GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound (GBP) has been on a rough ride lately, closing out its fifth consecutive week in the red. But a late-week rally brought some hope, pulling the GBP/USD back from its lowest point in five months. Now, all eyes are on the upcoming week, which is packed with key economic data and a crucial Fed decision.
In this video, we'll analyze the GBP/USD currency pair, examining the potential for a bullish rebound in light of the upcoming economic releases and the Fed's likely rate cut.
With the Federal Reserve's September meeting on the horizon, investors are keenly focused on the potential for a rate cut. Current rate markets have priced in the beginning of a rate cut cycle, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) expected to meet on September 18. Although the probability of a 50 basis point cut was previously high, expectations have adjusted slightly. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, there is now a 53.5% chance of a 50 bps cut in September, with further cuts anticipated later in 2024.
Next week’s economic calendar is packed with key data. On Tuesday and Wednesday, we’ll receive the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reports, which could provide crucial insights into market direction. Additionally, US Retail Sales and updates from the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Survey will offer more context for economic trends.
Given these developments, the big question is: will the British Pound be able to maintain its bullish momentum as we head into the new week? Join us as we dive into the charts, analyze the current market conditions, and discuss potential trading opportunities.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain buying pressure above $1.27500 and the ascending trendline next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Descending Channel
NZDCAD → Consolidation prepares the market for a trend change ↑FX:NZDCAD is breaking the current bearish trend and forming a bullish off-trend pattern. Focusing on the 0.82863 "trigger" resistance, bulls are targeting it to break this area...
Accumulation is forming in relation to the mentioned zone, if the structure will remain, and buyers will continue active attacks towards the "trigger", then in the long term we can look for an entry point for a breakdown.
The market is still restrained by MA-200 & MA-50, but the 200-day line is undergoing a third retest, which generally increases the chances of price consolidation above the key SMA. Globally we have a neutral trend, locally the market sentiment is starting to turn bullish.
The structure will be broken if the price consolidates below 0.82239.
Resistance levels: 0.82863, MA-200
Support levels: 0.82239, MA-50
Fundamentally, the situation in New Zealand is calming down and the market is starting to recover losses. Emphasis on the ascending triangle on H4, it is possible to build short-term and medium-term prospects in relation to this figure
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ NZDCAD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
HERO MOTOCORP LTD - Awaiting Bullish Breakout
Strong Uptrend: The stock experienced a strong upward movement in May, establishing a bullish trend.
Descending Channel Formation: Currently, the stock is trading within a descending channel, a pattern that often precedes a breakout.
Awaiting Breakout: A bullish breakout above the channel could lead to a continuation of the uptrend.
Target Level: If the breakout occurs, the next target could be the resistance at ₹5,852.
RON - A reversal with a leading breakout is expected to push the#RON/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ Price has hit the support zone around 1.5 price range.
+ A strong reversal can be expected from the support zone which gives a good opportunity for a long trade.
+ Enter a long trade only after the price reversal.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 1.6
Stop Loss: 1.14
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Target 1: 1.848
Target 2: 2.320
Target 3: 2.752
Target 4: 3.658
Target 5: 5.308
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Timeframe: 1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
ANF reversal or dead-cat bounce?
NYSE:ANF
ANF has recently pulled back from its all-time high (ATH) following its latest earnings report. Despite strong earnings, same-store sales, and electronic sales growth, and a dynamic inventory selection, concerns about a potential recession have weighed on the stock.
Key Developments:
Recently dropped below the 100-day Moving Average (MA)
Retested the 200-day MA
Bounced off the 200-day MA
Broke out of a triangle formation on a 15-minute timeframe
Broke above the 100-day MA but failed to break above previous support
Expected Outcomes:
Bullish scenario: If ANF bounces off the 100-day MA and reclaims the previous support level, it could retest the 50-day MA, coinciding with the upper limit of the current negative channel. In this case, I would consider near-term put options to hedge against a potential retest of the 200-day MA.
