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Deepseek

2025 Market Outlook - Cautiously Bullish (Important Bar Counts)Hey Everybody, Thanks for checking out the video. I'm reviewing all major instruments, US and Non US. US has carried the financial markets since 2020 and 2022 and this year out of the gate we're seeing big runs in "uninvestable" spaces like Europe and China. I say that jokingly because of how bad everything thought non US assets were, but here we are watching DAX, FTSE, and HSI running to double digit gains while the US lags behind. Will the US catch up and the global economy tide rise to lift all boats or are we truly seeing a catch up trade that will have headwinds uncertainties a plenty? Time will tell. This week is a holiday shortened trading week, RBA and RBNZ expected to cut rates, Europe and US printing PMI on Friday. BABA and BIDU earnings this week (China related), and NVDA earnings next week (#2 market cap in US). I discuss the big bar counts that I'm watching closely on SPY, SPX, XSP, RSP, NDX, QQQ, DIA, NVDA, META, NFLX, and others that I believe technically will matter for limited upside momentum without a bigger pause, snapback or correction ahead. Cautiously optimistic is a perfect play for 2025. I'm off to a good start for the year and intend to keep that way without chasing or doing anything silly. Thank for watching.
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
CHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTSCHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTS (1/9) Big News: China’s tech sector is on fire 🔥📈 in 2025, driven by AI breakthroughs and a softer regulatory vibe from Beijing. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index is up 13% YTD, outpacing the S&P 500 (+4%). Is this a tech golden age or a speculative bubble? Let’s break it down! 🚀 (2/9) – STOCKS IN FOCUS • Alibaba: +50% (Hong Kong) 💥 • Xiaomi: +35% 📱 • Baidu: +30% 🔍 • BYD: +25% 🚗 The Hang Seng Tech Index has soared 30% since mid-January, hitting a 3-year high 🎉. Trading volumes are through the roof! (3/9) – WHY THE SURGE? • DeepSeek’s cost-effective AI model sparks global buzz 🤖 • Alibaba’s AI partnership with Apple + Jack Ma’s reappearance with Xi Jinping 🇨🇳 • Beijing hints at easing its tech crackdown, boosting investor confidence 💸 (4/9) – ‘HOT MONEY’ DRIVING THE RALLY • Speculative capital—“hot money”—from hedge funds and retail traders fuels the boom 💨 • Trading volumes spike, but big institutional investors (pension funds, etc.) stay cautious 🧐 • Analysts warn: Momentum, not fundamentals, is driving this rally 📉 (5/9) – AI BREAKTHROUGHS: REAL OR HYPE? • DeepSeek’s AI model hailed as a game-changer, but details are thin 🤔 • Social media buzz calls it a “bull market” for Chinese tech 🐂 • Critics say it’s more sentiment than substance—China’s history of overpromising looms large ⚠️ (6/9) – REGULATORY REPRIEVE OR TEMPORARY TRUCE? • Xi Jinping meets tech leaders, signaling a thaw after years of crackdowns 🏛️ • Investors scour photos for clues—Alibaba and Tencent back in favor? 📸 • Skeptics question if it’s a genuine shift or a short-term tactic to prop up the economy 😬 (7/9) – RISKS VS. REWARDS • Risks: Geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and competition from Western tech (e.g., Nvidia’s $589B drop) 🌍 • Rewards: If AI delivers and Beijing stays supportive, Chinese tech could dominate globally 🌟 • The rally’s fate hinges on sustainability—will the gains stick? 🤝 (8/9) – Will China’s tech surge last? 1️⃣ Yes—AI and policy shifts will fuel a new golden age. 2️⃣ Maybe—Short-term gains, but long-term doubts remain. 3️⃣ No—Speculative bubble will burst soon. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY China’s tech rally is a wild ride 🌍—AI hype, “hot money,” and a regulatory truce are driving stocks sky-high. But with big investors on the sidelines and risks aplenty, it’s a fragile boom. Will Beijing and AI deliver, or is this another fleeting frenzy? Stay tuned! 💪
TVC:HSILong
by DCAChampion
China stocks ready to go? #DeepSeek another reason..This is a chart of the benchmark index for Hong Kong - HK50 It's up on Monday, while Nvidia is down 10+% If funds are flowing out of Nvidia - China (home of DeepSeek) could be one place they end up. The Hang Seng is a perfect example of how long a trend can take to reverse. How many times would traders have tried to go long this index only to see it slump right back towards the bottom? Now while this trend reversal might be delayed further - and might fail altogether - we think there is enough evidence to suggest a reversal is happening. The price is above a rising weekly 30 week SMA A long term trendline has broken Crucially - the price made a double bottom pattern around 15,000 DAILY CHART On the daily chart we see the strong surge in buying interest from September has given way to a long multi-month correction. We are looking for a breakout above the down trendline to demonstrate the correction has finished and a new up-leg is beginning. The final confirmation would come from a break of resistance (not drawn) from the November and December highs at 21,350. Should the price turn lower and make a new fractal low under 19,650 then we’ll have to wait a bit longer for the Hang Seng trend reversal. But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by jasperlawler
