EUR/CAD Long and AUD/NZD ShortEUR/CAD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Daytrading
#IDEA/VI LONG TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks,
today i have prepared a setup of IDEA on NSE
the analysis is as follows
- the price is making bearish structures
- the price has made a temporary higher low, its not validated until the price breaks past the previous lower high
- the volume is minimal, the RR can be good but so is the risk associated with it
dont play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
Treading the Bull-Bear TightropeAs of October 10, 2023, Dogecoin (DOGE) is priced at $0.05891, marking a minor pullback from its earlier attempts to breach the resistance level of $0.06459, and the month kicked off with DOGE breaking free from a descending triangle pattern, supported by an ascending trendline, sparking hopes for an uptrend. However, the failure to surpass the resistance quelled the bullish enthusiasm, dragging the price below the $0.06 threshold.
Analysis:
The technical indicators for DOGE earlier this month showed promising signs, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) testing the overbought zone, indicating a solid buying and selling power. However, the inability to clear the near-term resistance suggests a lack of buying pressure at higher price levels. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) painted a green histogram, signaling positive price action, but the recent price retraction calls for cautious optimism.
Recent News and Fundamentals:
Dogecoin's narrative this month also echoes the broader market dynamics. A recent downturn in the crypto market reflected a 2% price dip for DOGE alongside other assets like XRP and Solana.
Despite the uneventful trading pattern, machine learning algorithms project a modest price target of $0.060218 for DOGE by the end of October 2023.
The coin's position as the 10th largest cryptocurrency, boasting a market cap of over $8.6 billion, fuels speculative projections of a price surge to $0.098 by the year-end.
Most Probable Scenario:
The ongoing tussle between bullish and bearish forces is pivotal, with the $0.06459 resistance level acting as a significant barrier. Should bullish momentum regain traction, ascending past this resistance could set the stage for further upward movement toward the secondary and tertiary resistance levels. Conversely, a bearish dominance could prompt DOGE to retest the support at $0.05800, potentially delving lower if the broader market sentiment sustains a bearish tone. Amid the mixed market sentiment and recent fundamental developments, a keen eye on technical and fundamental indicators is imperative to navigate DOGE's unfolding narrative.
SHIB's Slip or Shift: What's Next?As of October 10, 2023, Shiba Inu (SHIB) is trading at $0.00000688, showcasing a descent from its price range maintained from September 11th to October 9th, where it oscillated between $0.00000712 and $0.00000760. The price took a dip on October 9th, moving out of the previously held range, reflecting a market sentiment shift.
Key Prices:
Current Price (as of Oct 10, 2023): $0.00000688
Recent Price Range: $0.00000712 to $0.00000760 (Sep 11 - Oct 9)
Fibonacci Levels: 0.0 at $0.00000673, 0.5 at $0.00000700, 1.0 at $0.00000729
Analysis:
The recent price action reveals a break from the relatively stable range held over the past month, entering a new territory as of October 9th. The drop aligns with a broader market sentiment that remains cautious, if not bearish. The Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent highs and lows provide a technical perspective, outlining potential support and resistance zones. The 0.5 level at $0.00000700 could act as a psychological barrier, with the 1.0 level at $0.00000729 indicating a stronger resistance, and the 0.0 level at $0.00000673 serving as a crucial support.
Most Probable Scenario:
With the price currently lingering below the 0.5 Fibonacci level, SHIB faces a testing time. A rebound from the current levels, possibly finding support at the 0.0 Fibonacci level, could attract cautious optimism among investors. Conversely, failing to hold above the 0.0 level might extend the bearish sentiment, driving the price further down. The reaction of SHIB's price around these Fibonacci levels, coupled with any upcoming market developments, will likely dictate its short-term trajectory. The historical price range and the recent break from it should be closely monitored by investors to gauge the market's next move.
