Day Trader’s Post Market Analysis - Nifty BankNifty-19th Oct ’23Below mentioned points are discussed in my post analysis video(Fast forward to 0:25 for Hindi Audio)
-No Trades in the morning
-Expecting Weekly Close in nifty spot below 19500
-Wanted a vwap break before nifty's gap fill move at 2!
-How will i trade when market opens tom
Daytrading
GBP/NZD ShortGBP/NZD Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Daily Update Analysis on Nasdaq Futures Hello everyone. i have done my daily analysis of the Nasdaq futures and my take on the price action. i have discussed a lot of things regarding the daily and weekly time frame. i have also shared my personal game plan and shared my strategies and recommendation for the intraday levels. Hope this helps.
Day Trader’s Post Market Analysis - Nifty BankNifty-18th Oct ’23Below mentioned points are discussed in my post analysis video(Fast forward to 0:24 for Hindi Audio)
-No Trades in the morning
-Couldn't capture the big moves in nifty
-Sold Nifty Below Prev Day Low for Gap Fill!
-How will i trade when market opens tom
CHF/JPY Short, EUR/NZD Short, AUD/NZD Short and GBP/USD ShortCHF/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/NZD Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
#AWL LONG TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks,
today i have prepared a setup of AWL on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price is in downtrend from some time
- the price is consolidating in a triangle pattern right now
- can breakout both sides, but i am hoping more upper side
- have also marked 2 support zones in case it breaks down
dont play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
How to find Key Price Action zones for Daytrading successPrepping a market for daytrading is an important part of my process and understanding and identifying the KEY LEVELS is the major part of that process.
We have to build a Price Action picture of what may happen and what levels may be targeted so we will be ready for a trade. Understanding who (buyers or sellers) is getting caught off side and levels the market is targeting, will set us up for the higher probability trades.
I discuss a few key concepts for Intraday trading and how I identify the important zones. I show some trade examples and high probability trade zones.
** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
Confluence of Technical Indicators Pointing to a Potential TrendThe XRP 4H chart displays a series of technical indicators that, when combined, provide insights into the current market sentiment and potential future price movements. With a focus on Bollinger Bands, Volume Oscillator, Stochastic, MACD, RSI, and Fibonacci retracement levels, we will decode the price action and provide a comprehensive view of the most probable scenario.
Technical Indicators Analysis:
Bollinger Bands: The price is currently trading near the middle band, suggesting a neutral stance. However, the slight contraction of the bands indicates reduced volatility and a potential breakout soon.
Volume Oscillator: A negative value of -15.02% indicates selling pressure, suggesting that bearish momentum might still be present.
Stochastic: Both %K and %D are under the 50 mark but are converging, which can be a sign of potential bullish divergence in the near term.
MACD: The MACD line and the Signal line are close together with a minimal histogram, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction.
RSI: Hovering around the 49.21 mark, it's in a neutral zone, not giving a clear bullish or bearish signal.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The chart shows various retracement levels. Currently, the price is hovering around the 0.5 retracement level. This level, along with the others you provided, will act as potential support and resistance zones.
Most Probable Scenario:
Given the confluence of indicators, there's a potential for a short-term bullish reversal, especially if the price can maintain above the 0.5 Fibonacci level and if the Stochastic continues its bullish divergence. However, the selling pressure from the volume oscillator suggests that any bullish move might face resistance. Therefore, traders should watch the key price levels mentioned for potential breakouts or rejections.
Overall Sentiment:
Neutral to slightly bullish. While some indicators hint at a potential bullish reversal, the overall sentiment remains mixed. It's essential to wait for more confirmations before taking a definitive position.
STORJ 1H Analysis with Influences from 1D Fibonacci LevelsIn the STORJ 1-hour chart, a clear bearish trend is evident. While the provided technical indicators from the 1H chart mainly signal bearish momentum, the 1D Fibonacci levels could play a pivotal role in potential bounce-backs or resistance areas.
Analysis:
Fibonacci Levels (from 1D):
The current price of STORJ in the 1H chart is approaching the 0.5 level at 0.3669. This could act as a significant support, and if the price respects this level, we could expect some buying pressure here.
Should the price continue its downward momentum, the next major support would be at the 0.618 level (0.3253).
