Descending Channel
EURUSD → Global reversal pattern and $ strengtheningEURUSD made an unsuccessful attempt to change the trend. Price breaks consolidation support and moves into the realization phase or distribution phase.
TA on a high timeframe:
1) The outlines of the global reversal pattern "head and shoulders" appear on the chart
2) If the support at 1.0844 is broken, the price may fall to 1.0700.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) The market continues to form a bearish trend
2) Price after an attempt to break the trend back into the descending channel
3) Consolidation of the price below 1.08746 will form a sell entry point
4) The market is preparing for a medium-term decline on the back of USD strengthening.
Key support📉: 1.08000
Key resistance📈: 1.08746
GOLD → The bears are taking the gold to the den OANDA:XAUUSD amid numerous resistance retests is not yet able to break it. Fundamental data is still on the side of the dollar. The gold price continues to fall and update the lows
The price bounces off the channel resistance and falls, testing 1890. A false breakout is formed against the mentioned support and the price starts a local rebound. Most likely, gold may test 1900 in the near future before falling further. There is still a strong bearish trend in the market.
Yesterday's fundamental data is positive for USD. As the dollar index strengthens, we see the gold price falling. In the medium term, we should expect the metal price to continue falling.
Support levels: 1890
Resistance levels: 1900
I expect a retest of the resistance area before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Bearish trend resistance breakout. realistic? OANDA:XAUUSD makes a false breakout amid the news. The price is testing the 1900 liquidity area. The chart set-up and pin-bar form a bullish potential
On the chart we also see the strengthening of the price. Gold makes an attempt to break the bearish resistance and for a few hours the price forms a consolidation above the previously broken line.
On the chart I have indicated the upper boundary at 1912.7. I think there is a chance that after a strong fall, the price may go into a consolidation or flat format. 1912 is a strong and liquid resistance and is likely to push the price back to the support, which will only confirm the flat. Our task after the breakout of trend resistance is to pay attention to strong levels to open positions for breakout, rebound or false breakout. It is too early to talk about the trend change. We are watching the price.
The price is testing MA-50 for a breakout. If it happens, gold will strengthen to MA-200.
Support levels: 1902, 1900
Resistance levels: 1906.5, 1911.5, 1912.7
I expect a correction to the resistance. From 1912 a pullback and retest of support is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
CADCHF → Downtrend triangle on the background of a bearish trendFX:CADCHF under trend pressure is forming a setup to continue the trend and update the global lows.
The currency pair is in the bearish phase. The price continues to decline and test the strong limit support line at 0.64990.
A descending triangle pattern is forming on the chart, which can be interpreted as pressure from dynamic sellers on limit buyers at 0.64990. The price is within the descending price channel, a retest of the trend resistance each time sends the price to the indicated support - a strong signal for a breakout
Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: 0.64990
Resistance levels: trend boundary, 0.65450
I expect a bounce from resistance, which will lead the price to another retest of support, which may help the price to breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Secret parallel channel! (Important update)
Bitcoin is bullish, and I expect its price to reach levels above $30,500 in the short term! That's because we have this secret parallel channel that no one talks about. It's important to take profit on your intraday trades at the top of the parallel channel!
I believe Bitcoin can rise much more, to 32k, until the end of the month. But of course, volatility on Bitcoin is currently extremely low, so this can take some time.
I recommend buying XRP for the long term; the current price is very good. Check out my previous analysis on XRP in the related section down below.
But be really careful in September, because this is statistically the worst-performing month for Bitcoin. Usually, Bitcoin goes down during this period of time. But after that, we have October and November, and these months are, on the other side, extremely bullish!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin has completed the complex correction double three (WXY). We can definitely start a new impulse wave from here, but it can also transform into a triple-three pattern (WXYXZ).