Ascending Towards $30K or Descending to the $25K Abyss?Bitcoin's journey in the market continues as it settles around the $27,933 mark, taking a slight step back from the $27,737 level. This recent movement is part of a 23.6% retracement following a notable climb from $24,900 to $28,613. The market is on a roller-coaster ride, with both bullish and bearish forces trying to take the reins. On one hand, there's a positive sentiment pushing towards the targets of $28,404, $28,498, $28,769, and $29,151. However, standing in the way are formidable resistance levels at $28,614, $28,769, $28,934, among others, which are akin to tough hurdles on the track.
Most Probable Scenario:
Amid the current market trends and a wave of bullish sentiment marked by an increase in address creations, there's a cautious optimism brewing. The scenario that seems most likely is a gradual ascent towards the prestigious $30,000 mark. This promising outlook is contingent on breaking through the stated resistance levels and maintaining a steady upward pace. The positive market mood coupled with potentially favorable regulatory news could be the wind beneath Bitcoin's wings. However, staying alert is crucial as any negative turn in market or regulatory conditions could trigger a bearish reaction, driving Bitcoin towards the support zones around $26,704, $26,194, and $25,694.
On the flip side, should the market sway bearish, Bitcoin might find itself on a downward slope towards the $25,000 mark. This gloomy scenario could play out if selling pressure ramps up around the current resistance levels or if there are unfavorable market or regulatory developments.
EUR/CAD Long, CAD/JPY Short and NATGAS/USD ShortEUR/CAD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
CAD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NATGAS/USD Short
• If price impulses down below our most recent low, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Day Trade Market Condition oct 09, 2023 Happy ThanksgivingDay Trade Market Condition oct 09, 2023
levels for NQ ES CL BTC
watch the table left side for trade, right side for trend
I hope this message finds you all well. I wanted to take a moment to express my heartfelt gratitude to each and every one of you who has supported and engaged with my trading ideas and posts here on TradingView.
Your views, comments, and feedback have been incredibly motivating and encouraging. It's truly inspiring to be part of such a dynamic and knowledgeable community of traders and investors.
However, I must also humbly acknowledge that I am aware of my current limitations when it comes to trading. While I am passionate about the world of trading and investing, I understand that I may not possess the qualifications and expertise that many of you do.
I want to be transparent about where I stand in my trading journey. I am constantly learning and growing, and I fully recognize that there is always room for improvement. My commitment to you, my fellow TradingView members, is that I am dedicated to honing my skills and expanding my knowledge in the field of trading.
I may not have all the answers right now, but I firmly believe that with time, dedication, and the support of this amazing community, I can improve and provide more valuable insights and ideas in the future.
In the meantime, I will continue to update my blog occasionally to share my experiences, insights, and progress in the world of trading. I hope you'll join me on this journey of growth and exploration.
Once again, thank you from the bottom of my heart for your support and encouragement. Your engagement means the world to me, and it drives me to become a better trader and contributor to this wonderful community.
Wishing you all success and prosperity in your trading endeavors.
XRP's Market WaltzAs the October leafs flutter in the crypto theatre, XRP pirouettes on the stage of uncertainty on October 5, 2023, with its price elegantly poised at $0.529669. Despite a recent encumbering bearish sentiment, the curtains are yet to draw on XRP's performance as a soft whisper of bullish momentum echoes through the market halls.
Just days before, on October 3, a mild stumble of 3.01% against the US Dollar had slightly dimmed the spotlight on XRP. Yet, as the choreography unfolds, a medium-term price encore at $0.5675 is being choreographed by the market maestros for October, with a long-term crescendo targeted at $0.9300 come January 2024.
The script hints at a captivating act with a predicted price surge of about 32% over a week to touch $0.66, following a meaningful breach of a Fibonacci ballet step. This projection twirls in harmony with the general market optimism for a grand XRP rally in October.
The technical tableau paints a scene of mixed sentiment. The resistance and support levels stand as the pivotal stages for XRP's next act. A triumphant leap above the resistance of $0.66 could herald a bullish ensemble, propelling XRP towards the medium-term crescendo of $0.5675 and beyond. Yet, a falter could send XRP spiraling down to retest the lower support zones, a scene the market audience watches with bated breath.
