End goal is 506-510 by as early as April, but more likely May
Near term there is a decision point at 434 that will at least be tested for breakout in the coming weeks. If it breaksout expect 450, then pullback to test 434 for support, then finally move to low 500s.
Risk is definitely present with the possibility of filling gap down to 404.97; however, assume ...
GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15326 (stop at 15246)
Daily signals are bullish.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Largest net daily gains in 21 days.
A break of the recent high at 15572 should result in a further move higher.
We look to buy dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 15319.
Our profit targets will be 15526 and...
DE (Deere & Co aka John Deer) is seeing a correction move lower off its recent highs. Momentum lower will target the $400 to $350 area. Risk Identified between $300 and $250. A sustained move above the November high at $448.40 would challenge the Bears....
With Caterpillar and Deere both reporting stellar earnings and DE being up 57% in last 5 months, add the double top to the mix, this seems like a great opportunity to start a small size short position for both short term and long term swing traders. Short term, we could see a pullback to 400$, long term, this is going back to minimum 300$ within the next year.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore...
farm machinery manufacturers like CAT and DE been really weak last few days with big volume on gap downs. DE has been closely tracking XME since last year or so which doesn't look too good either.
Also, if we overlap IWM chart with DE, it looks pretty close to IWM chart before the break down.
if it breaks 295 again or if it can get to 305-306.
DE 9/16 280P...
DE gapped below $400 with some strength and now a clear bear flag is formed.
Ideally I would like to see some more consolidation inside the flag, however keep an eye in which direction this will break to.
Above, could try to fill the gap to $400
Below, could test $372 and $362 levels
Deere and company looks like it's rolling over from a breakout above resistance at $392. If price breaks back below the blue trendline, then it sets up the possibility for sharp downside in the coming weeks.
I think that we'll likely find support at $276 which is the 50% retracement from the move. Let's see how it plays out.
Green areas are buying zone
Red areas are selling zone
Remember to buy a little and little more deeper it goes,
and sell a little and a little more it increases.
Please keep calm and patient.
Better little sells and little buys than big emotional pump and dump.
I really like this setup here. Deere & Company consolidated for about two years and then moved to the upside for a 120% gain over the next year. Then it rested and digested those gains for about ten months. This week $DE broke out of the consolidation on heavy volume. What I really like about this breakout is the previous week saw heavy selling volume signifying...
9 week accumulation with range expansion this week. There's also a larger 13 month accumulation suggesting a move to about 507 by March 2023 if we get a breakout signal which looks like it could be this month.
Deere recently reported earnings causing sellers to step in last week for a -6% rejection on an attempted box breakout.
In my opinion, Deere looks like distribution and at the very least, should continue to see more downside in the coming weeks - Typically after a failed breakout price should retest lower box support or $327 zone.
With Russia / Ukraine, CPI...
