$AAVE/USDT 4h (Binance Futures) Bull-flag breakout and retestAave has pulled back retesting the broken descending channel acting as bullish flag!
Current Price= 497.44
Buy Entry = 476.20 - 462.55
Take Profit= 519.47 | 563.80 | 647.69
Stop Loss= 429.55
Risk/Reward= 1:1.25 | 1:2.36 | 1:4.46
Expected Profit= +21.28% | +40.16% | +75.90%
Possible Loss= -17.02%
Fib. Retracement= 0.5 | 0.786 | 1.272
Margin Leverage= 2x
Estimated Gain-time= 2 weeks
Decentralizedfinance
Is it time for DeFi again? Most likely yes!DeFi on Ethereum had a big correction after things got really frothy and fees on Ethereum skyrocketed. For about 2 months DeFi took a back seat as everything else was pumping. During those months we saw tons of pumps from different categories, while DeFi & ETH had a 35-60% corrections vs BTC which is quite large. What we need to note however is that DeFi had gone up over the summer while the rest hadn't. Also part of DeFi bottomed vs BTC in November while the rest bottomed in January.
Now clearly fees will be an issue again, but the influx of new people is going to push DeFi much higher. Not only the influx of new people, but people selling their Coinbase stock and we need to remember Coinbase went heavy on DeFi tokens over the last year with lots of listings. To me this is a key rotation (from CEXs to DEXs) and includes not only Coinbase stock, but also stuff like BNB, FTT etc.
AAVE, SNX, BAL, COMP, MKR, YFI are the larger ones which have also been lagging to an extend compared to others. All of those are listed on Coinbase. UNI hasn't been lagging and its UNIBTC chart looks like a gigantic cup & handle pattern. Now SUSHI and CRV got recently listed on Coinbase, so they have the potential to do very well given that there will get more buyers this time around. BNT has a quite special chart and its price action seems controlled by a bigger entity. GRT is a special one as it has had several big pumps and looks ready for its next big one. LRC has been a massive lagger too and it is pretty cheap compared to others so potentially cheap to own here after such a big move.
The DeFi index doesn't show the full picture yet because it has weird mix of coins, however the breakout is very clear. This could be very similar to what happened earlier this year in terms of magnitude. We are 3.5 months into this alt season and we are getting breakout after breakout. Rotation from one category to another with no signs of weakness as a whole. Yes some look weak, yes some haven't done well... Yet the market as a whole has been pushing higher and higher. Ethereum is also looking very strong and healthy so it can push much much higher from here over the next few weeks. I can see the whole altcoin show going up until the end of June, so be prepared for big stuff.
I think we in Phase 4 or Phase 5 of this alt season. Given that we are going back into DeFi assuming this pump won't fail or that others don't do better than this market sector, we are probably in a new phase. We are potentially 60% into this alt season and there is a lot more to it!
Binance Coin/BNB will Fall from the Top RankingsBinance Coin/BNB does not deserve the #4 crypto ranking by market cap and could fall in the rankings and never recover at any time. It's moving up as competition to Ethereum as Ethereum has temporary scaling and high fee issues. However BNB is CENTRALIZED and no serious crypto is centralized. The fundamental advantage crypto offers is decentralization. Without decentralization you don't have a crypto, you have a managed product no different than legacy financial products. Also it can be targeted and shut down while decentralized crypto cannot. It's possible some crypto might one day challenge Ethereum, but it won't be a centralized coin like BNB.
In previous bull cycles there have been other centralized coins that made a big splash for a while, for example EOS and TRON, but eventually people figure out they don't really offer what decentralized cryptos offer and their price ranking falls and doesn't recover. This cycle it seems Binance coin is the coin for the clowns to crowd into. It's quite possible they will be the crying-on-the-inside kind of clowns later as BNB falls in the rankings.
IMO as Ethereum advances its scaling solutions the likelihood of Binance coin falling increases. Optimistic rollups for Ethereum are one L2 scaling solution that I understand will launch this month, so BNB might top out soon.
To be clear I wouldn't short BNB as waves of ignorant noobs could drive it higher, but I sure wouldn't hold it long either.
I'm not an investment advisor and this is not investment advice. However I am a computer scientist and as a computer scientist I can tell you a centralized crypto FAILS to have the key aspect of what makes crypto significant.
Chainlink: Potential Break towards $38.6Further from the analysis posted on Monday February 15th 2021:
We can now see Chainlink breaking its pennant formation and moving towards the previous high at $35.65 , a break higher mirroring the rally seen last weekend could take it up to the $38.6 level and breaching that towards $50 .