On the upside, the 0.382 level at 0.4084 might act as resistance if the price were to rebound.
Stochastic Oscillator: Given its oversold position, this suggests a potential pullback or temporary reversal might be imminent, which aligns well with the approaching Fibonacci support at 0.3669.
Bollinger Bands and MACD: Both indicators continue to indicate bearishness in the short term.
Most Probable Scenario:
The STORJ price is likely to continue its bearish trend in the short term. However, the 1D Fibonacci level at 0.3669 could act as a strong support. If the price respects this level, we might see a bounce-back or consolidation around it. If it breaks through, the next target would be the 0.618 level at 0.3253. Conversely, if a rebound happens, the 0.382 level at 0.4084 will act as a key resistance.
Conclusion:
While the STORJ 1H chart indicates a bearish momentum, the 1D Fibonacci levels can provide key areas of interest for potential reversals or consolidation. It's essential for traders to monitor these levels closely for any signs of price reversal or continued momentum.
Day Trader’s Post Market Analysis - Nifty BankNifty-17th Oct ’23Below mentioned points are discussed in my post analysis video(Fast forward to 0:59 for Hindi Audio)
-No Trades in the morning
-Did not want to buy nifty as mentioned in yesterday's post market
-Banknifty triggered a sell but did not fill the gap!
-How will i trade when market opens tom
#GAIL LONG TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks,
today i have prepared a setup of GAIL on NSE
the analysis is as follows
- the price is making clean market structure
- broke past the previous all time high
- now forming a pattern as shown in chart
- if the price takes support from the trendline, then it will breakout pretty good but if it breaks the trendline down then it may take support from the zone mentioned below
dont play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
DXY D1 - Short SignalDXY D1
Unfortunately we haven't seen an awful amount of response yet from the dollar index. Still waiting for a bit more confirmation on the downside potential here, and thus ***USD longs.
US100 and US30 have been climbing, with a short reaction from US30's 34000 price we marked yesterday. How much mileage this may have? I don't know, it depends on how to dollar performs at it's current price.
CHF/JPY Short, EUR/NZD Short, GBP/USD Short and EUR/USD ShortCHF/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Short
• If price impulses down, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Understanding the Role of HFTs and Dark Pools for Day TradingNASDAQ:TSLA reports on Wednesday of this week, October 18th. Last quarter, it had a gap down on its earnings news based on Year over Year comparisons which triggered High Frequency Trading (HFTs) to gap the stock down. Quarter over Quarter, however, NASDAQ:TSLA has shown consistent growth this year.
The problem with determining if the HFT gaps are likely to gap down or up on the next earnings report is the very low Percentage of Shares Held by Giant Buy-Side Institutions (PSHI). TSLA’s CEO has lost the necessary confidence of the largest Buy-Side Institutions in the world. So it's institutional interest is extremely low for such an important US company. The Buy-Side Institutions want the Board of Directors to replace Musk with someone who is more focused on TSLA to help it grow. The PSHI is likely to remain low until a new CEO is chosen.
The highest the PSHI has ever been was in July 2020 when it reached a high of 71%. It dropped to a low of 43% in November of 2021 and the stock has been sideways with very low PSHI ever since. It is very rare to see such low PSHI in a young new technology company with such high growth potential.
With less support from largest most influential institutions, the HFTs, which use retail news as one of their 6 primary algorithm triggers for automated orders as Maker/Takers, often gap a stock down on earnings news that was actually not negative.
Smaller Fund Managers, who have a special SEC classification with lower reporting requirements, often have VWAP automated orders trigger on high volume surges. This is often mistaken by smaller funds and retail investors or traders as “Dark Pool high volume activity,” when it is not.
High PSHI creates a natural liquidity draw and thus more momentum and speculative price action. This is missing much of the time for NASDAQ:TSLA stock price movement.
The current sideways trend has existed since 2021, best seen on a Weekly Chart. The dimensions of the sideways trend and the irregularity of the price range determines whether the sideways trend is a Long Term Wide Trading Range, a Short Term Trading Range, a Wide Sideways Trend, or a Platform-Building Sideways Trend. This is a Long Term Trading Range due to the inconsistent highs and lows.
This is common in a stock that has PSHI below 60%.