Inflation Fears Weigh More than China Tech GainsDeepSeek Is Not the Market’s Biggest Concern Over the past few days following the emergence of DeepSeek, Nasdaq or technology stocks have experienced a notable 6% decline across all major U.S. indices. However, this recent pullback pales in comparison to the more substantial drop seen in December. Small-Cap Stocks Take a Bigger Hit The Russell 2000, which tracks small and medium-sized enterprises in the U.S., suffered an even sharper decline, falling by 12%. This suggests that broader economic concerns, beyond just the tech sector, are weighing on investor sentiment. Then, What Is It? On December 18, during the highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the Federal Reserve announced a widely expected 0.25% rate cut, bringing the Fed Funds Rate down to 4.5%. However, it wasn’t the rate cut that rattled the market—it was Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments that followed. “… the median participant projected that the appropriate level of the federal funds rate would be 3.9% at the end of 2025, indicating expectations of two additional rate cuts in 2025, down from the four projected in the previous summary.” This statement signaled that the Fed remains hawkish on inflation, with expectations of only two rate cuts in 2025 instead of the previously projected four. As a result, borrowing costs are likely to remain elevated at around 3.9%, a scenario that investors had not fully priced in. The market reacted negatively, with indices falling sharply over the subsequent weeks. Market Stabilization Amid China Tech Competition Despite the recent downturn, there are signs of stabilization, with major indices still maintaining their position along an established uptrend line. As long as inflation continues to ease—hovering around 3% or, ideally, heading toward the Fed’s 2% target—the broader market outlook remains positive. From a strategic standpoint, I will continue to focus on buying dips if the market respects the uptrend line. However, if hopes for rate cuts in 2025 fade and the trend begins to break below key support levels, my strategy will shift toward selling into strength when opportunities arise. Short-Term Trading Outlook To refine my trading decisions, I have also drawn trendlines on an hourly chart. Applying the same uptrend principles, these lines serve as a guideline for short-term trading in the Micro S&P 500 futures. With the latest January Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading at 3%—higher than expected—I will be closely monitoring my daily chart's uptrend line. While external economic conditions remain unpredictable, adapting trading strategies in response to market trends is key to staying ahead. Please see the following disclaimer and information that you may find useful: E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: ES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $12.50 Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: MES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $1.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • My mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Trading competition: www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by konhow
DeepSeek Is Not What the Market FearsWith the emergence of DeepSeek, tech stocks have generally dropped by 6% over these few short days across all US indices, but from the peak in late November to December, we saw a much more massive drop among all of them. The Russell 2000, representing small and medium-sized enterprises in the U.S., declined by 12%, What triggered this sell-off in the tech giants (Nasdaq), the old guards (Dow Jones), the suite of blue-chip stocks (S&P 500), and the medium-sized firms (Russell 2000)? Markets are inter-connected. What should we be looking out for, and how should we navigate if the market break below this recent all-time low? E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: ES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $12.50 Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: MES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $1.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Trading competition: www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by konhow
Oh no! SHORT TERM BEARISH- BACK TO 116 AT LEAST. $NVDA SELL NOW!A dead cat bounce refers to a temporary, short-lived recovery in the price of a falling stock. The term comes from the notion that even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from a great height. It is also commonly used to describe any situation where something experiences a brief comeback during or after a significant decline. This phenomenon is sometimes called a "sucker rally." - Breakdown of the rising wedge pattern. - SMA 20 & 50 are coming down - Tariff wars with China and other countries - Deepseek Shock/ Tech Shocks aka Al Black Monday on - High inflation (Fed NOT "in a hurry" to push more rate cuts) - Volume is decresing while price is increasing too fast. - NASDAQ:SOXX shows weakness Hopefully, NVDA holds at $116. Otherwise, it might gap down to fill at $95. Advise selling now and purchasing again at a lower price.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by sej4974
1
