TSLA: Bull Trend Pullback - Watch Out for These Key Points!• Yesterday, TSLA did a Gravestone Doji candlestick pattern, just under the $191 resistance line, indicating a pullback;
• As I mentioned yesterday, any pullback to the $177 area wouldn’t be the end of the world, as the trend is still bullish (the link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual);
• So far, it seems this is just a pullback, as there’s no bearish reversal structure on TSLA yet;
• If TSLA loses the $177, then it might frustrate the bullish sentiment;
• On the weekly chart, TSLA is still inside a Descending Channel, and it seems it found a resistance at the upper trend line again;
• Therefore, TSLA just reached a key resistance level this week. If it breaks this resistance in the next few days, we will see a meaningful bullish reversal pattern being triggered on the weekly chart, reversing the long-term bearish sentiment seen since 2021.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
Descending Channel
XAUUSD ---> one small long positionhello guys...
in my opinion, the main movement in #gold is bullish yet, but you can enjoy a small profit by getting a short position.
in the short term, it is on descending channel and now touching the top of that, besides this, it makes a QML pattern as well.
so you can get a short position but put your target small.
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USOILSPOT | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailBy the end of the previous week, the Oil prices appear to have stabilized in a trading range between 74.00 and 67.00 per barrel. Sluggish data coming in from the Chinese economic docket (the world's number one importer of crude oil) is not helping matters at all; with a 1.4% decline in imports and an 8.5% drop in export growth. The economy seems to be struggling and there are insinuations that demand for oil might also slip in the world’s largest importer of the commodity thereby prompting traders to slow down. In this video, we used the current technical setup identified on the 4H timeframe to identify potential trading opportunities ahead of the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
TSLA: Approaching its Climax.• TSLA stock continues its rally, heading to the next resistance level, at $177 (purple line);
• So far, there’s no technical top signal, nor bearish reversal structure indicating that TSLA could correct from here;
• On the daily chart, we see that TSLA is doing higher highs/lows, and if it breaks the $177 resistance, it’ll trigger another pivot point, and in this case, it could easily seek the $200 next.
• The $200 area is close to the upper trend line of the Descending Channel seen on the weekly chart;
• Despite the mid-term rally seen on the weekly chart, the long-term trend is still bearish, and TSLA has to break this channel upwards in order to confirm a long-term bullish reversal structure;
• The main support area is around the $164 (red line), as if TSLA loses this key point, it might frustrate the mid-term bull trend;
• So far, everything seems under control. It all depends on how TSLA will react around the $177, its next climax.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
IDX:ERAA Three Drive Pattern and Double BottomENGLISH:
By paying attention to the consistency of the IDX:ERAA market movement, it can be predicted by using a descending parallel channel and three repeating patterns, the ERAA market will bounce to 525-540. If there is a daily market opening above 540 then there is a high probability that IDX:ERAA will break free from the bearish trap and return to bullish.
However, by looking at the current conditions there is still no certainty, the main bearish target is the formation of a double bottom between 410-382
BAHASA:
Dengan memperhatikan konsistensi pergerakan pasar IDX:ERAA dapat diprediksi dengan menggunakan paralel channel menurun dan tiga pola mengulang, Pasar ERAA akan mantul ke 525-540. Jika ada pembukaan pasar harian diatas 540 maka besar kemungkinan IDX:ERAA akan terlepas dari jerat bearish dan kembali bulish.
Namun dengan melihat kondisi saat ini masih belum ada kepastian, maka target bearish utama adalah terbentuknya double bottom antara 410-382
BTCUSDT 1D Shoulder Head is almost doneBitcoin are performing Shoulder Head Shoulder and almost completed. The target will be on Red box and maximum pain will be to yellow box.
The other technical analysis are descending parallel channel and three drive pattern. They are point the same target about the dump, which is 26K and next target will be 23K-22K
NVDA: Reached a Critical Turning Point | Weekly Analysis.• NVDA is extremely bullish, and in spite of the top signals it gave us last week, it didn’t trigger any single one of them, frustrating any bearish thesis on it;
• The 21 ema, the first support level, has been acting as a good support level this year;
• The $262 is a key support level, and only if NVDA loses it we might see a further correction, maybe to the $244;
• There’s one problem with this bull trend, though, which is the previous resistance at $289 (green line). NVDA has yet to break this key point, which is a quite important one, especially if we see it in the weekly chart.