Amidst the backdrop of an October scheduled buyback and the simmering notes of the SEC case, the $0.66 resistance level emerges as a critical battleground, setting the stage for XRP's short-term price ballet.
The choreography of XRP amidst the mixed market sentiment resonates through the crypto auditorium, embodying the volatile yet hopeful narrative of XRP as it endeavors to regain its bullish tempo in this financial choreography.
Key Price Levels:
- Resistance Level 1: $0.66
- Resistance Level 2: $0.5675 (medium-term target for October)
Flight to safety provided an initial move, but session was mixedImmediately as trading got underway in the Asia session, the flight to safety was clear following the attacks over the weekend on Israel. This initially set us up short on the EUR, which unsurprisingly dropped below last weeks bullish close to continue it's slide.
My first entry was short @1.05300. I wanted to give price time to settle after the London open to make sure we wouldn't see any wild swings. As we broke lower I was aggressive with the move to B/E and as price struggles around 1.05200, it was bid back up and the trade was over.
Interestingly we started to form a narrowing with volume coming in and push all /USD pairs back above VWAP. This gave us the green light to look long, and after some deliberation between this and GBP/USD, I opted to stick with the EUR as I was more comfortable with the price action after watching it all day.
Once again I was aggressive with the B/E and as I write it's still unclear if price will break to the upside but being this late in London session I'm happy to not carry the overnight risk and we'll chalk today up to some stumbles from the market.
Day Trader’s Post Market Analysis - Nifty BankNifty-9th Oct ’23Below mentioned points are discussed in my post analysis video(Fast forward to 0:27 for Hindi Audio)
-No Trades in the morning
-Nifty 3 mins had buy volumes
-Expected Nifty Future To fill the gap before the fall!
-How will i trade when market opens tom
CAD/JPY Short and NATGAS/USD ShortCAD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NATGAS/USD Short
• If price impulses down, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
#INFIBEAM LONG TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks,
today i have prepared a setup of INFIBEAM on NSE
the analysis is as follows
- price is in a good bullish rally
- dont root for deep retracements, join the herd early as possible
-we will not change our bias before the market shows some bearish structure
dont play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
#GLS LONG TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks,
today i have prepared a setup of GLS on NSE
the analysis is as follows
- price is in a range structure right now
- we are looking for a breakout in upper side
- if the price opens with gap up, better to enter at minor retracement
- if price dont breaks the range by noon, we wont initiate the trade
dont play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
Cardano's (ADA) Pivotal PlayCardano (ADA) continues to make strides in the cryptocurrency arena with recent developments, including the launch of a staking feature and the welcoming of the first crypto options exchange. These advancements are expected to enhance ADA's utility and adoption, contributing to its recovery narrative.
The current price of ADA is $0.2584. Despite a slightly bearish market sentiment with a Fear & Greed index score of 49, the recent positive developments could act as a catalyst for a price rebound.
Technical Analysis:
Nearest Support Zones: $0.25, followed by $0.22.
Further Support: $0.277 and $0.325.
Nearest Resistance Zone: $0.30 (previous support), followed by $0.42.
Further Resistance: $0.399 and $0.423.
Most Probable Scenario:
The momentum from recent advancements may drive ADA towards testing the nearest resistance level at $0.30. However, if the bearish sentiment persists, a retracement towards the support levels of $0.25 or $0.22 is plausible.
The unfolding scenario around ADA’s technicals and fundamentals provides a mixed yet cautiously optimistic outlook. Monitoring the evolving market sentiment and upcoming Cardano developments will be crucial for traders and investors.
ALPACA: Riding Bullish Waves Amid InnovationsAlpaca Finance's native token, ALPACA, has been showcasing a bullish momentum, recently reaching a high of $0.1843, and currently trading at $0.1697. This positive price action, including a significant surge of 32.83% earlier, reflects growing investor confidence bolstered by a very bullish sentiment from InvestorsObserver. Known as the largest lending protocol enabling leveraged yield farming on Binance Smart Chain, Alpaca Finance has been actively evolving. The recent deployment of its 2.0 version generated approximately 23K in interest from its Money Market in September 2023, indicating a robust development trajectory.
