DAX Critical junction on the 1day MA100.DAX hit today the bottom of the short term Channel Up. This is inside a larger Channel Up pattern that started during last year's market bottom.
As long as it holds, especially the 1day MA100, buy and target 16600 on a +6.34% repetition of the first short term Channel Up rally.
If the price closes under the 1day MA100, sell and target the bottom of the long term Channel Up at 15150.
The 1day RSI, trading inside a Channel Down, gives a clear indication as to when that low may be achieved.
Previous chart:
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DE40
DAX Trade break outs only. Neutral at the moment.DAX has turned neutral after the 16340 top and the subsequent test of the MA50 (1d).
As long as those two levels hold, it will remain sideways with no action to take.
The long term pattern is a double Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the price closes over Resistance (1).
2. Sell if the price closes under the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 16750 (top of Channel Up).
2. 15200 (Fibonacci 0.618 level).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is trading under the MA trend line, consistent with the previous two bottoms of the Channel Up.
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Past trading plan:
DAX: reached the 1D MA50 but can drop more if it breaksDAX has almost hit today the 1D MA50 (last time it had contact was March 29th) and reacted with a rebound. The 1D technicals are neutral (RSI = 45.355, MACD = 76.400, ADX = 25.34&) indicating that this is a first Support level but if we close a 1D candle under it, can drop more until they turn red.
Consequently, as long as the 1D MA50 holds, we will keep our first buy open, targeting the R1 (TP = 16,300). If a 1D candle closes under it, we will buy again on the 1D MA100, which is waiting on S2 and keep it for the long term even though a max technical drawdown extendes as low as -6.60%. Those where the % declines on the previous two corrective legs inside the Channel Up since December.
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DAX Can decline more before finding a bottomDAX had an excellent run since our buy signal two months ago (March 21) but has since formed a top and is pulling back (see chart below):
The price is below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and today is testing the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since March 29. The 1D RSI is still neutral around the 50.00 mark, meaning that there is still more room left on this downside. The next technical Support is the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is on a significant Support cluster as it is just above the October 01 Higher Lows trend-line.
We expect a bottom to be made at 15500, it offers a solid R/R ration for buying and that is what we will go, targeting 16300 and the previous High, which was the first target of the late March rebound.
An addition signal to help with taking the best buy entry possible, can be the 1D RSI. A Double Bottom at least (especially as close to the 37.80 Support as possible) would be ideal.
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DAX primary trend still remains positive.GER40 - 24h expiry
Daily signals are bullish.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Short-term momentum is bearish.
A lower correction is expected.
The 1-day moving average should provide support at 15980.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
We look to Buy at 15981 (stop at 15896)
Our profit targets will be 16191 and 16241
Resistance: 16090 / 16150 / 16230
Support: 16059 / 16000 / 15930
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX to find sellers at market?GER40 - 24h expiry
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
A break of the recent low at 16190 should result in a further move lower.
We look to Sell a break of 16188 (stop at 16268)
Our profit targets will be 15988 and 15948
Resistance: 16270 / 16333 / 16400
Support: 16190 / 16140 / 16000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX to turnaround at all-time highs?GER40 - 24h expiry
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
A break of the recent low at 16240 should result in a further move lower.
We look to Sell a break of 16238 (stop at 16328)
Our profit targets will be 16028 and 15978
Resistance: 16310 / 16333 / 16400
Support: 16270 / 16240 / 16200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Testing its All Time High but upside may be limited!DAX had an excellent run since our previous buy signal on March 21 (see chart below) that hit its target yesterday:
The index is right now moments away from hitting the 16300 Resistance, which is the All Time High (ATH) of November 19 2021. The long-term pattern since the end of October 2022 has been a Channel Up and within it, three Megaphone patterns have guided the price to each Higher High before an eventual correction back towards its bottom. The symmetry is evident even on the +10.80% rallies that it has done three times.
The 1D RSI usually hits the 76.00 Resistance and then after a series of Lower Highs, we get the top confirmation to sell. Right now the RSI has just hit the 70.00 overbought barrier. In our opinion the upside is limited to around 16400 but as mentioned, we will only sell after we see Lower Highs forming. On the first Channel Up pull-back, it was the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that supported, on the second it was the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and this time it should be lower. Our early projection is 15500.
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DAX to retest all-time highs?GER40 - 24h expiry
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
16301 has been pivotal.
Short-term momentum is bullish.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look for a temporary move higher.
We look to Sell at 16297 (stop at 16377)
Our profit targets will be 16097 and 16047
Resistance: 16250 / 16300 / 16400
Support: 16200 / 16140 / 16100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX: Holding the 4H MA50 but has one more Resistance to break.DAX is on its 4H MA50 with the 4H MA200 on a parallel move to the bottom of the Channel Up. Both the 1D and 4H (RSI = 52.763, MACD = 7.300, ADX = 19.891) are neutral so we will only take short term, confirmed trades after breakouts.
A crossing over R1 (even better if the 4H RSI also crosses over its LH trendline) is a buy breakout signal (TP = 16,100) and further of the HH trendline, a buy signal targeting the All Time High (TP = 16,300).
We will go short on the other hand, if the index closes under S1 and target S2 (TP = 15,500).
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DAX Megaphone still intact. Breakout and scalping options.DAX is trading in a Megaphone, currently supported by the MA50 (4h).
Scalping is recommended inside this pattern and breakout trading outside it.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the price closes over the Megaphone.
