MANAUSD Cycle may need to make one last low before rallyingDecentraland (MANAUSD) has been unable to break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) despite January's rise (led at large by Bitcoin). This draws heavy comparisons with the previous Cycle, which on March and June 2019 failed also to break above the 1W MA50 despite a March rally and instead dropped to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which was a Lower Low for the Bear Cycle and the final bottom.
The 1W RSI pattern confirms those similarities and even though MANA doesn't have to decline as low as the 1.236 Fib again (which is at 0.1420), we have to consider the high probability that the bottom is not in. Of course breaking and closing above the 1W MA50 invalidates that and sets the market on a Bull Cycle track. Technically the closing above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) kick starts the parabolic part of the Bull Cycle.
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Decentralandsignals
MANAUSD Invalidated two bearish patterns. Aiming at the 1D MA200Decentraland (MANAUSD) broke today above two bearish patterns, as shown on this 1D chart, a Channel Down (blue) and a Falling Wedge. At the same time it is trading the higher it has been above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since November 2021 and the peak of the previous Bull Cycle.
All this while the 1D MACD is above the 0.000 neutral point with the green and red histograms rising since August. This is a major bullish break-out for MANA, which is now targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been untouched since April 05 2022.
The short-term target and Resistance is the 0.382 Fibonacci level but at this point, MANA looks poised to make contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since April 05. A closing above the 1D MA200 would take us officially into the new Bull Cycle. On the short-term the upper Fibs can be used as gap filling targets.
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MANAUSD Don't let this pump fool youWe haven't looked into Decentraland (MANAUSD) since June 03, where we called for a bearish continuation unless the 1.13500 Resistance broke:
As you see the Channel Down extended and the Resistance hasn't been broken up to this date. Despite today's +10% rise, the price remains below all 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), always within the 6 month Channel Down.
As a result we should have high hopes on this short-term rise, the only pattern showing a bullish extension is the mid-May/ June fractal showing a Channel Up but still that would be limited to the 1D MA200. Only a break above the 0.74500 (Resistance 1) level can be considered as a long-term bullish break-out.
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DECENTRALAND (MANA) the last chance(bottom)and the range market Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the major support (bottom) or better to say the previous zone that started its amazing pump to the upside and the round number $1 resistance ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support level to the downside, we will see more gain beside the range market is an acceptable scenario too 📖💡🚀
and
if the price breaks the range area to the upside, we will see more gain 🚀
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
MANAUSD hit and bounced on the 1W MA150Decentraland (MANAUSD) is almost on a +70% rise since yesterday's Low, with the rebound coming on the 1W MA150 (red trend-line), which got hit for the first time in history. The fractal though resembles that of the mid April High both in terms of price action and 1D RSI.
That sequence rebounded on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) instead of the 1W MA150 but as it failed to break the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it eventually dropped to a Lower Low below the 1D MA200. The Fibonacci level below the 1W MA150 is the 0.236 at $0.5300. As a result we believe that until the 1D MA50 breaks, which was the bullish break-out point in 2021, MANAUSD remains bearish.
Notice how well those Fibonacci levels (extensions and retracements) have been accuratelly providing Resistance and Support levels these past 12 months.
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MANAUSDT started the accumulation phase to $10.00.At the end of last November I warned traders of the bearish formation and potential peak on Decentraland, as it was printing the very same top pattern (both pricewise and in terms of RSI on the 1D time-frame) with the previous tops of May 2021, August 2020 and February 2020:
The price eventually did make a top on that exact price range and MANA entered a new corrective phase. The January 22 low though that marginally breached the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), marked the new bottom and end of this corrective phase and start of the accumulation phase. Notice how the 1D RSI formed the very same Higher Lows pattern after breaching the oversold barrier of 30.000 both on the June 22 2021 bottom and the November 04 2020 bottom.
Once those bottoms formed, MANAUSDT rebounded initially to its 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and entered a quarter-long Accumulation Phase of slight Higher Highs and Higher Lows. This is where we are at now as following the January 22 low, MANA reacted with that exact same rebound to its 0.618, so it could be relatively safe to assume that it was the bottom.
The last two tops/ Higher Highs on the Fibonacci Channel that started after the March 2020 COVID flash crash, were formed on a Higher Highs trend-line (blue line), which is just below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. This suggests that the next target can be well above even the $10.00 benchmark.
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