Moreover, the announcement of the Perpetual Futures Exchange, aimed at launching on March 9, 2023, underscores Alpaca's innovative approach in diversifying financial solutions within the DeFi space. This platform is designed to offer users an avenue for higher profitability in a robust and user-friendly trading environment.
On the technical front, while ALPACA is trading below its 200-day Simple Moving Average—a traditionally bearish sign—it has been exhibiting a buy signal for the past 326 days. The proximity to the 50-day Simple Moving Average hints at a potential bullish reversal if the upward momentum continues.
Most Probable Scenario:
The ongoing bullish sentiment, coupled with innovative strides, paints a promising picture for ALPACA. However, resistance around the $0.18 mark, as seen in the recent high, might pose a hurdle. The support level around $0.13 serves as a cushion against adverse price movements. The unfolding market conditions, along with Alpaca Finance's upcoming product launches, could potentially drive a further bullish narrative, warranting close monitoring by traders and investors.
Weekly Forecast with ranges Nasdaq Futures has closed the day and the week very strong with high volume.
I have identified the target range for the next week. Monday will be very silent as there is no big news. But the other days have all the big news with PPI and CPI data release, so there are very high chances of Nasdaq futures testing the target range and then chopp around on the Data release for the entire week. If Inflation data comes in very strong, then prepare for the downside. But as of now we are looking to slowly chop and go higher.
#ES Day Trading Prep Week 10.01 - 10.06Level :
Current Balance 4378.50 - 4321.50
Resistance 4349.50 - 45.25 // 4362.75 - 59.50 Key Resistance 4378.50 - 74.75
Targets if accept over 4389.75 - 92.25 Area to accept over for continuation to VAL
Support 4327.25 - 21.50 Key Support 4310 - 07.25
Targets if can get through HTF Support 4291.50 - 85.75 // 4272 - 65.50 Would need to accept under for any continuation towards the GAP under 4250.
Last Week :
Marked opened and consolidated around the Edge area with a test and fail over it which gave us a nice move towards lower targets for the week filling Contract Roll Gap and testing HTF Key Support top which provided a nice bid and pushed the market back into the Contract Roll Gap area which was market off as potential place to either bounce or find Support at and so far we have built up inside it and failed to take it out again on Friday.
This Week :
This might be a tricky week, we have made a big move lower since the start of the move from week 9.17 - 9.22, we had balance extension x 4 to get here and so far looks like might have found new Current Balance maybe at least for short term to do some cleaning ? It is a start of a new month and we do have market moving data and events this week so we will have to see if we actually stay in this 4378.50 - 4321.50 Balance or not. I would think we could at least hold within until mid week or so to build up some more structure to show us the way.
If Balance :
We are looking to spend some time in this 4378.50 - 4321.50 area and trade with in our Resistance areas are 4349.50 - 45.25 // 4362.75 - 59.50 Key Resistance 4378.50 - 74.75
Support in this 4331.50 - 27.25 - 21.50 areas ? Would need to accept Over/Under Key Resistance / Current Support areas to try and move out of balance.
For More Downside :
To see more downside ideally we would want to build up more over 4327 - 21 and then get a break / continuation towards Key Support at 4310 - 07.25 area which would be the spot to watch for more continuation and we could target HTF Support high and possibly low with targets at 4291.50 - 85.75 // 4272 - 65.50 this would be spot to get through to try and target lower Gap area under 4250. We would need either more supply build up or selling volume to get us to those areas this week. If heavy volume could see 4240 - 30 - 20s area.
For Upside :
To see upside from here we would want to build up in this range and start taking out Resistance areas to make a run at the Edge and 4378.50 - 74.75 would be Key Resistance to watch acceptance over to be able to target 4392.25 and VAL area above. We would need either a strong bid or run out of selling above 4370s in order to try and continue higher this week.