2. Sell if it closes under the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 16200 (+12.17% buy leg).
2. 15200 (lower Support Zone).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is inside a clear Rectangle whose bottom and top can help with scalping inside the Megaphone.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DAX to find buyers at market?GER40 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 15921 (stop at 15841)
Daily signals are bullish.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Previous resistance at 15900 now becomes support.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 16121 and 16171
Resistance: 16010 / 16100 / 16200
Support: 15960 / 15900 / 15860
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DAX Megaphone inside a Channel Up. Bullish long term.DAX is on a minor pull back as it came near the top of the Megaphone pattern which is inside the larger Channel Up.
If it breaks upwards, buy the breakout. If it pulls back failing to break above the Megaphone, sell and target the 4hour MA200. Reverse to buying at the bottom (15650) of the Megaphone and Channel Up.
Long term target 16250.
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DAX: Bullish inside a Channel Up unless this line breaks.DAX is trading inside a Channel Up with the 4H technicals neutral (RSI = 53.275, MACD = -10.100, ADX = 32.263). With 1D also neutral , it indicates that the dominant bullish trend has to be favored and that this is a buy opportunity. That is also supported by the 4H RSI which held the 38.60 Support.
Keep in mind though that the index has been pulling back inside a Channel Down, so we will buy only if it crosses above it and target near the All Time High (TP = 16,250). If rejected inside the Channel Down, we will short term sell and target the S1 (TP = 15,660), where the price can touch the 4H MA200 after several weeks.
Finally if it closes under the S1 and 4H MA200, we will expect a stronger drop back to the Pivot Zone, thus sell with TP = 15,300.
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DAX to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Short-term momentum is bearish.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
15750 continues to hold back the bears.
15729 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent low at 15729 should result in a further move lower.
We look to Sell a break of 15719 (stop at 15801)
Our profit targets will be 15519 and 15479
Resistance: 15800 / 15850 / 15900
Support: 15750 / 15700 / 15640
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX: Important test for the uptrend.DAX turned bearish on the 4H time frame (RSI = 41.803, MACD = 25.466, ADX = 46.018) as it crossed under the 4H MA50 and hit the bottom of the short term Channel Up as well as the S1. So far the uptrend is loosely supported and the Channel Up is targeting the all time high (TP = 16,200). If however it closes under the S1, we expect a test of the 4H MA200 at least near the S2 (15,490) before a rebound. Closing under the S2 as well opens the way for the S3 Zone, which will be the lowest risk buy entry on a long term horizon.
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DAX Destined to test the All Time HighDAX is trading inside a Channel Up for the whole month of April. Until it breaks, scalp the whole range of the Bollinger Bands.
If the price crosses over it, buy and target the All Time Highs of 2021 at 16300.
If it crosses under it and more specifically the 4hour MA100, sell and target the 4hour MA200 at 15500.
Previous chart:
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DAX First time hitting the MA50 (4h) in a monthDAX crossed under the MA50 (4h) today for the first time since Marhc 27th.
This isn't remotely close to a sell signal yet as inside this Channel Up pattern that started in November, the confirmed sell has been when the RSI (4h) crossed into the oversold region under 30.00.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy as long as the RSI (4h) is over 30.00.
2. Sell if the RSI crosses under 30.00.
Targets:
1. 16200 (progressive Higher High rise).
2. 15200 (Support belt from former Higher Low).
Tips:
1. The Golden Cross (4h) tends to confirm a rally extension but the Death Cross tends to form the bottoms.
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This is a continuation of this trading plan:
DAX: 16,300 test by the end of the month.We have stated before that DAX has been trading inside a five month Channel Up, getting a comfortable buy at the bottom of the pattern. With the help of the 1D MA100, the price has been rising for the past month, trading for more than 2 weeks over the 1D MA50 as well with the 1D technicals now on deep green values (RSI = 61.499, MACD = 135.500, ADX = 52.061).
We don't see this as a top yet, first because the Channel Up upside potential extends much higher but also the 1D RSI hasn't crossed into its usual above 70.000 overbought region to start forming the top. We remain bullish (TP = 16,250), expecting to test the 16,300 market high of 2021 by the end of the month.
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DAX traded to the highest level in 62 weeks!GER40 - 24h expiry -
Daily signals are bullish.
Traded to the highest level in 62 weeks.
There is no sign that this bullish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing high of 15683.
15791 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 15791 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy a break of 15801 (stop at 15681)
Our profit targets will be 16101 and 16151
Resistance: 15791 / 15900 / 16000
Support: 15630 / 15600 / 15500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX: Holding the 4H MA50. Accumulating for the next rally.DAX is trading on a Rising Wedge pattern inside a Channel Up, whose 4H RSI just hit the 1 month HL trendline. The 1D technicals remain bullish (RSI = 58.718, MACD = 105.900, ADX = 38.304) hence the long term trend upwards.
As long as the 4H MA50 holds, our target remains the top of the Rising Wedge (TP = 16,100).
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Will DAX continue to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell a break of 15529 (stop at 15649)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A break of the recent low at 15479 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 15229 and 15179
Resistance: 15660 / 15740 / 15800
Support: 15552 / 15500 / 15370
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX formed the 1st Golden Cross in 3 months.DAX completed a Golden Cross pattern on the (4h) time frame, the first such occurrence since January 10th.
The RSI (4h) has pulled back considerably, harmonizing the overbought conditions of last week.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price and as long as it stays over the MA50 (4h).
Targets:
1. 16000 (+11.00% rise).
Tips:
1. RSI (4h) is copying the bullish leg of of December 16th-January19th. Some room to pullback more and off a new High.
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Notes:
This is a continuation of this trading plan: