Daytrading
NZD/CAD Short and NZD/JPY ShortNZD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.14.2024🔮
📅 Tue Jan 14
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.2%)
📊 PPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.4%)
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
On a gap up, we will hold and run higher. Weekly will pin it down.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Pullbacks here and there but will get bought up.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here...again.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
Key Elements in Trading & Investing ManagementKey Elements in Trading & Investing Management: Your Blueprint for Success 📊
🔍 Risk/Reward Analysis:
Every trade or investment should start with a thorough risk/reward assessment. This ensures you're not just chasing gains but are aware of the potential downside.
🎯 Clear Entry & Exit Strategies:
Define your entry and exit points before you trade. This discipline keeps your strategy on track, whether the market moves in your favor or against it.
🏞️ Embrace Market Volatility:
Accept drawdowns as part of the trading journey. Just as you'd celebrate profits, handle losses with the same composure to maintain your strategic approach.
🔄 Consistency in Strategy:
Avoid tweaking your strategy after a loss. Stick to your rules to foster a consistent trading methodology.
🔧 Utilize All Available Tools:
Leverage every tool at your disposal on platforms like TradingView—indicators, charts, and risk management features—to make informed decisions.
🎯 Set Profit Targets & Stop Losses:
Implement break-even points and stop-loss orders to secure profits and minimize losses, ensuring each trade is managed with precision.
💰 Focus on Capital Preservation:
Your primary goal should be to protect and grow your capital, not just to celebrate short-term wins. Long-term sustainability is key.
📈 Compound Your Success:
Use your gains wisely to compound your investments rather than risking them on speculative bets. Let your edge work for you over time.
🌟 Master Your Trading Edge:
Identify what gives you an advantage in the market, be it technical analysis, fundamental insights, or a unique approach, and harness it consistently.
💵 Implement Dollar Cost Averaging for Stability:Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is your ally for those looking to invest without timing the market. By investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, you buy more shares when prices are low 📉 and fewer when prices are high 📈, averaging out the cost over time. This strategy mitigates the impact of volatility 🌪️ and reduces the risk of investing a lump sum at a peak price.
Consistent Investment: Set up a schedule to invest, say, weekly or monthly, into your chosen assets. 🗓️
Emotional Discipline: DCA helps remove emotion from investing decisions, promoting a disciplined approach. 😌
Long-Term Growth: Over time, this method can lead to significant returns as you accumulate more shares at varied price points. 🌱📈
Incorporate DCA into your broader strategy to enhance your risk/reward balance, ensuring that you're not just reacting to market highs and lows but methodically building your investment base. 💡
SPX: Exploring Buying Opportunities Amidst Bearish Trends 🚀 SPX: Exploring Buying Opportunities Amidst Bearish Trends 🚀
📊 Recent Performance:
The S&P 500 began 2025 with a 0.71% drop last week. Strong economic data has shifted expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts to July, creating cautious sentiment across the markets.
📈 Key Technical Levels to Watch:
Support: Immediate support sits around 5800, a critical psychological and technical level for potential accumulation.
Next Support: If tested, 5750 could present attractive buying opportunities for long-term investors.
Resistance: A daily close above 5900 would suggest renewed momentum for bulls.
🔍 Potential Entry Zones:
Dynamic Neutral Zones: These areas signal market equilibrium and provide an excellent guide for strategic entries.
Extreme Negative Zones: Watch for pullbacks into oversold regions, which often align with value-based accumulation opportunities.
🌱 Bullish Reversal Signals:
A breakout above 5866, accompanied by strong buying interest, could signal a return to upward momentum.
Positive catalysts, such as earnings surprises or favorable economic releases, may support a recovery.
🧭 Strategy for Investors:
Focus on pullbacks near well-defined support zones to position for long-term growth.
Use dynamic support levels to guide disciplined entry points and avoid chasing trends.
📢 What’s Your Take on SPX’s Path Ahead?
📈 Bullish
🔄 Neutral
💬 Share your favorite tickers in the comments! Let’s analyze them together and uncover the best buying opportunities.
#WhatsTheTicker Your Asset Our Expertise Technical/Fundamental#WhatsTheTicker: Your Asset, Our Expertise 🚀
📩 Comment Your Ticker Below:
We’ll analyze your ticker directly in the comments, offering in-depth insights tailored to you. Let’s grow smarter, together.
✨ Discover a unique mathematical approach to support and resistance, designed for day trading and swing trading success!
Why This Matters:
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Best regards,
DCAChampion
NZD/JPY (Trade Recap) EUR/USD Long, GBP/AUD Long & USD/CAD ShortEUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break below area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/AUD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
JPM A Banking Giant with More Twists than a Netflix Series JPMorgan Chase & Co. ( NYSE:JPM ) – A Banking Giant with More Twists than a Netflix Series 📊🔍
1/ Breaking Down JPM's P/E Ratio: Undervalued or Just Sneaky?
