GOLD → Breaking the trend on Friday, BUT...OANDA:XAUUSD market is still bearish. Breaking through the resistance of the descending channel may not play a key role. The price is in a global wedge and we see a bounce forming from support.
On Friday, we saw a strong rally that many did not expect. The price was bullish on the inflation related news. Looking at the technical picture some things might become clear.
Pay attention to the D1 chart below. A global wedge is forming. At the moment the market is still in a consolidation phase in a downtrend format.
The retest of the wedge resistance is forming. At the moment, there are no prerequisites for the price to break the resistance of the wedge in the area of 1935-1939.
Breaking through this area will form a strong momentum that will start to strengthen the price.
At the moment there is a high probability of price fall from resistance. Consolidation may continue.
The Fed is not going to cut rates, therefore, the strengthening of the dollar after a small correction may continue, and gold may fall in the medium term.
Support levels: 1912
Resistance levels: 1920, 1938
I expect a correction to the support and possible strengthening of the price to the resistance. If the price breaks through 1912, it will head towards the area of 1902.
Regards to R.Linda!
Descending Channel
XLMUSDT - Breaking through bearish trend resistanceBINANCE:XLMUSDT forms the bottom, relative to which the price develops positive dynamics. After testing 0.0758, a rally is formed and the price makes a retest of the trend resistance.
As we can see, a three-day accumulation is formed in relation to the resistance. The market is obviously ready to continue rising, but in order to do that the price needs to overcome the resistance.
The resistance at 0.1035 is worth mentioning. The bulls may fight hard for this level and if they manage to hold this area, the coin will show a good result in the middle term, because the level of 0.1035 is the range support, whereas the resistance and the target for the price may be the upper boundary at 0.1305.
Support levels: 0.0959 and 0.0987.
Resistance levels: upper trendline, 0.1035, 0.1130
I expect a confident bullish position above the level of 0.1035. An indicator for this will be consolidation above the level. Medium-term perspective - growth up to 0.1305.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD - Negative fundamentals are bad for the price OANDA:XAUUSD forms a new local low and then makes a retest. The bearish scenario continues, which tells us that gold will continue to red, unless, of course, the fundamental backdrop takes the opposite direction.
The phase of realization of the accumulated potential is forming.
When the support of the 1939 range is broken, there is a new downtrend in a channel format. On the chart we see the downtrend range, the price clearly observes the limits and on Wednesday it forms a new local low of 1902. On Thursday we see the return of the price to the retest of the support. Hence, there is a possibility of a breakout of 1902 and further declines.
Either the bears are strong or the fundamental background is influencing the bulls.
The moving averages are showing a strong downtrend.
Support levels: 1902, 1895
Resistance levels: 1912, channel resistance, 1928, SMA200
Since the chart gives us plenty of bearish suggestion, I will continue to hold the view that price will continue to fall. Pay attention to D1, price is only in the middle of the range, the target could be support 1800
Regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Price is testing 1912 support for a breakout OANDA:XAUUSD is preparing for further declines. Bears on the basis of negative fundamentals are not going to give up. Another retest of support is forming, which increases the probability of further downside
Closing of the daily candlestick on Tuesday is very close to the indicated level of 1912.5. The retest is formed - the market checks the support area. Price starts to consolidate below the local bearish resistance and near the level of 1912.5.
Based on the technical analysis we see a very high probability to break through the support (a deep false breakout is possible). But we consider support at 1895 as a medium-term target. But again, if today's news affect the gold prices and if the resistance is broken through, we might see an increase to the upper boundary of the range.
The moving averages are pointing to a global stop and an attempt to change the bullish trend.
Support levels: 1912.5, 1895.5
Resistance levels: 1917, 1920.
The retest gives a strong signal. For this reason, on the background of the falling market, I expect a breakout of the key support with a further decline to 1895.
Regards to R. Linda!
GOLD → Symmetrical triangle on a falling trend OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a sideways range of 1938 - 1912. But if you look closely, we see a symmetrical triangle on the downtrend. What can happen to the price?
The triangle can affect price both bearishly and bullishly. If sellers hold resistance, price will move to the lower boundary of the pattern - the chance of further declines will increase. But if the price breaks the resistance of the triangle, it will go to 1938, the chance that the price will break 1938 is not high enough.
We have a strong bearish trend and resistance levels play a key role.
In the medium term I expect price to fall to 1912-1900.
Resistance levels: upper limit of triangle, 1933, SMA200, 1938
Support levels: 1928, 1922, lower boundary of the triangle
I expect a resistance retest, but since the bears are quite strong at the moment and the fundamentals are not so good, I expect a fall to 1912 - 1900
Regards R. Linda!
