NZDUSD → Correction to MA-200. The fall may continue FX:NZDUSD bounces and strengthens towards MA-200 and resistance of the current trend on H1 against the backdrop of the dollar index correction.
On D1 the medium-term outlook is clear. There are no prerequisites for the change of the global trend and most likely the fall after the resistance retest may continue. The dollar also at the moment does not give signs of reversal and fall, respectively, the bearish medium-term outlook for the currency pair NZDUSD is still relevant.
Resistance levels: MA-200, Channel Resistance, 0.6000.
Support levels: 0.5940, 0.5875
The global trend coincides with the local trend and has a bearish direction. On H1 a correction is forming, which may be over soon, after which we should wait for a decline to 0.5875.
Regards R. Linda!
Descending Channel
PayPal - Is the stock dead?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at PayPal.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
With the Covid-Crash in 2020 we saw a beautiful bullish break and retest on PayPal in confluence with a retest of an ascending trendline. This retest was followed by a rally of +200% towards the upside. From there, PayPal stock declined more than 80% and it is likely that we will never ever see the previous highs again. If you decide to take a trade though, make sure to properly manage your risk.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GBPUSDGBPUSD is in strong bearish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new LLs and LHs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last LL, which is 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this selling confluence the next leg lower could go for new LL.
What you guys think of this idea?
Rising channel on GBPUSD A potential rising channel might form within the bigger descending channels (pattern within a pattern), the potential rising channel if completed to a touch by the top trendline will confirm a signal of price moving lower towards the 90% Rule. Price from there on might shoot upwards or continue to move lower.
GOLD → Correction before the news. A range is forming FX:XAUUSD on the background of dollar correction is strengthening to the resistance of the bearish channel, which was formed on the background of sell-offs. Ahead of strong news, on the background of which the price may reach the liquidity zone before further decline.
On the high timeframe, a false breakdown of support is formed, liquidity gathering and after consolidation the price is heading towards the liquidity above. In general, the correction phase is not over yet. A sideways range may form within the price movement, but there is a high probability that the price on the background of CPI news will reach the channel resistance and form a bounce down.
The global trend is bullish, the local trend is bearish. Fundamental background is neutral (for the moment).
Resistance levels: 2344, 2359, 2365
Support levels: 2328, 2305
Buyers and sellers are dividing the price field between them. As gold stops and stabilizes, the price starts to pay attention to the dollar and the news. CPI is ahead which could increase volatility.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Global bearish trend resistance retest FX:GBPUSD is forming a counter-trend correction phase, pound sterling strengthens amid weakening dollar index.
On D1, the price is approaching a strong resistance and liquidity area, which has multiple confirmations, indicating that this area is important for traders. The correction may be over in the area of the nearest strong level and there is a high probability that the bearish trend in GBPUSD may continue.
Resistance levels: 1.2518, 1.2570
Support levels: 1.2422, 1.2300
On the global chart earlier the currency pair broke the bullish trend structure, on D1 the trend is still bearish and the price is heading towards the channel resistance, from which the decline may resume.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Bulls and bears still can't split the 2300 areaFX:XAUUSD is forming a sideways range and continues to test a strong resistance area. Bulls and bears continue to fight and still cannot share a strong area. Possible shake-up.
Gold is in the active phase of the correction, which started as early as last Friday and we were ready for it. The price is already down 5.7% from the high and most likely this is not the limit. A descending price channel starts to appear on H1, which generally determines the medium-term outlook for us.
Below the zone of 2330 a range is formed with the purpose of accumulation of potential. At the same time the price is testing resistance and there may be a shakeout or price entry into deeper liquidity areas with the purpose of further decline.
Resistance levels: 2330, 2355, 2365
Support levels: 2305, 2290, 2267
The liquidity area on the resistance side may be tested with the aim of further decline, as the market is currently in a downward correction phase.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Bears win. Downward counter-trend correction ↓FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase. Earlier, based on technical and candlestick nuances on D1, I warned about the approaching decline. Gold is eliminating buyers and apparently heading towards 2267, 2228.
April 19 idea: The market is getting ready to turn around, collecting liquidity from buyers
On H1 the price is forming a bearish momentum, since the opening of the session on Tuesday, the price has overcome a 1.8% retracement. The reasons for the fall may be both profit taking in the 2400 zone, after which the market maker changed the course to liquidate traders and balance the market (I remind - at the moment the imbalance is in favor of buyers), and the correction after a strong rally, the price is heading downward in order to find strong support zones and form a market bottom.
Resistance levels: 2300, 2305, 2328
Support levels: 2267, 2250, 2228
Today traders are waiting for PMI. Positive data for the dollar will only strengthen the fall of gold, but the negative PMI will weaken the strong fall. But, in general, at the moment, the medium-term course of the metal is clear to everyone.
Regards R. Linda!
