Northop Grumman a buy near trend line supportDefense contractor Northop Grumman fell hard toward trend line support both before and after its earnings report last Friday, despite a solid beat of analyst expectations. The fall has occurred as analysts adjusted forward estimates of earnings and sales downward for the next two years. Despite the downward revisions, Northop Grumman remains a growth company, with PEG ratio of 1.8.
The share price has fallen much faster than earnings expectations, making NOC a very attractive buy as it approaches support. Let's look at NOC's current price ratios compared to its three-year median price ratios on earnings dates. Here is the implied upside from the current price ratio to the median price ratios on earnings dates over the last three years:
P/E: 21%
Fwd P/E: 18%
P/S: 17%
Fwd P/S: 21%
P/D: 17%
Fwd P/D: 23%
P/B: 31%
P/FCF: 81%
Sentiment on NOC is positive, with an 8.3/10 analyst summary score (average rating Buy). The news environment for the company is good, thanks to several US government contracts recently signed, and several others recently successfully completed. Open interest on NOC is about evenly split between bulls and bears, but the 30-day average of trading volume favors the bulls.
NOC is nearing support from July lows and a seven-month trend line. I will look to make a buy around 287.
Defense
ALSN wrong-way earnings move offers buying opportunityAllison Transmission annihilated analyst estimates for its earnings and revenue yesterday, spiking 10% after hours but falling during the daytime session today to below yesterday's close. Not only did Allison post a beat for the third quarter, but it has also seen upgrades to its earnings estimates for the next couple years. Allison also got recent good news when the US Army gave it an innovation award for onboard energy conversion in military tactical vehicles, and when Allison and IndyGo announced a partnership to build hybrid electric buses.
In P/E terms, Allison might look a little expensive. It's trading 27% above its median P/E on earnings dates over the last 3 years, 10% above its median forward P/E, and 8% above its median P/FCF. In forward P/S terms, however, it's cheap at 18% below the median. Likewise, it's 24% below the median P/D and P/B of the last three years. The somewhat higher P/E multiples are warranted because of growth expectations. With a PEG of 1.6, Allison is priced for growth.
Sentiment on Allison is fairly good, with about 11% upside to the average analyst price target, and a 7.7/10 analyst summary score (average rating "Buy"). Put/call ratios are bullish. In terms of technicals, Allison has dipped back below a trendline and dropped to a volume support node. Allison might get a bound from volume support here at 35.50, but it would be an even better buy if it dips to 32.
Stop loss our final DefenseHi guys im showing you today that stop loss are very important tool to help us set gauge when to stop in EURNZD trade. Also these are great factor to determine how much risk you ganna put, how much risk reward you ganna take, and how logical you ganna put it in the sense its not to tight and too wide. Hoping you'll be profitable :D. Comment down your suggestion down bellow. See yah next week
Trading within the rangeUsing previous candles to aid in understanding what the patterns have been within a certain underlying can assist in being able to identify high correlation areas that contain a greater probability of price action.
Using a mixture of fibonacci retracement tools, standard deviation and trend lines we can create a high correlation area that allows us to be able to have a target price with our trading strategy and exit price points as well.
Boeing Range boundStruggling to pick a direction many airlines stocks have been stuck in a range bound pattern which is also seen here in Boeing (BA). Currently back towards the center of the range there is an equal opportunity for both sides to see some price action. Although As volume starts to dwindle and less activity is seen for new orders of aircraft, the outlook is unclear for whats to come next.
Playing uncertainty in your favor can be of benefit when shorting options spreads.
RTX - LONG - 5YR+ HOLD - VALUE! NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR NOR IS THIS FINANCIAL ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE BUYING AND SELLING. TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK.
MILITARY INDUSTRY IS STEADY CONTRACTS -- EVEN DURING A PANDEMIC
SOLID TREND UPWARDS TOWARD ATH'S
TRADING AT A MASSIVE DISCOUNT -- 100%+ GAP BETWEEN ATH AND MARCH LOW
SL AT 56-52
T1 67
T2 75
T3 84
Applied ROC Strategy on Turkish Defense Company : AselsanAbout ROC Strategy :
Go Long when the ROC crosses above the Value of '0'
Short when the ROC crosses below the Value of '0'.
The strategy is a reversal strategy through the use of the 'Cover and go Long' and 'Close and go Short' Actions. The ROC property of 'Period' can be changed for testing purposes using the available ROC 'Factor'
Important Notice :
Although I publish this article in 30 mins period, the strategy works best with the intraday trading(1 min). If you decide to adapt this strategy to your Algo Trader, remind urselfs that %P&L for intraday is around ~8%. Also bear in mind the Turkish Stock Market Volatility plus any political related decisions on defense companies inside and outside the coutnry. The %P&L ratios has been calculated throug BackTesting&Optimizing on Bloomberg Terminal for July 2020.
The above references an opinion and is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Seek a duly licensed professional for investment advice.
Buy Lockheed (NYSE:LMT), Entry 361.30 SL 354.80,valid till 17JunLike other stocks (check out idea published on Boeing NYSE:BA by visiting our ideas) in Aerospace and Defense industry, LOCKHEED (NYSE:LMT) also has some path to move further up.
Coordinates are:-
Entry: 361.30
SL: 354.80
Target: trail the price
Valid till 17th June 2020
Holding Long on EmbraerLast month We looked at the potential of putting on out of the money calls for a small premium cost with an expiration date for late in the year.
As the price of ERJ hits the low of just $4 we are starting to see a bit of strength and support be met at that level. As we start to move up from the all time low looking to follow the trend line will be a strong indicator that momentum is on our side.
HoneywellAs a defense contractor and service provider to various industries they providing a wide range of products to their clients. They are having a slow recovery from the lows of 2020. Looking to reach back in previous trading ranges.