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ESPT.V Tightening trading range, cooling RSIVery interesting consolidation of the stock in the low 20's. The falling wedge pattern can be seen by connecting the peaks of breakouts along this downward trend. Note that the 20 cent level has provided excellent resistance in the past. The stock closed at 20 cents this Friday, this was the second time for the ticker. The previous time the ticker closed at 20, a gap up to the mid 30's was observed the next morning. This is not an indicator of future success, but an indicator that perhaps shorts may be covering around this price and drive the price higher. Similarly, a press release about a closing of activate or victor gold deals may bring buying pressure to the upside. I remain bullish at this level, and believe #esports will be very bullish in 2019!
ELong
by m1n3cpu
RISK ARB OPPORTUNITY: SKY BUYOUT There's been another big deal developing ($29-30B) so I figured I'd post another arbitrage, in this case, 'risk arb' or Merger Arbitrage. Fox needs to raise its offer of 10.75 pounds per share for the 61 percent of the British pay-TV company it doesn’t already own, in order to challenge Comcast’s 12.50 pounds per share bid. Comcast, which already won U.K. approval for its Sky approach, has a deadline of Friday to put the 22 billion pound ($29 billion) proposal to Sky shareholders under U.K. takeover rules....The tussle over Sky is part of a wider bidding contest between Comcast and Walt Disney Co. for the bulk of Rupert Murdoch’s media empire, as each tries to scale up to take on streaming competitors Netflix Inc. and Amazon.com faculty.chicagobooth.edu www.newyorkfed.org Although it's formally an arbitrage strategy, purists would argue that it's not a pure arbitrage as it incorporates speculative aspects and is not as riskless as other strategies such as convertible arbitrage which fully hedges deltas: The main basis in a stock-for-stock acquisition revolves around the idea that the target's stock will often trade at a lower market price compared to the exchange ratio that will apply once the deal is closed. Traders will purchase the target's stock and receive an excess value of the acquirer's stock when the deal is closed. To hedge risk, traders will short the same number of the acquirer's shares based on the exchange ratio. The objective is to capture the spread between the target's share price at market and the closing price based on the exchange ratio set by the acquirer. Spreads can be between 5-10% (median) for deals that close upwards of 55 days. Unlike other arbitrages, risk arbs can be done quite easily, but like all other strategies, can also become more efficient and complex if done professionally. Risk arb funds can also be good diversification for a portfolio as they often generate superior risk adjusted returns in poor markets. www.bloomberg.com
SEducation
by UnknownUnicorn2421992