Trade with caution, this is not financial advice - all views expressed are my own.
$DEFI/USDT 6h (Binance Futures) Falling wedge breakoutDeFi index is still bullish to me, especially after that break-out, let's join the up-trend!
Current Price= 2328.0
Buy Entry= 2330.2 - 2276.2
Take Profit= 2654.8 | 3031.4 | 3662.0
Stop Loss= 2068.1
Risk/Reward= 1:1.5 | 1:3.1 | 1:5.78
Expected Profit= +30.54% | +63.24% | +118.00%
Possible Loss= -20.42%
Fib. Retracement= 1 | 1.414 | 2
Margin Leverage= 2x
Estimated Gain-time= 360 hours
REN/USD LongREN here looks primed for a move upward
especially if some volume comes in to add
confluence
-A running flat (3 3 5) has been formed here
-The MA100 is well below the EMA30 which is
temporarily acting as support creating more
bullish confluence.
-If the gold line keeps holds as support and the
bull pennant (gray) breaks out the top diagonal
we should see a move toward $1.50 at least
Ren Protocol provides interoperability between
different blockchain platforms.
REN is fundamentally sound and is
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) so will be getting
a lot of attention this coming year and long term
will likely be a good investment as well as being a
solid short term swing.
Why am I bullish on Chainlink?A plain and simple comparison to an early chart of ETHUSD price movements around March - April 2017 can indicate that a similar path could be followed by LINKUSD and I would not rule out potential for parabolic moves higher in the near future.
Such path followed by ETHUSD which surpassed the given Fib Extension level of 4.236 would give a potential target of ~90 USD for Chainlink which is still in early stages of adoption having only been founded in 2017, nonetheless having already forged a partnership with Google back in 2019.
Levels to keep an eye on the the coming weeks would be the $38.6 level and the psychological $50 mark .
Both technologies are fairly new and disruptive, based around a self-executing contract also known as a smart contract - having the potential to bring about transparency and trust to virtual business agreements.
To put things into perspective within the crypto space:
- Bitcoin has seen a move higher of 391% in the past year,
- Ethereum at 580%,
- Chainlink quietly making gains of 671%.
Chainlink has moved to an ATH at $35 over the weekend after a move higher from the $25 handle.
Trade with caution, this is not financial advice - all views expressed are my own.
Tron's Swan Song: The Ballad of Justin SunHUOBI:TRXUSDT - 1D
Disclaimer : This post will be laden with brutal fundamental analysis as it relates to the burgeoning DeFi segment.
Tron. It's had a scammy reputation in the crypto sector for a while. Maxis hate every alt, ETHeads despise Tron for copying their whitepaper and protocol components. Fan & moonbois of other platforms use Tron as a bottom tier goal post in measuring their own performance. CryptoTwitter rags on Justin Sun for his fake followers and penchant for announcing announcements about an announcement. Yet, through it all, Tron is currently the best platform for DeFi exposure. Yes...I didn't mis-speak. Tron is currently the best platform for DeFi exposure.
I'm not saying Tron has the most volume, or the best tokens. ETH blows everything out of the water but it comes at a hefty price in the form of gas. If, as a segment, we're screaming "DeFi DeFi DeFi" then what's the response to "why does it cost me $380 to buy $30 worth of tokens?" You can't invite the world in to rape them with tx fees and ETH 2.0 is so far away you can't offer that as a solution with a straight face; nor does it solve the issue at hand.
Peruse DAPPradar and look at users on non-ETH platforms. Tron and BSC are the only chains with users and volume. BSC is cobbled together using custom metamask networks and broken BSC wallet links, so it doesn't have the usability that is needed for new entrants. The founders are also a mish-mash of globally organized, yet disconnected, entities that restrict certain activity on national IP levels. Additionally, it costs something like 1200 BNB to create a smart contract on BSC, which at present is ~$85,000.
It doesn't cost large sums of money to transact on the Tron network. You can stake tokens for smart contract energy and pay zero fees at all. You can create a token for 1024 Tron. You get free bandwidth to send tokens daily. Is the Tron platform a less than ideal decentralized system? Yes. Is the Tron network full of scams and potentially dangerous investments? Yes. Does Tron do anything other than copy Ethereum? No. None of that matters as right now, it offers the best overall environment to transact in DeFi. It has the lowest fees, best user experience, a plethora of DeFi abilities, and is lead by one of the most recognizable faces in crypto on the planet - who happens to be a major influencer in the Chinese market. Tron's market share is going to grow substantially while superior alternatives like Cardano, Cosmos, and Polkadot build out. Tron has a 6-10 month window to capture large portions of ETH's audience as well as new entrants, and that's exactly where this chart is leading us.
April 9, 2018 Tron was trading at $.033. May 1, 2018 Tron was trading at $.10. In three weeks it 3x'd. This chart is built off that rise and fall, and it is worth mentioning that a three week rise to $.10 is entirely possible - and even more likely as Ether gatekeeps new entrants to DeFi. Tron is currently printing a 19 month long inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline right at 4c. The neckline has been pierced twice already by towering wicks that defied the upper BBand. These wicks were promptly rejected and that's what's brought us to this current, stabilized rally. I'm looking for a strong upward movement within the upper BBand & EMA7 as TRX approaches the neckline. I'll enter in around $.0415 with a target $.065.
The pink lines represent minor resistance while the orange lines present larger challenges. I wouldn't be surprised to see Tron trade within the orange lines for the largest period of time in its rise back to 10c. I'll re-enter upon confirmation of $.077 and smooth sail to $.091. Depending upon volume and momentum, I'll either bail there after or ride to 10c. Keep in mind Tron's previous ATH was $.25 and that was spurred by a large influx of Redditors and Sun just bought the top of GME and AMC to advertise to Redditors again.
The mashup of fundamental and technical analysis in this post is to provide a better view of what factors will drive this price up. Tron is going to shoot up as people offboard ETH and new crypto entrants onboard DeFi. That action, as well as general market movements, will have Tron super-bullish in the Year of the Ox. And I say all of this as someone who has typically been critical of Tron whilst supportive of its competitors.
This is not investment advice and trading cryptocurrency is high risk.
DEFIUSDTPERP future in long termDEFI is the most hot object which is magnifies with pro investors, the whitepaper is and main idea is going to solve almost each problem and its future is even more bright than the sun!
in the technical state the chart needs a correction or a range for the time and after that goes to the moon while BTC is giving profits DEFI is heading to moon you can have my word
DEFI is the future
DeFi Is Red Hot...Don't look now, the broader DeFi ecosystem is red hot and continues to outperform bitcoin and the broader cryptoasset market since finding a bottom not even a month ago. As a matter of fact, when using the DEFIPERP contract as a proxy for the DeFi ecosystem, one will see that DeFi has posted an incredible +67% return since November 1st, well above BTC's +42% over the same period of time. While the rise in DeFi coincides with a near +$3B jump in total value locked (TVL) per data provided by DeFiPulse.com, DeFi's precipitous rally to an all-time high in September, blow-off top, bottom in early-November, and subsequent resurgence is almost identical to 4Q2017 - 2019 BTC price action. Such would seem to suggest that, like BTC, DeFi has entered into a new bullish market cycle and is primed to push higher as innovation presses on and interest in crypto builds.
Irrespective of the surge in TVL, one should note that the metric is arguably "too simple" and perhaps not entirely reflective of "market interest." This is partially due to the fact that DeFi participants can deposit one asset, borrow another asset, trade the borrowed asset for the deposited asset, and subsequently re-deposit. This "yield farming" strategy can increase TVL without attracting incremental, newly deployed capital/assets. Furthermore, in our latest 2H2020 Crypto Sentiment Survey , we found that 93% and 76% of respondents indicated that they had not borrowed from or lent to a DeFi liquidity pool, respectively, and their DEX usage was virtually nil.
To stay up-to-date with the latest market developments,
be sure to subscribe to Kraken Intelligence at kraken.com
Bullish pattern breakout apparent & next resistances to watch*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice as these are purely my opinions and speculations. I may also own or trade any of the symbols and cryptocurrencies mentioned in this video so do not make your trading or investing decisions based on this video. I do not guarantee any results nor am I responsible for your actions. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing in this market as it is extremely risky. Affiliate links are also included in this same video description section here and if you decide to support me by using any of them, I may receive a referral bonus or commission.
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KEY supports & resistances to watch within this bullish pattern*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice as these are purely my opinions and speculations. I may also own or trade any of the symbols and cryptocurrencies mentioned in this video so do not make your trading or investing decisions based on this video. I do not guarantee any results nor am I responsible for your actions. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing in this market as it is extremely risky. Affiliate links are also included in this same video description section here and if you decide to support me by using any of them, I may receive a referral bonus or commission.
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Nearing KEY support levels can it hold & continue up?*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice as these are purely my opinions and speculations. I may also own or trade any of the symbols and cryptocurrencies mentioned in this video so do not make your trading or investing decisions based on this video. I do not guarantee any results nor am I responsible for your actions. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing in this market as it is extremely risky. Affiliate links are also included in this same video description section here and if you decide to support me by using any of them, I may receive a referral bonus or commission.