Bearish scenario: If ANF fails to hold above the 100-day MA and the $150 support level, it is likely to retest the 200-day MA.
I am closely monitoring the $150 level and will make decisions based on price action this week. Given the current macro environment, I prefer to be short this position. If the bullish scenario unfolds, I will wait for a retest of the upper channel limit before taking action. With key economic data, including retail sales, being released this week, expect volatility. Regardless of my position, I plan to be short-term and exit before the next earnings report.
XRP → The court case is complete. Triangle Resistance Retest...↑BINANCE:XRPUSD is forming a rally from the intermediate bottom area. The reason for this is the end of the litigation between Ripple and SEC. The market has been laying a positive outcome for the past few weeks....
The SEC was demanding $2 billion dollars, but the court reduced their demand by 94%, admitting they lost!
This is a positive outcome for Ripple, the industry.
Ripple is only fined $125 million instead of $2 billion.
The rumors have been around for a while, but the market reacted quite positively, giving an initial boost of 27%
Technically, at the moment, all eyes are on the range 0.6378, 0.5663. Emphasis on the resistance breakout. If the bulls can overcome this boundary, it will be a confirmation of the price exit from the global descending triangle, which may affect the formation of a bullish trend, the promising targets of which may be 0.900, 1.300.
Resistance levels: 0.6378, 0.7440
Support levels: 0.5663, MA-50
Fundamentally and technically, everything is unfolding with favorable winds for the bulls. It opens the way to the north, but before that, the bulls need to try to overcome the strong resistance.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:XRPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation above global trend supportFX:XAUUSD is trading inside the global range. The focus is on local support and resistance levels. The dollar is temporarily rising, which has an impact on gold, which is globally in a bullish trend.
The gold price remains vulnerable despite the US Federal Reserve's dovish stance. The gold price continues to lose ground for the fifth day in a row on Wednesday, approaching a one-week low on the back of a generally stronger US Dollar (USD) and rising US Treasury yields. There are not many key news today, so the general fundamental background and technical component should be evaluated as a priority.
Technically, gold is not allowed below 2369 and 2380, forming a correction and a retest of the resistance at 2397-2400. If the bulls are able to break this zone and consolidate above the level, we can get on the train to the north, but an active struggle of differently-minded traders is forming in this zone. The trading range for today is 2420 - 2370 (confirmed by the movement of August 05 - 06).
Resistance levels: 2397, 2400, 2420
Support levels: 2380, 2370
If bears hold resistance, price may test the lower boundary of the range. But, a retest and breakdown of 2420 would disrupt the market structure and character and create a fickle mood, within which the bulls may give impetus.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → False break of range support led to a reboundFX:XAUUSD reaches the liquidity zone of 2370, forming a false breakdown, confirms the presence of a strong range boundary. The market may move into a sideways trend.
Fundamentally, the situation is still complicated.
The U.S. regulators are trying to change the market's mind on the recession issue, trying to keep the market calm. The question of aggressive actions of regulators is still open.
At the moment everyone is watching the actions in the Middle East, as the activity on the background of the war already unleashed can again affect the price of gold.
Markets continue to estimate almost 90% probability of a 50 basis points cut in US interest rates in September. Let me remind you that it is not the fact of reduction that matters, but the hints and comments of regulators.
At this time, gold is forming a global range of 2480 - 2370.
Resistance levels: 2420
Support levels: 2400
Technically, gold may go into a consolidation phase, but in the future it is worth watching the resistance at 2420. As a pre-breakout consolidation or a quick retest may lead to a breakout attempt and growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → A retest of trend support. ISM PMI ahead...FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid unstable fundamental environment. The price of the metal is declining towards the rather important zone of 2420, which has shown itself more than once.
Fundamentally, the market is in fear because of possible recession, which may become a motivation for the Fed to take hasty actions and more aggressive easing of monetary policy
Rumors are emerging about a possible emergency FED meeting in the near future.
Not to forget gold as a hedge asset, which continues to feel supported in volatile times.
