$140K USD for Bitcoin in 2025!!! It appears as though Bitcoin is trading in a descending channel, with a potential breakout happen in the near term.
BTC has tested the downward sloping resistance of a descending channel pattern multiple times, each time BTC is creating a lower high & a lower low, which is inherently bearish.
The williams alligator is also displaying a bullish cross & the bands are widening in an upward direction, which is a bullish indicator.
Bullish cross on the KST as well. I have placed upward arrows at each bullish cross in the recent past showing a direct correlation to upward price swings.
Descending Channel
XAU/USD Strategy: Pattern Recognition and Trade ExecutionComprehensive Market Breakdown for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) Based on Multi-Time Frame Analysis
Overview:
The analysis of XAU/USD across multiple time frames (15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour) indicates a complex market structure with both bullish and bearish signals. This detailed breakdown will provide insights into the current market conditions, key patterns to watch, potential trading strategies, and risk management considerations.
1. 15-Minute Time Frame: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Pattern Details:
Symmetrical Triangle: This pattern is characterized by converging trend lines connecting lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision in the market.
Apex Proximity: The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent.
Implications:
Neutral Bias: The symmetrical triangle does not inherently suggest a bullish or bearish bias but indicates a potential breakout in either direction depending on market sentiment.
Volume Confirmation: A breakout with a significant surge in volume will confirm the direction of the move.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the upper trendline with strong volume, consider entering long positions targeting previous resistance levels.
Bearish Breakout: Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower trendline with increased volume, consider short positions targeting previous support levels.
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the opposite side of the breakout point to mitigate risks from false breakouts.
2. 30-Minute Time Frame: Mixed Channels (Descending and Ascending)
Patterns Observed:
Descending Channels: Suggest bearish continuation if in a downtrend or a potential reversal if broken to the upside.
Ascending Channels: Suggest bullish continuation if in an uptrend but signal a potential reversal if broken to the downside.
Market Implications:
Corrective Phase: The presence of both descending and ascending channels indicates the market is in a corrective phase, oscillating between support and resistance levels.
Range-Bound Trading: Until a significant breakout occurs, the market is likely to remain range-bound.
Trading Strategy:
Range Trading: Consider buying at the lower boundaries of the channels and selling at the upper boundaries.
Breakout Preparation: Prepare for a potential breakout by setting alerts around key levels (upper and lower boundaries of the channels).
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the channels to protect against unexpected breakouts.
3. 1-Hour Time Frame: Rising Wedge Pattern
Pattern Details:
Rising Wedge: This pattern is characterized by higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing upward slope, typically a bearish reversal pattern.
Implications:
Bearish Reversal: The rising wedge suggests that upward momentum is weakening, and a potential breakdown could follow.
Reversal Zone: The price is near the upper boundary of the wedge, which may serve as a reversal zone, especially if a breakout to the downside occurs on high volume.
Trading Strategy:
Short Entry on Breakdown: Enter short positions if the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge with confirming volume.
Target Levels: Target the lower boundary of the larger ascending channel or previous support levels as take-profit points.
Stop-Loss Placement: Set stops above the most recent high within the wedge to protect against false breakouts.
4. 4-Hour Time Frame: Broader Rising Channel and Nested Patterns
Patterns Observed:
Broad Rising Channel: Indicates a larger uptrend is intact, providing a bullish bias.
Nested Descending Channels: Smaller corrective patterns within the broader uptrend suggest temporary pauses or consolidation phases before potential continuation moves.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance at 2,540: A break above this level would suggest a bullish continuation and potential for new highs.
Support at 2,470: A break below this level would indicate a significant shift in market sentiment towards bearishness.
Market Implications:
Potential Continuation or Reversal: The larger rising channel gives more weight to potential continuation moves, but the presence of smaller corrective patterns within suggests caution.
Echo Phase: The nested descending channel could represent an echo phase, a corrective move within the larger uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
Long Positions on Break Above 2,540: Enter long positions if the price breaks above this resistance level with confirming volume.
Short Positions on Break Below 2,470: Consider short positions if the price breaks below this support level with increased volume.
Volume Confirmation: Ensure any breakout is confirmed with a surge in volume to avoid false signals.
Risk Management: Use wider stops given the higher time frame context to avoid being stopped out by market noise.
5. Synthesis of Multi-Time Frame Analysis:
Confluence of Patterns: The alignment of rising wedges, symmetrical triangles, and mixed channels across multiple time frames suggests a market at a critical juncture. The presence of both bullish and bearish signals indicates that the market is poised for a decisive move.
Key Takeaways for Traders:
Patience and Discipline: Wait for confirmed breakouts with volume before entering trades. Do not rush into trades without sufficient confirmation.
Adaptability: Be prepared to adapt strategies based on the direction of the breakout or breakdown. Use alerts and monitor key levels closely.
Focus on Higher Time Frame Signals: Higher time frame signals carry more weight and should be given priority when making trading decisions.
Risk Management: Employ tight stops and carefully manage position sizes to limit exposure in case of adverse market movements.
6. Final Recommendations:
Potential Bullish Scenario:
Watch for a break above 2,540 on strong volume across multiple time frames. A confirmed breakout could lead to a bullish continuation towards new highs.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
Monitor for a breakdown below 2,470, especially if supported by a break of the rising wedge and descending channel patterns. A breakdown here would signal a shift to a bearish trend.
By combining these insights with real-time monitoring of market conditions, traders can enhance their decision-making process and capitalize on high-probability trade setups in the XAU/USD market.
Technical Outlook on XAU/USD: Rising Wedge and Ascending Channel1. Daily Chart (D1)
Pattern Observed: There is a noticeable ascending channel forming. The upper boundary is marked by a series of higher highs (HH), and the lower boundary is marked by higher lows (HL).
Resistance Zone: The chart indicates a key resistance around the 2,540–2,560 level, highlighted by the upper trendline of the ascending channel.
Support Levels: Key support zones are marked around 2,267 (Weekly LQZ) and 2,353 (4HR LQZ), which coincide with significant price action in the past, potentially serving as strong support areas in case of a pullback.
Market Behavior: The market is currently testing the upper trendline resistance of the ascending channel. A rejection from this level could indicate a potential reversal or a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel.
2. 4-Hour Chart (H4)
Pattern Observed: The 4-hour chart also shows a more defined rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern when it forms in an uptrend. The price is trading near the upper resistance line of this wedge.
Liquidity Zone: An important liquidity grab/rejection area is marked around 2,476, which aligns with previous price consolidations and rejections. This area could serve as a strong inflection point where price could either rebound or break below, leading to a deeper correction.
Highs and Lows: A series of higher highs (HH) are visible, but the formation of a recent lower high (LH) could signal the start of a potential reversal if the price fails to create a new higher high above the previous peaks.
3. 1-Hour Chart (H1)
Pattern Observed: The 1-hour chart presents a more detailed look into the price action within the wedge. The price action is currently within a tightening range, reflecting indecision and possible consolidation before a breakout.
Support and Resistance: Near-term support is identified at the liquidity zone around 2,476, and the resistance aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge pattern.
Potential Setup: A bearish divergence could be developing, given the price action nearing resistance while momentum indicators (not shown here) might start to flatten or decline.
4. Multi-Time Frame Analysis
Higher Time Frame Influence: The weekly flag pattern identified on the daily chart is influencing the overall bullish bias. However, the rising wedge pattern on both the daily and 4-hour charts suggests caution as a potential bearish reversal could occur.
Key Decision Zones: If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the wedge, it would likely aim for the next resistance levels around 2,560 and possibly beyond, towards 2,600+. Conversely, a breakdown below the wedge's lower boundary could accelerate selling towards the 2,353 and 2,267 levels, where major liquidity zones reside.
5. Trading Strategy Insights
For Long Positions: Consider entries upon a confirmed breakout above the upper boundary of the ascending channel/wedge, targeting the next significant resistance levels. Utilize tight stop losses to minimize risk in case of a false breakout.
