Get started

Derivativestrategy

Trading Volatility 75 Index Using Trendlines Deriv TradingViewThe Volatility 75 Index, also known as VIX, represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility and is a popular instrument for traders looking to capitalize on market turbulence. Trading the Volatility 75 Index using trendlines on Deriv TradingView can be an effective strategy for identifying and acting on market trends. Here's a step-by-step guide to help you get started. #### 1. Understanding Trendlines Trendlines are straight lines drawn on a chart that connect two or more price points, usually to indicate a trend direction. An upward trendline connects the lows in an uptrend, while a downward trendline connects the highs in a downtrend. These lines act as support and resistance levels, providing traders with visual cues for potential trade opportunities. #### 2. Setting Up Your Trading Environment **Step 1: Access Deriv TradingView** Log in to your Deriv account and navigate to the TradingView platform. Ensure that you have selected the Volatility 75 Index chart for analysis. **Step 2: Choose the Right Timeframe** Select an appropriate timeframe for your trading style. Short-term traders might prefer 1-minute or 5-minute charts, while swing traders may opt for 1-hour or daily charts. #### 3. Drawing Trendlines **Step 1: Identify Key Points** Identify significant highs and lows on the chart. In an uptrend, look for a series of higher lows. In a downtrend, look for a series of lower highs. **Step 2: Draw the Trendline** - **Uptrend:** Click on the trendline tool and connect at least two significant higher lows. - **Downtrend:** Click on the trendline tool and connect at least two significant lower highs. Ensure that your trendline is not cutting through the candlesticks and that it aligns well with the price movement. #### 4. Analyzing Trendline Breaks Trendline breaks can signal potential trading opportunities. When the price breaks above a downward trendline, it might indicate a bullish reversal. Conversely, when the price breaks below an upward trendline, it might indicate a bearish reversal. **Step 1: Confirm the Break** Wait for a candlestick to close above or below the trendline to confirm the break. This reduces the risk of false signals. **Step 2: Use Volume for Confirmation** Increased trading volume can validate the trendline break, suggesting stronger market conviction behind the move. #### 5. Placing Trades **Step 1: Set Entry Points** - **Long Trade:** Enter a buy position when the price breaks above a downward trendline and the breakout is confirmed. - **Short Trade:** Enter a sell position when the price breaks below an upward trendline and the breakout is confirmed. **Step 2: Set Stop-Loss Levels** - Place a stop-loss below the most recent swing low for long trades. - Place a stop-loss above the most recent swing high for short trades. **Step 3: Set Take-Profit Levels** Use previous support and resistance levels or employ a risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3) to determine your take-profit points. #### 6. Managing the Trade - **Monitor the Trade:** Keep an eye on the trade and adjust your stop-loss to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. - **Be Prepared for Reversals:** Market conditions can change rapidly, especially with an instrument as volatile as the Volatility 75 Index. Stay alert and be ready to exit the trade if the market reverses. #### 7. Additional Tips - **Combine with Other Indicators:** Enhance your trendline analysis by using other technical indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages for additional confirmation. - **Stay Informed:** Keep an eye on market news and events that could impact volatility. - **Practice Risk Management:** Never risk more than a small percentage of your trading capital on a single trade. This helps in managing potential losses and staying in the game longer. #### Conclusion Trading the Volatility 75 Index using trendlines on Deriv TradingView can be a powerful strategy when executed with precision and discipline. By identifying and drawing accurate trendlines, confirming trendline breaks, and managing trades effectively, traders can navigate the volatile nature of the VIX and capitalize on market movements. Always remember to practice good risk management and continuously improve your trading skills through education and experience.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FrankFx14
1
GOOGL to Low $100s?Overview Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is in the dangerous territory of a double top formation. I've discovered this same macro-pattern with a few other assets as well. In combination with a rise in long-term Treasury Yield Curve rates since December 2023, I think a rush of selling pressure could be around the corner. Technical Analysis Utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels along with historical supports & resistances, the $126-136 range appears to be a key level in the share price. The double top formation is a bearish reversal pattern that resembles the letter "M" and, when valid, the second peak is greeted with significant selling pressure. According to technical indicators GOOGL is beginning to reveal the symptoms of a bearish reversal. The share price has risen on dwindling volume, Money Flow Index (MFI) is approaching overbought territory, and the On-Balance Volume (OBV) is still under a ceiling created in March 2022. A rising wedge is also visible on the hourly charts with a micro Head & Shoulders in development. Should a high volume breakdown occur then I believe a price target range between $109-126 is probable, however, I am expecting adequate support around $126 as it correlates with both a 61.8% Fibonacci level and has history as a key area of support & resistance. Speculations Earnings season is a great time to profit from derivative trading, however, it can also be more treacherous due to the volatility most stocks experience in the days leading up to and immediately following their Quarterly Releases. Because GOOGL is having their Earnings Call in the next few days, I would not be surprised to see sharp price movements in either direction regardless of the current trends. Concrete stop-losses and price targets should be determined before entering any positions.
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by Shepherd_Investor
TENCENT Peak Formed YesterdayRecent short term rebound shows peak sign yesterday with morning price surge erased in the afternoon. Which indicates selling pressure are coming back after rebound. We entered into a Callable Bear Contract yesterday at the peak with the analysis of current downtrend reacts more sensitive to sign of selling pressures. Which we see a possible short term price down coming up. While there are no sign of supporting at the bottom in the past few months of price down. We might see downtrend to continue. What is Callable Bull/Bear Contract? Is a structured product like warrants & options. It is similar to Daily Leverage Certificates (DLC) listed in SGX. It provides leverage on underlying securities while limiting the risk to the trade value. At the same time it provides unlimited returns potential at a lower price per units. However, do take note of the "knock-out" feature when the underlying securities hits the contract strike price. Contract suspend & not able to "revive" after, the losses are limited to the amount you trade on the contract. About our analysis : Utilizing the dynamic insights from a 5-minute chart. By closely examining this timeframe, we dissect the intricate volume and price transactions of significant market players. Our aim is to identify short-term support and resistance levels, enabling informed trading decisions. Through this meticulous analysis, we decipher price patterns and trends, providing valuable guidance for traders navigating the fast-paced realm of stock trading. ‌
HKEX:700Short
by ROUNDnSURGE89
QQQ to $392Trading Pattern QQQ has formed an ascending channel which may prove to be very lucrative for derivative trading. Utilizing Elliott Impulse and Correction Waves within the support and resistance lines, Wave 4 may dip as low as $392 which is a few dollars shy of a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Technical Indicators A bearish RSI divergence has been present since the share price surpassed $400; the RSI highs retain a negative slope while the share price highs have a positive slope (both reflected in yellow). This supports the Elliott Wave Theory and ascending channel pattern as the share price is currently at, or soon approaching, the crest of Wave 3 as well as the ascending channel resistance line. QQQ may experience a slight bump upwards indicated by the RSI line (green) which appears to be close to crossing the MA line (red) from beneath. However, due to its close proximity to overbought territory, I believe selling pressure will begin soon after as might be indicated by the MACD. The MACD technical indicator shows a tightly wound MACD line (green) and Signal line (red). The MACD line is within dangerous territory of crossing its Signal line from above which is a bearish indicator and suggests an increase in selling pressure followed by a correction in share value.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by Shepherd_Investor
6
MSFT to $395Overview Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) appears to be within an ascending channel and has reached the resistance line that coincides with the peak of an impulse wave (Wave 3). Utilizing the impulse waves within the channel, a price target of $395 seems probable and may provide a decent Puts trade. If the ascending channel provides textbook formation then a low of $365 is also possible, however, volume and selling pressure should be carefully watched around the $395 price level as steeper declines will require more validation. The following technical indicators give me confidence that significant selling pressure will soon occur: Volume -- except for a single outlier in December -- has been steadily decreasing since the channel developed. On-Balance Volume appears to have reached a ceiling that will need to be carefully watched in the event of a breakout. Relative Strength Index shows an RSI (green) retreating from the overbought zone. While it is experiencing a slight uptick back to the MA (red), there is still plenty of room until the indicators approach oversold or for the RSI to cross from beneath. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has just crossed its signal line (red) from above and is nosediving downward. In addition, it is showing a divergence as the peaks of the MACD are inverted from the peaks of MSFT's share price.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Shepherd_Investor
Alaska Air Group: Double BottomOverview Alaska Airlines is a subsidiary for Alaska Air Group. If you aren't familiar with the verbiage, this means that Alaska Air Group ( NYSE:ALK ) is the umbrella company that owns Alaska Airlines. In light of the Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) mishap that occurred yesterday in Oregon and in addition to the current trend on ALK's 1D chart, I believe ALK will correct to $30-31. Technical Analysis According to the 1D chart, ALK has been on the trajectory of a double bottom since July 2023. The last dip in the double bottom formation rests around $30-31 which I believe will approach sooner than expected due to ALK's grounding of an entire fleet of Boeing 737 MAX-9s. As long as nothing else negative comes to light, I believe ALK will begin its rise to $57 sometime after arriving around the second dip of the double bottom. Market Psychology Speculations I believe Boeing will catch most of the negative press but that doesn't mean Alaska Air Group is off the hook. Because ALK's subsidiary has also been in the headlines, I think the double bottom is going to accelerate. Alaska Airlines has received bad press twice in the last 12 months for narrowly avoiding aircraft-related catastrophes; the first concerning an off-duty pilot that attempted to cut off the engines mid-flight. All that said, after the initial dust has settled, I believe the markets will forgive ALK and a potential recovery will begin. Kudos should be given for having the proper procedures in place that helped return both aircrafts back to the ground safely without incident. The next major factor that needs to be considered is how the grounding of an entire fleet will affect their balance sheets for the upcoming Q4 Earnings Call. Fundamental Analysis I will perform a fundamental analysis within the next few days. Due to market reactivity I don't believe a healthy balance sheet will cushion the share price until after the Q4 Earnings Release.