Speculators are cautious and refrain from premature actions ahead of the ISM services PMI data and the tense situation in the Middle East.
Support levels: 2419,6, 2403, 2382
Resistance levels: 2451, 2474
Technically, gold is at a strong support at 2419 and judging by the reaction of the price to the level, the buyers are acting quite aggressively, trying to hold the market. Against this background, the price may strengthen to the nearest resistance 2430, 2445, 2450, but if the price starts to return to 2419, forming a quick retest, it will increase the chances of a possible breakdown of the bullish channel and further decline to the zone of interest and liquidity.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Descending Channel on USD/CHF @ D1This descending channel pattern has formed on the daily chart of the USD/CHF pair following a rising trend that lasted from the start of the year till May 1. The pattern's borders are marked with the yellow lines. The potential entry level is at the cyan line. The potential take-profit level is at the green line. The stop-loss can be set to the low of the candle preceding the breakout candle. It's not shown SL isn't shown on the chart. I will ignore bearish breakouts from this descending channel formation.
Potential Bullish Reversal for Stader (SD/USDT)#SD/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ The chart shows a descending channel pattern forming since the peak in end of 2023. The price has respected the upper and lower bounds of this channel multiple times, indicating a strong bearish trend within this range.
+ The price is currently near the lower boundary of the descending channel, around $0.51, which has acted as a significant support level.
+ A breakout above the upper boundary of the channel around $0.93 could signal a potential trend reversal.
+ If the price holds above the $0.50 support level and breaks out of the descending channel, we can expect a potential move towards the $1.15 resistance zone.
+ Further upside could see the price targeting the $2.00 - $2.50 levels
+ The RSI is currently at 40.42, indicating that the asset is nearing the oversold region. A reversal in RSI towards the 50 mark would support a bullish momentum shift.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: $0.5109
Stop Loss: $0.37
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Target 1: 0.8259
Target 2: 1.15
Target 3: 2.0
Target 4: 3.0
Target 5: 5.0
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Timeframe: 1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
GOLD → Ahead of NFP. Shall we get to 2500?FX:XAUUSD is making new highs and approaching a strong resistance zone from which a small correction may follow before a further rise. NFP is ahead, which may set a short-term backdrop
The dollar is in a sideways range ahead of the news, which generally indicates a neutral mood among traders. Strong news can either renew the dollar's decline, which will be favorable for gold, or have the opposite reaction, so it is necessary to look at the actual data.
Technically, the gold is approaching the ATH and there is a high probability that the price will not only test the high, but also update it. In general, the fundamental and technical background is positive this week and I think that in the short and medium term we should wait for the continuation of growth.
Resistance levels: 2368, 2475, 2483
Support levels: 2451, 2440, 2430
Gold reduces volatility before the news as speculators go into wait-and-see mode. High volatility is expected, on this background the price may test the support before further growth. But if the resistance of 2483-2475 is broken at once, the price may go to 2500-2550.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction before the bullrun. Target 2500?FX:XAUUSD is strengthening and testing 2450. The price rise was influenced by Powell's comments on progressive deflation and a possible rate cut in September, as well as another conflict in the Middle East....
The Fed left the rate unchanged for the 8th time at 5.5%. The rate has remained unchanged since the summer of 2023 and is the highest in 20 years. There was considerable discussion of a rate cut at this meeting. A rate cut may be considered in September. In addition, the intensification of the conflict in the Middle East may turn into a full-fledged war, which generally increases the interest in gold.
Today is also a busy news day. Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM are ahead. The data also plays an important role in shaping the medium-term strategy, so it is important to evaluate the actual results.
Resistance levels: 2437, 2450
Support levels: 2430, 2421
After a false breakdown of resistance, a correction is forming. Gold is bullish at the moment (trend, sentiment and interest), so the nearest strong support may become a reversal zone for further strengthening. The potential target is 2451 - 2474.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BTC_[Daily]_Trendline Support (Channel Bottom)BTC Daily Analysis:
Price is moving in within descending parallel channel for 155days now
Price is rejected from Channel top (resistance) and moving in short-term downtrend (acting as support).
