DELL Stock Price Analysis Ahead of Earnings ReleaseDELL Stock Price Analysis Ahead of Earnings Release
In addition to Nvidia’s (NVDA) quarterly report, this week financial market participants are also closely watching Dell Technologies’ (DELL) earnings release, scheduled for Thursday, 29 May, after the close of the trading session.
According to analysts cited by the media:
→ the company’s revenue is expected to come in at $23.18 billion (compared to $22.24 billion in the same period last year, and $23.9 billion in the previous quarter);
→ particular attention will be paid to Dell’s business segment focused on manufacturing servers for AI applications.
Notably, DELL’s price chart shares several similarities with the NVDA chart we analysed yesterday.
Technical Analysis of DELL’s Share Price
Price movements have formed a downward channel (shown in red) that has remained valid since 2024. In a broader context, it resembles a bullish flag pattern, which typically signals the potential continuation of an uptrend — a scenario that seems increasingly likely given the following:
→ the DELL’s price is currently near the upper boundary of the channel;
→ the May price rally suggests strong demand for DELL shares. Note the confident breakout above the psychologically significant $100 level (highlighted by the arrow), accompanied by a bullish gap and a series of rising candlesticks.
It is possible that the upcoming earnings report will act as a catalyst, enabling the bulls to gather momentum and attempt a breakout from the prevailing downward channel.
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Dellstock
Dell Stock Under Pressure as AI Costs Weigh on MarginsShares of Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) slipped in premarket trading following the company’s latest earnings report, which signaled potential margin compression in its fiscal 2026 outlook. The decline comes despite robust AI server growth projections, highlighting a complex landscape of opportunities and challenges for the tech giant.
Margin Compression and Tariff Uncertainty Weigh on Sentiment
Dell's financial outlook raised investor concerns as the company forecasted a 100 basis-point decline in adjusted gross margins for fiscal year 2026. This pressure stems largely from rising costs associated with AI server expansion and soft PC demand, which continues to be a headwind.
AI Growth Provides a Silver Lining
Despite the margin headwinds, Dell remains a major player in the AI infrastructure space, forecasting an impressive 53% year-over-year surge in AI server shipments to $15 billion.
Earnings Beat But Revenue Miss
For the fourth quarter, Dell reported:
- Adjusted EPS of $2.68, exceeding estimates of $2.53 per share.
- Revenue of $23.93 billion, slightly below the expected $24.56 billion.
- Forecasted Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.65, below analyst estimates of $1.83.
- Projected revenue between $22.5 billion and $23.5 billion, missing expectations of $23.72 billion.
- Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS expected to be $9.30**, slightly above consensus at $9.29.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:DELL stock closed down 6.26% in Thursday’s session and extended losses in Friday’s premarket trading, currently down 2.23%. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 41.16, reflecting a weak technical setup.
If the post-earnings sentiment worsens, Dell’s 1-month low could serve as a critical support pivot. Conversely, a break above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could signal a bullish reversal, paving the way for a potential rebound.