Introduction: In the realm of cryptocurrency investing, patterns are often perceived, strategies are formed, and indicators are developed to capture potential opportunities. However, there's an underlying factor that traders and investors must be aware of: the concept of alpha decay. Here, we will delve into the nuances of alpha decay, especially in the context of...
weve slightly gained in vix, and the ftz from top of short leads out to where uvxy should make its low sub $4... if we examine the capitalcom vs finra we see that contango in vix is still coagulating around a major demand zone low into its decay. i still think split will be bullish for vix, but perhaps we clear the pop in fomc, and the loose steam is actually...
The kind of move we got today, reinforces the belief for a comfortable range bound expiry. I tried to be as moderate as possible to carve out the ranges. Lets watch tomorrow how we perform
Decay strongly favors the contract holder. Notice even in the course of one day, with VIX hanging steady around 35-36, this thing lost $1 over 6 hours. See most insightful post credit to Hungry_Hippo, attached! Traded for $24 in the AM then price relaxed as VIX fell, on viral scare news at 14:38 VIX jumped back to 36 but UVXY reached... 23! This thing fades...
SVXY pays a price when VIX is high (>16).... even when SPY is increasing (see arrows). This is due to rollover but not to be confused with VXX decay due to contango.