SPX: Loss of a Critical Support Level.• The SPX is crashing again, after it bounced yesterday. In fact, yesterday’s bounce seems to be a false breakout from our dual-resistance area made by the lower purple trend line and the 3,885 red line;
• This is a sign of weakness, and since it can’t get above the 3,885 key point, in theory, the index is going to seek its next support level at 3,773;
• In order to avoid such a drop, it is very important to see it closing above 3,885 this week. This wouldn’t be a bullish reversal, though, but it would at least stop the bear trend;
• In the weekly chart we see why the situation is so delicate. After a false breakout from a a pivot point (4,100), the index is just melting, losing its support levels;
• Now, the SPX is back inside the Descending Channel, and again, the 3,773 is our key point here;
• Therefore, in order to avoid this scenario, we would need to see a very impressive bullish reaction – so far, there’s none;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
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Descending Channel
TSLA: About to Bounce.• TSLA is reacting now that it hit its 38.2% Fibonacci’s Retracement;
• This is expected, but TSLA is still in a bear trend, and there’s no bullish reversal structure on it yet;
• In the 1h chart, it is inside a Descending Channel (trying to break it this morning), while in the daily chart, it triggered an H&S chart pattern;
• In theory, a pullback to the neckline is acceptable, which is at $187, exactly where the 21 ema is today, making this area a dual-resistance level;
• The 38.2% retracement is our key support, and in order for TSLA to resume the bearish momentum, it’ll need to break it again. Right now, we are between two important key points. Let’s see how TSLA will react from here.
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SPX: Crashing! How Low Can It Go?• The SPX lost two important support levels last week. First, the 3,885, a key point that worked as a support a few times this year. Second, the baseline of a Descending Channel;
• Meaning, the trend was already bearish, now the index is just crashing;
• There’s no meaningful bullish reaction indicating that a bottom is near;
• Even if the index reacts today, the problem is that the previous support levels, the 3,885 and the baseline of the Descending Channel, are now resistance levels, and any bearish sign under this resistance would mean an opportunity to sell. Now, let's take a look at the weekly chart:
• In theory, the SPX is looking for its next support, which is at 3,773, and that's the next technical target in the daily chart. Long-term speaking, if the index loses this support, it would trigger a kind of Double Top chart pattern in the weekly chart, indicating that it could seek the 3,500 next.
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BNB/USDT 4HInterval Resistance and SupportHello everyone, welcome to a review of the BNB chart on a four-hour time frame. First of all, with the help of blue lines, we will mark the downtrend channel in which the price is currently moving.
Now let's move on to marking the support spots for the price and we see that we first have very strong support at the so-called golden point of the Fib Retracement at $265, but if the price goes lower, we have another support at $245.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the first resistance is at $282, the second resistance is at $293, and then there is a strong resistance zone from $302 to $310.
The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used, the MACD indicates the continuation of the downward trend, while the RSI has fallen below the lower limit of the range, which has now resulted in a temporary change in the trend.
SPX: At the bottom of a Descending Channel.• The index crashed again yesterday, and it lost the support at 3,949, and hit the bottom of its Descending Channel;
• What’s more, the 21 ema did a good job holding the price, as it worked as a resistance yesterday;
• Now that the index is in a support level, a bullish reaction is plausible;
• If the SPX confirms a bottom in this support area, it might indicate that it’ll look for its resistances again. Ideally, it will seek the upper trend line of its channel;
• Since the trend is bearish, a bullish reaction should be considered a bounce. In order to reverse the bearish bias, we must see a bullish reversal structure.
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PROSBUSD - Descending Channel (with Breakout to Upside) Pattern?Price channels are a trading concept that is borrowed from the traditional trend line concept. Instead of plotting a simple trend line, the price channels comprise of two trend lines, upper and lower trend lines. Trade signals are taken when price breaks out of the upper or lower trend lines or the price channel. When combined with support/resistance methods and candlestick patterns trading price channels offers a great way to trade the markets. It is worth mentioning however that price channels trading requires quite a bit of practice and analyzing the market structure.
Here, it looks like a descending price channel. We had fake breakouts to the downside and to the upside, followed by a real breakout to the upside, now we have retested the channel and the price seems ready to go up to the horizontal levels represented in the graph.
Let's see how this goes from here.
USDJPY - Bullish IdeaAs shown USDJPY has broken out of the bearish channel and showed and showed support with a bullish momentum with a double bottom and by jumping from the trend line of the bearish channel. Moving forward we can expect USDJPY to continue moving towards the target levels of 134.000, 137.000, and 140.900 with an invalidation level of this idea being at 127.996.
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AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Ahead? 📉📊In my analysis of AUD/USD on TradingView, I have identified several bearish signals that suggest the pair may be headed for a downward trend. The pair has been trading within a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows. Additionally, the 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, indicating a possible long-term bearish trend. The RSI is also hovering around the oversold territory, adding to the bearish outlook. 📉📊📉
#AUDUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishOutlook #DescendingChannel #MovingAverages #Oversold #ForexTrading
SPX: Bullish Reaction Above Golden Cross.• The SPX is doing a very powerful reaction above a critical support level;
• First, as seen in the daily chart, it hit the 3,949 support, and it is doing a powerful reaction. Last Thursday it did a Bullish Engulfing, and las Friday, it broke the 21 ema and the 4k;
• In the weekly chart, it is doing a Hammer candlestick pattern, a bullish reversal pattern that works 60% of the time (according to Bulkowski – Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts);
• In addition, this Hammer appeared just above the purple line, which was a previous resistance when the SPX was inside a Descending Channel;
• Moreover, this Hammer appeared above the 200 ma, after the index made a Golden Cross (the 50 ma broke the 200 ma upwards);
• All these signs indicate that although the index may look overbought short-term wise, it has decent chances of maintaining the bullish bias mid/long-term speaking, especially if look at the weekly chart;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
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💲Catch Profits in Channels💲Hello dear traders🙋🏻; I'm Pejman & this is the "How to get fish from channels" class. I guess you've heard, "Give a man a fish, and you feed him for a day🍣; teach a man to fish🎣, and you feed him for a lifetime."
Like every other educational post, today I will teach you how to fish and make money from the Market River🏞️.
As you know, fishing requires patience and practice, and you also have to take risks and throw bait into the water⛲. But today, together, we can use all kinds of price channels that are formed in this attractive river as a fishing net.🕸️
Our tool for fishing in the market river is technical analysis, which we discussed in previous posts. You can refer to this post and pick up your fishing rod.
You must have noticed that in the financial markets, the prices have their patterns and trends, which help us to catch the best fish🐠.
These patterns and specific price movements cause various trends in the market, which I explained in the market types post.
Another feature of specific price patterns and trends is the creation of price channels. Of course, don't get me wrong, I don't mean TV channels📺.
Although these channels are as attractive as sports channels and watching the Barcelona and Real Madrid games⚽🏟️, they have other features besides attractiveness✨.
They help you to predict the area of price movement even for the future. But please don't confuse channels with a magic 8-ball🎱. Based on past trends, they can give you a sense of where the price may be headed👀.
Trading without a price channel is like fishing without a net🕸️; you just guess.🤔 So, let's check the channels more closely and catch fish from them until the river is wavy.🌊
First, we need to know what the channel is.🤷🏻
Channels are like riverbanks that guide water flow, except, in this case, the channels guide the flow of candlesticks.🕯️
Price channels are made when the price is under the pressure of two ranges of supply and demand.
A channel is a trading range between two trend lines in which the price of an asset moves in almost predictable directions💁🏻. A price channel is like a trend line with a friend; two are always better than one, right?🧑🏻🤝🧑🏻
They also say: "The trend is your friend, but the price channel is your guide🙏🏻." By drawing the channels, you can find the possible price path🛣️, and at the right time, your hook will be stuck on sweet and big dollars💰.
Channels can be formed and used in any market with trending price changes, from stocks to forex and cryptocurrencies.
Channels, like many other tools in this market, have different types. Put down your fishing rods and put on your swimsuits🩲👙; we have to dive into the next topic.🏊🏻♀️
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Dear students welcome to the types of channels class.🧑🏻🏫
The first lesson is ascending channels.⬆️
The ascending channel for the price is like a staircase to heaven!
An ascending channel is the same as an upward trend line, with the difference that in addition to the aligned valleys🌄, the peaks⛰️ are also aligned and are formed parallel to the valleys. Both the peaks and valleys will be predictable.💁🏻
Of course, you cannot be sure what the next price move will be, but you can predict many possibilities.👀
Now that we climbed the stairs and got acquainted with the ascending channel, it is time to get acquainted with the descending channel⬇️ and do some skiing⛷️. They say: In the deepest water is the best fishing. So let's swim deeper and get to know the descending channel.🤿
The descending channel is like a waterfall, pulling down everything in its path. Candles are no exception, and when they are in a descending channel, they slide like fish🐠 in a waterfall and go lower and lower.
Look for a series of Lower Highs(LH) and Lower Lows(LL) to identify descending channels.
The difference between ascending and descending channels is similar to climbing🧗🏻 and skiing⛷️; Descending channels push the price down and cause lower peaks and valleys.
If you were trading in one-sided markets and encountered a descending channel, my friend, just sell and run🏃🏻. But if you were in two-sided markets, you can enjoy taking short positions🔻 and fishing in this drop.🎣
The noteworthy point✨ is that the longer a channel is and the more times⏳ the price has hit any side of this channel, the more essential and reliable this channel becomes.✅
But what if the price is too tired to climb the stairs🔺😩 and not in a good mood to play on the slide🔻😒?
In this case, it will be stuck between two✌🏻 horizontal trend lines and form a range or sideway channel.
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Range channels are just like ponds. There is no exceptional water flow🌊 in a pond, and fish and other creatures can only Move inside this pond. But range channels could be more attractive and eye-catching, like ponds.🌟
Range channels make traders tired.🙍🏻 Because trading in these channels will be more difficult than in other channels, it is challenging to recognize price movements or profit from small price movements in range channels.🤷🏻
The range channel is not similar to the ascending or descending channel. Because as its name suggests, it does not have a particular trend at all and is trendless.
When the price is in a channel range, the number of buyers🟢 and sellers🔴 is almost equal, and supply and demand are virtually identical.
🙅🏻Unlike ascending and descending channels, no peaks or valleys can be seen in a range channel higher or lower than its previous peaks or valleys.
Range channel is created by considering two trend lines from one peak to another peak and from one valley to another valley.
👌🏻Actually, the difference between a range channel and other channels is that these peaks and valleys are equal and basically in the same direction.
These channels may be permanent for river fishes🐟 and have become their home🏡, but there is no permanent channel or trend line for candles.😉
Remember that candles can leave their channel just like a bird🕊️ that jumps out of its cage or a prisoner escaping prison.🏃🏻
Do you remember in the previous posts when I talked about support and resistance lines, we said that candles could finally be released from their support or resistance prison? This case is the same.💁🏻✅
If you forget or don't know about support and resistance lines, take a breath and read this post before going to the next steps.👇🏻
The longer a channel is and the longer the price is locked in it🔒, the pressure of supply and demand on the price is more significant, and you will probably see a strong movement of the candles after the failure.💪🏻
But don't worry. You can still make money trading channels and even breakouts. In the following steps👣, I will teach you how to trade with all types of channels, as well as how to trade in breakouts.😉
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Now you must have questions about how to draw channels.🤷🏻
Well, obviously, with a very sharp pencil✏️ and a steady hand✍🏻. Just kidding😅, you must first recognize the trend and look for regular price movements to draw channels.
To catch a good fish, you must patiently monitor the price movements and look for peaks and valleys that move in the same direction.🕵🏻
You will find your channel by connecting these peaks and the valleys to each other. You need at least two✌🏻 parallel peaks and two valleys to draw a channel.
But how do you know that a channel has been drawn correctly?🤔 Channels have conditions, my friend. I wrote these conditions, so pay attention when drawing the channel.😊
When you draw your channel, make sure that the upper and lower lines of the channel must be parallel.
If the two channel lines are not parallel and are angled, this is a sign of your terrible drawing🤦🏻♀️. What kind of school🏫 did you go to where you can't draw two parallel lines?😐
I'm kidding😄, but if this happens, the pattern is no longer a trend channel but a triangle, which I discussed in previous posts.
Channels and trend lines create patterns by forming different shapes, which I explained in the above post.
I said the lines should be parallel but don't take a ruler📏 to measure each channel and trend line. There is nothing quite like books, my friend.😉
According to the definitions, don't expect to always find a channel 100%. In that case, you will lag behind the whole market.🙅🏻
But there is a tool with the help of which you can draw your channels correctly and lower your error percentage. ✅You can find this expression from the toolbar beside your TradingView charts. Who doesn't like to cheat sometimes?
Look to the left of your charts and click on the second one from the top. New options are displayed; the fifth option from the bottom is the Parallel Channel.
Select this tool and look at your chart. Use this tool wherever you can draw a channel.
To draw ascending channels, you have to find two valleys with a peak between them and you can look for the second peak by drawing the parallel channel. And vice versa, to draw descending channels, you must look for two peaks with a valley between them.
If you found two valleys and there were no peaks between them, something must be wrong & you should reconsider to find the right points.
Finally, the task of the range channels is also straightforward🙂 When you start drawing, from peak to peak or valley to valley, the range channel will show itself, and it will not be different.😊
By default, parallel channels are also a middle line.👀
The middle line is like a negotiator between the other two lines. When the price moves from the upper band of a channel to the bottom, the middle line can mediate and supports the price.🟢
Or when the price moves from the lower band of a channel to the top, the middle line can prevent the price from moving further.🚫
Dear students🧑🏻🏫, now you have acquired the necessary skills, and it is time to take your sticks🪝 and come with me to the river.
Before you trade and catch fish yourself, pay attention🙏🏻 to the positions I took with the help of channels to gain skills in this field because a poor worker blames his tools.
There are ✌🏻two strategies for trading using channels, both of which I will teach you.
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For example, in an ascending channel, such as trading with a support line, you can buy🟢 when the price is on the lower line of the channel and wait for it to reach the upper line of the channel and exit the positioning 🔚.
In previous articles, we talked about candlestick patterns. Using these patterns, you can get help to enter and exit your positions.
You can place your stop loss below the bottom line of the channel. You must indeed lose a fly to catch a trout.🎣 But always remember to be careful.😉
They say to invest what you can afford to lose. But remember to manage your Risk-Ratio and only trade after practicing and testing your strategies several times.✅
Indeed, even if the channel is downward🔻, you should only trade in the direction of the trend; as soon as the price reaches the upper line or resistance line, enter the position and take your profit💲 when you get the lower line of the channel.
Of course, if you are facing a range channel, your general strategy should be to buy at the bottom and sell at the top of the channel, and it's like eating a piece of cake.🍰👌🏻
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When the price is stuck in a channel, is it like a prisoner who can't guess whether he will finally escape by digging a tunnel or climbing over the prison walls? It is impossible to know from which side the price will eventually break its channel.🤷🏻
It seems that channels usually break against the direction of their slope, but it is always possible for a channel to break on both sides.😉 If a channel is broken, the price usually starts a significant move in the same direction as the break.🏃🏻
Did I say that the more the price is locked in a channel, the stronger it will move?💪🏻 Usually, the price can move according to the width of its channel.
When the price is stuck in a channel, is it like a prisoner who can't guess whether he will finally escape by digging a tunnel or climbing over the prison walls? It is impossible to know from which side the price will eventually break its channel.🤷🏻
It seems that channels usually break against the direction of their slope, but it is always possible for a channel to break on both sides.😉 If a channel is broken, the price usually starts a significant move in the same direction as the break.🏃🏻
Did I say that the more the price is locked in a channel, the stronger it will move?💪🏻 Usually, the price can move according to the width of its channel.
