Get started

Daytrading

ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 04.07 - 04.12Last Week : Last week to start the week we attempted the move under VAL but only had enough selling to break under and come back in which gave us another rotation higher back towards VAH. We needed more supply or stronger sell Volume to come in to attempt a move at the lower Edge. We knew going into the week that we had Supply/Sellers at/over VAH and buyers wouldn't want be paying prices over Value. Move Wednesday RTH hold over VAL and Thursday Globex trapped more buyers on the way to VAH and when buyers ran out everyone rushed for the doors which gave us a nice flush through VAL and once we took out the Support there more volume came in to extend towards the Edge. We did break the Edge and closed under but no stronger sell volume came in overnight and once RTH opened we saw the Edge hold and another rotation from Edge back to VAL. Attempted a push inside Value but this time around we saw sellers Inside Value under the Mean. This Week : This might be a tricky week as many will expect either a continued grind higher after failed break down out of the range or more selling to come in and take us back to the Edge and possibly under. Yes either of these scenarios could happen but we have to be careful because it could be a slow start to the week with no market moving data Monday/Tuesday then Fed Minutes Wednesday and bigger data dropping Thursday. So far the structure is telling us that we have buyers under Value and inside/under HTF Edge which is an important area for any prices under and also telling us that we have trapped more supply inside Value/Mean area of the Range which might not have all sold out yet. To me it means that its very possible to go back to tighter ranges again as price might want to stay around this VAL Over/Under area without making any big moves away from it just yet. We did close Friday inside 5249.75 - 5295.50 range which is what we will need to focus on now until we move out of it and accept in different range. 5249.75 - 44.75 is Key Support for this range but if buyers are trying to get product under value we could be seeing extensions under but watch out for price to keep wanting to come back towards or over it if we do. Extensions away from VAL into the Value could also be met with Supply and might make price keep coming back inside VAL area. It's too early and tricky to really call it right now but last week made big moves and wont be surprised to see smaller balances this week to clean up and start getting ready for next moves which can take time. If this will be the case we will have to see if Mid/End of week will give us clear direction out of this area or if we will continue trading around this Current Range until next week. To attempt moves higher towards VAH we would need to hold over 5279.25 - 75.25 and get through Key Resistance at 5295.50 - 90.25 To attempt moves under VAL towards Edge and under we would need to accept under 5249.75 - 44.75 and get through 5234.25 - 30.25 - 27.50 areas Levels to Watch : Current Range Levels - Key Resistance 5295.50 - 90.25 // Resistance 5279.25 - 75.25 5264.75 - 60.75 Could act as an intrarange mean that could draw the price towards it. 5249.75 - 44.75 Key Support If we accept under Key Support we will look at 5249.75 - 5204 - 5199.75 Range Levels inside 5234.25 - 30.25 // 5219.75 - 15.75 Key Support 5204.25 - 5199.75 If we hold VAL and enough buying comes in go take us back to VAH we again need to be careful of sellers over 90s but if anything levels above would be 5306.50 - 10.50 // 5324.75 - 20.75 and Key Resistance 5341 - 36
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
USD/JPY Short and AUD/NZD ShortUSD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. AUD/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
1
USD/JPY Short and CAD/CHF ShortUSD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. CAD/CHF Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Short
by StewySongs
USD/JPY Short, AUD/NZD Short and GBP/CAD ShortUSD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. AUD/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below AOI. • If 3 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. GBP/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Break above area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Short
by StewySongs
EUR/USD Long, EUR/CAD Long and USD/CHF ShortEUR/USD Long Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it. EUR/CAD Long Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it. USD/CHF Short Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
by StewySongs
1