It is also confluencing with 61.8% fib level (Golden Ratio)
It has also reached a long-term trendline support which is respected historically (except a recent fake break down).
A short term bullish setup until channel top can be taken (wait for green candle formation on hourly time frame)
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold prices surged 1% on Friday as U.S. Treasury yields fell, driven by optimism for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. Data showed U.S. prices rose modestly in June, giving Fed policymakers fresh evidence of progress in their battle against inflation. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased by 0.1% last month, pushing benchmark 10-year note yields to a one-week low.
In this video, we analyze the impact of these fundamental dynamics on the Gold market and explore the technical implications on the charts. With the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision coming up next week, the central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged. However, this meeting could set the stage for the first rate cut in September.
What can we expect from the gold market in the coming week?
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the crucial $2,390 level. This is a big deal for gold traders - it could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above $2,390: Bulls might take control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold maintains selling pressure below $2,390: Bears might gain the upper hand, and prices could head south respecting the descending channel in the process. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
#Gold #GoldPrices #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Forex #Trading #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PCE #USInflation #TreasuryYields #Investing #Finance #EconomicData #ForexTrading #XAUUSD📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GOLD → Ahead is 2430 and strong news. Going up to 2500?FX:XAUUSD overcomes trend resistance, forming a bullrun to the liquidity zone amid positive rumors. The price is testing 2430. Possible correction before the news.
Today is a busy news day, high volatility is possible. Ahead of ADP Nonfarm, Chicago PMI and the most important last: Fed Interest Rate Decision and FOMC conference.
Nobody is going to cut the rate today, but Powell may give a signal about interest rate reduction in the coming months on the background of slowing labor market growth. Traders evaluated the possible potential positively enough and rushed through 2390 to 2430.
Technically, a retest of resistance is formed after quite a long time, liquidity may not let the price up the first time, respectively, a correction is possible before further growth.
Resistance levels: 2429, 2452, 2474.
Support levels: 2404, 2400
The fundamental and technical background is favorable, if something unpredictable does not happen today, gold may continue its recovery phase. But, pay attention to the news, as they will be published in a cascade and the temporary mood of the market may be volatile....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY → Ahead of a rate hike in Japan...FX:GBPJPY intends to continue the current bearish rally. The price temporarily stops at the 197.00 zone for a short respite before falling further. The market is expecting an interest rate hike in Japan...
Price breaks the bullish market structure and then confirms the bearish one, indicating a change in the global trend. Volatility is rising in Japanese markets, with the Bank of Japan expected to discuss a rate hike this week and consider a plan to halve government bond purchases. This is a strong scenario for the strengthening of the national currency, traders are reducing the number of short positions this time.
Technically, the focus is on the level of 197.2, this zone splits the market into two zones. Accordingly, price consolidation below this level will be the starting point before the rally.
Support levels: 195.8, 193.8, 191.8
Resistance levels: 197.2, 198.75
Both fundamentally and technically everything is steamed towards further decline. The actions of the Central Bank of Japan affect the rate quite strongly...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GBPJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Bulls hold the defense. Retest of resistance...FX:XAUUSD is strengthening from 2370 and testing the resistance of the actual local trend. Dollar in range ahead of news...
Traders are waiting for Wednesday and the FOMC conference, where they may discuss atcual situation on inflation and monetary policy, as well as Fed Interest Rate Decision, where most likely the interest rate will remain at the same level, but may make a good hint on a soon decline....
Gold on D1 is consolidating above the support line, which generally determines the future prospects for us. Locally, the bulls hold the defense above 2370, forming further growth, within which they break the resistance of the local triangle, but the price is held back by the global descending channel. It is not excluded that the price may test 2377-2370 before further growth, but at the moment the focus is on the nearest resistance zone.
Support levels: 2377, 2370
Resistance levels: 2391, 2400
Fundamentally, everything is quite positive for gold. Technically, the price is in consolidation, as traders are not ready to take serious actions early. But, all the attention is on the resistance, if the bulls manage to break 2390 and consolidate above, we will have a good chance to continue the growth.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest resistance before a breakout. What's next?FX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since the opening of the session and is testing the 2400 zone. The market is getting bullish again, but at the same time it is at a strong resistance. The focus is on 2393.0.
There is no news today and the overall situation is stable. Gold has no obvious reasons for a possible strong fall. Markets are waiting for the confirmation of the progression of US deflation with the subsequent hints on the soon reduction of interest rates. The fact itself is favorable for gold.
Technically, the focus is on the edge of the range 2393. Consolidation of the price above this area may well influence further growth, but it is necessary to follow the descending resistance, because it will be difficult to pass this area from the first time.
Resistance levels: 2400, 2430
Support levels: 2393, 2384, 2377
Technically and fundamentally everything is quite positive. We should expect a retest of resistance with subsequent growth, but it is not excluded that before the active recovery phase there may be a retest of support, for example: 2387, 2382 or 2377
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → False breakdown of MA-200 could lead to a BULLRUN ↑ BINANCE:ETHUSD in the correction phase, testing zones of interest (0.5 fibo and MA-200), forming a false breakdown, which in general can lead to a strong upward movement supported by strong fundamentals.
Fundamentally, ETH is quite positive. ETH-ETFs were launched on July 23 and continue to gain momentum. The correction, which has been observed for the last two days is mainly due to the outflow from GrayScale (exactly the same scenario was with BTC), also a slight pressure is created by the situation with Mt.Gox, but against the background of BTC transfers to exchanges and their distribution among its debtors, bitcoin is strengthening, such behavior of the flagship indicates support for eth.
Technically, the price is forming a correction to 0.5 fibo relative to the bullish momentum as well as a retest of the Daily MA-200, forming a false breakdown with a fairly aggressive buyback, indicating the presence of a strong buyer who is not ready to go down beyond $3000.
Resistance levels: 3357, 3540
Support levels: 3200, MA-200
The main task of the bulls is to keep the defense above the zone of interest at $3200. Further it remains to wait for resistance retest with the purpose of its breakthrough and further bull run to $4000 - $4500 - $4900.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Weak dollar + intervention = bearish trend ↓FX:USDJPY breaks the 157.7 zone after a small consolidation. Powell's comments about more progressive deflation favor the market, the dollar is falling on this background and the end is not seen yet...
Fundamentally, the weakening dollar and the ongoing interventions of the Central Bank of Japan have quite a strong impact on the exchange rate, but it is worth being careful. Previously, this market reaction was quickly bought out by traders who still have little faith in the continued strength of the JPY.
Technically, if the dollar continues to liquidate, such a strong fall could bring the currency pair down to global lows.
There is a strong liquidity zone ahead. Possible activation of orders in the risk zone, which may provoke a pullback before a further fall or a strong impulse, which without a pullback will knock out all market participants and the price will fly downward
Resistance levels: 157.18, 157.7
Support levels: 154.5, 151.86
At the moment everything is obvious, fundamental and technical nuances are telling about further decline. We should pay attention to the nearest zone of liquidity and price reaction.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP → The moment before “to the moon” ↑BINANCE:XRPUSDT is the strongest of the market. As ETH & BTC fall, ripple is holding quite positively as traders are starting to believe in growth amid rumors...
Ripple CEO recently said that he expects a legal resolution to the situation between the SEC and Ripple “very soon”
Many are speculating that the SEC's closed-door meeting to finalize the case against Ripple could take place today - July 25.
Against this backdrop: Trading volumes are rising, price is hitting local highs, whales are accumulating XRP
Technically, it is worth paying attention to the 0.6378 - 0.5712 range. If breaking the resistance fails, the price may test liquidity below the support before subsequent growth.
Resistance levels: 0.6378, 0.7440
Support levels: 0.5712, 0.5100
If the trial finds its denouement, it will give a second life to the coin. A break of the range resistance - 0.6378 will open a new path....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:XRPUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!