• The $289 is a previous top level from March 2022, and this is why if NVDA triggers any top signal around this area we could see a sharp correction;
• Keep in mind, the trend is very bullish, as this year, NVDA did an upwards breakout from a Descending Channel and it triggered an IH&S chart pattern;
• However, any top signal could trigger a correction to the 21 ema in the weekly chart again, and this wouldn’t ruin the bullish momentum in this time-frame;
• So far, there’s no top signal or bearish structure indicating a pullback, and NVDA has everything to retest its ATH again, but we must keep our eyes open in this area.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
Descending Channel on NZD/CAD @ W1A descending channel has formed on the weekly chart of the NZD/CAD FX pair and offers a bullish breakout opportunity. The pattern's borders are marked with the yellow lines. The potential entry level is at the cyan line. The potential take-profit level is at the green line. The stop-loss is to be set to the low of the breakout candle (or to the low of the preceding candle if the breakout one is trading mostly outside the channel) - it isn't shown on this chart.
EURNZD - New Bearish Move 📉Hello Traders👋🏻
The EURNZD Price Reached a Supply Zone (1.80695-1.82076) ✔
The Price Failed To Create New Higher High 📈
Currently, EURNZD is in Ascending Channel ✔
The Support Line is Broken 🔥
If Price Stays Under The Key Zone EURNZD Can Continue The Bearish Move 📉
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TARGET: 1.77490🎯
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USDJPY in a Downward ChannelUSDJPY has been trading in an upward channel for the past month, which suggests a bullish trend in the pair. However, over the past week, the price has consolidated into a downward channel, indicating a possible reversal or correction in the trend.
It is important to note that a downward channel is a continuation pattern, which means that it is likely to continue in the direction of the previous trend. In this case, as the previous trend was upward, it is possible that the price may break out of the downward channel in the upward direction.
Traders should keep a close eye on the price action to identify the breakout direction and time. A break above the upper channel line would confirm the bullish continuation pattern, and traders could look for long opportunities. On the other hand, a break below the lower channel line would signal a bearish reversal, and traders could look for short opportunities.
It is important to exercise caution and wait for confirmation before taking any positions, as false breakouts can occur. Additionally, traders should use appropriate risk management strategies to limit their exposure to potential losses.
In summary, while USDJPY has been in an upward channel for the past month, it has consolidated into a downward channel over the past week. The continuation pattern suggests a potential upward breakout, but traders should wait for confirmation and use appropriate risk management strategies.
CADCHF - Broken Descending Channel 🔥Hey Traders 💖
On The Daily Time Frame The CADCHF Price Reached a Strong Support Level !
The Price Formed a Descending Channel 📉
Currently, The Resistance Line of the channel is Broken 🔥
so, I Expect a Bullish Move
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TARGET: 0.67700🎯
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Xrpbtc breaking up from 6 month descending channelThe green descending channel that xrpbtc is currently breaking up from it has been inside for the last 6 months or so. The breakout target of the channel should lift xrpbtc priceaction above bothe the weekly 200ma(in blue) as well as the daily 200ma(not shown here). If it finds a way to break up from the symmetrical triangle it can rise all the way to .00006. *not financial advice*
CADCHF, SHORT Price action has developed a larger descending channel on the HTF which in nature is considered a reversal pattern.
Looking at the LTF we can see price impulsively reversed from the upper boundary moving correctively to retest the top of channel again.
Wait to see if we get a bearish confirmation for a sell opportunity.
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USDJPY - Descending Channel Hello fellow traders, as we can see USDJPY is urgently trading in a descending channel and reached a point of resistance. This resistance is also confirmed by a key FIB level @.786. If this holds we can expect to see price move towards the next support around 128.00.
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Shiba Inu - 23% crash, best opportunity! (long-term outlook)
We have a great opportunity to buy/long Shiba Inu at the yellow trendline, which is a good support level for a short-term trade.
Unfortunately, the Shiba Inu coin still looks really bad on the highest timeframe. All previous pumps were only an ABC 3-wave structure, which is overall definitely not a good sign!
The bulls still don't show strength from the Elliott Wave perspective because we can see 3-wave structures upward and 5-wave structures downward.
