00 – 09:00 Japan, China, Singapore
-> London session 08:00 – 17:00 UK, Europe
-> New York session 1:00 p.m. – 10:00 p.m. USA, Canada
Note: Times vary slightly depending on summer or winter time.
Why are trading sessions important?
-> Volatility & Liquidity
Depending on the session, there are different market movements.
High liquidity → tight spreads and better order execution.
Low liquidity → greater slippage and wider spreads.
-> Active currencies & markets
During the Tokyo session, JPY and AUD pairs are particularly active.
During the London session, EUR and GBP pairs are the most volatile.
During the New York session, USD pairs and stock markets moved the most.
Opportunities & risks during overlapping times:
The overlaps between sessions are the most volatile times because several major markets are active at the same time.
1. London-New York Overlap (13:00 – 17:00 UTC)
→ Highest volatility
Why?
The world's two largest financial centers operate at the same time.
Opportunities:
Big price moves → good for breakout traders and scalping.
High liquidity → tight spreads, fast order execution.
Risks:
Extreme volatility → rapid price changes can trigger stop losses.
News (e.g. US jobs data) can cause sudden movements.
Practical example:
A trader is watching EUR/USD and sees strong resistance at 1.1000.
US inflation data will be released at 13:30 UTC.
If the data is better than expected → USD strengthens, EUR/USD falls.
If the data is worse → USD weakens, EUR/USD rises.
Within a few minutes the price can fluctuate by 50-100 pips.
→ Strategy: News traders rely on quick movements, while conservative traders extend stop losses or pause during this time.
2. Tokyo-London Overlap (08:00 – 09:00 UTC)
→ Medium volatility
Why?
London opens while Tokyo is still active.
Opportunities:
JPY pairs (e.g. GBP/JPY) are moving strongly.
Breakouts through the European opening.
Risks:
Sudden changes in direction as European traders often have a different market opinion than Asian ones.
Practical example:
A scalper is trading GBP/JPY in a narrow range of 185.00 – 185.20 during the Tokyo session.
At 08:00 UTC London opens with GBP/JPY breaking above 185.50.
Within 30 minutes the price rises to 186.00 as European traders buy GBP.
If you recognize the breakout early, you can quickly take 50-100 pips.
→ Strategy: Scalpers rely on quick entries and take profits before volatility subsides.
3. Sydney-Tokyo Overlap (00:00 – 07:00 UTC)
→ Low volatility
Why?
Mainly the Asian market is active.
Opportunities:
Less volatility → good for range trading.
Cheaper spreads for AUD and NZD pairs.
Risks:
Little liquidity → Slippage may occur.
Strong moves are rare, except for major news from Japan or Australia.
Practical example:
A swing trader notes that AUD/USD has been fluctuating between 0.6500 and 0.6550 for days.
During the Sydney-Tokyo session the price mostly stays in this range.
The trader places a sell limit order at 0.6550 and a buy limit order at 0.6500.
Since there is little volatility, it can be profitable with multiple small trades.
→ Strategy: Range trading is ideal because no major breakouts are expected.
Conclusion:
Each trading session has its own characteristics, opportunities and risks.
The crossovers are the most volatile times - good for day traders, but risky for inexperienced traders. Anyone who understands the market mechanisms can take targeted action at the right time. The strategies mentioned above are simply derivations from the advantages and disadvantages of the respective sessions. Of course, a well-founded strategy concept requires much more.
Journey to 53K: Analyze this MNQ trade with me! 2.10.25It really helps out if you guys support and subscribe. Give it a like if you guys enjoy this content it motivates me to keep posting and shows me that what I am sharing you guys find valuable. I appreciate the 600+ views, to those watching, thank you for being an early follower of my journey and may God bless yours.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
USD/JPY Short and EUR/NZD LongUSD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break above area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/NZD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break below area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
VINE/USDT IS THIS THE LONG WAITING BREAK TO $0,50 Whales enterPreviously, we tracked Vine's journey from a lower price point to its peak target of over $0.30. Now, Vine is presenting a new opportunity, with a strong potential to aim for $0.50 in the near future.
If this is the bottom as it looks, then there is a high chance this coin could explode to $0,50 in the coming time. The increased volume will go faster after $0,15
We will closely monitor Vine's progress step by step as it continues its upward trajectory.
If there is a launch coming at X, this could be 1 volume shot target. (Elon should know more than we know.
As always, remember to manage your risk effectively, as this update is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice.
Weekly Economic Events & Data Releases: Feb 10 – 14, 2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
Monday, Feb 10: 🇨🇳📈 China's Retaliatory Tariffs – In response to the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on Chinese imports effective Feb 4, China has enacted tariffs of 15% on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on crude oil and agricultural machinery, effective today.
Tuesday, Feb 11 & Wednesday, Feb 12: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies – Insights into economic outlook and monetary policy.
📊 Key Data Releases:
Wednesday, Feb 12:
🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
💵 Real Earnings: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: -0.1% MoM.
Thursday, Feb 13:
🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
📉 Initial Jobless Claims: Forecast: 219K; Previous: 219K.
Friday, Feb 14:
🛍️ Retail Sales: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM.
🌐 Import Price Index: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao