DDOG
DDOG move into EarningsDDOG is pretty much a stock that runs independent to the overall market. At times it can be manipulated, and vast amount of insider selling happens often.
One thing I have noticed with the stock when it comes to insider selling, it is constant but can be somewhat deciphered when looking into the SEC form 4 filings.
Most of the insiders use an algorithm based selling strategy. They decide how many shares they want to sell that day and the algorithm triggers trades throughout the trading day.
If you look at the filed form 4's, when the algorithm does not trigger enough trades to sell all of the requested shares, it has traditionally meant that the algorithm isn't triggering many strongly sold areas of resistance. Indicating that the stock is showing strength and is likely but not guaranteed to continue to increase in price in the following days.
Another thing to look for is amount and timing of the insider selling.
-for instance the CFO Agarwal Amit usually sells his shares on Wednesday's, usually second Wednesday of the month in the amount of 22,500 shares. In the past, when he reports selling shares on a day other than Wednesday it usually indicates an upcoming volatility of share price. If he sells more than his 22,500, it may show that insiders are looking to take some additional profit while the stock price is nearing anticipated highs.
-additionally the CEO and CTO normally sell their shares the first week of each month, in the same manner.
All time highs have also had the tendency to be hit on a Tuesday leading into a Wednesday sell-off.
I would be surprised if DDOG doesn't make a run to challenge upper $90's in the near future. A rejection of a bounce back leaves the stock with room to trail down into the low 70's and potentially further into the mid 60's
Will NET Bring Cloud Back To Life?NET NYSE:NET is a riskier play at this moment due to the overall weakness in tech stock and market conditions. But, in comparison to other companies in this sector NET is holding up fairly well and showing some relative strength. NET tried to get over $76 today and failed to hold above. Testing a strong support zone for the third time over the past two months and looks like we may be starting to bounce. Volume has been accumulating with 4 out of the last 6 days trading above NET's daily volume average. POC on the daily chart is right at $82.51 lvl. If SPY/QQQ can start to breakout this week $$ should flow back into the tech stocks and the cloud sector which has taken a solid beating can see some bullish movement. Ideally, we gap up to $78 and form an island reversal. But, a play over $76 with the right market conditions looks primed for a good swing.
EMA's serving as a resistance above in the 78-79 range, tough lvls to get through in the Low Volume Node (LVN)
4/16 $80 calls will be my swing of choice (4.35/4.65). IV is very low 21% IV percentile on NET and if the market starts to move back up these can pay out well!
*I entered a small NET position this week and will add more on break of $76 with volume.
Update on DDOG: should trade up into earningsI reconfigured the parallel channel and if it stays along the median it could hit $123 by earnings.
RSI showing it is not overbought and MACD signaling buy.
Looks like there is a path back to contend with previous resistance at $118.
This was nothing but a healthy market-wide sell-off/correction, mainly in technology, that brought this down. Fundamentals are still intact.
There was a recent bullish cross (annotated on the chart with a note) and Moving averages have maintained separation and strength since then on the 4H chart despite the pressure release.
Whether they break-out on earnings; it's too soon to tell, but it definitely looks set-up to trade up to that point so it could be a good short-term play.
I will have to come back and reanalyze when there are more whisper numbers on the street for earnings. Will also check on similar software/tech stocks that report and see how they react upon earnings as a gauge for how DDOG should react.
Update on Datadog. DDOG continues on trendDDOG is continuing along the trend lines that show that by earnings it could hit anywhere from 131 to 156.
If it holds along the median of the parallel trend lines then it could hit $144.
I would suggest buying stock for the long-term. Lately, earnings have been "sell the news" events no matter how good the news is. Only buy calls if you are entirely confident that it will break-out further on earnings.
DDOG should break-out on earningsI am anticipating DDOG to reverse the trend of having more negative reactions to earnings than positive. If they beat earnings and give good guidance, I see no reason why it would not reach new all-time highs.
It has reached this level before and this earnings event gives the perfect catalyst for a break-out past the resistance. This is an underappreciated software play.
DDOG price target: $150. A potential move from earnings could bring it to $125.
I would suggest playing this through calls or call spreads to control the amount you are risking. You could go long the stock to beef up your software exposure if you are lacking in that area because diversification is an investor's best friend. Calls and call spreads are a good way to dip your toes in stock without risking too much capital in comparison to the overall share price.
DDOG - hitting the triangle doggy style :)They have had an amazing run since going public. They are a great company and just broke out late day from their triangle right as earnings reports Feb 11th. Personally I think they have one more bounce before the big one. Of course they have to beat on earnings and even then you never know.... GL!
DDOG Base Breakout Imminent?DDOG was a monster coming out of the COVID lows, but has since been basically trading sideways for months. This wide base has the potential to be quite explosive. $112 has proven to be a key level. Watch for a break above with heavy volume to confirm the next leg higher. I'm bullish on this name and have a starter position. Will add if/when the stock can take out $112. Earnings on 02/11
DDOG to 120?DDOG - Currently in a a flat correction and looking for a breakout of the triangle to retest ath. With earnings approaching (mid February) we could see a nice run up to retest ATH. This company has shown strong growth and has generated great returns since its IPO in 2019, nearly quadrupling it's IPO price in 2020. DDOG reported a 61% increase in revenue for Q3 and an outlook of a 62% increase in the year of 2020. Trading Plan annotated in the chart.
Options Ideas
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110 C 1/29 (High risk: High reward) day trade option
120C C 2/12 (Medium Risk: High Reward) High OI
DDOG ChannelIf Datadog continues in this channel, it will retest resistance at $110, and either be rejected or go for new ATH's. The previous times it has entered the lower side of the bollinger band, it was sharply bought back. Expecting that within the next few days, if not, then I will be selling if it falls past channel support.