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
This was a quick update on BTC. Some altcoins are pumping heavily, but these pumps are most likely a game of whales. To catch these coins, you have to sit on the right coins before it happens.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
🥇GOLD - Can the market turn around? Or will it keep falling? Gold against the background of a bearish trend is forming a setup that could reverse the price direction. The bearish trend, with a small degree of probability can stop
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price forms a retest of 1902.87 after a month and a half. The price will not break the level from the first time, most likely a rebound may be formed
2) A sideways range may be formed when a rebound from support is formed.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A bearish channel is forming.
2) A descending wedge is formed against the background of the bearish channel. A retest of the figure support may push the price upwards
3) A retest of the figure's resistance may well break the local line and the price may form a surge to 1914 or 1930.
Key support📉: 1902
Key resistance📈: downtrend line and 1914
GOLD → The Bears continue to dominate. Ahead of CRS, RSOANDA:XAUUSD continues to update the lows. The price bounces from the local liquidity area of 1903 and forms a correction, making another attempt to retest the trend resistance
The upper boundary of the descending channel does not let the price yet, most likely targets below the most important. Reports released today are:
1) Core Retail Sales (no data, the previous ones were bearish)
2) Retail Sales (expected to strengthen)
After retesting the support, it is likely that the price may head up to retest the trend resistance, there is a possibility that the price may break the line and start to form a flat (consolidation) before moving further to one side or the other. A global bearish trend dominates the market. I still expect a retest of 1900 as a priority (a false breakout is possible)
Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: 1905, 1903, 1900
Resistance levels: 1908.3, 1912.7
In priority, I expect the price to fall from the channel resistance to 1900 with the subsequent rebound and the formation of a flat on the background of the bear market.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - The price is getting ready to drop. False breakout Gold is testing trend resistance again, Price is forming a strong consolidation and there is a noticeable lull in the market, most likely before the storm
TA on the high Timeframe:
1) Local support is forming at 1912, and consolidation near the level
2) There is still a potential for a decline to 1902.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is forming a bounce from trend resistance after a false breakdown
2) If the price can break the support of 1912, 1910 then it will head down to 1900.
3) The trend is bearish and I expect the price to decline in priority.
Key resistance📈: 1915
Key support📉: 1912, 1910
GOLD → The price may form a Flat. What does that mean? OANDA:XAUUSD is in a local bearish trend. Within the current trend, the price is testing resistance. Two scenarios are possible: either a breakout or a rebound. What to expect?
The price tests the trend resistance and goes beyond it. If the price can consolidate above the level of 1914 after the channel breakout, the price may form a potential upside to 1924.8
But again, the price may form a false break of the trend resistance, in this case the price return to the channel boundaries will confirm the bearish potential, the price will head down to break 1912.7 and continue its fall to 1900.
Break of resistance and growth to 1924 may form consolidation or flat 1924.8 - 1912. If the upper boundary of the future flat is retested, we can look for sell signals
Support levels: 1912
Resistance levels: 1915, 1924.8
I expect one of the scenarios to develop, it is important for us to wait for confirmation. Most likely a flat formation may follow and in this case the price will initially head towards 1924.8.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Support retest gives a medium-term perspective Gold is testing one of the mentioned support lines and on Friday the price closes the session near the border. When the session opens on Monday, a quick fall to 1900 is possible
TA on D1
1) The dollar index smoothly tends upwards after the consolidation above 102.09, which indicates that the price is ready to grow further, and in this perspective gold will continue its fall.
2) The chart below is forming a consolidation before breaking through the 1914 area, a third retest is being formed.
TA on H4
1) A descending price channel is formed. The market is testing the support area of the channel for the third time already
2) The next retest may lead to a break of trend support, in this case the price may test 1900 or 1895.
3) Below this support is a strong area, buyers will not let 1900 be broken so quickly.
4) A bounce and correction is possible from 1900-1895
Key support📉: 1913.8, 1900, 1895
Key resistance📈: 1920, 1930
GOLD → The market is ready to continue its declineOANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a descending price channel. On Thursday a candlestick pattern is formed indicating the imbalance of forces in favor of sellers.
