Dell Stock Under Pressure as AI Costs Weigh on MarginsShares of Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) slipped in premarket trading following the company’s latest earnings report, which signaled potential margin compression in its fiscal 2026 outlook. The decline comes despite robust AI server growth projections, highlighting a complex landscape of opportunities and challenges for the tech giant.
Margin Compression and Tariff Uncertainty Weigh on Sentiment
Dell's financial outlook raised investor concerns as the company forecasted a 100 basis-point decline in adjusted gross margins for fiscal year 2026. This pressure stems largely from rising costs associated with AI server expansion and soft PC demand, which continues to be a headwind.
AI Growth Provides a Silver Lining
Despite the margin headwinds, Dell remains a major player in the AI infrastructure space, forecasting an impressive 53% year-over-year surge in AI server shipments to $15 billion.
Earnings Beat But Revenue Miss
For the fourth quarter, Dell reported:
- Adjusted EPS of $2.68, exceeding estimates of $2.53 per share.
- Revenue of $23.93 billion, slightly below the expected $24.56 billion.
- Forecasted Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.65, below analyst estimates of $1.83.
- Projected revenue between $22.5 billion and $23.5 billion, missing expectations of $23.72 billion.
- Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS expected to be $9.30**, slightly above consensus at $9.29.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:DELL stock closed down 6.26% in Thursday’s session and extended losses in Friday’s premarket trading, currently down 2.23%. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 41.16, reflecting a weak technical setup.
If the post-earnings sentiment worsens, Dell’s 1-month low could serve as a critical support pivot. Conversely, a break above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could signal a bullish reversal, paving the way for a potential rebound.
Delllong
Dell Technologies going up after retracementAfter raising from 33$ to 180$ in a span of ~1.5 years, Dell technologies had a major correction to 0.618 fibonacci level in 2 months. Since then the stock has seen a steady move upward in a narrow channel. Fibonacci extension level of 1.618 indicates price target of 237$ for the next 1-2 years.
12/5/21 DELLDell Technologies Inc. ( NYSE:DELL )
Sector: Electronic Technology (Computer Processing Hardware)
Current Price: $58.48
Breakout price: $58.00 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $57.70-$55.90
Price Target: $64.20-$65.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 47-50d
Contract of Interest: $DELL 1/21/22 60c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.18/contract
10/17/21 DELLDell Technologies Inc. ( NYSE:DELL )
Sector: Electronic Technology (Computer Processing Hardware)
Current Price: $107.71
Breakout price trigger: $107.71 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $105.40-$102.90
Price Target: $111.00-$112.00 (1st), $124.00-$125.40 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 27-30d (1st), 145-150d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $DELL 11/19/21 110c, $DELL 4/14/22 115c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.17/cnt, $5.55/cnt
Dell: Next Retracement Wave: Take Profit at $48First off, please don't take anything I say seriously. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said, let me get into a few insights. I believe that Dell looks like it may be on a bullish or breakout period for a retracement wave from March's bearish "panic sell decline". This is a guess that I am taking given the Covid19 period and the patterns prior. I believe it is about to pass its $48 threshold and then continue to a similar pattern upwards towards is February price. Its looks like a climb may be happening.