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At KEY support level can we bounce off it?*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice as these are purely my opinions and speculations. I may also own or trade any of the symbols and cryptocurrencies mentioned in this video so do not make your trading or investing decisions based on this video. I do not guarantee any results nor am I responsible for your actions. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing in this market as it is extremely risky. Affiliate links are also included in this same video description section here and if you decide to support me by using any of them, I may receive a referral bonus or commission.
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Bullish pattern apparent levels to watch for & can it break out?*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice as these are purely my opinions and speculations. I may also own or trade any of the symbols and cryptocurrencies mentioned in this video so do not make your trading or investing decisions based on this video. I do not guarantee any results nor am I responsible for your actions. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing in this market as it is extremely risky. Affiliate links are also included in this same video description section here and if you decide to support me by using any of them, I may receive a referral bonus or commission.
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Level to WATCH for either more downward or reversal price action
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice as these are purely my opinions and speculations. I do not guarantee any results nor am I responsible for your actions. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing in this market as it is extremely risky.
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What can this BTC move mean for YIFI & next levels to watch for*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice as these are purely my opinions and speculations. I do not guarantee any results nor am I responsible for your actions. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing in this market as it is extremely risky.
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Looking for THIS signal that can sustain the trend reversal*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice as these are purely my opinions and speculations. I do not guarantee any results nor am I responsible for your actions. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing in this market as it is extremely risky.
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Can it hold above these KEY levels of support to go higher?*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice as these are purely my opinions and speculations. I do not guarantee any results nor am I responsible for your actions. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing in this market as it is extremely risky.
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YFII: Decentralized Finance and Market PsychologyIf you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
In this analysis, I'll be explaining the speculative nature of the alt-coin market, exemplified by the defi hype.
Analysis
- It's extremely difficult, almost impossible to apply technical analysis to the newly listed Defi coins on major cryptocurrency exchanges
- They have very little price history data, and most of their fundamentals in terms of project development, is questionable to say the least
- In the case of YFII, we can look at the hourly chart to speculate its next move
- As the 'Defi-hype' is not over yet, there is still a lot of capital flowing into altcoins, and bullish movements are supported by high volume
- Based on market psychology, people who have missed out of the YFI opportunity, are jumping into YFII, in fears of missing out
- Based on the trend, we can see that a "U" shape recovery is taking place, with potentiality for YFII to hit its previous high once again
- It has gone up over 100% already from the local bottom, and has an 80% upside to the next top
- The Ichimoku cloud confirms the bullish trend, as prices are trading above the cloud.
The cryptocurrency altcoin market, currently driven by the Defi-hype, is just another phase of a speculative market after the 2017 ICO phase, and 2018 STO phase.
Don't predict the market. Take it by levels, and play by probabilities.
- Michael Wang-
LEND Offering Excellent Entry OpportunitiesAAVE (LEND) is among the most capitalized DeFi tokens. After a remarkable 5,000% run, the coin seems to be in a correction phase, which provides an excellent entry opportunity for investors looking to increase their DeFi holdings.
Recap: AAVE is an open-source and non-custodial protocol that allows clients to borrow and lend a wide range of cryptocurrencies with variable and stable interest rates. AAVE has a unique system that allows for rate switching, enabling clients to switch between "stable" and "variable" interest rates. The platform's native token "LEND" provides discounted fees for holders. The platform uses 80% of the fees earned from borrowing to burn LEND tokens. This process leads to an increase in demand and a decrease in supply.
LEND on the Chart
The token reached its all-time high on August 26th, 2020, when it peaked at $0.9. However, the coin has lost 30% of its value over the past week.
LEND is particularly volatile and has had several corrections this year, ranging from -30% to -70% in March this year. We have identified three main support levels where the coin may bounce:
Support 1 $0.5: This level was the resistance when AAVE hit its previous all-time high in January 2018. It has been briefly tested as a support level in August 2020. It now stands at -44% from the current all-time high. The token has just touched upon this support level, whether it will hold or not remains to be seen.
Support 2 $0.38: This level was an important resistance throughout July, which caused LEND to crash more than 40% after reaching it. It stands at -57% from the all-time high.
Support 3 0.2$: This support level helped the token bounce after its previous correction, and it currently stands at -78% from the all-time high.
Although we can never tell for sure in the Crypto market, at least one of these support levels will likely hold and make the token bounce. The token previously crashed and lost 99% of its value when it dropped from $0.5 to just $0.003 in 2018. However, the probability of a devastating correction is significantly lower now due to the improved fundamentals and DeFi momentum.