XAU/USD SELL - 07/02/2024Dear Students,
I trust you're all eager to explore the fascinating world of trading. Today, I want to walk you through the rationale behind a hypothetical sell position in gold in 2051, leveraging a supply zone strategy.
1. Identifying the Historical Supply Zone:
Upon thorough analysis of historical price charts, a prominent supply zone was identified at the price level of 2051. This zone represented a region where sellers historically dominated, creating a robust resistance level that had consistently held over time.
2. Technical Analysis:
The decision to initiate a sell position was heavily influenced by technical indicators. The presence of the supply zone, coupled with other bearish technical signals like overhead resistance, reversal candlestick patterns, or negative momentum indicators, provided a compelling case for a potential downward movement in gold prices.
3. Fundamental Analysis:
Fundamental factors were also considered in conjunction with the technical signals. If economic conditions, central bank policies, or geopolitical events aligned with the technical signals within the supply zone, it bolstered the conviction behind the sell decision.
4. Global Economic Conditions:
Understanding the broader economic landscape was pivotal. Factors such as interest rate decisions, economic indicators, and currency movements that interacted with the supply zone were carefully analyzed to anticipate potential catalysts for a downward price movement.
5. Market Sentiment and Supply Zone Dynamics:
The supply zone wasn't just a technical level; it also resonated with market sentiment. If there were indications of increased selling interest or a shift in sentiment aligning with the supply zone, it added another layer of confidence to the sell decision.
6. Diversification within the Supply Zone:
Initiating the sell position within the supply zone was strategic for portfolio diversification. By entering the market at a historically significant level, the trade aimed not only for potential profits but also to minimize risks associated with potential market reversals.
7. Short-Term Perspective:
This sell position was approached with a short-to-medium-term perspective, anticipating a potential price decline within the context of the identified supply zone.
8. Risk Management within the Supply Zone:
Robust risk management strategies were integral to this hypothetical trade. Setting stop-loss orders and closely monitoring price movements within the supply zone were paramount to control potential losses.
Remember, this discussion is intended for educational purposes, and trading decisions should be based on a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental factors. If you have any questions or would like further clarification, feel free to reach out.
Happy learning,
Demand Zone
XAU/USD LongDear Students,
I hope this message finds you engaged and ready to delve into the intricacies of trading. Today, I want to walk you through the thought process behind a hypothetical buy position in gold in 2019, with a focus on utilizing a demand zone strategy.
1. Identifying the Historical Demand Zone:
In 2019, as we reviewed historical price charts, it became apparent that there was a well-defined demand zone for gold. This zone represented a price range where buyers consistently stepped in, creating a support level that had proven resilient over time.
2. Technical Analysis:
The decision to enter a buy position was significantly influenced by technical indicators. The demand zone, coupled with other technical signals like bullish candlestick patterns or positive momentum indicators, provided a compelling case for a potential upward movement in gold prices.
3. Fundamental Analysis:
Fundamental factors were also taken into account. If economic conditions, central bank policies, or geopolitical events aligned with the technical signals within the demand zone, it strengthened the conviction behind the buy position.
4. Global Economic Conditions:
Understanding the broader economic environment was crucial. Factors such as interest rate decisions, economic indicators, and currency movements that interacted with the demand zone were carefully considered in the analysis.
5. Market Sentiment and Demand Zone Interaction:
The demand zone wasn't just a technical level; it also resonated with market sentiment. If there were indications of increased buying interest or a shift in sentiment aligning with the demand zone, it added another layer of confidence to the buy decision.
6. Diversification within the Demand Zone:
The demand zone served as a strategic entry point, allowing for diversification within the portfolio. By entering the market at a historically significant level, the trade aimed not only for potential profits but also to minimize risks associated with volatile market conditions.
7. Long-Term Perspective:
This buy position was approached with a long-term perspective. The demand zone, being a historically robust support level, suggested the potential for a sustained upward movement in gold prices over an extended period.
8. Risk Management within the Demand Zone:
Risk management strategies were integral to this hypothetical trade. Setting stop-loss orders and closely monitoring the price action within the demand zone were essential to ensure that potential losses were limited.
Remember, this discussion is intended for educational purposes, and trading decisions should be based on a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental factors. If you have any questions or would like further clarification, feel free to reach out.
Happy learning,
DONT MISS THE BUY Title: Gold Buy Opportunity: Targeting 200 Pips Move with Strategic Entry and Exit Points
Description:
📈 Trade Setup: We've identified a promising buying opportunity for Gold with a target range set between 2030-2028. Keep a close eye on the extreme level at 2024-2022, as this marks a critical demand zone.
