DAX Megaphone still intact. Breakout and scalping options.DAX is trading in a Megaphone, currently supported by the MA50 (4h).
Scalping is recommended inside this pattern and breakout trading outside it.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the price closes over the Megaphone.
2. Sell if it closes under the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 16200 (+12.17% buy leg).
2. 15200 (lower Support Zone).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is inside a clear Rectangle whose bottom and top can help with scalping inside the Megaphone.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DE40
DAX to find buyers at market?GER40 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 15921 (stop at 15841)
Daily signals are bullish.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Previous resistance at 15900 now becomes support.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 16121 and 16171
Resistance: 16010 / 16100 / 16200
Support: 15960 / 15900 / 15860
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DAX Megaphone inside a Channel Up. Bullish long term.DAX is on a minor pull back as it came near the top of the Megaphone pattern which is inside the larger Channel Up.
If it breaks upwards, buy the breakout. If it pulls back failing to break above the Megaphone, sell and target the 4hour MA200. Reverse to buying at the bottom (15650) of the Megaphone and Channel Up.
Long term target 16250.
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DAX: Bullish inside a Channel Up unless this line breaks.DAX is trading inside a Channel Up with the 4H technicals neutral (RSI = 53.275, MACD = -10.100, ADX = 32.263). With 1D also neutral , it indicates that the dominant bullish trend has to be favored and that this is a buy opportunity. That is also supported by the 4H RSI which held the 38.60 Support.
Keep in mind though that the index has been pulling back inside a Channel Down, so we will buy only if it crosses above it and target near the All Time High (TP = 16,250). If rejected inside the Channel Down, we will short term sell and target the S1 (TP = 15,660), where the price can touch the 4H MA200 after several weeks.
Finally if it closes under the S1 and 4H MA200, we will expect a stronger drop back to the Pivot Zone, thus sell with TP = 15,300.
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DAX to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Short-term momentum is bearish.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
15750 continues to hold back the bears.
15729 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent low at 15729 should result in a further move lower.
We look to Sell a break of 15719 (stop at 15801)
Our profit targets will be 15519 and 15479
Resistance: 15800 / 15850 / 15900
Support: 15750 / 15700 / 15640
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX: Important test for the uptrend.DAX turned bearish on the 4H time frame (RSI = 41.803, MACD = 25.466, ADX = 46.018) as it crossed under the 4H MA50 and hit the bottom of the short term Channel Up as well as the S1. So far the uptrend is loosely supported and the Channel Up is targeting the all time high (TP = 16,200). If however it closes under the S1, we expect a test of the 4H MA200 at least near the S2 (15,490) before a rebound. Closing under the S2 as well opens the way for the S3 Zone, which will be the lowest risk buy entry on a long term horizon.
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DAX Destined to test the All Time HighDAX is trading inside a Channel Up for the whole month of April. Until it breaks, scalp the whole range of the Bollinger Bands.
If the price crosses over it, buy and target the All Time Highs of 2021 at 16300.
If it crosses under it and more specifically the 4hour MA100, sell and target the 4hour MA200 at 15500.
Previous chart:
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DAX First time hitting the MA50 (4h) in a monthDAX crossed under the MA50 (4h) today for the first time since Marhc 27th.
This isn't remotely close to a sell signal yet as inside this Channel Up pattern that started in November, the confirmed sell has been when the RSI (4h) crossed into the oversold region under 30.00.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy as long as the RSI (4h) is over 30.00.
2. Sell if the RSI crosses under 30.00.
Targets:
1. 16200 (progressive Higher High rise).
2. 15200 (Support belt from former Higher Low).
Tips:
1. The Golden Cross (4h) tends to confirm a rally extension but the Death Cross tends to form the bottoms.
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Notes:
This is a continuation of this trading plan:
DAX: 16,300 test by the end of the month.We have stated before that DAX has been trading inside a five month Channel Up, getting a comfortable buy at the bottom of the pattern. With the help of the 1D MA100, the price has been rising for the past month, trading for more than 2 weeks over the 1D MA50 as well with the 1D technicals now on deep green values (RSI = 61.499, MACD = 135.500, ADX = 52.061).
We don't see this as a top yet, first because the Channel Up upside potential extends much higher but also the 1D RSI hasn't crossed into its usual above 70.000 overbought region to start forming the top. We remain bullish (TP = 16,250), expecting to test the 16,300 market high of 2021 by the end of the month.
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DAX traded to the highest level in 62 weeks!GER40 - 24h expiry -
Daily signals are bullish.
Traded to the highest level in 62 weeks.
There is no sign that this bullish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing high of 15683.
15791 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 15791 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy a break of 15801 (stop at 15681)
Our profit targets will be 16101 and 16151
Resistance: 15791 / 15900 / 16000
Support: 15630 / 15600 / 15500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX: Holding the 4H MA50. Accumulating for the next rally.DAX is trading on a Rising Wedge pattern inside a Channel Up, whose 4H RSI just hit the 1 month HL trendline. The 1D technicals remain bullish (RSI = 58.718, MACD = 105.900, ADX = 38.304) hence the long term trend upwards.