For Short Positions: Look for bearish confirmation such as rejection from the upper boundary or a breakdown below the support trendline. Potential targets would be the 4HR LQZ and the Weekly LQZ, with stops above recent highs to protect against unexpected volatility.
Conclusion:
The current price action suggests a critical juncture where the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) is at a significant resistance area. Traders should watch for a breakout or breakdown from the wedge pattern on the 4-hour and daily charts to determine the next directional move. Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators for confirmation, as well as news events that could influence gold prices.
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Ascending Channel with Multi-TouchThese charts depict an evolving market structure for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) and highlight significant zones and patterns across multiple timeframes.
1. Key Patterns and Channels:
Ascending Channel:
A dominant ascending channel is visible on multiple timeframes. This is a classic continuation pattern, suggesting that as long as price remains within this channel, the prevailing trend (upward) is intact.
The channel's lower boundary has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its validity as a support level.
Weekly Flag:
The “Weekly Flag” mentioned is a larger pattern that might suggest a continuation of a broader trend. Flags typically form after strong moves and consolidate before a potential continuation in the direction of the initial move.
The flag is being “correctively broken,” which hints at a potential retest of the lower boundary or a reversal if the flag fails to hold.
2. Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
15M LQZ / Reversal Zone:
This zone is near the current price and is a high-probability area for a reversal or significant price reaction. The price reacting to this level could determine the short-term direction.
1HR and 4HR LQZ:
These zones are lower and represent potential targets or areas where the price might find support if it breaks down from the current structure.
Daily and Weekly LQZ:
These are even broader zones of interest. Their distance from the current price indicates that if the price moves toward these levels, a significant trend change or a large corrective phase could be unfolding.
3. Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
If the price holds within the ascending channel and breaks above the “corrective break” in the weekly flag, this could lead to a continuation of the upward move, targeting new highs.
Bearish Reversal:
If the price breaks below the ascending channel and breaches the 15M LQZ, it might move towards the lower liquidity zones (1HR, 4HR), indicating a deeper correction or a trend reversal.
Multi-Touch Confirmation and Advanced Pattern Recognition:
Multi-Touch Confirmation :
The chart shows multiple touches on the trendlines, especially on the ascending channel's lower boundary. These touches reinforce the trendline's validity and increase the likelihood of a significant move upon the next touch.
ADVANCED Pattern RECON:
The "corrective break" within the weekly flag and the smaller internal channels within the larger ascending channel provide a "pattern within a pattern" scenario, which often precedes significant moves.
Conclusion:
Monitor the 15M LQZ closely as it's a crucial area that could determine the short-term direction of the market. If price reacts strongly at this level, consider the implications for either a continuation (bullish scenario) or a breakdown (bearish scenario).
Gold on the Brink: Major Price Shift Expected – Will It Surge?Key Observations:
4HR Channel:
The price is operating within a larger ascending channel on the 4HR timeframe. This channel is guiding the overall bullish momentum seen in the price action.
Weekly Flag:
The upper trendline of the weekly flag intersects with the current price movement, suggesting that this is a significant resistance level. The price is showing a potential reversal as it interacts with this upper boundary.
15M Channels:
Ascending Channel at the top of the 4HR channel: This smaller ascending channel within the larger 4HR channel might suggest a short-term bullish continuation, but it's also positioned at a critical resistance level, indicating a possible exhaustion point.
Descending Channel: Indicates a corrective phase within the overall uptrend. The price broke out of this descending channel, which led to the recent upward momentum, aligning with the weekly trend.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
If the price manages to break above the ascending channel at the top of the 4HR channel, it could signal a strong bullish continuation. The price may retest the upper trendline of the weekly flag before further advancing.
Bearish Reversal:
Given the significant resistance from the weekly flag’s upper trendline and the upper boundary of the 4HR channel, a rejection here could lead to a decline. This might trigger a correction back down towards the lower liquidity zones (LQZ) marked on the chart.
Considerations:
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
The 15M LQZ around 2,485-2,477 is crucial. A break below these levels might confirm a bearish reversal, while a bounce could suggest accumulation before another upward push.
Mass Psychology:
As price approaches the upper resistance levels, watch for potential signs of exhaustion or overbought conditions, which could reflect a shift in trader sentiment, leading to a reversal.
Strategic Approach:
Risk vs. Reduced Risk Entry:
If looking to enter a trade, consider the possibility of a reduced risk entry on a corrective pullback to the lower 15M LQZ if the price respects these levels. Alternatively, if the price breaks above the ascending channel, a riskier entry might be taken on the breakout, with stops placed just below the channel's boundary.
Multi-Touch Confirmation:
Watch for a third touch or more on either the upper resistance or lower support levels to confirm a potential reversal or breakout, as per the rule of three discussed in your uploaded materials.
This setup requires careful monitoring, especially at critical support/resistance levels, to determine the next directional move with confidence.
GBPCHF Down Trend ChannelGBPCHF is currently making lower lows, signalling a bearish trend. It recently hit the 50% retracement level on the daily timeframe and is now approaching significant resistance around 1.12500, near the upper edge of the channel. The price has been consolidating since April but has since broken out of that range. The market is now pulling back to retest the lower boundary of the former consolidation zone. This could be a classic breakout-pullback-continuation pattern. The last two daily candles are doji candles, indicating market indecision. If the price breaks below the lows of these doji candles, we could see an impulsive move down, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. The target is the support level at 1.09875
USDCAD → The currency pair is preparing to decline. Target 1.360FX:USDCAD for the last few days does not show any preconditions for a pullback or growth, forming a pre-breakdown consolidation relative to 1.372. The fall of the dollar can provoke a breakdown....
Technically, the price is returning to the range of 1.3755 - 1.3600. The bears are holding resistance, forming a descending triangle under the upper boundary of the range, which is generally a prerequisite for a fall. The only possible target in such a case could be the range support.
According to the survey conducted by BofA among investors, more and more traders are betting on the decline of the dollar. The general policy of the Fed is also putting pressure on the index. The currencies may go into a strengthening phase....
Resistance levels: 1.3755, 1.3787
Support levels: 1.372, 1.3655
Technically, the currency pair is forming a local downtrend, and the intermediate patterns play the role of triggers for the continuation of the movement. Accordingly, I continue to expect that the currency pair may decline to 1.36
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCAD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Descending Triangle Patter in SBILIFE For Target @1751+On the 1-hour timeframe, SBILIFE has broken out of the resistance level of a descending triangle pattern. This breakout is a significant technical event, suggesting a potential strong upside rally. Following this breakout, the price is expected to move towards the 1751+ level, indicating a bullish trend.
To capitalize on this movement, traders can consider entering a long position once the price sustain above the 1700 level. The targets for this position would be in the range of 1735 to 1751+, aligning with the anticipated upward momentum. It is crucial to manage risk by setting a stop loss just below the 1665 level, which will help protect against potential downside if the market reverses.
NOTCoin → Pullback after a false breakdown. When is it going up?BINANCE:NOTUSDT on the background of the rally ( together with TON ) strengthens and updates the maximum 0.0129, thus forming a retest of the wedge resistance. The attempt is unsuccessful, the reaction is a pullback to the liquidity zone.
Fundamentally interesting project in the medium and long term can still show good growth, but for this developers need to try. The prospects of Notcoin will depend on the innovations developed by the project, its marketing strategy and the state of the overall cryptocurrency market.
Technically, a false breakdown of the wedge resistance is forming amid bitcoin's decline. The price may test the liquidity area of 0.0105 and then a retest of the resistance may follow. I do not exclude the fact that the support may be broken without any corresponding reaction, in this case we will wait for a retest of trend support.