🎯 Target Profits: Our goal is to capture a 200 pips move, and we've pinpointed a potential H4 pullback around 2048-2050 as an opportune entry point.
📉 Risk Management: To mitigate risks, it's crucial to set stop-loss levels and closely monitor price action. Discipline and adherence to your trading strategy are key.
🔍 Technical Analysis: The analysis indicates a favorable setup, aligning with potential market trends. However, always remain vigilant to market changes and adapt your strategy accordingly.
Happy Trading! 🌐📈 #Gold #TradingOpportunity #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement
Long Trade Opportunity on Bullish Gartley PatternFor those who are bullish on GBP and bearish on AUD, the suggested pair for trading and going long is GBPAUD.
The trader is looking to long GBPAUD on a Bullish Gartley Pattern that is expected to complete at 1.9261.
Emphasizing the importance of having a personal trade plan and trading accordingly.
What's your trade plan for GBPAUD?
Gold lookoutI haven't been trading gold lately, bc of the All-time high being swept and by that gold followed some harder PA. I currently think gold is still bullish and that it could be a nice correlation between a potential DXY bearishness. Here are some zones i will have lookout for for some potential long moves or quick scalps! If this idea should be valid i would like to see price move below the weekly open immediately at the beginning of the week and then start to gain momentum later on in the week! Usually Wednesdays and Thursdays presents us the low or high of the week so that would be a nice confluence! i will be checking the daily and weekly open as i look in too these potenial buys! PEACE
Looking bullish on CVNA very soon!
As you can see here we have NYSE:CVNA on the 4 hour chart. We have 4 confluences, we have the 200 MA, support, a demand zone and we are trending upwards on the weekly all showing we shall go up. Now, all I am looking for is a strong green heikin ashi candlestick to break this trendline with valid volume. I would be targeting the nearest supply zone around the 49 dollar area. I do not set an actual TP but I do set a 50% SL. But of course only risk what you are willing to lose and swing trading is very risky. I would look to swing trade this stock to the upside! Thank you as always and please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post! Until next time, God bless.
Kadena ($KDA) - Flush the lows and run it upKadena is prepping for a flush of the lows in my opinion, but what comes after is what I am after.
Watching for a flush soon, then my trigger is a reclaim of the range low above green and continued strength thereafter, not weakness.
A move back to the range eq is significant, this is a large range currently in a re-accumulation-like phase of the cycle for Kadena and lots of other Alts.
Long-term green zone looks like a buy, short term I would wait for a flush and take it to the range eq.
My thoughts for now.
Vatsik
Support and Resistance VS Supply and Demand. Important Lesson
In the today's post, I will compare support and resistance levels with supply and demand zones.
I will explain to you the difference between them and share important tips and examples.
What are support and resistance levels?
We also call them key levels. These are particular levels on a price chart from where in the past we saw significant bullish or bearish movements.
Key support will be a one single level, that has a historical significance and from where a bullish reaction will be anticipated.
The all-time low on USDCHF will be a perfect example of a key support.
It is one single level that was respected one time in the past and from where a bullish reversal initiated.
Key resistance will be a one single level on a price chart that has a historical significance and from where a bearish movement will be expected.
The all-time high on Gold will represent a key horizontal resistance.
That level was respected one time in the past and from that level exactly the market dropped heavily.
What are supply and demand zones?
In comparison to support and resistance levels, supply and demand zones are the areas on a price chart. The zones that are based on multiple touches and consequent strong bullish or bearish reactions.
Demand zone will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past, and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area.
A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future.
The yellow area above will a good example of a demand zone.
You can see that the price tested that area 3 times, and each time the market respected different levels lying within that.
These 3 tests compose the demand area.
Supply zon e will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area.
A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future.
In this example, a supply area on EURUSD is based on 2 touches of key levels, lying very close to each other.
On the chart above, I underlined 2 horizontal support levels - the single levels that were respected by the market multiple times, and a supply zone - the area that is based on tests of multiple levels lying close to each other.
Support and resistance levels give you SINGLE levels from where you can look for trading opportunities. While supply and demand zones represent the areas. After a test of a supply and demand zone, the market may react to a RANDOM level within that.
For newbie traders, it is highly recommendable to trade single key levels, while experienced traders can broaden their strategies and trade supply and demand zones as well.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BITCOIN|Weekly roadmap and important areasHello friends, I hope you are doing well.
We have the weekly bitcoin outlook.
Bitcoin is now on an important supply area that has scalp reactions from this area.
The important areas that we can consider for buying positions are the demand area (40160-39800) and the next level is $38900 .
For selling positions, this upcoming supply area is a suitable place, the next area is (45700-46300) which we can have selling positions by reaching these areas.