NYSE:ALK
by Shepherd_Investor
NVDA: $194M Insider LiquidationNVIDIA is presenting potentially lucrative short-term trading opportunities, specifically for derivatives. A months-long ascending triangle is visible on the hourly and daily charts; a second, smaller ascending triangle is potentially forming at the time of this idea. I believe, and am hopeful for, that the smaller ascending triangle will prove invalid and complete the double-top "M" pattern with selling pressure draining NVDA to the $430 range which falls around the respective 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. However, I think it would be reckless to count out a potential rebound around $470 which is where the second ascending triangle's support will be tested. If the $430 support is reached, I believe this will be the time to enter a long call option as I suspect the asset will be retesting the $500 resistance. However, insider liquidation is a major concern especially since the total offload within the last 30 days is equal to $194.3M USD. A link to the SEC filings is posted below. NASDAQ:NVDA www.sec.gov
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Shepherd_Investor
NIFTY |BANKNIFTY|NIFTY ANALYSIS | BANK NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR FRIDAYNIFTY |BANKNIFTY|NIFTY ANALYSIS | BANKNIFTYANALYSIS FOR FRIDAY | nifty analysis for tomorrow | #niftypredictions | nifty live trading |Nifty50 BANKNIFTY:- If Banknifty sustain the level of 44000 and spend time and break 44150, then 44250-44300-44350. If Banknifty break down 44000 spend time below it and break 43950 then 43950-43850-43750. NIFTY:- If Nifty sustain the level of 18650 and spend time and break 18700 then 18750-18000 If Nifty break down of 18650 spend time and break down 18600, then Nifty 18575-18550-18500. This video is for educational purpose and my personal view . We are NOT SEBI registered Advisor, we only give the level on our practical trading experience. Kindly take the trade according to your risk and reward position and consulting your advisor. #stockmarkets #nifty #MarketPrediction #nifty50 #niftyfifty #nfityoutlookfornextweek #bankniftyoutlookfornext week #niftyoutlook #bankniftyoutlook #niftyforecast #bankniftyforecast #niftyshareprice #bankniftyshareprice #tommorrowniftyprediction #tommorrobankniftypredicton #niftytargettommrrow #bankniftytargettommrrow #9th june nifty #9th june banknifty #9th june marketanalysis #bankniftylive #banknifty #bankniftyoptions #bankniftystrategies #bankniftyfuture #bankniftyoptionstrategy #bankniftycalls #bankniftyintraday #bankniftylivetrading #bankniftyweeklyexpiry #bankniftycrash #bankniftytomorrow #bankniftypredictions #bankniftychart #bankniftytips #bankniftypremium #bankniftyoptions #bankniftyfuture #bankniftytomorrowprediction #bankniftyoption #niftyweeklyexpiry #bankniftyweeklyexpiry #nse #bse #stockmarketindia #niftyzerotohero #bankniftyzerotohero #traders #trader #sensex #Derivatives #derivatives #vijayanjum #index #niftyce #niftype #bankniftype #bankniftyce #zerotohero
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by vijayanjum
TATASTEEL Breakout TATASTEEL multiyear breakout, strong resistance near 750 level, need to be kept in focus by looking at the price action and the volume levels. levels as high as 910 developed in TATASTEEL. NIFTY METAL performing very good. STEEL companies all over the world performing well. Go long on TATASTEEL with stop loss at 700 level, highly unlikely to be reached. MACD crossover visible on daily chart. Since huge buying was seen today, there might be some consolidation or selling tomorrow so keep that in mind. RSI is in overbought zone so keep that in mind as well. But it seems to hold the overbought zone since the past few days. Both derivatives and equity can be bought, i would recommend buying 750CE or cash equity as per risk apetite. if 750CE or futures are being bought, kindly have a serious look at the price action tomorrow as atleast some retracement of today's maribozu is possible. Kindly let me know if any clarifications are requires, you may message me or comment on this post. Great profit opportunity visible in the steel sector in the near future, global ques also positive. Note Post only for education purposes.
NSE:TATASTEELLong
by SaintLazarus