As long as the 4H MA50 holds, our target remains the top of the Rising Wedge (TP = 16,100).
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Will DAX continue to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell a break of 15529 (stop at 15649)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A break of the recent low at 15479 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 15229 and 15179
Resistance: 15660 / 15740 / 15800
Support: 15552 / 15500 / 15370
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX formed the 1st Golden Cross in 3 months.DAX completed a Golden Cross pattern on the (4h) time frame, the first such occurrence since January 10th.
The RSI (4h) has pulled back considerably, harmonizing the overbought conditions of last week.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price and as long as it stays over the MA50 (4h).
Targets:
1. 16000 (+11.00% rise).
Tips:
1. RSI (4h) is copying the bullish leg of of December 16th-January19th. Some room to pullback more and off a new High.
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Notes:
This is a continuation of this trading plan:
GER40 to breakdown at overbought extremes?GER40 - 24h expiry -
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A break of the recent low at 15551 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
A higher correction is expected.
We look to Sell a break of 15598 (stop at 15718)
Our profit targets will be 15298 and 15248
Resistance: 15660 / 15740 / 15800
Support: 15552 / 15500 / 15370
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX momentum has stalled at 2023 highs.GER40 - 24h expiry -
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
15708 has been pivotal.
A higher correction is expected.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look to Sell at 15699 (stop at 15819)
Our profit targets will be 15401 and 15341
Resistance: 15662 / 15708 / 15800
Support: 15550 / 15470 / 15350
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX This wave still has room to riseDAX has gone a long way since our buy recommendation 2 weeks ago (see chart below). The technicals on the 1D time frame are firmly bullish (RSI = 60.575, MACD = 68.200, ADX = 31.986) and the RSI in particular is out of its Buy Zone and approaching the top of the Channel Down.
The index is trading inside a Channel Up for exactly 5 months and every bullish wave has so far been within 11.50% - 11.85%. If it rises by +11.50% again from the recent bottom, then we are looking at a target price around 16,130. Our TP is 16,000.
It is important to keep in mind the long term dynamics on DAX and what stands out in particular is how perfectly the 1D MA100 supported March's correction. In fact, DAX hasn't closed a 1D candle under the 1D MA100 since October 24th 2022.
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DAX is bullish and going for a Higher HighDAX is trading inside a Channel Up and crossed today over both the 4hour MA200 and the Pivot Zone.
The 4hour MA50 is supporting (same with the RSI being on a Rising Support) and as long as it does, the Channel Up will be going for a Higher High.
Buy and target the 15700 Resistance but keep an eye for an RSI peak near 70.00.
Previous chart:
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DAX to turnaround at trend line resistance?GER40 -
Our short term bias remains negative.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Trend line resistance is located at 15350.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Prices expected to stall near trend line resistance.
24h expiry - We look to Sell at 15359 (stop at 15479)
Our profit targets will be 15059 and 15009
Resistance: 15200 / 15300 / 15400
Support: 15100 / 15000 / 14900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX to breakdown?GER40 -
Our short term bias remains negative.
The bias is to break to the downside.
News events could adversley affect the short term technical picture.
A higher correction is expected.
A break of the recent low at 15069 should result in a further move lower.
Our profit targets will be 14759 and 14709
22h expiry - We look to Sell a break of 15059 (stop at 15179)
Resistance: 15200 / 15306 / 15400
Support: 15160 / 15070 / 15000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Double Buy entryDAX is now between the MA50 (4h) and MA200 (4h) after it failed to cross over the latter on this Fed day.
It was rejected on Zone 1 of the previous Lower High.
There are another two such Zones on display, both potential Supports around key Fibonacci levels.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on Zone 2 (Fibonacci 0.382).
2. Buy on Zone 3 (Fibonacci 0.236).
Targets:
1. & 2. 15700 (Resistance 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is rising steadily on Higher Lows (Rising Support). This is an additional level that can indicate a buy entry if it matches one of the above.
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DAX to see early optimism?GER40 -
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Short term bias has turned negative.
A higher correction is expected.
News events could adversley affect the short term technical picture.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
24h expiry - We look to Sell at 15466 (stop at 15586)
Our profit targets will be 15166 and 15116
Resistance: 15271 / 15400 / 15480
Support: 15200 / 15080 / 15000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX pausing the rally ahead of the Fed. Buy the pullback.DAX crossed over the Falling Resistance of the early March High and the 4hour MA50. It also reached the Golden Ratio: Fibonacci 0.618.
This is a bullish breakout but ahead of the Fed Rate Decision tomorrow, it is more likely to see traders taking a neutral stance.
Buy the pullback up to Fibonacci 0.382. Target the Top at 15700.
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