With a P/E of 13.54, JPM trades below the industry average of 15.6x. This isn’t just undervaluation—it’s like finding caviar priced as canned tuna. Is this your chance to scoop up a gem? 🧐
2/ Who’s the Alpha Dog in Banking? 🐕
NYSE:JPM outshines peers like NYSE:WFC , C, and NYSE:BAC on core metrics. It’s like watching the teacher’s pet dominate a pop quiz. Ready to compare notes? TradingView’s got the cheat sheet. 🖊️
3/ Earnings Season: The Plot Thickens 🎭
This Wednesday’s earnings release could flip the script. Will JPM confirm its star power or drop the ball? Set your TradingView alerts and grab the popcorn. 🍿
4/ Defaults on the Rise: Red Flag or Overreaction? 🚩
Rising credit card defaults might spook some, but is it just noise? With TradingView's data, you can decide if it’s a pothole or a sinkhole. ⚡
5/ Debt Consolidation: JPM’s Secret Weapon?
Think balance transfers and personal loans are boring? JPM doesn’t. They’re quietly building momentum in debt consolidation. TradingView has the growth story. 💳
6/ Risks: Do the Monsters Under JPM’s Bed Bite?
Regulatory scrutiny, credit risk—JPM’s challenges are no bedtime story. But are these headwinds priced in? TradingView’s risk tools are your flashlight in the dark. 🔦
7/ Can JPM Keep Up with Fintech’s Wild Ride? 🚀
Legacy bank meets disruptor. Is JPM playing catch-up or quietly dominating? TradingView’s tools reveal if the OG is still king of the hill. 📱
8/ Blockchain: Banking’s New Frontier 🌐
JPM’s blockchain ventures could redefine the game. Payments, asset tokenization, and more. TradingView charts show if the hype is real. 🧑💻
9/ SWOT Analysis: Decoding JPM’s Strategy 🕵️♀️
Strengths? Plenty. Weaknesses? A few. Opportunities and threats? Let’s map them out. TradingView’s SWOT lens is where strategy meets clarity. 🔍
Strengths:
Trusted Brand & Services: JPM offers a wide range from retail to investment banking.
Diverse Revenues: Spread across multiple segments, reducing single-source dependency.
Digital Leader: Significant tech investments for a top-tier customer experience.
Global Reach: Operations worldwide for revenue diversity.
Weaknesses:
High Operational Costs: Large network and compliance costs.
Credit Risk: Vulnerable to economic downturns.
Regulatory Oversight: Constant scrutiny impacts profitability.
Opportunities:
Emerging Markets: Untapped growth regions.
Wealth Management: Aging demographics offer growth.
Fintech Innovation: Chance to lead in new technologies.
Debt Consolidation: Capitalize on increasing debt.
Threats:
Fintech Competition: Eroding traditional banking market share.
Regulatory Risks: Potential for increased costs or restrictions.
Economic Downturns: Sensitive to market conditions.
Cybersecurity: High risk due to digital presence.
10/ Latest News Hits the Charts 📈
Regulatory fines, office drama—how does the chatter translate into market moves? TradingView shows the impact of headlines on JPM.
11/ Is JPM a Value Play or a Mirage?
Debate rages: Is JPM an undervalued titan or just treading water? Join the TradingView forums for hot takes and cool analysis. 💬
12/ What’s the Market Saying? 🔍
TradingView’s sentiment indicators tell the tale: bullish optimism or bearish caution? See what traders are betting on JPM. 🎲
13/ Technicals That Speak Volumes 🛠️
Triangles, trends, and Fibonacci levels. TradingView’s tools can spot potential entry points and confirm patterns. Will you catch the next wave? 🌊
14/ The Big Picture: JPM's Future 🌍
Blockchain, fintech, and resilient banking. TradingView’s long-term charts suggest JPM could be evolving into the Terminator of finance: old-school but built to last. 🤖
#LongTermInvesting #TradingView #JPM
15/ What’s Your Move on JPM?
📈 Buy for the long term
🔄 Hold for now
🚫 Avoid the risk
share your take!