After the breakout of the blue parallel channel, the bulls completely failed to continue in the uptrend; it was essentially a fakeout or a bull trap.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
23% crash is pretty likely at this moment, and you can take this opportunity and long shiba inu at the support line with leverage on the futures market!
Is the bottom in for shiba inu? From my perspective, - NO. I believe we will eventually reach 0.00000500 (a 55% drop from the current price).
This is my idea for the Shiba Inu coin; now do your actions!
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NVDA: Incredibly Bullish!• NVDA is very bullish, and it seems it wants to hit its next resistance at $289;
• As seen in the weekly chart, there’s no top sign nor weakness signs indicating that it could correct from here;
• What’s more, NVDA triggered an IH&S chart pattern in January, and it did an upwards breakout from the Descending Channel (purple lines) it was trapped inside;
• Could NVDA correct from here? Yes, and a pullback to its 21 ema would be acceptable, as the last time we hit it was a couple of months ago. However, in order for a pullback to materialize, we must see a reversal pattern in the daily chart:
• In the daily chart we see nothing but a series of higher highs/lows, above the 21 ema – An incredibly strong bull trend;
• We would need to see a clear bearish structure, like a lower high/low, a top/reversal chart pattern like a Double Top, H&S, etc. So far, there isn’t any meaningful bearish sign;
• In this scenario, NVDA could trigger a sharper correction, and maybe even fill the gap at $210 (which is very close to the 21 ema in the weekly chart, by the way);
• However, even if NVDA does a correction of this magnitude, it wouldn’t ruin the bull trend seen in the weekly chart, only in the daily chart;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
BTC SHORT, BEAR'S LAST STANDA lot of resistance at ~24.5k, coming from a long-term channel since the ATH, and the local high of ~25k in mid-Aug.
Shorting given a recent decline in volume and OI slightly declining at these prices. . However, upon doing so one must consider the bull/bear case that may play out.
BULL :
Nov. 15k was the bottom, and we may either be in a new bull market cycle or still within a bull market that started in 2018 on the way to 100k by EOY.
For this to be the case, we must hold ~18.5k-19k, with no daily closes below it, and allow a re-entry, followed by a smash over 25k. Once done, bears have a final stand of ~27k which currently follows the 12-month MA on the BTC spot index chart. If we close above the 52-week MA, the bear market is over. VWAP lines represent areas of resistance if the bull case plays out.
There is some evidence of a parabolic move possibly playing out thanks to TechDev_52's tweet of a correlation between BTC and Global Liquidity (CN10Y/DXY) where "Every ATH-setting move began after CN10Y/DXY closed above its 3W 20MA" with every "major impulse topped *at most* 12 months later".
So, at worst a parabolic run could come by to stop by Nov. 2023
Failure with that brings the bear case...
BEAR :
Bottom not in given macro conditions and projections on SP500, which could be correlated with BTC.
24k strong resistance, we correct past the CME gap at 20k, play around with 19k followed by a sudden close under it, which can bring us to 14k, maybe even 12.5k.
There is a minor "NEUTRAL" case where a double bottom could form ~14.5-15k, where we do get a bull re-entry as noted on the chart, break 25k, and then get slapped hard at 27k-34k, all the way back down to 24k followed by 14-16k, and then trigger another bull re-entry similar to how 2019-2020 played out or even back in 2015 that had a double bottom.
I was wrong on the last BTC trade as the trend changed on Jan. 12th following a possible short-term regime change around EOY 2022, be it market participants entering back in after selling off in Q4 for tax reasons, macro liquidity flows, etc.
Overall, I think we'll range for a while between 27k-14k, followed by another explosive move on the low end of that range toward 30k. I don't know how long, maybe months.
Trades:
Short
E: 23.1k
SL: 26k
TP:20k, 18k, 15k (likely close), 12.5k
Long
E:20k
SL:17.8k
TP:25k, 27k, 32k
SPY
SPY short has not changed. I could see SPY targeting ~420 and then starting a new downtrend, SL adjusted a bit higher to 427.
I will say at these prices, both BTC and SPY have growing voices of bears and bulls. A lot of long hedgers at $SPY since the Oct. and late Dec. bottom, and on late Dec. for BTC. Break those levels and we're in for extreme fear. Q1 2023 volatility could still spike if geopolitics play out concerning control over oil in the middle east/eastern Europe if EV infrastructure is proven incapable of sustaining itself at scale by 2030.