NZDCHF → Pre-breakdown consolidation on a downtrendFX:NZDCHF is forming a pre-breakout consolidation amid a downtrend. Focus on support at 0.4759. Global and local trends are down...
On July 10-11, the currency pair attempted to break out of the trend. In the chart, it looks like a resistance breakout, but technically it was a short squeeze aimed at accumulating liquidity before the fall. We can see that the price quickly returned back and the market is testing the low from which the trap formation began. The risk zone for the market is 0.4759 - 0.475. In simple terms, this is a bull trap against the backdrop of a downtrend. The NZD has passed through the risk zone. At this time, the currency pair is forming a pre-breakout consolidation relative to the support level of 0.4759 with the aim of continuing its decline.
Support levels: 0.4759, 0.4753
Resistance levels: 0.477, 0.4782
A breakout of the 0.4759 level and consolidation in the sell zone could trigger a continuation of the decline within the main and local trends.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Descending Channel
AUDUSD good structure for higher bullish
OANDA:AUDUSD whats next, we are have DESCENDING CHANNEL breaked, its followed by bullish push, but its not make to much in my op, at end price is make revers, its stop at end on strong sup zone (0.64900).
We are have in last day-two RBA and RBNZ today, price is start pushing looks like zone 0.64900 can be taked for valid zone, from which now expecting higher bullish push in next periods.
SUP zone: 0.65100
RES zone: 0.66300, 0.66600
NATURAL GAS - STILL IN THE GAME TRADING IDEA UPDATE -
NATURAL GAS - STILL IN THE GAME🔥
The XNGUSD goes quite well, as predicted. It held the trendline and moving upwards slowly, but surely. Short-term support here is the EMA20 on 4h timeframe. The asset is just below 3.600 resistance level and sma200. Since the July 10, the asset seems to be moving within the ascending channel (pic 2). I expect that the price will break the 3.6000 resistance level, will go towards upper channel border and then, after quick retest, move towards 3.8000. Not a trading advice! Trade cautiously!
EURUSD TRIGGERED STOP LOSSTRADING IDEA UPDATE - EURUSD TRIGGERED STOP LOSS
The U.S. CPI report data came out right what the market expected (2.7% vs. 2.7% annually). After this report the pair went downwards on increased volume, triggering my stop loss and found the support only on 4-h sma200 and 1.16000 level.
What will be the possible scenario next?
I assume that the asset will go testing the trendline at 1.16650. If the test is successful, I will consider opening a
🔽 a pending sell stop order at 1.16651 with
❌a stop loss at 1.18180 and
🤑a take profit at 1.15122
Only if the retest is successful, not earlier! Let's observe first. Additionally, today is the U.S. PPI report coming out at 12:30 p.m. UTC, so got to be careful around this time
ETHUSD REACHED NEW HIGH - SHORT OPPORTUNITY
TRADING IDEA - ETHUSD REACHED NEW HIGH - SHORT OPPORTUNITY📉
The same as BTCUSD, ETHUSD has reached a new maximum at 3.083.52. After that the asset went sideways, waiting for some impulse. I see strong divergence on 4h timeframe on RSI and expect a decline within next 24-48 hours. Basically, it is the same story here as with the bitcoin, cause the nature of the recent hike is also the same. So, I put a
🔽 a market sell order at 2977.94 with
❌a stop loss at 3183.83 and
🤑a take profit at 2718.11
It is a counter-trend trade, so it's a bit more risky than usual.
Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT
TRADING IDEA UPDATE - EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT🦾
EURUSD seems to find support on a trendline and shows us divergence on RSI on 1-h timeframe. So, I decided to close my trade in advance before my stop loss gets triggered and open long position with a
🔼 a market buy order at 1.16833 with
❌a stop loss at 1.16324 and
🤑a take profit at 1.18266
Additionally, today is the U.S. CPI report data coming out. Market expects the annual inflation to be around 2.7%. Me, personally, think that actual June inflation will be a bit lower, which may provide some fundamental support to the EURUSD. Will see.