On a Daily Chart, the fundamentals currently are within the rectangular shape outlined below. This area of price can be problematic for retail day traders as there are always portfolio adjustments going on by the Buy-Side Institutions who have ETFs and Index funds with TSLA as a component.
When the stock drops below that Buy Zone range, it quickly reverses and runs up into the lows of that fundamental range. This becomes a price range where there is conflict between retail day traders trying to trade on news and the Buy-Side Institutions accumulating inventory shares of TSLA for the Indexes or ETF Trust accounts that must maintain a value close to the ETF or index value upon which that ETF is based.
What happens intraday is a very choppy and indecisive price action up and down that causes whipsaw losses for day trading.
In order to successfully day-trade TSLA, these factors must be understood to use to one's advantage. This requires an understanding of how to identify a Dark Pool Sell Zone or a Dark Pool Buy Zone within the daily charts. It also requires an understanding of how HFTs trigger and how VWAP orders often cause whipsaw action as well.
Remember that Dark Pool data is not available during the trading day. That data is on Over-the-Counter Alternative Transaction Systems. Those orders are filled off the exchanges and are not transmitted to the National Clearing Houses until after the market closes.
Hence, ALL retail day traders are trading against an invisible entity whose orders they can’t see even on Level 2 screens. The art of day trading in harmony with Dark Pool activity requires what I call "Relational Technical Analysis."
Bullish Vibes with CautionAt its current price of 4.433, BOND seems to be in a phase of consolidation following a significant upward momentum. Within the bounds set by the Fibonacci retracement levels, the asset finds crucial support near the 0.236 retracement level at 4.689 USDT. This level's significance is enhanced given its proximity to BOND's current price and prior interactions. On the upside, the 0.5 retracement level at 5.402 USDT stands out as a possible resistance, which could act as a hurdle for any bullish advances.
The bullish shading of the Ichimoku Cloud, combined with BOND's position above it, reinforces the prevailing bullish sentiment. However, a narrowing cloud ahead might be indicative of forthcoming volatility or a possible trend shift.
Combining insights from the MACD and RSI indicators presents a more layered understanding. The MACD, presently below its signal line, signals a bearish bias, suggesting potential consolidation or a minor downturn. This bearish inclination is somewhat mirrored by the RSI, registering at 40.28, indicating it's nearing the oversold threshold, thereby hinting at a possible rebound or trend reversal in the near term.
In terms of volume dynamics, the OBV showcases substantial buying momentum, backing the prevalent bullish tendencies. Yet, a diminishing Volume Oscillator implies a hint of caution, signaling a prospective decrease in buying interest.
Most Probable Scenario: In the short term, BOND may experience a minor pullback or stabilization given the slight bearish indicators from MACD and RSI's approach towards the oversold region. However, with substantial volume backing and its position relative to the Ichimoku Cloud, the medium to long-term outlook leans bullish. Monitoring the highlighted key price levels will be instrumental for potential breakouts or reversals.
Overall Sentiment: Neutral with a Bullish Bias.
Spotting the Highs and LowsSTRAX on the 1-hour chart has shown signs of consolidation post a significant upward rally. The juxtaposition of various technical indicators suggests a mix of bullish and bearish cues, making it imperative to keep an eye on established levels.
Technical Indicators Overview:
Bollinger Bands: The price nearing the upper band often implies strong bullish momentum. However, it can also suggest a potential pullback or consolidation in the near term.
Parabolic SAR : Its position above the price could indicate potential short-term bearishness.
MACD: The closeness between the MACD and Signal lines suggests a lack of decisive momentum in the current phase.
RSI: Being in the neutral zone, it doesn’t hint at immediate overbuying or overselling.
Stochastic Oscillator: Its neutral positioning doesn't provide a definite buy or sell directive.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The proximity to the 0% level indicates recent bullish strength.
The 38.2% and 50% levels will be pivotal in determining if the bullish trend will resume or if a deeper correction is in play.
Probable Scenario:
Given the price's interaction with the upper Bollinger Band and the neutral positioning of both RSI and Stochastic Oscillator, a period of consolidation or minor retracement could be on the horizon. The key will be observing how the price interacts with the aforementioned Fibonacci levels, especially the 38.2% and 50%.
Bullish or Bearish?
The current indicators suggest a cautious bullish stance. Still, vigilance is advised, especially around the crucial Fibonacci retracement levels.