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.13.2024🔮
📅 Tue Jan 14
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.2%)
📊 PPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.4%)
📅 Wed Jan 15
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core CPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.3%)
📊 CPI m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.3%)
📊 CPI y/y: 2.9% (prev: 2.7%)
📊 Empire State Manufacturing Index: -0.3 (prev: 0.2%)
⏰ 10:30am
🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.0M
📅 Thu Jan 16
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.5% (prev: 0.2%)
📊 Retail Sales m/m: 0.6% (prev: 0.7%)
📊 Unemployment Claims: 210K (prev: 201K)
📊 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: -7.0 (prev: -16.4)
📅 Fri Jan 17
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Building Permits: 1.46M (prev: 1.49M)
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
On a gap up, we will hold and run higher.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
The markets will get a few days of a bullish run.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 1.12 - 1.17.2025Last Week :
Sunday Globex opened inside the Mean of Previous HTF Range and got a push to VAH which held into RTH that brought in more buying to make a run at the Ranges Edge where we found Supply, for strength to remain we needed to stay and build over VAH instead we build supply at/under VAH and when buying ran out we made a move for VAL. From weekly plan this is what we were looking for a push back under 978 - 73 Intraday Edge to give us sells back towards the Edge where we saw covering and support which gave us holds for a couple days but over all we were ablet to stay under VAL and build supply which kept signaling weakness, Friday we built up enough supply to fully break through the Edge and this time around with more supply above us we had enough selling to get into new Value. Area over swing stops provided good covering which gave us a push back out of Value but we can see that selling was strong enough to get back into the Mean area of the Range to close just above those stops.
This Week :
This week we are set up open inside the Value of new/previous HTF Range of 913 - 792, We are inside 882 - 841 Intraday Range, Under the Daily Mean of 913 - 896 with now more supply trapped over it. The area where and way we closed Friday is signaling that we should see continuation to the current move or at least more weakness going into this week, as long as we hold under VAH under 5888 - 5900 we can continue with weakness towards current Intraday Edge lows at 841 - 36 which would also take out the swing swing stops under us to give us more selling to test lower VAL and possibly see sells under it towards Previous Distribution Balance we had which was a big cost basis area above Daily Edge that we consolidated at for some time before making new ATH 10.14. To me this was our real ATH and possibly a top area as everything after that was more of Election Speculations and Momentum which died out and now brough us back under that ATH.
Also mentioned last week that we had a big failure over Daily Edge which usually targets previous daily areas and so far we have visited Daily Mean which Friday we finally broke and closed under and tagged Daily VAL which is this 846 - 828, Daily lower Edge is 754 - 24 which has some Poor/Weak Lows and a contract roll gap under. Daily Edge and Gap under will still remain good targets going forward but need be careful as those are Daily targets and can take time for us to get there, current VAL and areas under it could provide good enough covering holds and new buying when prices hold to give us enough support to not continue for bigger targets right away but instead balance and build more supply which we will need to go and fill those areas out when we are ready.
Over all we are looking for more weakness going into this week but we have to be careful as we have that Previous Distribution balance at 800 - 750 area which had 2 weeks of consolidation that can keep us up and see covering at or over it. For bigger moves out of this HTF Range we would either need to hold and build supply under VAL before taking out the Edge like we did last week above or we would need strong volume that can break VAL and another strong push that can fully break lower Edge to hold under 780 - 70s, until then we may stay inside new current HTF Range and balance around its Value and areas out of Value without accepting under/over Edges.
For strength to return or to think higher prices out of this Range we would need to be able to hold over VAH and see a good push in above Edge that could hold inside it without coming back in, until then Higher Time Frames have been transitioning into a correction mode so far Daily is in correction as long as we keep holding under 960s and Weekly as well showing signs of corrections starting but it still needs time to set up which can take time so we have to be patient especially after big moves already taking place.
LLY Earnings Preview: Breakout or Rejection? Key Levels to WatchNYSE:LLY moved from 761-799 this week, catching key support at that 761 level. NYSE:LLY closed as an outside week, bullish on the 15MIN-Week timeframe. This has the potential to be a really nice earnings run-up, if the 800 level can hold. As always do your own research, these are just ideas, not meant for investment advice.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024
📅 Fri Jan 10
⏰ 8:30am
💰 Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.4%)
👷 Non-Farm Employment Change: 164K (prev: 227K)
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (prev: 4.2%)
⏰ 10:00am
📊 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: 74.0 (prev: 74.0)
📈 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: 2.8%
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
The markets are very sensitive right now with the pause. I wouldn't bet that it holds this gap for long.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
A little more upside, and then markets will need the weekend to digest.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
ES still in decision after drop before xmasBond Auction Demand Analysis
The recent 10-year Bond Auction showed weaker demand with a 0.2 tails basis point, indicating reduced investor interest compared to previous auctions. The high bid-to-cover ratio of 2.53 suggests challenges for the stock market rally as investors seek higher yields. A 30-year Bond Auction on January 9th will provide further insights into market trends.