NVIDIA (NVDA) - Failed Bear Flag, Bullish Reversal in Play📉 Failed Bear Flag Pattern NVDA initially formed a bear flag, with a strong downward flagpole followed by consolidation in an upward-sloping channel. However, instead of breaking down as expected, the price reversed at the lower boundary, signaling bulls absorbing selling pressure. 📈 Breakout Potential The recent impulse move out of the flag formation aligns with a Wave 1 breakout, confirming a potential bullish trend. If the Wave 2 retracement holds above previous lows, NVDA could see a strong Wave 3 rally towards $130-$140. 🔍 Key Resistance & Confirmation Levels Immediate resistance around $122-$124 (previous highs & bear flag upper boundary). A break above $124 with volume could trigger further bullish momentum. Downside risk remains if NVDA re-enters the bear flag below $115. 🚀 Bullish Bias Unless Invalidated Given the failed bear flag breakdown and Elliott Wave structure, the bias shifts bullish towards higher highs. Watch for strong follow-through on Wave 3 to confirm this setup. 📊 Trade Plan: Entry: On pullbacks above $118-$120 Target: $130-$145 Stop: Below $115 💡 Let me know your thoughts! Do you agree with this bullish outlook? Don't forget, Patience is Paramount.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by PatienceIsParamount
2
Bitcoin - Bitcoin lost $100,000?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement in the supply zone will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. In the past trading week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw an inflow of $560 million, though this represents a significant decline compared to the previous two weeks. Meanwhile, as of January 31, 2025, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a minor outflow of $45 million, though this decline was not particularly drastic. At the same time, Standard Chartered Bank has advised investors in a new research note to view Bitcoin’s drop below $100,000 and the over 6% single-day decline in the crypto market as a buying opportunity. Jeff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, stated: “Hope is not a strategy.” He further explained: “When hope disappears, digital asset prices tend to fall by 10% to 20%.” Despite recent market volatility, Standard Chartered remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025. The bank’s research suggests that growing institutional interest could accelerate Bitcoin’s potential surge to $200,000 by the end of the year. Last week, Donald Trump fulfilled two key promises to the crypto industry: 1. Granting clemency to Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, who is regarded as a symbolic figure among Bitcoin and libertarian communities. 2.Signing an executive order on cryptocurrencies, which aims to enhance regulatory transparency for digital assets, promote stablecoins, prevent the debanking of the crypto sector, and ban the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). In parallel, Jeff Kendrick of Standard Chartered also warned investors to pay close attention to altcoins, referring to cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin that are expected to experience significant growth in the coming year. He stated: “As soon as we enter the second phase, in my view, the altcoin season will begin.” Kendrick further noted that institutional flows will primarily drive Bitcoin and Ethereum investments, partially offsetting the rotation into altcoins. Responding to the growing interest in Bitcoin and Solana, MetaMask is planning to expand beyond Ethereum. The company is currently working on integrating Bitcoin functionality while simultaneously exploring decentralized finance (DeFi) opportunities across multiple blockchain ecosystems. Meanwhile, Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick has identified the establishment of a state Bitcoin reserve as a top priority for 2025. Texas, already a pioneer in adopting Bitcoin at the state level, continues on this path despite challenges at the national level. If the proposal is approved, Texas will become the first U.S. state to hold Bitcoin as a financial reserve on its balance sheet, a move that could accelerate Bitcoin adoption within the U.S. financial system.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Is NVDA's $600 Billion Drop Due to DeepSeek?Is NVDA's $600 Billion Drop Due to DeepSeek? From my observation, the answer is no. NVIDIA had been experiencing continuous breakout growth for several months, reaching a double-top peak at the same time the AI wave was at its strongest. This led to the company's valuation multiplying several times from its lows. The $140+ range was around the peak valuation for NVDA. Therefore, in the next few months, a correction below $100 is inevitable. Even without DeepSeek, a similar event would have triggered this correction, as it is a natural phase for a company that has experienced such rapid and sustained growth. Framing it as an AI-driven narrative simply makes the situation more convincing. Looking at the chart, NVDA will likely top out, correct downward to form a bottom, then rebound to a new high before the larger 3M cycle correction begins.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by rainbow_sniper