This week is published quite a lot of interesting news. It is worth paying attention to:
15.08
1) Core Retail Sales (no data, the previous ones were bearish)
2) Retail Sales (expected to strengthen)
16.08
1) CPI (expected to decline)
2) FOMC Meeting Minutes
17.08
1) Initial Jobless Claims (no data, previous ones were bearish)
2) Fed MI
In general, bad indicators for the dollar may strengthen the interest in gold, but again, we should not forget that news is a complex trading instrument.
From a technical analysis perspective, gold is approaching the strong 1902-1900 liquidity area.
Last week's session is closing very close to local lows, which can be interpreted as the market's willingness to continue to gain momentum for further declines. A strong bearish trend dominates the market.
Local support: 1912.5, if this line is broken, an impulse to 1900 is possible, but a rebound should be expected from the mentioned support, most likely a rebound may follow during the news.
Support levels: 1912, 1902, 1900
Resistance levels: 1915, 1920, 1935
Gold continues to decline, and most likely, from the opening of the new week the price may continue to fall, but in the second half there may be a rebound and local contrend strengthening.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Resistance retest and false breakout of MA-50OANDA:XAUUSD is testing the indicated target support at 1912.7. A false breakout is formed and the market reacts with a rebound to the false breakout of the liquidity area
The price is testing the resistance of the next bearish channel. There is a possible reaction in the form of a fall from the resistance and at the same time, the price may test the resistance area above, there is no sense to talk about a change of trend and global growth now, I stick to the fact that the fall in the medium term will continue.
For us an important resistance area, in a bear market, will be the zone: 1919.6, 1924.8, 1930.2.
Moving averages act as resistance, the price is already testing MA-50 in the format of a false breakout.
Resistance levels: 1919.6, 1924.8, 1930.2.
Support levels: 1912.7, 1900
I expect the price to fall along the trend from the resistance areas. Strong bearish trend dominates the market.
Regards R. Linda!
RUNEUSDT → Price breaks resistance after retesting the bottom BINANCE:RUNEUSDT is forming a prolonged downtrend. A global setup capable of changing the trend is being formed. After testing the bottom, the price starts to realize the bullish potential
The rebound from 0.777 (market bottom) forms a bullish reaction on the background of bitcoin growth. An active strengthening and breakout of the global trend resistance is formed. The price is sandwiched between local resistance at 1.110 and support at 1.003. A local consolidation may be formed with the subsequent retest of the upper boundary of the flat and realization of the breakout. This move may give the market a new potential and price growth. MA-50 acts as support and MA-200 as resistance. The height of the range is large and this gives scope for the medium term.
Support levels: 1.003, 0.777, MA-50
Resistance levels: 1.110
I expect a retest of 1.110 followed by a breakout and further growth to 1.433 or 1.722.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Retest of resistance gives a sell signal Gold is testing a new low and updating the low. Price is forming a bounce and testing trend resistance, but more likely another decline may be formed which will further weaken the price.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) We should consider 1902.87 as a medium-term target
2) Yesterday's daily candle formed a strong enough signal to fall - a shakeout was formed (a candle with a long shadow). The market sold off everything it bought and closed the session at the very low.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) The market bought back the decline a bit and tested bearish trend resistance.
2) If price does not break trend resistance on the retest, the decline will continue
3) A sell signal is forming now, it is important to wait for the confirmation of the signal
Key resistance📈: 1919.7
Key support📉: 1914
USDCHF → The dollar may strengthen the currency pair FX:USDCHF pinches the local bottom at 0.85797 and makes a false breakdown, which realizes the countertrend potential at the moment of dollar strengthening. The price strengthens to 0.87779 and forms a setup that can continue the price growth
The bearish trend is still valid on the chart. The price is trading under the descending resistance. Pay attention to the dollar index, the price is forming resistance at 102.5 relative to the dynamic buyer. A breakout of this level by the dollar will form momentum in the forex market as well.
