MSFT. Forecast especially for my beloved brotherEspecially for my beloved brother, who likes Microsoft (MSFT) stocks.
On the weekly chart, we have a sideways pattern. The price has played out vector 10-11 and is currently forming a bearish vector 11-12 within the sideways range.
The daily chart also shows a sideways pattern. The bearish vector 9-10 has been technically played out. However, a significant selling zone has formed almost throughout the sideways range, triggered by the candle on 25.10.23, which incidentally had the highest trading volume in the last 3 months. The zone was tested by the candle on 27.10.23, The seller resumed from the zone, as indicated by the candle's wick.
The most likely scenario is for the price to break out of the daily sideways range to the downside (lower boundary at 324.39), protect this breakout, and play out the bearish vector of the weekly sideways pattern.
Targets for short positions:
309.5 - the lower boundary of the weekly sideways pattern.
295 - the extremum pierced by the candle on April 24, 2023.
275 - the buyer's zone at the lower boundary of the monthly sideways pattern.
If a buyer emerges at the lower boundary of the weekly sideways range, targets 2 and 3 may become irrelevant.
Good luck with your trading!
Disclaimer:
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations.
The trading or investment ideas presented here are for illustrative purposes only and are an integral part of a case study demonstrating the concepts of using volume to analyze or trade within the market scenarios discussed.
Demand Zone
S&P500: Reaccumulation and Outlook for End of 2023Following the significant downturn of the S&P500 yesterday, the forecasts I set out on October 23rd are taking shape. I had hinted at the potential outlook of a market correction in the last week of October, and now, we find ourselves in a critical zone that could signal a reaccumulation period for institutional investors. Below, I illustrate the technical and fundamental reasons that strengthen this theory:
COT Report Analysis: A look at the Commitment of Traders (COT) report highlights that Asset Managers added approximately 500,000 long positions in the week of May 2, 2023. Conversely, Dealers, operating as market makers, accumulated about 300,000 short positions. This indicates potential reaccumulation in this price area, especially considering the POC (Point of Control) of the volume profile, which currently marks 4143.00.
Historical Trends: Historically, September has been a tumultuous month for stock markets, with October often following a similar trajectory, albeit less accentuated. However, the months of November and December tend to reverse this trend, often bringing optimism and rallies to the markets. This tendency could be further amplified by the upcoming quarterly results from Nvidia and the expected data on the Core CPI, which could indicate a reduction in inflation, given the persistence of high interest rates.
10-Year Treasury Movement: The curve of the 10-year US Treasury bond is showing signs of exhausting its bullish trend, having recently touched 5%. While it could reach higher levels, I see this escalation as increasingly improbable.
CBOE Skew Analysis: The CBOE skew index, a market asymmetry indicator, has shown a marked decrease, currently standing at 132. This suggests a possible reduction in the perceived market risk, hinting at the idea of an impending rally.
In conclusion, based on my market analysis and knowledge, I am inclined to maintain a positive outlook for November and December. It's interesting to note that, from my perspective, the current price of the S&P500 is balanced compared to the lows of October 2022, suggesting that the idea of an imminent rally is not out of the question. However, as always, it's essential to operate with caution and information, as market forecasts inherently carry risks and uncertainties.
Crude oil. Is it time to buy?On the daily chart, the price is in a sideways range. The short vector 5-6 has been played out. Yesterday's candle broke the test level (84.39) of the daily buyer zone on volume.
On the hourly chart, there is a trend. The level of 86.3 serves as support for the short trend. After breaking the daily level of 84.39, accumulation takes place.
Since the short vector in the daily range has been played out, it's worth considering long positions to play out the long vector 6-7.
Aggressive local purchases can be sought above the level of the daily test at 84.39 if the price exits upwards from the accumulation, stabilizes for an hour above 84.39, and is then protected by the buyer.
Systemic local purchases are advisable to look for when the price overcomes the support level of the short trend on the hourly chart (86.3), and then the buyer protects this level.
Local sales can be sought from the protection of the seller at 84.39, if during the attack on this level, the buyer cannot absorb the last successful candle of the seller (time: 11-00).
Good luck in trading!
Disclaimer:
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations.
The trading or investment ideas presented here are for illustrative purposes only and are an integral part of a case study demonstrating the concepts of using volume to analyze or trade within the market scenarios discussed.
S&P 500 Index. There is no buyer nowOn the daily chart, the price is at the lower boundary of the sideways range. Yesterday's trading day favored the buyer with decreasing volume.
On the hourly chart, the buyer resumed from the key impulse bar and twice attempted to breach the level of 4259.2 on volume but failed to do so effectively (failed to close an hourly candle above the level).
The buyer has not made a strong presence yet.
As mentioned earlier, local sales yesterday were observed from the level of 4259.2. For systemic sales, it is advisable to wait for the price to interact with the daily candle of October 19, 2023. Or after a successful breakout of the lower limit of the daily range and the seller defending this breakout.
Local purchases can be sought upon the buyer's protection level at the lower boundary of the daily range: 4217.4. Targets are 4259.2, 4269.9.
Good luck in trading!
Disclaimer:
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations.
The trading or investment ideas presented here are for illustrative purposes only and are an integral part of a case study demonstrating the concepts of using volume to analyze or trade within the market scenarios discussed.
S&P 500 Index. Will there be a buyer?On the daily chart, the price interacted with the lower boundary of the sideways range on decreasing volume. The buyer has not yet made a strong presence.
On the hourly chart, a buyer's zone has formed at the lower boundary of the sideways range.
It is more favorable to seek short positions from the daily candle of October 19, 2023, as previously mentioned. Local sales can also be considered after the seller's protection of 4238.4 or 4259.2. Targets are 4217, 4204, and possibly an update of local lows. One should observe how the price passes through the buyer's zones.
Local purchases can be sought upon the resumption of the buyer from the buyer's zone at the lower boundary of the sideways range. Protection level 4217.4 or 4204.3. Targets are 4238.4, 4259.2."
Good luck in trading!
Disclaimer:
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations.
The trading or investment ideas presented here are for illustrative purposes only and are an integral part of a case study demonstrating the concepts of using volume to analyze or trade within the market scenarios discussed.
BTCUSDT. The buyer is currently stronger.The daily candle on October 22, 2023, closed above 29695, making it more favorable to look for long positions at the beginning of the week. As a result, on the daily chart, the price has effectively exited the sideways range.
As long as the price on the daily chart remains above the boundary of the range, it is preferable to seek long positions, assuming that the buyer will defend the exit from the sideways range. If the price on the daily chart returns to the range, it becomes more favorable to look for short positions after protecting the upper boundary of the sideways range.
On the hourly chart, there is an ongoing long-term trend. Long positions can be considered upon buyer protection of their areas of interest in the last impulse, such as 32500 or 31804. If the buyer shows a new impulse, long positions can be sought from the buyer's areas in the new impulse. Sales are advisable to consider only when the price on the daily chart returns to the sideways range.
Good luck in trading!
Disclaimer:
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations.
The trading or investment ideas presented here are for illustrative purposes only and are an integral part of a case study demonstrating the concepts of using volume to analyze or trade within the market scenarios discussed.
Bullish Trend Perspective
Weekly analysis indicates a sustained bullish trend for EURUSD.
Trading Strategy:
Monitoring the 1-hourly chart for a potential Bullish Bat Pattern with an entry point at 1.0533.
Cautionary Note:
It's crucial to observe that point C touches point A in the formation of the Bat Pattern. This warrants caution and prevents me from placing a pending order to engage the trade.
Remember to conduct your own due diligence and manage risks appropriately. Happy Trading!
S&P 500 IndexOn the weekly chart, there was a sideways range from which a trend emerged (two impulses). Price returned to this sideways range five weeks ago, and no weekly candle has managed to close above the range boundary. There is a high probability that the price will test the lower boundary of the range at 3636.
On the daily chart, the price is within a sideways range, and after manipulation at the upper boundary of the range at point 2, the price reached the lower boundary. After interacting with the price at 4204.3, it may be possible to assess the presence of buyers.
Sales can be considered from the daily candle on 19.10.2023, which serves as protection against exiting the range at the upper boundary of the daily sideways range. For example, when the level at 4278.6 is protected by sellers. Alternatively, sales can be considered after breaking below the lower boundary of the range (4204.3) and protecting the breakdown by sellers.