You can even use both strategies to trade channels.👌🏻 For example, if the price is locked in this channel, trade in the direction of the channel trend.
Breaking channels is like breaking trend lines or support & resistance, and it comes with a breakout candle🚩 and a confirmation candle✅.
After the breakout, if you have an open position in the trend direction of the channel, you should close it.🙅🏻
After seeing the confirmation✅ of the breakout, enter the position according to your trading strategy and follow the risk management points.
For example, I would have ✌🏻two entry points. And I place my stop loss slightly above the breakout candle🔴.
My first point of entry is after seeing the confirmation candle. And if the price returns🔁 to its channel for the last kiss💋, I activate my second entry point. This will reduce my Risk-Ratio, and I will have a safer position.
To know that your channels are ending🔚, you should look for signs of weakness in price movements; for example, in an ascending channel, breaking below the low trend line or failing to reach higher peaks are signs of weakness.
It's like the price is taking a break before going higher again.
The last thing I'd like to tell you is don't try to force a price on a channel when it doesn't exist. Remember, patience is vital, and it is better to lose a trade than accept a losing trade. As said: "Sometimes the best catches are found in still waters." 🎣
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Conclusion :
Price channels are the rails that keep asset prices on track.🛤️ Just like fishing in a river, trading requires patience, skill, and an understanding of your environment. Check and avoid being affected by market fluctuations.🙅🏻
Now you can take your fishing rod🎣. Whether you are fishing in a bullish, bearish, or range market, the right approach and tools can help you make big profits.😉💲
Remember that profit and loss are together. Profits are never permanent and remember that a bad day at fishing is better than a good day at work. Am I right?😊
For you to have more good trading days than bad days, remember that it's okay to make mistakes when drawing🖌️ those price channels.
You can make up for all your mistakes by practicing and finding the right strategy. Warren Buffett says: The best investment you can make is your abilities.💪🏻
Feel free to experiment and try new strategies.✨ Don't be like a fish out of water; use the channels for swimming🏊🏻♀️ towards the market river.
Remember what Jesse Livermore said: "Price channels are like guardrails on the highway🚧 - they keep you from going off track and help you stay on track."
This post is over, but the road to the technical analysis journey is not over🧳✈️. In the following posts, I will accompany you step by step👣 and teach you other tools.
Be healthy🙏🏻, profitable💲, and successful!✌🏻
Ask your questions in the comments💬 and share your opinions with me😍.
AUD/USD 4HR CHANNEL DOWN PATTERN OANDA:AUDUSD
HI , TRADER'S .. MARKET IS IN DOWN CHANNEL OR DESCENDING CHANNEL
It's a bearish reversal pattern , After completing retest of down channel trendline , market can make a double bottom
Or any reversal candle like hammer or doji can be formed , buyer's can push market up from lower support .
Ideal to buy once market breakout of channel down
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Second Attempt at Weekly Channel BreakoutYFI is attempting to break out of its weekly channel for the 2nd time, last time it failed but has since kept pushing on it.
Let's see if we get an actual breakout this time. First need to see it get and hold above the 200 day EMA, then targets come into play.
Otherwise lose the top of the channel and it may either push for a 3rd attempt, or it could swing back down towards channel bottom
This should show 3 touches on both ends, below:
FTMUSDT is testing the new breakout Currently, the price of FTMUSDT is attempting to break out of a descending channel after a clear retest of the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
A descending channel is a technical pattern in which the price of an asset moves downwards between two parallel trend lines. The upper trend line acts as a resistance level, while the lower trend line acts as a support level. The descending channel is a bearish pattern that indicates that the price of the asset is in a downtrend.
In the case of FTMUSDT, the descending channel is a long-term pattern that has been in place for several weeks. The upper trend line has acted as a strong resistance level, with the price repeatedly being rejected at this level. The lower trend line has acted as a support level, with the price bouncing off this level multiple times.
After a clear retest of the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which is a key support level, the price of FTMUSDT is now attempting to break out of the descending channel. A breakout is a technical pattern in which the price of an asset moves above a resistance level, indicating that the bullish momentum has taken over the bearish momentum.