NEARUSDT → Double bottom and range breaking BINANCE:NEARUSDT forms several key setups which are quite strong prerequisites for further growth. What to expect from the price?
A double bottom is forming at the level of 1.229. The formation period is 7 months. Price is accumulating a huge amount of energy during this period while a range (consolidation) of 1.229-2.596 is forming.
At the same time the price breaks the resistance of the descending wedge. In that case, if the bulls hold their positions above the previously broken line, we will see a rise to the upper boundary of the range in the medium term. A breakout of 2.596 will take the price to 3.361.
The moving averages are still as resistance, but MA-50 has been tested and may be broken soon.
Support levels: the previously broken range boundary, the level of 1.229
Resistance levels: MA-50, 1.800, MA-200
I expect predictable reaction from the bulls. A consolidation above the previously broken line will form an entry point to long positions, and after that I will wait for an increase to resistances.
Regards R.Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation is formed after a trend breakThe market stops OANDA:XAUUSD fall at the local support level of 1912. On Friday, we saw a redemption of the fall, but the price could not overcome the resistance. The retest sent the price down.
There is a sideways formation of the range between 1938 and 1912. The price might test one of the key resistances, but there is not much of a potential for the buyers at the moment.
Yesterday we analyzed the situation in the high D1 time frame and mentioned that the price broke the uptrend, and if the gold crosses below 1910, it will move under the red zone.
The MA50 acts as a local support and the MA-200 keeps pushing the price as resistance.
Most likely high volatility may not happen and the price will stay in the above range for some time.
Support levels: 1924, MA-50 1918, 1912
Resistance levels: 1928, 1938, MA-200
I expect continuation of the consolidation formation, but in the medium term I expect a fall from the resistance, a possible retest of the support of 1912 and further fall after a breakthrough.
Regards R. Linda!
BNBUSDT 5% drawdown channeling H&S5% drawdown from the right shoulder of a Head and Shoulders pattern setup can be expected as drawn on this 15m chart. Price action in a parallel channel and downward impulse wave to fill the wave-iii. Chaikin Money Flown in a negative divergence as diving below zero plus Fisher transform 2H bearish crossing suggesting time correlation in 16h ahead.
BTC when will the breakout be LONG~please read~Hello traders🌍🆗
We have a possible cup and handle on the daily view ☕
We are currently in a descending structure that has been forming over the last month.
Bitcoin price ascended to a sharp test of the top of structure ▶
We made a similar structure just upsidedown May of last year ⏬
I am watching 👀out to see if we reach 25k as a potential buy zone
We could also go back up for a retest.
What do you think??
Any thoughts 💭💡, questions 🙋♀️🙋♂️❓, good 👍, bad👎, happy 😄 or sad 😥, in the comments always welcome.
🖖🎉🐶📈📉🤍
Jazerbay
Bitcoin Make or Break At Channel ResistanceBitcoin tagged the upper line of the downtrend channel yesterday after drifting higher over the weekend. It's make it or break it time as a failure to move up and out of the downtrend channel will likely result in a re-test of the lower channel line.
Regardless of what you might hear, the SEC suing Coinbase and Binance is not bullish for cryptocurrencies. BlackRock filing for a Bitcoin ETF is also not bullish and likely will signal a top in the market if approved, much like when we saw the Bitcoin futures market come online during the 2017/2018 crypto bubble and the IPO for COIN during the 2020/2021 bubble. The only difference being that Blackrock is filing for a Bitcoin ETF during a bear market while the other two occurred during bull markets.
My second largest position right now is short Bitcoin via the BITI ETF.
DOGE - 81% crash is starting! (Sell all your coins, no time)
If you haven't sold DOGE, you should do it as soon as possible because otherwise you will experience a critical 81% crash. But fortunately, I am here to protect your funds, and in this analysis, I will tell you why this crash is going to happen!
First of all, we can clearly see that the price is moving in the descending parallel channel on the macro-weekly chart. The price is inside the channel, and we have a total of 5 touches. This is definitely a valid parallel channel on the LOG scale, and Doge remains in bearish mode.
What's more, there is a bearish head and shoulders pattern, and the price is very near its neckline. You still have time to react, but the crash could be very steep and disgusting, so what you want to do is short Doge instead on the futures market if you want to make money on this coin.
In April, Twitter changed its logo to the Doge coin logo. It was supposed to be bullish, so everyone was buying like crazy, but instead the price went down even below the starting bullish candle. It was clearly an April joke from the Twitter owners, and there was no plan to start a bull market. So why do they do that? Clearly, the investors that bought the news are at a loss, and an 81% crash is starting so...