APPLE $AAPL | APPLE BEARISH PRICE CHANNEL - Apr. 9th, 2024APPLE NASDAQ:AAPL | APPLE BEARISH PRICE CHANNEL - Apr. 9th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $173.50 - $181.50
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $168.15 - $173.50
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $161.50 - $168.15
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bearish
NASDAQ:AAPL price has been slowly moving through my previous DNT zone but was taking some time. I decided to make a new analysis with current structure and levels that I view as important. I made new targets for the bulls and the bears, but have kept the most recent targets still shown on the charts.
Looking at the 4H timeframe NASDAQ:AAPL price has displayed strong bearish momentum, a correction, and then downwards continuation before it began to range through the descending channel. There has been bearish structure shown on the Weekly, Daily, 4H, and lower timeframes so I am leaning towards looking for shorts to follow the trend.
Previous targets are still shown and will be linked below.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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EURUSD → The fall may continue from the nearest resistance FX:EURUSD is forming a bearish trend amid a fundamentally strong dollar index, which is in a bullish rally phase, which is generally negative for the euro.
Price broke a strong support line earlier on the global timeframe. Consolidation is formed below the line, which in general determines for us a medium-term perspective, the target of which may be 1.052, behind which there is a huge pool of liquidity.
On H1 the price is forming a sideways flat and before a further fall there may be a retest of the resistance in order to capture liquidity.
Resistance levels: 1.0700
Support levels: 1.0600
Technically, before further decline the price may test the resistance of the range on the background of stopping the growth of the dollar, but in general, there are no reasons for a change of trend and accordingly, with a high degree of probability, the decline may continue.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → The currency pair is preparing to go even lower OANDA:NZDUSD is declining amid a strong dollar rally. The negative background for the currency pair has persisted for quite a long time and there is no reason to change this tone at the moment.
On W1, we can clearly see the general trend on the part of strong bears, who continue to sell off the currency pair and the New Zealand dollar.
On H4 it is worth paying attention to the intermediate level of 0.5900. The breakout and subsequent price consolidation below this level will form the potential for the continuation of the decline.
Resistance levels: 0.5940, 0.6000
Support levels: 0.5900, 0.5850
Technically, we have a bearish trend and support retest, which only strengthens the bearish potential on the negative fundamental background. We are waiting for a decline to lower targets.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Weak pound sterling will test new lows FX:GBPUSD is going to leave the sideways range with the negative fundamental background. On D1 the price is breaking the trend line, and at the same time the dollar is conquering new highs.
The pair is declining amid the strengthening of the dollar index, which is connected with the news on inflation. The medium-term outlook is defined and thus gives us an indication of a possible decline.
At the moment the key area is the zone of 1.2518. A breakout and consolidation of the price below this zone will be a confirmation of the bears' intention to go even lower. The pound is weak and may update the lows.
Resistance levels: 1.25697
Support levels: 1.2518, 1.24489
Technically, amid the strong dollar, the pound is testing new lows and is preparing to go even lower. I do not think that the bulls at 1.2518 will hold the price for a long time. We are waiting for a breakout and further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin dominance teasing a break above the purple channel.The fomo of people wanting to start piling into bitcoin is intensifying and we can see that here in the bitcoin dominance chart as price action is starting to poke its head above this purple channel we’ve been consolidating in for some time. For it to truly break out. Of this channel it’s gonna need to flip the tan trendline just above it to solid up port though. A rejection from that tan trendline could send bitcoin back inside the purple channel. Should it flip the tan trendline to support, you can see the dotted purple line that will lead us to the full measured move target. We can also see a dotted green measured move line from a different chart pattern to the left of that also having a price target that is close to the same range, which bolsters the probability of the purple target being reached with some nice bullish confluence. No confirmation of the breakout just yet but If we can get a full candle closing above the channel in its entirety that will likely be a bi sign that its ready to trigger. First things first is just getting part of a 1day candle body to close above the top trendline of the purple channel. SHould this confirm its breakout then we are likely to see bitcoin pump on its own while most of the alts only go sideways or have very little increase in price until bitcoin dominance has reached its full target. *not financial advice*
EURUSD → CPI ahead. What should we prepare for?FX:EURUSD is testing 1.0864 for a breakout. The price is heading towards downtrend resistance. Unpredictable CPI ahead, but technically the currency pair could bounce back down.
All eyes are on the consumer price index today. Traders expect a strong decline in the CPI from 0.4% to 0.3%, which generally indicates the state of inflation and is a strong lever for the Fed when making interest rate decisions. Dollar index continue to decline amid news expectations, which makes the euro strengthen towards resistance. There is a high probability to see neutral-positive CPI data, which may support the trend of the currency pair.
Resistance levels: 1.08643, channel resistance, 1.09374
Support levels: 1.08027, 1.07365
Technically, on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance of the downtrend and after capturing liquidity to continue the decline to the targets indicated on the chart.
Regards, R. Linda!
GBPCADGBPCAD was trading inside the descending parallel channel . The price is reacting well the support and resistance of channel.
Currently the price has given the breakout from declining trendline with confluence to strong bullish divergence and now seems like the bulls are getting ready for some strong upside movement.
If the bulls sustain to upside the optimum target could be 1.7280 followed by 1.7350
What you guys think of this idea?