Maybe it's time to revisit this chart along with $NVDAIf you bought NASDAQ:NVDA and you're nervous: First establish why you bought it first place? What was your trade plan at the time of the buy? Where was the planned Take Profit? Where was the planned Stop Loss? Are you still strictly following that plan right now? Did you buy it for short term hold or long term? If you bought it for long term and it's still within your trade plan then why worry or even think about it? If you bought it for short term then execute your trade plan, it's just a trade. If you broke all your rules and it's way below your planned Stop Loss and now you're looking around trying to find people who are hyping it up trying to make yourself feel better - don't do that, those people hyping it up are in loss with you as well. Check the image I added, detach yourself emotionally and review the chart to estabish where we might be position and what might come next then set up a strict plan to follow from here on.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ProfitTradeRoom
The West Innovates, but China COPY/PASTES Better...From Instagram/Youtube to Tik-Tok From OpenAI (closed AI) to China Free AI ... ''🇨🇳📋 China Doesn't Just Copy, They Paste Better! 🚀🤖'' What Just Happened? The DeepSeek AI shockwave just sent the US stock market into panic mode – wiping out hundreds of billions in value. Here’s the breakdown: DeepSeek, a Chinese AI company, built a ChatGPT rival using a fraction of the resources. They optimized their software rather than relying on NVIDIA’s expensive GPUs. NVIDIA lost $500B in market cap, as investors realized brute-force AI computing might not be the future. The US market tanked as the news spread – another case of China disrupting American tech. This isn't the first time we’ve seen this play out… China’s Playbook: Innovation Through “Pasting” We’ve seen this before: 'US Innovation' vs 'China’s “Better Cheaper” Version' Facebook / Instagram WeChat / Xiaohongshu YouTube Shorts Douyin (TikTok in China) Google Search Baidu ChatGPT (OpenAI) DeepSeek AI The pattern is simple: China doesn’t just copy – they optimize, scale, and outcompete. The US responds by banning them. And guess what? The ban playbook is coming back. OpenAI vs. China – The “Copy-Paste” Battle China isn’t just building ChatGPT clones – they’re making them free. DeepSeek AI is disrupting the AI race by offering competitive models at a fraction of the cost. TikTok destroyed Instagram Reels & YouTube Shorts → US tried to ban it. DeepSeek AI is now outperforming OpenAI on efficiency → What’s next? If history repeats itself, expect the US to start "national security" concerns about Chinese AI models soon. But the real reason? China is winning the innovation war. My Take: The Real Reason Behind “Free” AI Nothing in China is truly free. If they’re offering cutting-edge AI for nothing, the real cost is your data, ideas, and innovation. They’re not just training AI – they’re training on global users. By offering AI for free, they gather intelligence on how people build, create, and think. This isn’t just about AI models – it’s about controlling the future of tech. The US stock market just realized this, and so should you. 🚀 Watch how NVIDIA, OpenAI, and US regulators react in the coming weeks. A ban may be inevitable. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 ps. I am for sure NOT taking my AI innovation on a 'free- copy/paste is ok' place/ NOT Happening.
AMEX:CQQQLong
by FX_Professor
1
GBP/USD Resistance Rejection and Bearish OutlookGBP/USD is a forex pair representing the British Pound against the US Dollar. The current price is 1.24150, and the target price is 1.21000, indicating an expected decline. This suggests a bearish outlook, with a potential gain of 300+ pips if the price moves as anticipated. The analysis is based on support and resistance levels, key technical indicators in forex trading. The price is currently facing strong resistance, leading to a rejection at this level. A rejection from resistance often signals selling pressure, pushing prices downward. Traders expect the price to drop toward the next support level at 1.21000. The setup aligns with technical analysis, where resistance acts as a ceiling for price movements. If the resistance holds, further bearish momentum could drive the price lower. Risk management is essential, as price movements can be unpredictable.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2000 $CSCO vs 2025 $NVDA, is the similar crash possible?🚨 Could Nvidia be the next Cisco? 🚨 In 2000, Cisco dominated networking with its own chips. But competitors used cheaper, nearly as effective chips, and the stock dropped from $82 to $8 in just 2 years. Is the same fate possible for Nvidia? Cisco invested heavily in its IOS CLI and aggressively defended it. Nvidia did the same with CUDA, taking action against anyone trying to make alternatives. But now, competition is heating up. DeepSeek and other companies could lead those who over-invested in Nvidia chips on borrowed money to offload them, flooding the second-hand market with GPUs. Meanwhile, the Magnificent 7 might slow down orders since they already have tons of Nvidia chips stockpiled. Just like Cisco switches were 80% off in 2001, could we see a similar scenario with Nvidia? And let’s talk about the $2000 RTX 5090 — would you buy one today? Nvidia has committed huge resources to TSMC for chip production. They could be facing an overstock issue, and slashing prices could hurt profit margins. 😬 We will soon know the direction it will go, next few quarters will show us all.