EURUSD - OPPORTUNITY TO PLAY BOTH SIDES OF DESCENDING CHANNEL CMCMARKETS:EURUSD
TRADING IDEA - EURUSD MOVES WITHIN A DESCENDING CHANNEL - OPPORTUNITY TO PLAY BOTH SIDES
EURUSD has been trading within a descending channel since the beginning of the month. Nearby the upper border of the channel there is SMA200 on a 30-m timeframe, pushing on the pair. Generally speaking, all major moving averages are pushing on the EURUSD, the short-term bearish trend continues, so I decided to open
🔽 a market sell order at 1.16688 with
❌a stop loss at 1.16985 and
🤑a take profit at 1.16324
Later I expect a rebound from the lower border with a potential uprise towards upper border of the descending channel.
PENGU = ETF Catalyst + Whale Accumulation = +30% More Upside?Today, on the weekend, I want to analyze the Pudgy Penguins project with the PENGU ( BINANCE:PENGUUSDT ) token from a fundamental and technical perspective .
Please stay with me.
Why did PENGU surge nearly 40% in just 48 hours? Here’s what’s driving it:
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Fundamental Analysis:
1. ETF Momentum via Cboe:
On June 26, Cboe officially filed a 19b-4 form for a new ETF that includes Pudgy Penguins and PENGU as major components.
Although not yet approved, this single move has fueled strong institutional anticipation, similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs in early 2023.
The market often prices in future narratives — and this ETF storyline has been a powerful one.
2.Whale Accumulation Signals
According to Nansen data, large holders have increased their balances by 11.37%, and notable wallets linked to public figures by 7% over the last 30 days.
Such coordinated accumulation often precedes major price moves, and that pattern seems to be repeating here.
3.NFT Ecosystem Boost
The Pudgy Penguins NFT collection saw a 400%+ surge in sales volume.
This sharp increase in NFT activity has reignited attention toward the broader Pudgy ecosystem, which naturally benefits its native token, PENGU.
Risk Note:
The ETF is not yet approved — we're still in the hype phase.
Volatility remains high, and strong pullbacks are common in low-liquidity tokens like PENGU.
If whale activity continues and institutional narratives grow, the upside potential remains — but so does the downside risk.
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PENGU token started to rise from the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076) . One of the signs of a continuation of the uptrend was the break of the upper line of the descending channel .
Educational Note: One of the price targets after a channel break can be as wide as the width of the broken channel.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the PENGU token has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) , and we can wait for the next impulsive waves .
I expect the PENGU token to attack the Resistance zone($0.0128-$0.0118) again, and if this zone is broken , it can increase to at least $0.0137(+30%) .
What is your idea about the Pudgy Penguins project?
Note: If the PENGU token drops below $0.01, we can expect a break of the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Pudgy Penguins Analyze (PENGUUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
US Jobless Claims: Why They Matter for EURUSD 🇺🇸FOREXCOM:EURUSD
📈 US Jobless Claims: Why They Matter for EURUSD 🇺🇸💼
While Trump’s tariff policies ⚔️ remain in focus, it’s important not to overlook today’s economic calendar 🗓️, with Initial Jobless Claims taking the spotlight.
🧐 What are Jobless Claims?
Initial Jobless Claims 📑 measure the number of people filing for state unemployment insurance for the first time. Released weekly by the US Department of Labor 🏛️, it’s a key indicator of the health of the US labor market 💪.
Why does it matter?
A strong labor market typically supports the US dollar 💵, as it reduces the likelihood of immediate Fed rate cuts 🕰️, while higher claims suggest a weakening economy, which could pressure the dollar lower.
📊 Latest Figures:
🔹 Previous: 233K
🔹 Forecast: 235K
Last week, claims fell from 237K to 233K, highlighting continued labor market resilience. If today’s data beats expectations (lower claims), the USD may strengthen 🛡️, potentially pushing EURUSD below 1.1700. Conversely, higher claims could weaken the USD ⚠️, lifting EURUSD above 1.1800.