AUDCHFAUDCHF is in strong bearish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new LLs and LHs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last LL, which is 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this selling confluence the next leg lower could go for new LL.
What you guys think of this idea?
Bitcoin is ready for a 15% crash! (to 58k)Bitcoin may look pretty bullish, but do not get distracted. The price is forming a bearish distribution pattern inside a bearish parallel channel, as you can see on the chart. Right now, the odds are in favor of another crash. I am not saying this only because of the price action, but also because of the Elliott wave theory: as per my wave count, I am expecting bitcoin to finish wave (C) with a 1:1 Fibonacci extension level. Also look at previous waves, and waves (B) at this point look like an ABC bearish pattern.
Why is 58K important? We have a major swing low from March 5, 2024, and clearly there is a lot of liquidity and orders from retail traders. The whales need to consistently go for strong liquidity levels, as that's their only chance to buy bitcoin with a large amount of money. What they want to do is buy as much Bitcoin as liquidity allows and then send the price to the moon.
Right now, I really cannot be bullish on Bitcoin, but let me know your opinion in the comment section! I will be very glad. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
SOLUSDTSOLUSDT is in strong bearish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new LLs and LHs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last LL, which is 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this selling confluence the next leg lower could go for new LL.
What you guys think of this idea?
GBPAUDGBPAUD is in strong bearish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new LLs and LHs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last LL, which is 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this selling confluence the next leg lower could go for new LL.
What you guys think of this idea?
AUDUSD → Test resistance for an upward breakout FX:AUDUSD forms a retest of the descending channel resistance, but there is no fall. Against the background of the dollar correction, the currency pair may move into the realization phase after the channel breakout.
Moving averages, trend resistance and pre-breakout consolidation, with strong support zones, to which a large buyer does not let the price go. An interesting setup in the current conditions may form an attempt to change the trend. The key area is 0.6585. Consolidation of the price above this boundary may allow to overcome the obstacle and finally let the price strengthen to 0.66676, or to 0.67287.
Resistance levels: 0.6585, 0.6620
Support levels: 0.6551, 0.6504
Technically, there is a strong accumulation and prerequisites for a breakout. The resistance breakout will confirm the activation of the realization phase, which will give us a good bullish momentum.
Regards R. Linda!
DOGE → The realization of the breakdown could give us 50-70%BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is attempting to break through the correction in order to continue the uptrend. On W1 the price enters a new channel and opens a new potential.
On D1 a reversal pattern is forming with the subsequent formation of a pre-breakout formation. The market is buying back the fall in a few days and preparing for realization. This generally indicates a high interest in the coin.
On W1 DOGE enters a new channel 0.16 - 0.34, which in general opens a huge potential for the meme coin in the medium and long term.
On H4, the price breaks the bearish channel resistance (correction channel). A consolidation above the resistance and a retest of the 0.1800 area is being formed. A breakout of this line will open the potential for the coin and also confirm the end of the correction.
Resistance levels: 0.1800, 0.20637
Support levels: 0.16900, 0.14528
I expect the realization of the breakout of resistance with the subsequent distribution of the price to the specified targets
Regards R. Linda!
Rumble (RUM) Macro developments found looking like a solid buyHi guys. As always, im on the lookout for macro developments or signals found in assets. Which pose for high probability/ best scenario for taking positions.
Rumble (RUM) is on my radar for this idea post.
My analysis is on the 1 week timeframe.
As you can see RUM has been in a Descending channel since Feb 2022.
Recently we reached the bottom of the channel at 3.43 level. And began our recent rally.
We are as of now, in the process of breaking out of this Descending channel.
This is HUGE. The trend is beginning to shift in RUM. So we can call it a trend change attempt.
If we can confirm out of this Descending Channel. This is extremely bullish in my opinion for RUM.
It will negate the downtrend and give a sign that we may now be starting an uptrend in RUM, marking a bottom as well.
VOlume looks great with an increase.
Our MACD indicator is also giving signs of an Uptrend. With a bull cross ABOVE the 0 lvl indicating great opportunity as long as we continue this MACD trend.
Target 1 is around the $10.00
Target 2 is around $12.00
EURUSD → How can NFP affect the currency pair? FX:EURUSD is unfolding within the framework of the downtrend. The price fails to reach the key support and gains a buyer amid the correction of the dollar index. The market is waiting for NonFarm Payrolls
Chart on D1 - price has no clear global trend, the market is in neutral flat. A false breakdown of the ascending support line is formed, after which the market gets a buyer. The market is expecting NFP today, Traders want to see 212K relative to the previous 275. On the back of a slight rise in Initial Jobless Claims NFP all may be a bit higher than 212K, which may increase volatility a bit. Channel and range resistance at 1.08975 is worth watching.
Support levels: 1.07958
Resistance levels: 1.08643, 1.08975
Technically, if NFP is worse than expected, the currency pair may try to break the trend resistance and head towards 1.10. But, there is a high probability to see NFP above 212K, which will have a negative impact on the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!