NASDAQ:CSCO
by ProfitTradeRoom
NVIDIA Retesting The Resistance! Sell! Hello,Traders! NVIDIA gapped down massively On the DeepSeek news and Went further down after the Opening, but then a gap closing Move started and the price is now Retesting the horizontal resistance Around 130/132$ which also Happens to be the gap's opening Level so based on technical analysis We might be expecting a local Bearish pullback from the resistance Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TopTradingSignals
4
DeepSeek AI | TechStocks Crash | NVIDIA down -17%On Monday (yesterday), Wall Street reacted wildly with the release of Chinese AI app DeepSeek. Throughout the day, roughly 1 Trillion US Dollars was wiped from the stock market, largely from chip and tech stocks suck as Nvidia which caused a larger sell-off. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman called it an "impressive model" and POTUS Donald Trump said that it should be a "wakeup call for our industries". The bright side of this, is that there can be some excellent entry points found across the market after the sell-off. _______________ NASDAQ:NVDA
NASDAQ:NVDA
by CryptoCheck-
Nvidia's Largest Single-Day Decline and Its ImplicationsNvidia Experienced Its Largest Single-Day Decline on 27th Jan, tumbled 17%, erasing USD589B from its market capitalisation, it was the biggest in the US stock market history. What will be the implications? Last month, we discussed how the Nasdaq reached and responded well to the upper band of its parallel channel. Nvidia being one of the largest market cap stocks in Nasdaq. What will be Nasdaq’s performance like for the rest of the year? Let’s explore how we can include fundamental analysis to make sense of the situation. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures & Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
7
It Appears as though the Bullish Wedge is our most probable playTrading Fam, Time for my weekly update on the Bitcoin. A lot has occurred in the last week or so since I updated you all last, not least of which includes Deepseek AI FUD causing panic in the GPU and Power stock plays which has spilled over into our crypto space. But does this panic have merit or is this simply another retail bait, shaking out paper hands while whales continue to buy? The charts are showing me the latter is most probably true and news seems to support my thesis here as Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy acquired another 10,107 Bitcoin on the 26th of Jan. Previously, you will remember that I had spotted a potential H&S on the charts and had posted a caution in this regard as it had potential to play out. Shortly thereafter, I also spotted this bullish pendant at which point my bias became conflicted. Was Bitcoin going to pop or was it going to drop? We had to wait and observe further price action before it became clear. It now looks like our bulls maintained the greatest strength as we bounced off or our neckline, and broke up above our bullish wedge, hitting resistance at 106K. We then formed another bullish pennant smaller in size, dropped from that quickly to perfectly retest the topside of our larger bullish pennant, and then came back inside the wedge for further consolidation. If I am reading this chart correctly, our greatest probability now lies with the bulls breaking to the upside of the smaller wedge and retesting that 106K resistance level again. In time, I believe we'll break 106k to the upside and continue towards our target of 140k. Why 140k? When we broke above our bullish descending channel in Oct. of last year, we continued up until we hit a new high at 109k. This was our local top. We can now measure the distance from that break up (around 68k) to our new high at 109k. This same distance can be utiliized to give us a new target from our bullish wedge breakout. This fractal gives us a reasonable target of around 140k. Hope this makes sense. ✌️Stew
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
2
NVIDIA (NVDA): DeepSeek’s AI Shakeup Sends Nvidia PlummetingNvidia is down an astonishing 15% in just a few hours. The primary driver? Fundamentally, the announcement of Chinese startup DeepSeek has sent shockwaves through the market. This previously unknown company reportedly holds a significant number of Nvidia chips and claims to have developed an AI superior to ChatGPT with just a $6 million investment. This disrupts the entire tech landscape, as companies like Google and others are pouring billions into AI research and development. The news casts doubt on the competitive edge of industry giants, and Nvidia is caught in the crossfire, given its strong ties to AI development and chip demand. From a technical perspective, Nvidia recently respected the upper boundary of its volume profile but failed to break above it—a likely factor contributing to this sell-off, though the DeepSeek announcement remains the major catalyst. The price has now dropped back to the Point of Control (POC) at $120, leaving a significant gap behind. While a complete gap fill would be surprising in the short term, it’s not out of the question. However, we’re not looking to catch a falling knife here. Given the uncertainty around potential developments with DeepSeek, caution is important. Our current plan is as follows: We are keeping the stop-loss for our first position at $114.50 to limit risk. A second entry is being considered in the range between $111 and $106.70, as this aligns well with both the wave ((ii)) structure and the volume profile. This plan is not yet finalised, as we’re closely monitoring how the situation unfolds. For now, patience is key, given the volatility and the ongoing uncertainty.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
Is DeepSeek really a threat to Nvidia?There are so many opinions circulating the internet right now, that it is difficult to get our heads around. Here is our opinion on what could happen with NASDAQ:NVDA stock in the near future. Let us know what you think in the comments below. RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Marketscom
Did We Just Witness AI Black Monday? DeepSeek Shocks Tech StocksPanic sell, panic sell, panic sell! That’s basically how Monday went for Wall Street and those of you who hold Nvidia shares. Or just about any other tech stock — you name it, it likely fell nose first when a big and scary Chinese artificial intelligence startup unveiled its new AI model. DeepSeek. What in the world is DeepSeek and why do I hear about it now? DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence startup, may have just stripped Nvidia of its untouchable status as the go-to company that develops expensive chips to train AI models. DeepSeek announced it had trained its latest model, a rival of ChatGPT, for the negligible $5.6 million in computing costs. The story gets even crazier: it did it with 2,048 Nvidia H800 GPUs (bought before the US rolled out export restrictions). That’s a meager 5% of the $100 million OpenAI blew on training its GPT-4 model in late 2023. And, what’s even more, DeepSeek’s model, called R1, churns out responses that are scarily close to the advanced US-bred technology. Oh, and it’s open source, unlike OpenAI, which was originally open source but shut its doors to the public. It’s also free to use, unlike ChatGPT, which offers a paid tier between $240 and $2,400 a year. DeepSeek’s R1 model is quickly gaining traction among users as it made its way to the top of Apple’s App Store rankings. DeepSeek has factored in demand from corporations, too. While OpenAI hosts the model on its own platform, its Chinese rival allows you to host this beast on your own hardware, which is a big deal to lots of businesses that work with sensitive data. The stock market was so shocked by the news that you can get pretty much the same result for a fraction of the cost (and give it to users for free), it ran for the hills. The aftermath — Monday saw more than $1 trillion washed out from the valuation of the Magnificent Seven club. One company specifically took the biggest blow. Can DeepSeek deep-six Nvidia’s world dominance plans? Have companies been overpaying for Nvidia’s $30,000 chips? And have investors been overpaying for Nvidia’s shares? Nvidia NVDA pulled in a record $35 billion in Q3 , 2024 and struck a gross margin of 75% and net income of $20 billion. The Jensen Huang-led company on Monday showed it can also hit records in reverse. Closing down 17% for the cash session, it took the biggest L in history. This was the largest destruction of value for a single company ever — $589 billion . So why was Nvidia particularly hit by DeepSeek’s rise? Nvidia has been the primary beneficiary of the vast amounts of cash companies spent on AI. Simply because Nvidia makes the semiconductors used to train AI models. But if the same result (or just about the same) could be achieved through far less expensive means, why bother propelling Nvidia to the top echelon of the world’s biggest companies ? Nvidia has picked up roughly $131 billion over the past two years from the sale of data-center equipment, mostly AI chips. Its client list includes the biggest names in tech, such as Amazon AMZN , Microsoft MSFT , Meta META and Alphabet GOOGL . These four combined have shelled out $343 billion in AI-related capex (capital expenditures) over the past two years. Since the release of ChatGPT, Nvidia shares have surged more than 700%. Could we be looking at the good old supply and demand equation in play? If DeepSeek’s claims are true, and other companies can do the same (it’s an open-source model), then the scales could turn from undersupply to oversupply. Can we then see a market crash that’s beyond anything we’ve ever thought possible? Or is that freak-out an unjustified stretch? Share your thoughts in the comment section below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
15