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Descending Channel

GOLD → One step away from a bullish trend reversalFX:XAUUSD is emerging from the local corrective channel “flag.” Pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the base of the reversal pattern continues. All eyes are on 3200... Gold is losing ground amid trade optimism and a strong dollar. The price is falling at the start of Wednesday as traders take profits after a rise from weekly lows. Weaker-than-expected US inflation has not justified expectations, but the Fed's refusal to cut rates soon is weighing on the metal. Optimism surrounding new trade agreements between the US and China, the UK, and other countries, as well as hopes for peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, are reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Technically, the overall situation looks bearish. There is no deep pullback from support, which means pressure from sellers in the market. Consolidation is forming before an attempt to break through the 3200 level. Resistance levels: 3243, 3257, 3269 Support levels: 3222, 3200 If the price continues to consolidate in the current local range and continues to attack support at 3222-3200, then in the short and medium term, we can expect the decline to continue. However, knowing the tricks of MM, the price may form a short squeeze relative to local resistance zones before falling further. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
20
GOLD → Retest resistance before fallingFX:XAUUSD is forming a correction and retesting a strong resistance and liquidity zone within a downtrend. The global trend is one step away from a reversal... Gold stabilized ahead of the release of US inflation data. After falling 3%, gold is holding steady at around $3,200, consolidating against a weaker dollar. Investors are awaiting US CPI data, which could set a new direction. Optimism about the US-China trade agreement, geopolitical détente, and profit-taking on the dollar are holding back the price decline. The market is assessing how inflation data will affect Fed policy and demand for safe-haven assets. Globally, the market doubts that the upward trend will continue, and there are reasons to look for points from which the price could start to fall sharply... Resistance levels: 3269, 3284 Support levels: 3246, 3200, 3167 The news may cause a shake-up, but if there are no surprises, a false breakout of 3260-3270 and consolidation of prices in the selling zone could trigger a decline to 3200-3150. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
NZDJPY → Countertrend correction and false breakoutFX:NZDJPY is testing resistance within a global downtrend. The currency pair is not yet ready to continue its growth and is forming a local reversal pattern. Within the global downtrend, the currency pair is forming a countertrend correction and testing resistance at 87.400. The liquidity pool formed above this level is not yet ready to let the price move further. Without the possibility of continuing growth, the price returns to the range and forms a false breakout of resistance. However, since we are in the range and the price has returned inside it, if the bears hold the line (the upper limit of the trading range) at 87.400, this could trigger a further decline, thereby continuing the global downtrend. Resistance levels: 87.400 Support levels: 86.5, 85.26 Consolidation of the price below 87.400 will confirm that the price is not yet ready to continue the trend. The falling dollar index is provoking a rise in the Japanese yen, which may also put pressure on the currency pair. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
EURUSD Near Top Of Channel — Correction Imminent!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is trading in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) , near the upper line of the descending channel and the Monthly Pivot Point . In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has completed five main impulse waves , and with the break of the Uptrend lines , we should expect corrective waves . Most likely, EURUSD is completing microwave 4 , and we should expect the next decline and the formation of microwave 5 . I expect EURUSD to fall to at least $1.1073 , and the next targets are marked on the chart. Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1330 , we should expect further gains. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
1
History repeats itselfOANDA:EURUSD Here’s a technical analysis of the higher timeframes, specifically the monthly chart for EUR/USD. As clearly visible, price action is currently moving within a respected descending channel. The saying "history repeats itself" seems particularly relevant here, especially in the context of Trump’s presidency. While this topic has been discussed frequently, I wanted to highlight the striking similarities once again. The current market cycle closely mirrors the previous one from 2016-2017 — in terms of structure, timing, and volume. At present, we appear to be in the distribution phase, which is far from complete. It’s quite plausible that we may see further downside before another significant move to the upside begins. If we take the 2017 distribution phase as a reference (lasting approximately 300 days), the current phase has only been unfolding for around 80-100 days. Of course, there is no guarantee that price will rise again — but I consider it very likely that this market cycle has not yet fully played out. Technical analysis on higher timeframes often provides stronger probabilities and a clearer picture of the overall trend. On the right-hand side of the chart, I’ve marked a weekly imbalance (not directly visible on the monthly chart), which aligns with the 50% retracement level of the Fibonacci tool. I view this confluence as a strong potential entry for a swing trade targeting the upper boundary of the descending channel. This outlines my current trading outlook.