If the price of FTMUSDT is able to break out of the descending channel and create a higher high, this would be a signal to apply Plancton's rules and consider taking a new long position.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
SPX: This Channel Might Change the Trend.• SPX is inside a Descending Channel, as seen in the 1h chart;
• Despite the bearish momentum in the 1h chart, the trend is still bullish in the daily chart, as the SPX is still doing higher highs/lows and it is above the 21 ema;
• However, if it loses the 21 ema, or does a downwards breakout from this channel, then the bullish bias might reverse in the daily chart (mid-term trend);
• On the other hand, the index would have to do a clear upwards breakout from this channel in order to materialize a bullish continuation pattern;
• This bullish scenario would take us to 4,218, our next target, and an open gap from August last year;
• For now, let’s pay attention on how the index will react inside this channel.
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Shiba Inu will double in price, right now!
Shiba Inu is absolutely ready for a massive breakout! I recommend to buy Shiba Inu right now because the technical analysis gives us a strong buy signal!
As you can see, the price is breaking out of the descending channel with a successful retest. After the retest, I don't see any reason why Shiba should go down at this point.
There are absolutely no unfilled GAPS below the current price, so it is extremely positive for the bulls. There is no reason to short SHIBA for the bears; they would prefer other coins.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, inside the descending channel we can spot a zigzag, which is a corrective pattern. Usually, you want to buy a breakout of corrective patterns for an explosive move!
There is no doubt that Shiba Inu knows how to pump drastically, and what can happen to you is that you wake up in the morning and you will see a huge green dildo, so I think you want to fill your bags before it happens!
Also, we have a double bottom pattern on the macro scale between the previous swings from June 2022 and December 2022. Another great sign of a trend reversal.
The most important question at this point is where to take profit. You don't want to take profit earlier than at the POC of the previous symmetrical triangle from 2021–2022.
Be greedy and make sure you double your investment! Also you can long on futures with a reasonable stop loss!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GRT (the graph) Is confirming breakout from descending channelWe can see here on the weekly chart that GRT (aka The Graph) has broken up from its descending channel and price action is currently very close to the descending channel’s breakout target. Much like many other crypto assets at the moment, we can also see that that descending channel has a large flag pole attached to it as well forming a bear flag. While the descending channel has validated its breakout, it is as of now still uncertain whether or not the bearflag will confirm a bullish breakout as well and pull an inverted Bart pattern. However, CoinMarketCap’s rankings of the “most valuable AI and big data crypto projects and tokens” currently has The Graph as the leading platform in market capitalization. According to Pablo Jodar, a crypto analyst at GenTwo, “I think it is linked to the rally on AI stocks, due to the ChatGPT effect.” Consider all the hype behind AI focused cryptos at the moment this greatly increases the probability that GRT will also confirm the bullish breakout up from the bearflag and reach the higher bearflag target as well. I have posted both targets here on the chart and will update this post once each target is hit. GRT is an indexing protocol that is setting itself up to be the decentralized google for searching blockchains.
VERTEXCHARTS | AUDUSD TRADE IDEAAUDUSD has been moving in a descending channel in the weekly timeframe and has recently touched the resistance line of the channel and has started to fall towards the support line.
during the last week it has also shown price rejection and therefore established some confirmation of bearish movement within the week.
Look for more confirmations for a possible short position
FLOWBTC - Sat in the Middle of a Channel, Still 20% Gains to GetLook at Flow on the 2d chart, there's been some really profitable trades in the last 8 or 9 months. In comparison the potential 20% gain we could be looking at here doesn't seem like all that much - but 20% is still huge!
Even though we're half way through this channel before getting a Long signal from Crypto Tipster v2 there's still plenty to be made in this trade, we're sat a healthy amount above a recent SR level so the price may sink down to touch this one more time before making it's way up the test the descending trend line once more..
Will it break through this time?
Maybe get a limit Buy in on that recent SR level @ 461 to really boost your gains on this one!
If you enjoyed or agree with this idea - drop us a comment, like & follow! :)