ES_F Updated chart for 04.01 - 04.05 Didn't post this weeks prep since last weeks was still in play but wanted to post an updated chart for a better visual of PA around the levels and structure we have been forming since last week. As mentioned we had this area under the Mean to fill out once we had the supply to do so, it took some time but we created the Supply for it and now are trading around these areas under the Mean filling it out. Some notes going into rest of the week : 5249.75 - 44.75 Key Support at VAL has been holding all night, no continuation towards the Edge unless we accept under and more selling comes in to push us that way. If selling is not strong we can stay balancing in this VAL area around 40 - 60s with 5264.75 - 60.75 being our Intrarange Resistance if we build up enough we could try to push over towards 5275.25 - 79.25 Level to fill some of that Gap we have created above but need to be careful as we still have T2 and Supply above that Mean area which tells us any pushes over 64.75 could be met with selling once buying runs out and price can keep coming back inside VAL. We are currently inside 5244.75 - 5295.50 Range with Supply above so if we do hold this range for now we can expect to trade around the lower parts of it while supply is coming out. As mentioned Size shorts will be covering down at VAL and under it which can hold us up until they are done and then we will see if there is still Supply to take us towards the lower Edge or selling runs out and we try to head back inside the Mean for Supply but this can take time to play out. Levels to Watch : Key Support 5249.75 - 44.75 Need acceptance under AND stronger volume to try and push to lower targets if no volume then can keep trading around it. Lower areas just in case are 5234.25 - 30.25 // 5219.75 - 15.75 Key Edge bottom and Supports 5207.50 // 5204.25 - 5199.75 Current Intrarange Resistance 5264.75 - 60.75 There is GAP above which means Supply, pushes over could be weak while still have selling but areas to watch above would be 5279.25 - 75.25 Key Resistance 5295.50 - 90.25
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
GBP/USD Short and GBP/CAD ShortGBP/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. GBP/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
4
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 03.24 - 03.29Last Week : Last week we opened below 5227 - 07.50 HTF Edge but weren't able to hold under it, we got some selling from Edge area back down towards VAH but not strong enough to get inside or break it, for any continuation under we needed to get through it which didn't happen. Once we got back over the Edge on Tuesday and this time held above, we were able to put together a cost basis there and once we took out VAL of New Range above VAH became our Target. We didn't hit it same day but got to it after hours which we know has less volume so its easier to move the market. We ended up tagging top of VAH but no strong buyers came in to take us over and that's when we started building the supply to back fill back towards the Mean to end the week with a break back under 5295.50 - 90.50. This Week : So far going into this week we know we have sellers over VAH and unless strong buyers come in, our current ones don't need to pay over Value. It's also Month end and this is a perfect spot for size longs to be taking profits and closing things up, BUT look at the small distribution ranges we had rest of the week which tells us we don't have size sellers to give us big moves from here so we will most likely need to wait for Supply to build up if we want to see continuation under 95.50 - 90.50. For now the Mean can act as support as shorts will be trying to cover at cheaper prices for the supply that falls under 5300. This might be a tricky week again and ranges could be small while we are building Supply, we can see some tighter range balances around this top of Mean/VAH area and need to be careful with longs because we do have sellers now and long trades might fizzle out quicker than everyone wants as shorts don't have to pay higher prices while we have longs unloading into the buying to close out the month. If we can't make a push or accept over VAH and build up enough supply we could see a move through the Mean towards VAL at some point, just have to be careful forcing it early as we may need more time to test around VAH before we have the supply to do that. IF we do run out of selling at VAH and accept over 5322.50 we could see a run at next Key Resistance area towards the Edge but for that we would need to build up under VAH and inside it as well. 5310 - 06 area can still be tested and maybe even over it at some point before we get a better failure to see a move to push us further trough the mean. Quicker trades without expecting too much follow through would be best bet until we see that we will be ready to move. Levels to watch : Supply is over 5310.50 - 06.50 Which makes it possible resistance or to look for look above and fail area. If we get through and don't fail we have 5324.75 - 20.75 as VAH top and 5341 - 36 as next Key Resistance. 5295.50 - 90.25 is current Key Area but we can't really say its our Support or Resistance just yet even though we closed at/under it on Friday, this area can act as smaller Mean, but once we have enough Supply over it and can get through we can watch lower targets for Continuation 5279.25 - 75.25 is first spot to hit and if enough supply VAL area at 5264.75 - 60.75 would be a good spot to visit as well. 5249.75 - 44.75 is Key Support for anything under VAL. It is a shorter Holiday week so we have to be careful and see if we get any moves out of this area at all or will we spend the whole week trading around Mean/VAH area if that will be the case 5310.50 - 06.50 // 5295.50 - 90.25 +/- is our current shelf and can see trading within/around until we will be ready to move.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn