Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 5/04Major Indexes moved lower as banking concerns weighed on the US along with fears of an economic slowdown. Employment data out in the US disappointed and pointed to a slowing jobs market which sets up for an interesting Payrolls release Friday. The USD took a hit, which supported Gold, as traders start thinking of a recession. Being the end of quarter, we may see a decent unwind of recent buyers but I expect this will be closer to the employment data release. Either way, I feel that major Indexes are looking heavy and may need a flush lower at the least, prior to any further upside.
The RBA statement was happy to leave interest rates on hold even with inflation around 6.8%. Homeowners (especially recent buyers) were relieved although many still expect further rises to tame the high inflation.
The ASX is expected to open relatively flat around the previous close while the Nikkei is set to open down 164 pts while the Hang Seng is closed for trading.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. With the OPEC Production cuts and resultant spike in Oil ( and clear potential for higher levels), bulls will have something to think about regarding inflation.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below :-
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Daytradingsignals
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 4/04Major Indexes were mixed to start the new week in Europe and the US. The DAX was down while the UK100 was higher while over in the US the DOW was buoyed by a strong energy sector and the Nasdaq ended lower. We may see the markets drift in the coming sessions as they await the key US employment release and further direction for inflation and interest rates. The USD rallied from the start of the Asian session only to take a hit from the European open and give back all the gains plus more which triggered buying into gold. US bond yields eased as Manufacturing data came in slightly weaker than expected.
The local Aussie market will be eagerly awaiting the RBA statement today at 2:30pm Syd time. RBA is expected to leave rates on hold.
Asian markets are expected t open flat after a relatively range bound overnight session.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. With the OPEC Production cuts and resultant spike in Oil, bulls will have something to think about regarding inflation.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below :-
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 31/03Major Indexes continue to move higher with the US supported by tech stocks into the notoriously bullish end of month/quarter 'window dressing'. We have some key economic data out ahead of the US open which will give a further indication on inflation and what we could look forward to from the coming FOMC. Share markets have been strong although the Bond markets continue to point to sticky inflation as bond yields press higher. I expect that the major Indexes will hold onto gains into the weekend and then see a selloff early next week but much will depend on the US data release.
Asian markets are expected to open higher with the ASX set to open up 40pts while both the Hang Seng and Nikkei are expected to open up 200pts and continue with recent strength.
'I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. The Fed will need to see hard evidence that inflation is coming under control first'.
A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 30/03European markets rallied from the open which led to a strong open to the USD and a very bullish session. All indexes were up as stock traders went bargain hunting as they brush aside banking woes. For me inflation still needs to cool a lot further before bulls can take control and US consumers are not in a good way which may eventually weigh on markets again. Bond yields are also hinting at inflation concerns as they go higher while the USD is showing signs of basing for a leg up. The US was generally supported by a handful of big Tech stocks and banking shares.
Asian markets are expected to open higher with the ASX set to open up 45pts. It will be interesting to see if the HSI has another squeeze lower or fires up the rockets again for a big move up.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. The Fed will need to see hard evidence that inflation is coming under control first.
A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 29/03European markets gapped up and then saw a slow grind lower while the US could not take out the previous sessions highs and also moved lower into the close. The US was weighed down by big tech as inflation and rate rises are again the main focus. US Bond yields continued to press higher which weighed on tech stocks and the overall broader market. Elevated Consumer Confidence levels gave the market some confidence as the banking crisis starts to fade to the background for now.
Asian markets are expected to open mixed with the ASX200 set to open down 25 points, the Nikkei set to open flat and the Hang Seng to open up over 300 points after a strong overnight session.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. The Fed will need to see hard evidence that inflation is coming under control first.
A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 27/03European markets were sold lower again on the back of banking fears and look ready to be pressured again at the start of the new week. The US opened weaker to follow on from Europe but found an intraday low and rallied into the close to brush aside the earlier weakness. The USD is back moving higher after breaking the recent downtrend leaving Gold to find some selling pressure and move lower. Copper is finding buyers while Oil fended off more selling pressure and is looking for a move higher.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it is now a balancing act for the Fed with the concerns for the Regional US Banks leading many to expect an interest rate pause.
A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
USDCAD D1 - Short SetupUSDCAD D1
Looking at this big daily resistance price now, changed timeframe and scaled up one. Looking for some daily rejections now and daily confirmation before taking any shorts, lets see how today closes, see if we see what we are looking for.
Not really interested jumping in impulsively after seeing AUDCAD break resistance yesterday from the D1 analysis we posted.
GBPCAD is a long 👌🤟Trade details are shown on the chart.
We are working the 15M time frame on this strategy.
We're looking for the green line which is take profit target.
Little blue arrow is entry point and purple line is stop loss.
Previous trades also shown on charts and was covered in ideas yesterday.
Trade history can be seen at the foot of this trade idea too for full transparency.
Can this strategies hot streak continue.
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Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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Thank you.
Darren
USDCAD H4 - Long Trade SetupUSDCAD H4
We are evidently seeing the USD see a little bit of weakness, but can we hold support on USDCAD lows until we can gear up for some strength/corrective moves.
Very similar to what we were expecting from USDCHF, but USDCHF seems to be breaking support now after trying to hold for so long. CAD losing a little bit of ground early doors as we see WTI drop in price back below $60/B. Huge extensions on WTI, just real entry points.
USDCAD - DOWNSIDE CONFIRMATION ON DAILYWe have decided to publicise this trade to help out with the Tradingview community, we recently published a buy trade for GBPUSD on the monthly which is currently doing very well. Today we want to bring USDCAD to your attention, which has confirmed downside below the 200SMA after holding above it for a short period.
A death cross is looking likely in regards to the 50 / 100 SMA, which will follow with a proper death cross on the daily when the 50 and 200 SMA's cross. The only way this can be avoided is with USDCAD having huge upside and holding back above the 200sma within the next week or two; which we don't think is likely considering the impending downside due for the US Dollar index.
EURAUD - UPSIDE Another freebie for everyone, this time around we are focusing on EURAUD as a currency pair and its likelihood of upside.
The price is currently holding trend at the 50 / 100 SMA's and if / when previously broken has continued to hold at 200 SMA.
It looks like we could be on our way to re approach the previous high, located at the top of the daily fibonacci.
AUDJPY - UPSIDE ON DAILY TIMEFRAMESDouble bottom confirmed for AUDJPY on higher time frames and whilst we have a wedge forming, I do not think it will be able to break below the yearly lows at it's current state. This could be invalidated by fundamentals such as the trade war with the USA, but lets see how the technical analysis handles.