💡 Trade Idea:
BUY EURUSD at 1.17300
❌ Stop Loss: 1.17600
✅ Take Profit: 1.16500
While the US labor market remains strong, technical factors and broader fundamentals can confirm a strong EURUSD reversal, keeping bearish opportunities in play.
🚀 Stay tuned for live reactions after the data drops!
💬 Support this post if you find it useful! 🔔
XRPUSDT → Resistance ahead. Correction before growthBINANCE:XRPUSDT is rising after breaking through consolidation resistance. Bitcoin's rally supported the overall market momentum, but a new resistance zone lies ahead...
Bitcoin is testing its ATH and updating it, but is facing pressure and forming a false breakout. A correction in the flagship coin could trigger a correction in XRP, but if Bitcoin continues to storm the 112K area without a pullback, followed by a breakout, the market could find support and continue to rise.
After XRP broke through resistance, the coin entered a distribution phase and is testing an important resistance zone of 2.4488 - 2.4772. The inability to continue growth, a false breakout, and price consolidation in the selling zone could trigger a correction.
Resistance levels: 2.4488, 2.4772, 2.6524
Support levels: 2.3587, 2.3375, 2.2455
Despite breaking through resistance, XRP is still in a local downtrend. Pressure on the market is still present. The formation of a false breakout will indicate that growth is limited for now. However, if the price consolidates above 2.4772 and begins to break out of the local structure, we can expect growth to continue.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Readiness to test the local bottomFX:XAUUSD is under pressure from the rising dollar and uncertainty, breaking through support levels, which opens up a corridor for the market to fall to 3255 - 3246
The price of gold is consolidating around $3300 after falling more than 1% amid expectations of the Fed minutes and news about tariffs.
Investors remain cautious: the dollar is supported by hopes for US trade deals, while the threat of new tariffs from August 1 is holding back gold's growth.
Weak inflation data in China did not support the metal, while expectations that the Fed will not rush to cut rates due to inflationary pressure from tariffs are also limiting interest in gold. Traders are waiting for the Fed minutes and new statements from Trump to determine the further direction.
Technically, the market looks weak (on D1, the price closed below the key level of 3300 on Tuesday) and there is a chance of a further decline.
Resistance levels: 3300, 3311
Support levels: 3295, 3255, 3246
Consolidation below 3295-3300 could trigger a further decline to 3255, from which the market could react with a correction.
Buying can be considered if gold reverses the short scenario, manages to strengthen to 3311, and consolidates above this level. At the moment, the price is in the selling zone...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Buyers are hesitant due to new tariffsFX:XAUUSD continues its correction phase after updating local highs and breaking through trend resistance. The dollar is making traders nervous...
After rising 2% last week, gold started Monday with a decline to $3,300 amid a stronger dollar due to the risk of new tariffs from Trump, who sent letters to 12 countries threatening to impose duties of up to 70% if no agreements are reached by July 9. This boosted demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
Gold is also under pressure from strong US employment data, which has dampened expectations of a rate cut. The market is focused on news on tariffs and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday, which may clarify the outlook for monetary policy.
Technically, the correction may end in the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, in the range of 3295-3300. After the formation of a reversal pattern, the market may strengthen to 3350-3360.
Resistance levels: 3315, 3344, 3358
Support levels: 3300, 3295
Locally, the price is trying to consolidate below the range, which could lead to a decline to 3300-3295. If, during the correction from support, the market manages to consolidate above 3315, we can expect growth. Otherwise, a weak reaction at 3295 could lead to a retest of 3275 and consolidation in the selling zone, which could lead to a further decline to 3245 .
BUT! We are closely monitoring the position of the US and Trump on tariffs, as he is once again issuing ultimatums to countries, to which the markets are reacting...
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLANA → Pre-breakdown consolidation may lead to distributionBINANCE:SOLUSDT is declining and testing the support of the trading range as Bitcoin pauses after strong growth and enters a correction phase...
SOL looks a bit weaker than Bitcoin technically, but SOLANA has some positive fundamentals, though that might not be enough.
After forming a false breakout of key daily resistance, Bitcoin is moving into a correction phase. An update of local lows on the chart could trigger a drop across the entire cryptocurrency market.
In SOL, the focus is on the two nearest levels of 148.75 and 145.64. A breakdown of support could trigger the distribution of accumulated energy within the specified range as part of a downward momentum.
Resistance levels: 148.75, 151.2, 153.88
Support levels: 145.64, 138.59
The ideal scenario would be a false breakout of 148.75 (liquidity capture) and a retest of 145.64, followed by a break of support. Consolidation below 145.65 could trigger a drop to the zone of interest at 138.59.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Big Bounce or Breakdown? Tesla at the edgeTesla is at crossroads right now, where the next move will define its near-term trajectory.
After an extended correction phase, TSLA is reaching a key zone around the $300 level, one that held price well during recent pullbacks.
Although recent tax news caused a decline in the price, belief in Tesla’s longer-term trajectory remains strong among many investors.
At the same time, many investors are carefully monitoring the support near $215 to $230, another important zone. This level has acted as a reliable level during past pullbacks, as it suggests the stock has a solid base, despite short-term ups and downs. For these investors, maintaining their positions through consolidation is a test of patience and belief in Tesla’s longer-term trajectory. If Tesla breaks below the $230 support zone, some investors may view this as an opportunity to take advantage once again.
Given the current setup, it’s best to be cautious and wait for confirmation before looking to get involved.
US DOLLAR: Sell opportunity following channel breakPrice on DXY recently broke above a sharp descending channel, but the move lacked presence. There was no real follow-through and certainly no conviction behind the candles. It felt hesitant, as this is a great indication for us to use.
Instead of accelerating upward, price now hovers just above the breakout, this kind of behavior suggests rather a random push than a shift in sentiment. Without the strength to sustain above structure, I think we will see the price come back to the channel's lower border.
And when breakouts fail, they often trap early longs, preparing for a more committed move in the opposite direction.
A rejection from this level could send price into the 0.85800 level.
ORDI ANALYSIS📊 #ORDI Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending Channel Pattern in daily time frame.
After a breakout of the pattern we would see a bullish momentum and can Target for $9.5 in few weeks🧐
👀Current Price: $7.890
🎯 Target Price : $9.500
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ORDI price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ORDI #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
BTC with potential for $115,000/$120,000🔍 Market structure (Price Action)
📈 Trend:
The market previously formed higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) – a classic uptrend.
Then there was a correction and a lower high (LH) and lower low (LL) appeared – a potential change in the trend to a downtrend.
The last two lows are again HL (Higher Lows) – suggesting an attempt to return to the uptrend.
🔄 Key support and resistance levels
✅ Resistance (green horizontal lines):
117.469 – local resistance and potential breakout target from the current range.
115.802 – confirmed resistance from previous consolidations.
111.814 – strong local resistance (LH – Lower High formed there).
109.341 – current resistance, the price is currently testing it.
🛑 Support (red horizontal lines):
105.370 – local support, price reacted at this level in recent days.
102.650 – important support, level of previous HL.
100.095 – consolidation level before breaking out upwards.
98.213 – last LL – very important level in the context of defending the structure.
🧭 Structure of peaks and troughs
HH: Higher High – confirmed the previous uptrend.
LH: Lower High – first warning about changing the structure to down.
LL: Lower Low – confirmed a potential change to downside.
HL (x2): two more higher lows – suggest a possible return to growth.
📊 Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart)
The oscillator is currently in the overbought zone (>80), approaching a downward crossover.
It suggests a possible short-term halt in growth or correction.
But in strong trends it may "stick" to the upper range.
📌 Potential scenarios:
🟢 Bullish:
If the price breaks above 109.341, it may test 111.814 and then 115.802.