Technical and Fundamental TailwindsAvalanche (AVAX) has been gaining traction in the crypto sphere, with its price showing a bullish trend recently. As of October 6, 2023, the price of AVAX is $10.61. The crypto asset has seen a remarkable price surge of 7% and 10.41% in the recent past, making it a top performer among major cryptocurrencies. Several analyses suggest that the upward momentum will likely continue, propelled by technical and fundamental factors.
On the technical front, AVAX is showing signs of consolidating in a flag formation, which is often seen as a bullish indicator. The bulls are making efforts to push the price above the upper boundary of this channel, which could lead to further upside. Moreover, recent trading activities have seen AVAX rebounding from the $8.6 support zone and challenging the resistance at $10, with the latter being a crucial level for the asset to sustain its bullish momentum. The market sentiment has been turning bullish, with the asset overcoming a notable resistance trendline and targeting levels beyond the $10 value area.
On the fundamental side, the launch of StarsArena, a crypto-based social media application, has been mentioned as a potential catalyst for AVAX's price movement, indicating a positive ecosystem development. Also, the broader market sentiment, often influenced by Bitcoin's performance, has been a supporting factor for AVAX's price trends.
Most Probable Scenario:
The most probable scenario for AVAX would be continuing the bullish trend, targeting new highs. The critical support and resistance levels to watch are $8.6 and $11.21, respectively. A successful breakout above the $11.21 resistance could propel AVAX to target higher levels, while a failure to maintain above the $8.6 support may pause the bullish narrative. However, the recent bullish momentum and encouraging ecosystem developments position AVAX favorably in the market, hinting at a promising outlook.
Navigating Through Bulls and BearsAs the cryptocurrency market shows signs of resilience, Solana (SOL) is not lagging behind, with its price steering towards the psychological target of $25.50. Experts are closely watching this level, as surpassing it could trigger a further bullish sentiment among investors. As of October 2, 2023, SOL's price was reported at $24.11, marking a significant daily gain of 10.55% and showing positive growth trends over the previous week and month.
Support Levels: $22, $20, $18
Resistance Levels: $23.89, $25, $28, $32
Price Analysis and Probable Scenarios:
Short-term Outlook:
SOL's immediate target lies at $25.50, with a possibility of reaching $23.70 by October 9, 2023, reflecting a modest increase of 0.84%.
Maintaining levels above the $22 mark, SOL eyes an 11% potential gain, challenging the $25 threshold.
Mid-term Outlook:
By the end of October 2023, optimistic projections place SOL's price between $30.46 and $32.59.
A more conservative estimate suggests that SOL may trade at an average price of $21.50 with a minimum price of $19.29 and a maximum price of $23.71.
Optimistic Scenario:
Bullish forecasts for 2023 place SOL's price in the range of $27.14 to $38.42, with a possibility of reaching $50.
Pessimistic Scenario:
Should adverse market conditions prevail, bearish price predictions indicate a drop to as low as $12.79.
Market Dynamics:
SOL has recently broken through the 200 exponential moving average (EMA), a positive sign considering recent shorting activity. This upward move might be the effect of a short squeeze, indicating a potential bullish scenario in the short to mid-term.
Most Probable Scenario:
The most probable scenario, given the current market dynamics and expert analyses, suggests SOL navigating towards the short-term target of $25.50, with a potential to reach or exceed the mid-term targets should the bullish market sentiment continue. However, investors should remain cautious of adverse market conditions that could lead SOL towards the pessimistic price range.
Day Trader’s Post Market Analysis - Nifty BankNifty-6th Oct ’23Below mentioned points are discussed in my post analysis video(Fast forward to 0:45 for Hindi Audio)
-No Trades in the morning
-Bad Structures in Banknifty
-Sold Nifty Future below 19650 and Stop loss was hit.
-How will i trade when market opens on Monday
EUR/CAD Long and AUD/NZD ShortEUR/CAD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value and it doesn't do so impulsively, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart, or after a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If I miss the risk entry, or price reaches my area of value impulsively, then I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up from my area of value followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.