by Crispp
NZDUSD is preparing for a reversal and a fallNZDUSD is in consolidation and preparing to exit it. Ahead is possible breakout of trend support and fall to 0.5757 The reason is as follows: change of fundamentals background (positive signals on tariff war), dollar growth and market reversal. Scenario: break of consolidation support at 0.5885, price consolidation below this level - this will be a signal ready to start distribution, i.e. downward movement. Primary target 0.5 fibo, secondary target 0.7 fibo
Short
by AndeWave
14
USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation... Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383 Support levels: 1.378, 1.374 Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Trend reversal, downward distribution, and new targetsFX:XAUUSD breaks through 3270 and enters a distribution phase amid a rising dollar. We are most likely at the beginning of a trend reversal... On Thursday, gold remains under pressure, trading at a two-week low, as the market reacts to Trump's statements about potential trade agreements with a number of countries, including China. Optimism surrounding the negotiations is boosting risk appetite, reducing interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. Even weak US GDP and inflation data failed to halt the rise in gold prices, as traders' attention is focused on the trade agenda and upcoming labour market statistics. Gold is changing its trend due to the rise of the dollar and a shift in the fundamental background. A breakout of the local low could reinforce the decline. The first target is 3190. There is a possibility of a retest of the previously broken consolidation support at 3268 before the decline continues. Resistance levels: 3245, 3270 Support levels: 3190, 3186, 3167 A breakout of the local low of 3221 could trigger a further decline. The first stop could be around 3190. From this level, a small correction or consolidation may follow before the decline continues. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 3245-3270 before the decline continues. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Consolidation. Traders are waiting for news...FX:XAUUSD remains in consolidation at 3370-3270. Traders are in no hurry to take any action, as there is a lot of important news ahead. Let's take a closer look at the situation... On Wednesday, gold is trading lower, remaining in a sideways range as traders await the release of US GDP data for the first quarter. A sharp slowdown in growth is expected, and a possible contraction in the economy could increase bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold. Meanwhile, the dollar is holding steady amid tariff news and expectations for key employment and inflation data. A retest of the range support is forming. The approach is quite sharp, and the pre-breakout potential has been exhausted. A false breakout of support could trigger an upward correction. Support levels: 3270, 3245 Resistance levels: 3314, 3329, 3352 If the dollar continues to fall after the news, this could support gold and the price could continue to trade between 3370 and 3270. Unpredictable news could trigger a breakout and a fall. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
LINKUSDT → Consolidation. One step away from a rally?BINANCE:LINKUSDT entered a consolidation phase after breaking out of a downward channel. This is a fairly positive sign that buyers are building up momentum ahead of a possible breakout of resistance. Exit from the downward price channel, distribution, and transition of the market to a consolidation phase: 15.275 - 14.400. Bitcoin is forming positive dynamics, which supports altcoins. The local alt season may continue if Bitcoin continues to grow after breaking through 95K. If LINK breaks through the resistance level of 15.275, this move could trigger further growth Resistance levels: 15.275, 15.942 Support levels: 14.400, 14.266 At the moment, the mood of altcoins depends on Bitcoin, as it is receiving support amid positive fundamental data in the US and the global economy. However, for LINK, the focus is on the current consolidation. If the resistance level is not broken on the first attempt, it may happen during the next retest. Before that, the price may test the consolidation support with a false breakdown, which could create an imbalance in favor of buyers, only increasing the chances of growth and a breakout of resistance, provided, of course, that the overall bullish trend continues. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → The chances of a further decline are growing...FX:XAUUSD continues to test support at 3270 for a breakout. Any de-escalation of the conflict between the US and China could trigger a price drop. But it's not that simple... Gold under pressure amid tariff war and ahead of US data On Monday, gold is testing last week's low of $3260, remaining under pressure from a strengthening dollar and easing trade risks between the US and China. Investors are preparing for the release of key US GDP and labor market data, which could influence expectations for Fed rates. Against this backdrop, the correction in gold could be replaced by growth if macro statistics turn out to be weak and geopolitical risks remain. Another retest of support could trigger a breakout. It is necessary to monitor the situation between China and the US. Any de-escalation will trigger a decline. Resistance levels: 3299, 3326 Support levels: 3268.9, 3245, 3232 Since the opening of the session, the potential for a further decline has been exhausted. Gold may strengthen to the indicated resistance zones. A false breakout of 3300/3326 could trigger a decline, which could bring the price closer to the support breakout of 3270. With respect, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
29
APTUSDT → Retest of the liquidity zone. Downward trendBINANCE:APTUSDT.P failed to realize its potential. The price made a false breakout of resistance and formed a reversal pattern. Correction or continuation of the downtrend? Bitcoin is rebounding from resistance. Technically, the market may enter a correction or consolidation. Altcoins are reacting accordingly — correction Within the downtrend but local ALT rally, APT failed to realize its potential and formed liquidity accumulation and a false breakout of the downtrend channel resistance before a possible decline... Resistance levels: 5.2, 5.458 Support levels: 4.76, 4.48, 4.17 A consolidation of the price below the trend resistance or below 5.20 could trigger a continuation of the global and local trends. The coin is likely to remain near the bottom and test new lows... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
SOLANA → Pre-breakout consolidation relative to 136.00BINANCE:SOLUSDT relative to the range support forms a false breakdown. The market reacts quite positively and the price recovers, forming a consolidation in front of strong resistance Bitcoin is also in consolidation, as well as SOL, in general the movements coincide, but lately bitcoin is leading relative to the stock market. SOL is in consolidation in front of a strong resistance level at 136.00. The primary test may end with a small correction to 0.5 fibo, or consolidation near the level, but a breakout and price consolidation above the current consolidation will be a positive signal for continued growth. The global trend reversal is out of the question, we are aiming at local targets, such as 140, 147, 152. Resistance levels: 147,152 Support levels: 129, 123, 111 In general, the global market situation is bearish, the local situation is neutral as the price is in a sideways range. A false breakdown was formed against the support of the current range. Technically, due to liquidity imbalance (after the false breakdown) the price may head towards such zones as 147 - 152 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
18
POLUSDT → Rally for liquidity accumulation before the fall?BINANCE:POLUSDT.P is currently inside the trading range forming a counter-trend rally within the global downtrend. There is a rather strong liquidity zone ahead.... The distribution is formed after consolidation inside 0.1929 - 0.175. The realization phase can be stopped in the zone 0.228 - 0.2438. This will be confirmed by a stop and a false breakout. The market is still weak, despite the local growth of bitcoin, as the flagship on the daily timeframe is still trading in the selling zone and based on the current situation we can conclude that the market is forming a collection of liquidity before the continuation of the fall. Technically, the current rally in POL may end with a false breakout of 0.2284 or 0.2438 followed by a correction or reversal. Resistance levels: 0.2284, 0.24388, 0.2465 Support levels: 0.2061, 0.1929. If the price continues to approach this resistance with such speed, at some point the potential and energy may be exhausted and it will not be enough to continue the movement. In this case, we can catch a correction or even a reversal to continue the global trend. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3