Jobless Claims Report Impact
The Initial Jobless Claims report showed favorable results, which could support a steady move in the market, particularly in the CME_MINI:ESH2025 ES index. Traders are closely monitoring these developments as they assess the implications for interest rates and overall market performance.
Market Reaction and Expectations
During the first session of the US market, there was little decision-making movement, indicating a need for more information on market reactions. With a national holiday approaching and a 30-year Bond Auction scheduled, a quieter market is expected in the interim.
Lesson Learned: What Seperates the Greats from the AmeteursI am getting back to trading again after several years of unprofitability. I went over my trade entries from many years ago, as well as entries I backtested, now that trading view seems to have improved it's bar replay, it's been even easier.
I made a discovery:
1. High R/R as well as moves with possible multiple entry opportunities are found on the 1hr or higher timeframe breakout structures.
2. The losses I had taken came from trading breakouts within a consolidating market.
3. Winners start working rather quickly, they go move big and fast. When checking my trade duration, the losses tend to happen either very fast, or they linger for a bit, then hit my SL. or perhaps a small profit. Winners tend to have very fast(especially since I daytrade the 5min).
This was a great observation, as last night, I got to see it in action again, using live money and real emotions.
Now I can see what I do so I can learn.
Lessons Learned:
1. Trade Only 1hr or higher timeframe breakout structures. It's fine to take a 5min breakout within to catch the full breakout(as you would take a 1hr structure to catch a Daily chart breakout), however, step back if market is hostile.
This allows for:
Optimal R/R due to a bigger trending move
Higher win rate due to cutting out losses from random price breakouts due to using only the 5min chart patterns.
Patience to wait for the bigger trend to break out, when the market moves and can actually provide a good trading environment.
2. Avoid Hostile Markets. mentioned on lesson 1, but is worth reemphasizing. Continuing to reenter a market that is clearly moving unfavorably to your plan is death by 1,000 papercuts.
Rather than continuing to try to get in, which is absolutely fine in a favorable market, use your "sit-out power" - The discipline to stay out of the market when conditions dont suit your strategy. By sitting out during unfavorable periods, top traders like Mark Minervini(U.S. Investing Championship 1st place winner on multiple years with multiple students also reaching top ranks) maintains a win rate closer to 50%.
3. If market takes too long to go, it could be a sign that it is not ready yet and may most likely continue correcting . This is clearly evident in how the market today, although it seemed to be forming double tops, and breakout structures, it didnt breakout yet, it just extended it's correction, making this move unpredictable, and raising the chances of stopping out. Trading is probabilities, and successful trading is moving the probabilities in your favor. This may be an opportunity to revisit during more favorable market conditions, when it begins to trend.
I used a time stop today, and it is something that I have recently started implementing, as I also discovered that many successful traders also use a time stop, because timing the market breakout is a key element in trading the market profitably, as well as is staying out when the timing is off and avoiding a full unnecessary loss when markets are moving unfavorably for a long period.
A tweet I read today, published by Law Wai-Sum, known on X as @JLawStock, One of Mark Minervini's student's, and also 1st place winner of the Eleven Month 2024 U.S. Investing Championship with a 308.6% return in the Money Manager Verified Rating($1 Million+ Accounts), yesterday, mentioned " to improve trading performance, the first step is not to seek trading opportunities but to learn how to eliminate them ...Currently, the U.S. Stock market is also not the time for me to engage in agressive trading. I have given up on many trading opportunities, but this is cautious timing approach allowed my overall account to achieve double digit growth last december with minimal drawdowns.
The second step is to learn to focus on opportunities that truly belong to you.
How many times in the past have you kept firing away, only to end up busy for nothing and making no progress? This shows that the majority of trades are, in fact, meaningless. The major contributions to your account often come from a few key trades. But one thing is for certain: These key trades do not present entry opportunities every day- they only appear at the most favorable moments, and when they do, that's when you grab the money in large handfuls..."
This was so special for me to read precisely today, as I took losses for trading an unfavorable market, and now, hours later, I see, the market was not breaking out. Jesse Livermore, or JLaw himself couldve been trying to trade these breakouts and they wont go. The key is, they wouldn't continue trading these breakouts. they dont get results from the markets because the market just move in their favor, rather, they decide to keep their profits by staying out when it does not.
I invite you, as a reader, to take action on the knoweledge learned, and observe your past trades. zoom out, were you taking losses due to trading a hostile and corrective market?
Rather than switch and learn new strategies(As I once did, which was fine too, as it was great knoweledge, but I go back to the basics, what I started with, because it works, it always did, I just needed to do a better job of understanding when it worked and when I was overtrading), I challenge you too, to develop further YOUR strategy. To understand when to stay out and sit in cash.
NZD/JPY Short (Trade Recap) and GBP/USD ShortNZD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 2 touch 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.