AUDJPY - LONG idea after reach supply zoneAfter a bullish rally for the AUD there was a correction which wasn't reach 0.5 FIBO. Now the price is moving to down side which is positive for JPY. It is good idea to look for double bottom combined with candlestick pattern ot diviregence on some of oscillators and the entry could be a good for long position. Very important is that we expect new for the AUD which could have significant effect.
Demand Zone
EURNZD wating for Eurozone dataAfter forming of the desceding channel the price reached to supply zone combine with resistance line. The resistance line is not so hard because the prices have touched it only 2 time and now is the 3rd. Everything depends on the data which eurozone will share. If they are positive for the EUR then may be after a retest, an idea for long position will be great. If the news are bad for EUR then a short position will be good.
AUDJPY - risky SHORT ideaAfter a breaking of the main bullish trend, there is a quick short movement. The price did a correction to 0.5 of Fib + supply zone combined with resistance line. This could be followed by a quick short movement to demand zone where doble bottom could be formed. There is a risk because the main movement is upwards and the correction of the main movement was done to 0.5 Fib and demand zone. This is only idea with educational character.
EUR/USD Longs from 1.08200 or 1.07800 back upMy idea for EU at the moment is for it to push higher in order to take out the trendline liquidity that sits above. I expect price to do a similar move to GU in which I expect a bit more upside left to validate this newly marked out 4 hourly demand. Then I anticipate a pullback within this demand to take out liquidity above and tap into the 12hr supply zone that I have marked out above.
From there I will be expecting bullish pressure to die down and form a wyckoff distribution. Once I see my edge appear on the lower time frame I will execute sells back down to continue the overall trend.
Confluences for Buys are as follows:
- Price has left lots of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken I.e. like trend lines.
- Supply zone above that needs to be mitigated so still more upside left.
- A 4-hour demand zone has emerged, from which we could witness a bullish response.
- price has changed character and broke structure to the upside before as well.
P.S. This is only a temporary trend notion until a new supply zone materialises for me to consider selling price back down. However, selling opportunities don't appear optimal due to the significant liquidity around the current price.
Have a great trading week! NFP on Friday I advise to preserve capital and stay away that day.
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26200 back up to 1.27400I still maintain a bearish outlook on GU; however, there's significant liquidity gathering around the marked trendline above. Consequently, I anticipate this liquidity to be taken out first, creating a CHOCH to the upside. Once this transition occurs, I expect a retracement back to the newly identified 4hr demand zone.
This temporary upward movement is envisioned to enable price to address the existing imbalance fully, eventually reaching the 20hr supply zone where potential selling opportunities lie. I'll be monitoring for the emergence of a Wyckoff distribution pattern within that zone, signalling the continuation of the bearish trend.
Confluences for longs are as follows:
- Price has swept liquidity now pushing higher with momentum.
- There's a new 4 hourly demand zone that has been created.
- lots of liquidity to the upside like asian highs and trendline liquidity.
- For price to continue going down I see imbalance getting filled as well as the 20hr supply being respected.
P.S.This is a temporary idea that I have but I wouldn't be shocked if this recently established 4hr zone is breached, potentially reaching the 10hr demand zone I've identified below. However, considering that price has now cleared out liquidity, I anticipate further upward momentum for now.
Have a great trading week guys!
GOLD BULLISH RALLY (buys from 2040 possibly)Last week, my gold analysis unfolded precisely as expected. However, following the reaction outlined in scenario (B), news on Friday at 3 pm triggered an upward rally, clearing out considerable liquidity and potential supply zones. This further solidifies my bullish bias, and I now anticipate a retracement due to the significant imbalance left behind by the price movement.
My strategy is to await a retracement to one of the marked demand zones, where I anticipate a Wyckoff accumulation to occur. Subsequently, I plan to buy back up to sustain this bullish trend. It appears that price has established an Asian high above, and the wick left from the all-time high needs to be filled.
Confluences for GOLD Buys are as follows:
- price changed character and broke structure the upside.
- Overall trend of the market is bullish so its a pro trend idea.
- Equal highs left now and there's still asian high that needs to be taken.
- Imbalances left below so expect price to retrace before making another rally.
- New demand zones has been left around the regions of 2040.000 for potential buys.
P.S. Since there's no available supply for selling, I'll either wait for price to establish a new supply zone, from which we can temporarily initiate sells downward, or I'll look for a correction to form around the 2040 area for potential buying opportunities.
Have a great trading week ahead guys and be cautious of this weeks news!
US30 STILL VERY BULLISH (buys from 38500.0 back up)US30 continues to appear bullish to me, and I anticipate a temporary retracement to eventually mitigate the daily demand zone I've identified. Within this zone, there's also an Asian low that I expect to be taken out through a spring from a Wyckoff accumulation.
Once this occurs, price would have reached the refined 10-hour demand zone, where I plan to enter buy positions, potentially leading to a new bullish rally and the creation of new highs. However, I'll be keeping an eye on NFP Friday to see its impact on the Dow Jones, which promises to be interesting!
Confluences for US30 sells are as follows:
- Price has formed a daily demand zone that could cause another bullish rally for us30.
- Trend line liquidity forming just before the demand which I see as a trap for early buyers.
- Liquidity to the upside still left and overall market trend is very bullish.
- Price has broken structure the upside on the higher time frame confirming trend.
P.S. Should price opt to breach the entire daily demand zone during NFP week to eliminate the liquidity beneath it, I anticipate a temporary bearish sentiment, given that it would have violated significant downside structure.
HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK AND BE CAUTIOUS OF NFP FRIDAY!
GBPUSD These are the zones I will be looking for in GU! GU has not shown me any strength to the upside lately, so as long we are respecting the supply and demand zones we can sell and buy. The week is gonna show us some potential moves based on the news from the dollar. So respect the news, check the data and the zones, and trade outside the news. News can bring both good and bad trading conditions. Remember to stay disciplined and don't try your luck instead try your edge! If you do that, the results can be rewarding!
GOLD Bull trainWe can see that gold seeks the buysideliqidity, which would mean some bullish pressure. I have these demand zones that would be premium buys, but we also have to consider the huge imbalance price created this past friday! Confluences for buys is!
- Gold is very bullish on the higher timeframe and we have predicted it to smash some new highs in the future!
- Gold recently took out the all time highs and then had a retracement that we now see has turned bullish again.
- Gold nicely reacted to 4h demand zone and then turned bullish
- Gold has been sweeping old highs liq
GBPJPY SHORT IDEAAfter a good movement for the GBP there was a slightly bear movement in the last days of this week. There was one new small bear canal which has been forming during the last days. As the last candle from Friday 01.03.2024 was a bear with a significant movement for JPY we could start looking for a short idea. The best variant to enter in a position will be after a successful retest of the demand zone which now we can consider as a supply one. It is not a good idea directly to enter in the short position because we do not have a confirmation if the zone is becoming supply.
GUMy Zones for GU this week is just some simple supply and demand zones and some liquidity zones. I will be watching orderflow closely when i enter trades since we begin to slow down a bit in price action and are in a range. I will be using the daily and weekly open as extra confluence as usual for my day-to-day setups and the zones for a Wyckoff schematic setup.
Bad earnings good opportunityThe market punished this one after earnings call. Price just landed on a support zone. Look how it went up from the trendline the last two times. Very aggressively. If you can to speculate open a small position. Or wait for a set in lower timeframes. I'll keep it in my watch list.
HDFCLIFE NEAR ENTRY LEVELSHDFCLIFE is currently trading near an Good Quality Hourly Demand Zone which is again close to an Weekly Demand Zone ( making the entry zone even more reliable).
The Opposing / Target zones T1 and T2 (both previously tested) have been marked in the image with levels and price movement should be observed around those levels.
Stop loss has not been mentioned but should be 3% from the lower level of the entry zone i.e. 562 - 3% = 545 (on closing basis in Hourly tf)
Note - Please do your own analysis before taking any kind of positions
USDJPY SHORT SETUPSetting up a short on USDJPY, after a bear trend day market has finally retraced and reached a decent supply a demand zone which based on Price action there are sellers willing to enter the market, I am waiting for price to break previous swing high and tap into liquidity to then go short.
MCDOWELL-N: Riding the Upward Wave! Analyzing for Potential GainHello traders,
Following the positive response to last week's study on AARTIIND , let's delve into another promising stock: NSE:MCDOWELL_N (United Spirits).
📈 Uptrend Observation: MCDOWELL-N has been exhibiting a consistent upward trajectory, bouncing off demand zones and charting higher.
⚖️ Strategic Entry Points: Anticipating potential upward movements, especially as it tests the demand zone below the CMP (Current Market Price).
💹 Derivative Trading: Derivative traders, consider the 1100CE option for liquidity. Monitor spot prices and buy the premium at opportune moments.
📅 February Forecast: With heightened volatility expected in February due to budget considerations, a watchful eye on market dynamics is crucial.
🧐 Trade Caution: Remember, my analysis is a guide, not a directive. Conduct thorough research before making any trading decisions.
📌 TradingView Wisdom: As TradingView says, "Look first, then leap."
🙏 Thank You: Grateful for your support! See you in the next post.
Best regards,
Alpha Trading Station
FCEL Energy Penny Stock Buy the near term Bottom LongFCEL a penny alternative energy stock is at a near-term bottom sitting at the POC line
of the volume profile and a standard deviation below the intermediate-term mean VWAP
about a month out from a good earnings beat. Given the current administrations unwavering
support for green enerby sometimes with grants subsidies and other hand- outs I see FCEL
as getting some trader attention of the good kind unlike PLUG which announced a large public
offering to dilute investors. FCEL could steal some of those investors. The supertrend indicator
is signaling a reversal at the confluence of the POC line with the VWAP band as
mentioned. My target is the mean VWAP at 1.50 for about 35% upside with a stop loss at
the recent pivot low of $1.09 making for a reward-to-risk ratio of better than 6.
I see this as a swing trade with potentially 75 days in front of it given the earning report
for 24Q1 is due a bit beyond that and best risk management would be to take a partial
and size down going into earnings.
Alchemix ($ALCX) Bullish OutlookAlchemix ($ALCX) is so undervalued right now, a hidden gem of De-Fi projects.
Falling wedge spotted in 1W time frame, if the price break the swing high then we are good to go. My target is the first major resistance/supply area around 250-400 USD. Don't miss out on this, atleast buy some small amount you will thank yourself in the future.
GOLD|Weekly roadmap and important areasHello, I hope you are doing well
We see gold chart in 1 hour time frame.
We saw a drop for gold on Friday after the nfp data release.
Further, selling pressure on gold has been maintained and managed to break the important demand area downwards.
At the moment, we are on the demand zone, where we have to wait for this candle to close.
If candlestick or price patterns are formed, we can enter buying positions.
If this area breaks down, it is the next demand area (2011-2008).
Supply areas (2042-2039) and 2047 range are valid areas to check the price in this area.