The bottom could be at 0.618 LOG FIB, but I think we are going to go even lower than that. But this is definitely a good level, so you can buy Doge at the FIB for a short-term bounce and make money. It's going to be a great trade. Make sure you do not forget about this upcoming trade with a 200% profit. I will, of course, notify you about it, so set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Overall, Doge is bearish, but I believe we will see a new all-time high, but it's not going to be soon. This coin is not going to zero, as it is valuable. We need more time so the whales can buy this coin at a cheap price!
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$M Long Swing Opportunity with Big Price TargetsNYSE:M is in a downtrend channel but I think there is a long opportunity as long as it holds the 15.9 level with targets of 19 and 22.65
-Falling Wedge breakout and retest wedge-line as support
-Bottom of channel bounce with strong green candles
-Buying volume vastly outweighs selling volume from trend
-RSI showing momentum with plenty of room to run
Good idea to wait for a confirmation hold above 16 old support for entry
EURCAD - Bearish Descending ChannelHi Traders,
EURCAD is trading within a descending channel which we could see another bearish move down near the top boundary of the channel. As BOC raised interest rates another 25 basis points unexpectedly, we can expect more bearish downfall.
Thanks
Trade Safe
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LINAUSDTLINAUSDT is trading in bearish parallel channel and currently creating support at 0.120 region with bullish divergence. Will the price bounce from this critical level?
Bitcoin - Pitchfork and Bullish Flag (You haven't seen it!)
On the chart, you can see my Fibonacci original pitchfork on the logarithmic scale, starting from the bottom at 15476. As you can see, this pitchfork is very well respected, sometimes pretty much exactly to the dollar. The power of a pitchfork is real on Bitcoin. I use Fibonacci 1, 0.618, 0.382, and 0 values for it.
Right now, the price of Bitcoin is still bullish because the pitchfork is clearly holding, we can see a bullish flag / parallel channel on the recent price action, and what's more, we have an ABC correction that has been completed successfully. It's a good bullish setup for longs, but we all know that if the price falls below the pitchfork and below the ABC wave, it's going to trigger a massive crash to 15k! Bitcoin is overall pretty weak compared to gold, which has already almost hit an all-time high while Bitcoin is struggling.
In all of my analyses, I always give you a very strong technical analysis that no one else does. I keep my description pretty short, so you don't spend too much time reading while all the necessary information is included.
It's really best for bullish flags to be together with an ABC correction of ZigZag types. This will increase the probability of success.
Maybe I am wrong and Bitcoin is not going to pump, but it's totally okay as long as your risk-to-reward ratio is above 3. You can be right only 40% of the time to be a successful trader. Most people think you need to be right 80% of the time, which you can, but your risk-to-reward ratio will be only 1, which gives you a very small profit for each trade. I prefer a higher risk-to-reward ratio with a lower success rate.
I do analyses for the bulls and for the bears, and now it's your work to do your own analysis and open trades. I give you good reasons for the bullish and bearish scenarios. It can sometimes look like all I post is that I am sure about it, but it's just a part of my personality.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
TSLA: Bull Trend Pullback - Watch Out for These Key Points!• Yesterday, TSLA did a Gravestone Doji candlestick pattern, just under the $191 resistance line, indicating a pullback;
• As I mentioned yesterday, any pullback to the $177 area wouldn’t be the end of the world, as the trend is still bullish (the link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual);
• So far, it seems this is just a pullback, as there’s no bearish reversal structure on TSLA yet;
• If TSLA loses the $177, then it might frustrate the bullish sentiment;
• On the weekly chart, TSLA is still inside a Descending Channel, and it seems it found a resistance at the upper trend line again;
• Therefore, TSLA just reached a key resistance level this week. If it breaks this resistance in the next few days, we will see a meaningful bullish reversal pattern being triggered on the weekly chart, reversing the long-term bearish sentiment seen since 2021.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
XAUUSD ---> one small long positionhello guys...
in my opinion, the main movement in #gold is bullish yet, but you can enjoy a small profit by getting a short position.
in the short term, it is on descending channel and now touching the top of that, besides this, it makes a QML pattern as well.
so you can get a short position but put your target small.
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USOILSPOT | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailBy the end of the previous week, the Oil prices appear to have stabilized in a trading range between 74.00 and 67.00 per barrel. Sluggish data coming in from the Chinese economic docket (the world's number one importer of crude oil) is not helping matters at all; with a 1.4% decline in imports and an 8.5% drop in export growth. The economy seems to be struggling and there are insinuations that demand for oil might also slip in the world’s largest importer of the commodity thereby prompting traders to slow down. In this video, we used the current technical setup identified on the 4H timeframe to identify potential trading opportunities ahead of the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.