Continuation of the HL → HH formation will confirm a trend reversal and further growth.
🔴 Bearish:
If the price does not stay above 109k and breaks below 105.370, there is a risk of a test of 102.650 and lower.
A break of 100.095 and especially 98.213 will negate the growth structure.
🧠 Conclusions:
The market is at a key decision point - HL formation vs. resistance zone.
Buyers' strength will be confirmed only after breaking 111-112k.
Stochastic RSI warns of potential pullback or consolidation.
GOLD → Recovery and retest of resistance. DowntrendFX:XAUUSD has been recovering since the start of the session thanks to a weak dollar, but further growth is uncertain. However, the price is still below the key range and important levels.
At the beginning of the week, gold rebounded from monthly lows amid a weakening US dollar, which remains under pressure due to trade disputes with Japan, uncertainty surrounding the budget, and expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
However, the technical picture for gold remains bearish, and further dynamics will depend on new statements from Fed officials, labor market data, and Jerome Powell's speech on Tuesday.
Technically, after breaking through the global range support, the price is forming a correction and testing 3294. Before a possible rise to 3320 or to the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, a correction to 3271 may form, which will determine the further development of the situation.
Support levels: 3271, 3255, 3245
Resistance levels: 3294, 3320, 3347
A retest of 3295 (0.5) Fibonacci is forming. There is a possibility of a false breakout with a possible correction. If, during the correction, buyers keep the price above 3271 and return to retest 3294, we will have a chance to attempt growth to 3320 - 3347
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Local bearish trend. Retest of support.FX:XAUUSD is technically looking a little weak. Support is being retested amid de-escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. Interest in the metal is waning.
On Friday, gold remains under pressure ahead of data on the core PCE index, a key inflation indicator for the Fed. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, this could strengthen expectations of a rate cut as early as July, supporting gold. The probability of a July cut is currently estimated at 21%, and 75% for September. Amid dollar volatility caused by rumors of a possible Fed chair replacement and trade negotiations with the EU and China, traders remain cautious, awaiting clarity on inflation and monetary policy
Technically, before falling, gold may form a correction to 3320 (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 3320, 3336, 3347
Support levels: 3293, 3271
If the fundamental background remains unchanged and gold continues to decline towards support at 3293 and break through this level, the breakout could lead to a fall to 3271. However, I do not rule out the possibility that after a sharp decline, a correction to 3320 could form before the fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDCHF , against the backdrop of the falling dollar and the exit from consolidation, is forming another ‘bos’, which only confirms the market sentiment.
The fall of the dollar only increases pressure on the currency pair. The price has broken out of consolidation and is trading below the key level. USDCHF has broken through a fairly strong support level, which only confirms the bearish market structure. A correction is forming ahead of a possible decline (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 0.803, 0.8042
Support levels: 0.798, 0.79
Fundamentally and technically, the currency pair looks weak. The decline may continue after the liquidity capture phase and a retest of resistance. A false breakout of resistance will be a strong signal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOONUSDT → The coin that gets killed...BINANCE:SOONUSDT.P is under pressure. The coin looks extremely weak against the backdrop of a bullish market, with key support ahead, separating traders from the panic zone and a sharp decline
This coin is being killed. The price is gradually consolidating and compressing before support - the trigger is 0.2332. Against the backdrop of the overall decline that the market has experienced after a slight impulse from 0.2332, shocks are forming with the aim of capturing liquidity (red check marks). This generally indicates that large players are gathering a bearish position. A breakout of the risk zone will trigger panic and distribution.
Against the backdrop of growth in Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies (bull market), the SOON coin is gradually declining and contracting towards key support, which could be broken accompanied by strong sell-offs.
Resistance levels: 0.2478, 0.25777
Support levels: 0.2332
If the coin continues to contract towards the 0.2332 support and form a pre-breakdown consolidation, there will be little chance of survival. In the short and medium term, I expect prices to fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!