Buying opportunities can be sought after buyers appear and protection occurs at level 4204.3.
Good luck in trading!
Disclaimer:
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations.
The trading or investment ideas presented here are for illustrative purposes only and are an integral part of a case study demonstrating the concepts of using volume to analyze or trade within the market scenarios discussed.
PancakeSwap CAKE - The Road to $150PancakeSwap is the place you trust when it comes to swapping your AltCoins.
Its symbol: CAKE ( CAKEUSD , CAKEBUSD , CAKEUSDT ).
If you take a look at this one, it's a no-brainer.
Things are looking up.
Although the Crypto Markets have been smashed lately, the Sun will shine on almost all projects.
And I intend to be ready. Got myself a portfolio and adding gently to it on most big dips.
HODLing requires patience, but time passes anyway, so might as well do something with it.
My next buying point is: $1.2 .
So, let's ramp things up with some awesome CAKE Trade Idea.
CAKEBUSD Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Cycle a (white)
* A-B-C Elliott Wave Correction: Primary A-B-C (red)
* Ending Diagonal in Primary C (red)
* Bullish Divergence
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* 61.8% Fibonacci Extension of Primary A &B (red)
* Demand Zone
* Double Bottom
Early '23 I'm expecting a start of a greater cycle.
Good luck HODLers!
E-MINI S&P 500. Education. Situation analysisIn keeping with the idea outlined in the linked post, I wrote about the possibility of an aggressive short trade from the 4340.75 defense. Such an opportunity did indeed arise. Explanations for the diagram.
After the seller defended the level, the price updated the local minimum, which means it reached the mandatory target for a short trade. Since the deal was considered aggressive, it had no further development.
Then the price reached another level of 4351, and from the protection of this level by the seller, a full-fledged short movement began
Good luck in trading!
Disclaimer:
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations.
The trading or investment ideas presented here are for illustrative purposes only and are an integral part of a case study demonstrating the concepts of using volume to analyze or trade within the market scenarios discussed.
Following H4 demandPrice is reacting to H4 demand, the goal is to follow it.
If it breaks this level, it will increase the chance of a deeper pb on the daily timeframe. If that's going to happen, I believe it should be during major high impact news, such as CPI next week.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
XAUUSD Possible tradesHi Guys I'm back with Analysis on Gold this time.
Last Friday gold touched major supply zone around 1930 and started selling off. It was a perfect opportunity since we had a supply area + trendline, a perfect confluence. Now we could wait for the area to be tested second time and upon reaching there make sure you get the confirmation in lower time frames.
Below the current market price we have multiple areas of demand which the immediate one is 1907 that has been tested once on last Friday and this could be the second time. Again make sure you check for the confirmation in lower time frames.
Beneath our immediate demand level there are other demand zones which you could take trades should price reach there.
Just like always I'll try to keep it simple.
Be honorable
POSSIBLE TRADESHere are possible BTC trades which could be taken. At the extreme point we have an supply area which has been tested once and strong rejection is an indication of major sellers there. next time the price gets there we could take a short for the second run.
Below the current market price we have multiple demand levels which could be potential places to go long. Our immediate demand level has been tested many times already and taking a trade upon this level requires more insight which could be evident provided that you check lower time frames.
Lower demand levels could also turn into lucrative opportunities to go long. Just make sure you have those areas on your chart and upon reaching act based on your own entry setup.
Be Honorable
XAUUSD ↗️↗️ Demand zone+ oversold Hello Everyone 🙋🏽♂️
As we could see the price hit the demand zone with an oversold on the RSI, with a Bullish Doji Star . Strong buy .
in my opinion 🔴 Stop loss 1800
🟢Take profit 1 1850
🟢Take profit 2 1900
We are not responsible of any losses for anyone, our trades are profitable more for long terms and we take losses as everyone,
manage your lot size as well and your SL and TP
Don't forget to hit the like bottom and write a comment to support us.
Follow us for more 🙋🏻♂️
Best Regard / EMA Trading .
Disclaimer:
----------------
It's not a financial advise, As everyone we take losses sometime but for long term trading we are profitable traders, so manage your account well with SL and TP and your lot size to keep your account safe and stay in the market .
AUDNZD I Strong Demand Level AheadWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDNZD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!