KDA capitulation bottom 2022-2023Could the $0.30 cent plus range be the absolute capitulation scenario for KDA? The blu line is the absolute recorded low for KDA. We may pay this price a visit depending on the capitulation event with Bitcoin bottoming out at or below $9500. We could follow this descending channel if price points are correct. The other horizontal lines are Fibonacci lines that could come into play. I would think that crypto is getting closer to a bottom than we think. I have used a bars pattern as a fractal as visual.
Descending Channel
TWT Trust Wallet - The pump is over, buy at these levels!
TWT is a great token, but it looks like the price is too high at this moment, which is why I recommend buying the dip at lower levels!
As you can see, the chart is printing a descending triangle at the top of the uptrend. This is definitely not a good sign at all. Descending triangles have a higher probability of breaking down.
I made a descending parallel channel projection on the LOG scale, which can be very useful in the future. Usually, triangles turn into channels.
The impulse wave has been completed, and we are looking for a retracement. I will give you the two most important levels where you can place buy orders.
1.46 USDT and 1.22 USDT are great levels to buy TWT. If you missed the pump, it's not a problem at all. I will trade this altcoin once it reaches my levels for short-term gains!
The first level on the log scale is the 0.618 FIB, which is, of course, a very strong support. We should see a lot of buyers at this particular level.
The second level is based on price action. We have an unfilled gap from the previous uptrend that can be filled in the short term. On a higher time frame, it is also a breakout level of the previous market structure.
The platform was acquired by Binance in July 2018. So there is a huge expectation for the Trust Wallet token. Binance is currently the most reliable crypto exchange in the world.
A 26–40% correction is possible. I will take this opportunity once the price reaches my targets.
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Bitcoin - The bears will crash BTC again! (Great opportunity)
From November 21 to November 24, we had a pretty nice uptrend. It lasted only 3 days, and the structure of the uptrend is bearish.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, it was an ABC correction because I can see only 7 waves, which is a typical correction with an extended wave A.
Bitcoin is the most bearish asset, and it's absolutely a pleasure to short Bitcoin or Ethereum!
A new week started, and Bitcoin broke out of the symmetrical triangle pretty hard.
October and November are extremely bullish months for Bitcoin, but this time we dumped, and Bitcoin continues in free fall.
The right question is now: When will we reach 10,000? not if we reach 10,000. After we reach 10K, I think we will have a massive bounce back to 15K or so. Make sure to follow me so you do not miss important information on this expected bounce!
If you want to trade bitcoin, the best strategy is "short only." So wait for pullbacks and shorts.
I expect the ultimate bottom for Bitcoin to be between 6500 and 10300 USD.
I am very happy to provide you with these analyses; stay strong!
XRP - When moon? I'll tell you when...
I will tell you, when the moon is for XRP, but first, let's take a look at the technical analysis.
On the chart, you can see two major downtrending trendlines, and the price is below them. The bears are in full control, and I cannot be bullish at this point.
The previous uptrend from June 13 to September 19 was a 3-wave structure (ABC). This suggests a corrective counter-move in the main direction of the trend. The trend is indeed bearish.
I want to see an impulsive structure before even considering becoming a bull on XRP. What's more, the price is printing a head and shoulders pattern, and the price is currently forming the left shoulder.
Basically, it's a shorting opportunity if you want to catch the local top. Or wait for a breakout below the neckline for a confirmation. Your profit target is at the bottom of the parallel channel on the LOG scale.
XRP can drop by another 50% or 80% to 0.1 USDT next year. It's very likely, in my opinion.
If we take a look at the MACD indicator, we can see that the bulls are losing steam on the histogram, and the bearish crossover can occur very soon!
So when moon for XRP? There is no indication from whales that they are buying XRP at this moment. It looks like they want to buy cheaper XRP at 0.1 USD. I think XRP can moon next year in 2023, it's possible, why not.
Happy trading!
Decending Channel + weak bullish signalThe end of an ascending channel and the beginning of a descending channel.
As we can see the RSI indicator is in an overbought zone for some hours, however the MACD weren't strong enough to continue going up after crossing the signal line and went down again, so the candles continues to make HL and just two HH.
The BB moving average was crossed but just with two shadow candles and the second one was a bearish candle followed by a full bearish candle
Bitcoin - Secret Invisible Pattern!
This is a secret parallel channel that absolutely no one is talking about because it's visible only to experienced traders.
Don't be a noob and buy at the 0.618 FIB + 1.618 FIB + channel bottom like a pro (if the price reaches this level)! Or open a leverage position on futures here.
Bitcoin is the most hated asset in the world, and everybody spits on it. The funny thing is that while the dollar has been weak in recent weeks, bitcoin has been even weaker.
As you can see, we have plenty of room to go down into the abyss. I don't know if the price will go up or down; I don't really care. I am mainly a day trader, and I post on TradingView only long-term views on crypto. But I have to admit I will be interested in Bitcoin once it reaches 3k for a long-term investment with part of my funds.
Setup your orders to buy Bitcoin at 10k for a massive 50% profit, because I expect a massive short-term bull market from this level!
Bitcoin is basically free falling; it's an absolute disaster, and the bear party with honey is awesome.
Regards, Tolberti.
DOGE - insane 83% drop, here is why!
Doge pumped a lot, but it looks like a scam pump to me. There are no buyers at all. I think this uptrend was fueled by stop-loss triggers and liquidations on the futures market.
At this moment, the uptrend looks like a major ABC correction. Clearly, we can see a three-wave structure. Also, the bulls failed to hold the wave A swing high at 0.089, which is a sign of weakness.
Why would anyone want to buy DOGE at this moment? I don't see any bullish patterns. Better open a short position on futures , but look for setups on lower timeframes. This analysis is on the weekly chart.
No worries, you can buy DOGE at the 0.618 FIB for quick gains. That's exactly what my plan is for DOGE!
On the chart you can see a projection for a parallel channel . This channel is amazing, because you can buy at the bottom of the channel for quick gains.
A 83% drop is possible, and I will not be surprised if we go even lower. This mini-uptrend is not healthy.
On the chart, you can see three strong supports: 0.618 FIB, POC1, and POC2. This is incredible because there will be a lot of money to be made at these levels!
Let's be honest; everyone bought DOGE because of that pump, and now everyone is trapped. Sell DOGE while the price is high, it's not too late.
If something pumps in one week and then dumps back, then it's obviously a fake move, and it will be punished by a massive crash.
Can DOGE drop by 83%? Let me know in the comment section right now!
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Bitcoin - All of the reasons why the bottom is near (in)
This analysis will show you why the bottom of Bitcoin could be very close. This is a set of indicators that tell their own story, so let's take a look at them.
Currently, Bitcoin is the most hated asset in the world. Everything is rising, including gold, silver, stocks, the EUR/USD, indices, and even meta Facebook, the most bearish stock. Bitcoin is the weakest asset. You can be a contrarian and buy it.
But let's take a look at the technical analysis. As you can see, we have a trendline from the all-time high of 69,000 USD to the current price. The bulls already broke the trendline, but the bear was stronger, and the price was pushed down. The trendline is currently being retested, which is a common thing in trading. There is a pretty huge chance that every trendline will be tested again. Usually, you want to buy the retest. So we have a first buy signal here.
Large institutions and hedge funds regard 200 moving averages as strong support or resistance. There are two types of possible curves for a moving average. The curve can be descending or ascending. In this case, the curve is ascending, which is an indication of an uptrend. The uptrend is still valid, and this is a bullish sign. But the price is below the 200 MA, which is bearish on the other side.
Then there's the Elliott Wave. This downtrend could have moved in a complex corrective structure known as a double zigzag (WXYXZ). This structure must contain 3 zigzags for a total of 6 impulses. It is really possible that it is actually a double zigzag corrective pattern, which is bullish.
If we take a look at the volume indicator, we have historically had the highest volume on the Binance exchange. This is an indication of a massive exchange of Bitcoin. People are selling, but for every transaction, there has to be a buyer. Extremely high volume is an indication of capitulation and often indicates a trend reversal. During a stop-loss hunt, we typically see a huge volume spike and the price move in the opposite direction because the whales simply took the necessary liquidity.So massive volume spike can be a bullish sign. It is a special event.
The next indicator is the RSI. There is a huge bullish divergence that cannot be ignored. Bullish divergence is a very powerful indication that the bears are losing steam. It happens when the price makes a new lower low while the indicator makes a higher low. This is very bullish.
MACD: The histogram measures the difference between the two moving averages of the MACD indicator. The histogram is ticking to the upside and is above the 0 level. If the histogram reaches above the 0 level, then the two moving averages cross each other. Recently, we have had a bullish cross, which is a bullish signal. This bullish signal is still valid until the histogram falls below 0 again.
FTX capitulation: A major player in the cryptocurrency industry has been wiped out. Capitulation is a sign of a trend reversal. When everyone is selling, it's time to buy. It looks like a lot of retail investors just sold their Bitcoin holdings. Capitulation is one of the classic phases of the market cycle.
CPI data was very positive, and inflation is going down. As per my research in one of my previous analyses, I expect inflation to drop to 0% in the next few years. If you follow me on TradingView, then you know why it can happen based on technical analysis. But if you don't, no worries! You can check out the 0% inflation analysis in the related section down below!
Gold is rising pretty significantly along with the DJI stock market index, which is also very good for Bitcoin.
DXY dollar index is falling; the dollar is currently losing strength, but of course, it can be only temporarily.
Believe it or not, but Bitcoin can rise 50% in a single week, and it can happen so fast. One tweet from CZ and the job is done.
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SPX500 | ShortThis underlying bu Oanda is best alternative for futures (the difference is about $10 and also works at cash session/premarket period)
SPX tested 0.382 level of Fibonacci and can not hold it. In my opinion, SPX could test 0.5 level there is no huge volume it is important to wait closing 65M chart.
Ethereum - Macro outlook | -62% next month!
After the merge, the price of ETH is rapidly going down. It's basically a free fall right now. It was clearly a sell-the-news event.
I am very bearish until we break the major trendline that you can see on the chart. There is absolutely no reason to buy ETH at this moment.
On the daily chart, we can spot a descending parallel channel that is very well respected with all trendlines inside. These trendlines can be useful for short-term trades. I believe there is a possibility of touching the downward trendline in the future.
The market never goes in a straight line; we always have waves during the trend and that's why Elliott Waves are the best indicator to understand where we currently are in the market structure.
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, we are in the final 5h wave of this particular market structure, which can be deadly indeed. But if I am right and we will go down, then do not expect ETH to go to new all-time highs soon.
So prepare your shorts, because that's the only way you can profit in this bearish market. Maybe the ETHBTC pair is also starting a new macro downtrend, so basically ETH will fall off the cliff.
The situation for ETH is horrendous. It's really better to switch to BNB if you really want to hold some coins. Or just stay in USDT and buy after the crash.
I do not expect any tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find the most bearish altcoins in the related section down below. Serum (SRM) looks juicy for shorting on the futures market.
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✅Bitcoin - The bottom is in!
The temporary bottom on Bitcoin is in! Now we are looking for a bullish retracement. I think we will go lower, to 3K-10K, in the next few years, but not now!
On the chart, you can see the strongest resistance on the way up. It's hard to say which one will be the reversal point.
Do you think this Bitcoin crash was natural or was it caused by some strong entity? Let me know what you think in the comment section. I am happy to read your comments!
I think the most probable scenario for Bitcoin is to reach the blue trendline, or 0.618 FIB, at this moment.
The crypto market is a joke, and all investors are getting rekt pretty much all the time, and it's going to be even worse. It's not easy to choose the right coins; only about 5% of them are powerful.
The only reliable investment is BNB, let's be honest! At least it's holding its value and going up a little bit.
This week was extreme for Crypto, pretty much very sad, but it is how it is, and we need to adapt!
The upcoming uptrend will be a countertrend. That means it should be very fast, and we can finally experience a massive green dildo.
DXY is crashing and EURUSD/GOLD is pumping, which is also a good sign for this weak crypto market. In my opinion, a relief rally is very likely right now!
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On the 1h chart, we can spot a strong impulse wave, which is a sign of strength!
Acreage is flirting with the resistance of a descending channel Bullish cross on the KST & Williams alligator.
The stock is getting very close to the 200DMA.
PolkaDot - A huge breakout or a trap?
Please do not buy DOT. There are many, many better coins. This analysis is for you if you want to get out of DOT or if you want to buy DOT.
This altcoin looks really bad. I would not buy it. But, it looks like we will have a relief uptrend.
I think we can definitely reach at least the 0.382 FIB retracement of this downtrend wave. This wave should be completed and we are looking for a bullish correction.
We have a descending parallel channel that has been destroyed by the bulls recently. So the bears should pause for a while.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, there is an impulse wave, which is a great sign of weakness. This is probably not the bottom!
I expect a huge bear market after the retracement, so be careful with this altcoin.
Look at my ideas about APT, ETH, BTC, and inflation in the related section down below.
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S&P 500 E-mini Futures, Short StrategyHere's a possible short strategy based on S&P 500 E-mini Futures daily chart.
Based on previous price movements I would enter a short position. Await first for confirmation, then enter a position. Keep your stop loss somewhere above the upper channel.
Target 1 - $3690
Target 2 - $3590
Target 3 - $3500
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I keep it simple and clean!
Likes, comments, and follows are dearly appreciated.
Let me know what you think and which ones you would like me to analyze next.
Trade safely!
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Bitcoin - Drop to 13 000 USDT! But first a relief uptrend!🟡
The situation for Bitcoin is terrible. There is nothing bullish at this moment. We are below the 200 weekly moving average and the main trendline from 2013 has been destroyed by the bears recently.
The bulls are weak, and the only trump that they have is the 200 weekly moving average on the TOTAL crypto market cap chart, because the price is above this level.
On the 4h chart we have a descending parallel channel that is well respected, so there is a possibility for another drop down in the immediate short term.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, an impulse wave has been printed on the chart, and this is absolutely devastating for the bulls. That's not what you want to see.
Anyways, I think this impulse wave is done or almost done and we should go up for an ABC correction above the previous triangle to wipe out late shorts on the futures.
Then it looks like we will continue lower to 13 000 USDT, which would be a great zone for a long position back above 25 000 USDT. However, I don't think we will hit the all-time high in the next few years.
It looks like the bubble has popped and we are in the first real bear market in the history of Bitcoin. The first bull cycle from 2009 - 2021 has ended and we are in the first bear cycle. We don't know how long this bear cycle is going to last.
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