I expect a breakout of the symmetrical triangle resistance and active strengthening of the price against the trend.
Support levels: 0.87000
Resistance levels: 0.87779
I think that following the strengthening of the dollar the USDCHF currency pair will start to strengthen and in the medium term the price may reach 0.89088.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Counter-trend correction before further decline OANDA:XAUUSD is testing a key liquidity area after breaking triangle support. The price updates the global lows and confirms the presence of an ongoing bearish trend
The price fails to reach the support at 1912.7 and forms a rebound. Most likely the target of 1912.7 is still valid, but before the support is retested the market needs more liquidity and for this purpose a correction is formed to retest the previously broken level. The price is heading towards the triangle pattern. The line of 1922.5 can be tested, or the price can go a little further, for example to 1927.5 or to 1932. It is impossible to talk about global growth now, the price is in a strong falling movement and continues to update the lows. We are looking for strong resistance areas to sell.
Resistance levels: MA-50, 1922.5, 1927.5.
Support levels: 1915,5, 1912.7
I expect the decline to continue after the retest of these resistance levels. Bearish trend reigns on the market. Take it into account in your trading.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - price corrections before a trend-following decline Gold finally breaks the lower boundary of the bearish channel. The market is forming a 0.6% impulse drop and the price is testing 1914.4. Technical pullback may fix the price in the zone for selling after which the fall will continue
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Breakout of the range support forms a strong impulse. The way is open for a decline to 1892
2) Price forms a retest of the liquidity area. High chance of a rebound
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Channel support is finally broken. Price formed an impulse to 1913 after which we see a correction to retest the previously broken support
2) Most likely the price may test the old flat - 1923.8, form a false breakout and continue its fall in the direction of the trend.
3) It is worth paying attention to the level of 1923.9, 1930.9 to look for sell signals.
Key resistance📈: 1923.9
Key support📉: 1913, 1900
💱EURUSD - The market is experiencing an attempt to change the tEURUSD is forming a reversal setup after a false breakout of the daily support level. The price may experience an attempt to change the local trend
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A false breakout is formed. The global correction may be over at 1.09526 level
2) Price is testing the liquidity area of 1.1200
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is breaking the bearish channel. An impulse is formed to retest the base of the reversal pattern
2) A break of the pattern base may form a bullish impulse towards 1.11447.
3) As the trend is broken, the price may test the resistance in the medium term and the price may strengthen to 1.2430 in the medium term
Key support📉: 1.09670
Key resistance📈: 1.10400
GOLD → The bear's paw regulates the market. The red zone OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a setup that can accumulate the potential to continue falling. The price is testing local support and forming a rebound before further decline
The global bearish trend continues to develop. The price failed to pass through the 1980 area, forming a false breakout of the resistance area.
A downward price channel is formed on the chart, after breaking the trend support the price forms a prolonged consolidation below the support. A descending triangle is formed, which can be interpreted as a dpavlenie prodlavleniya on buyers in the area of 1922.
Moving averages show a strong trend and act as resistance. MA-50 confirm the local resistance of the triangle.
Support levels: 1923,5
Resistance levels: 1927.5, triangle resistance
In the medium term, I expect a continuation of the fall, but before that there may be a rebound to 1927-1930.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Another retest of 1930 in a weak market Gold is reducing its volatility and continues to consolidate at 1933.9. On the global timeframe, support at 1938.9 is broken and preconditions for further decline are forming
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakout after correction. The level of 1938.9
2) Liquidity area. The price is forming another retest.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A situation of buying weakness is forming. Price returns to the retest of 1933
2) There could be a bounce on a decline to trend support, but medium-term potential remains with sellers.
3) The area below 1930 is quite tight and does not let the price in yet. Further continuation of narrow consolidation is likely
Key support: 1933.9, 1930, 1926
Key resistance: 1937, 1938, 1943