Bearish to Bullish GUI am looking for a Bearish drop for GU for a potential buy on the pair! I have been loking for a nice buy setup on this pair, but i have only found nice sells so far! now i am looking for a nice Sellpreassure into the buy zones! By using The daily open we can later check if this bias was a good look for it! hopefully, we could see a nicer reversal move later in the week to form a nice weekly candle!
Arbitrum ($ARB) - Ranging for now, demand sitting belowThis idea is that ARB will see ranging price action with significant swings over the coming days weeks. Reclaiming the equilibrium would be major, but not sure if we get that just yet.
If the range is lost, I see this heading toward $1.30
Some serious gains to be made even if it ranges for a little while. Overall structure is strong and bullish for a longer term outlook however.
Cheers
EURUSD I Demand scalp buy zone Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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BTC - Top-Down Analysis 📹 Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #BTC.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
How to identify high quality Supply and Demand zonesSupply and demand zones are powerful tools to find high probability trades. If they are used in the correct context they offer a high win rate and a very controled risk. These are some of the characteristics that high quality zones have:
•When a good zone is being created in real time you will watch that price pushes down/up with aggressive price action and follow through after the basing candle. Heavy volume on the development and candle closing at its highs are also good indicators.
•A high quality supply/demand zone is the one that creates new lows/highs. That means that it was able to push below/above the prior low/high.
•In short time frames, shorter than 1 hour, you would probably find good supply and demand zones to have a continuation of the trend. For example, if a Future is in an uptrend pay attention to the demands that are created in that trend and then when price pulls back to it look at the price action in the zone. Have in mind that in uptrends, demand zones are reliable and supply zones have a much lower probability of working. The opposite scenario happens in downtrends were supply zones are higher probability and demand zones should be avoided.
•In higher time frames, a very strong supply or demand zone could be an area for a change of structure (from an uptrend to a downtrend for example).
•A good indicator of a reliable supply/demand zone is when price pulls back to it and the candle has a strong rejection as it touches the zone, meaning an upper/lower wick is created below/above the zone. volume is developing with no follow through (orders hitting strong ask/bid in the tape) and the candle does not close inside the zone.
•Speed heading into the zone is also relevant, a high speed drop heading in to a demand zone is a good area to trap late sellers.
•If for example FX:EURUSD has a demand zone and TVC:DXY has a supply zone or a resistance level and both are having retracements from their trend, that could be a good opportunity to go long and also if price action gives an extra confirmation. This means that confluence is key for a high probability trade when using supply and demand zones.
• Use the concept of relative strength/weakness when using confluence with other charts.
Example: A 2 hour demand zone in Brent Futures $NYMEX:BZ1!. Notice how the red candle that reaches the zone is a strong one with higher volume and is not able to close inside the zone, It prints a lower wick and closes above it giving the demand zone a good price action confirmation.
CMSB rebound soon?CMSB
After this few days of minor crash on penny stock, CMSB also been affected.
It also been affected by the news of Norges Bank ceased to be substantial share holder on 12 Jan 2024. However, personally I think it will not affect the fundamental of the company.
Technical wise, it as mentioned earlier, RM1.18 is a key resistant level that had been tested 4 times since Apr 2023.
The last really in the 1st week of Jan 2024 was the 4th attempt to test this level and follow with the major correction.
Today, 3rd trading week of 2024, the price been supported the strong support level (RM1.02- 1.05).
If next week, the price rebound stronger back and supported by stronger that to be released on end Feb, that's good chance to break RM1.18.
If it continue the short term down trend to break below RM1.02 then need to be careful and prepare to take loss.
HOW TO IDENTIFY STOPLOSS HUNTER AND TAKE PART ON IT - SETUP - HI BIG PLAYERS!
Today I want give you smart WAY to take part on stoploss hunters. I know everyone of us hate it to be stopped out. But to be honest, stoploss levels means a huge volume level, that institutions use for cheap entries.
This is why I want explain how I take part on stoploss hunting. I look on 4h chart for high demand and supply zones. On touching these area we all can expect more trade exchange and more volume.
If the price bounce of this zone and break with CHOCH (change of character ) the last trend, a lot of trader try to trade early as they can and the stoploss becomes calculatable .
As soon as the old trend is resumed, but in a narrow form, so that it is almost a sideways phase, then I identify stoploss hunter. The setup looks similar like this structure:
The good news: the stoploss to the last local point is very close and Risk-Return-Ratios of 1:3 are possible.
Comments are welcome!
Best regards
NXT2017
AUD USD - update (daily timeframe focus)The audio didn't record in the last one, so here is an update.
G'day,
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed
Monthly
Weekly
Daily
Volume profile added
Value area up and down purple & Blue respectively are important to note in where price is taking us.
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Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
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