Day Trader’s Post Market Analysis - Nifty BankNifty-16th Oct ’23Below mentioned points are discussed in my post analysis video(Fast forward to 0:36 for Hindi Audio)
-No Trades in the morning
-Poor volumes and structures in both Nifty & Banknifty
-Friday Low or Friday High?Break Low Nifty :(
-How will i trade when market opens tom
EUR/CAD Long, WTICO/USD Short, GBP/NZD Short and GBP/AUD ShortEUR/CAD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WTICO/USD Short
• If price impulses down below our most recent low, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD Short
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/AUD Short
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NQ Daily Analysis NQ Daily Analysis - Break and Retest of the 15050-14680 10-Day Range
I usually don't look at NQ as my primary focus is ES, but scrolling through my watchlist I stumbled across the old depiction I made of NQ trading in a range, and now we are here backtesting it. Could we be setting up for a break and retest or will this be a failed breakout and we start trading back inside the range? We are also building a bull flag shown by the purple trend lines so it wouldn't be surprising to see NQ continuing to fill out the flag.
With ES ~4350/SPY ~430 at a core level (imo) that'll need to hold to see more upside, coupled with NQ at a significant break and retest level, this puts more upside in play. Don't be stuck on one direction though. We have to be situationaly aware of world news and the econmic calendar this week as it will continue to bring volatility into play. I always focus on levels and technical analysis, while being mindful of contributing factors.
As always, manage your risk to reward ratios while we trade this upcoming week. Taking a short into NQ being at a break and retest daily level, on a higher time frame aspect, isn't the greatest risk to reward.
#INFIBEAM LONG TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of INFIBEAM on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price was in uptrend till now
- broke down a dynamic support but hold onto the support zone as mentioned
- now, if the price sustains to hold on this zone, the price may go as depicted, if not then trading will be cancelled
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
HTF: Dancing ShadowsNavigating HFT's market movements, the crypto pair fluctuates between downturns and rebounds. The Fibonacci levels highlight the market sentiment, with the currency at the 0.2803 mark. Traders are actively positioning based on these indicators, emphasizing HFT's dynamic nature.
Analysis:
The current price of 0.2803 is slightly above the Lower Bollinger Band (0.2806), suggesting a potential oversold condition.
The Middle Band, or Basis (0.2972), serves as a short-term resistance.
The RSI at 26.13 indicates the HFT is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential reversal soon.
The MACD line (-0.0063) is below the Signal line (-0.0046), supporting the bearish view, but a crossover might be imminent.
The oscillator values, %K at 5.26 and %D at 9.36, also indicate an oversold market.
Probable Scenario:
While HFT currently shows a bearish trend, several indicators hint at a potential bullish reversal. The 0.2726 support level is pivotal for detecting a rebound. If the price descends below this support, a further decline might follow.
Conclusion: HFT's sentiment leans bearish, but with several oversold indicators, monitoring is essential for timely decision-making.
BOND Momentum AnalysisBOND displays signs of strong upward momentum. After analyzing the indicators and chart patterns, we can glean insights about potential future price action and key levels to monitor.
Indicators and Analysis:
The price action has breached the upper Bollinger Band. This typically suggests overextension in the short term, and the asset might be due for a pullback or consolidation. However, this can also be a sign of strong momentum if supported by other bullish indicators.
Without a clear view of the Ichimoku Cloud, it's hard to provide a precise analysis. However, the Ichimoku Cloud can give insights into future support and resistance levels, so keeping an eye on any potential cloud crossovers will be crucial.
With %K at 64.34 and %D at 71.64, the asset exhibits bullish momentum. However, it's nearing potential overbought conditions, suggesting caution.
Approaching the overbought territory, the RSI at 66.50 indicates strong buying interest, but traders should be cautious of potential reversals if it surpasses 70.
The rising OBV suggests that volume is supporting the bullish price action, indicating strength in the move.
Most Probable Scenario:
The bullish momentum is evident, backed by volume and supported by several indicators. However, given the overextended nature of the move, a short-term pullback or consolidation might be on the horizon before any further upward continuation.
Conclusion:
It seems bullish in the short term, but traders should be cautious of potential overbought conditions. Monitoring the mentioned key levels and setting stop-losses appropriately is advised.