Resistance levels: 0.1294
Support levels: 0.01053, 0.00912
Accordingly, any breakout and consolidation of the price above the wedge resistance will be a strong signal for further rally. As long as the price has not left the range, it is worth considering trading inside this pattern.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:NOTUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Why didn't we go above 70K? The reason for the drop...BINANCE:BTCUSD has been in consolidation for 5 months. The price makes another retest of the 70K resistance, but due to several reasons failed to pass this area. A correction inside the FLAG is forming
From 70K resistance another correction to 64K has started. The reason for this is strong bullish sentiment after the US allowed bitcoin as a reserve asset. There is also a lot of attention to BTC because of the presidential race. Accordingly, the Market Maker eliminates the positive crowd (the price always goes against the crowd). And whales start buying the asset at cheaper prices.
On Friday, the NFP report and unemployment (up 4.0% to 4.3%) influenced the price drop. Rising unemployment + rising inflation had a negative impact on the markets. It is too early to buy, we should wait for the slowdown of the movement and stronger data.
Resistance levels: MA-50, 63250, 68570
Support levels: MA-200, 59300, 56500
Technically, the price is testing MA-200 and is squeezed above MA-50. If MA-200 fails to hold the price, bitcoin may go down to the lower boundary of the FLAG before a buyer can take over the situation. BUT, if the bulls hold MA-200 as support and manage to consolidate above 63300, a rise may be waiting. Overall, the fundamental background is very positive, but local economic data has a negative impact on the markets.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound (GBP) has been on a rough ride lately, closing out its fifth consecutive week in the red. But a late-week rally brought some hope, pulling the GBP/USD back from its lowest point in five months. Now, all eyes are on the upcoming week, which is packed with key economic data and a crucial Fed decision.
In this video, we'll analyze the GBP/USD currency pair, examining the potential for a bullish rebound in light of the upcoming economic releases and the Fed's likely rate cut.
With the Federal Reserve's September meeting on the horizon, investors are keenly focused on the potential for a rate cut. Current rate markets have priced in the beginning of a rate cut cycle, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) expected to meet on September 18. Although the probability of a 50 basis point cut was previously high, expectations have adjusted slightly. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, there is now a 53.5% chance of a 50 bps cut in September, with further cuts anticipated later in 2024.
Next week’s economic calendar is packed with key data. On Tuesday and Wednesday, we’ll receive the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reports, which could provide crucial insights into market direction. Additionally, US Retail Sales and updates from the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Survey will offer more context for economic trends.
Given these developments, the big question is: will the British Pound be able to maintain its bullish momentum as we head into the new week? Join us as we dive into the charts, analyze the current market conditions, and discuss potential trading opportunities.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound maintain buying pressure above $1.27500 and the ascending trendline next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NZDCAD → Consolidation prepares the market for a trend change ↑FX:NZDCAD is breaking the current bearish trend and forming a bullish off-trend pattern. Focusing on the 0.82863 "trigger" resistance, bulls are targeting it to break this area...
Accumulation is forming in relation to the mentioned zone, if the structure will remain, and buyers will continue active attacks towards the "trigger", then in the long term we can look for an entry point for a breakdown.
The market is still restrained by MA-200 & MA-50, but the 200-day line is undergoing a third retest, which generally increases the chances of price consolidation above the key SMA. Globally we have a neutral trend, locally the market sentiment is starting to turn bullish.
The structure will be broken if the price consolidates below 0.82239.
Resistance levels: 0.82863, MA-200
Support levels: 0.82239, MA-50
Fundamentally, the situation in New Zealand is calming down and the market is starting to recover losses. Emphasis on the ascending triangle on H4, it is possible to build short-term and medium-term prospects in relation to this figure
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ NZDCAD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
HERO MOTOCORP LTD - Awaiting Bullish Breakout
Strong Uptrend: The stock experienced a strong upward movement in May, establishing a bullish trend.
Descending Channel Formation: Currently, the stock is trading within a descending channel, a pattern that often precedes a breakout.
Awaiting Breakout: A bullish breakout above the channel could lead to a continuation of the uptrend.
Target Level: If the breakout occurs, the next target could be the resistance at ₹5,852.
RON - A reversal with a leading breakout is expected to push the#RON/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ Price has hit the support zone around 1.5 price range.
+ A strong reversal can be expected from the support zone which gives a good opportunity for a long trade.
+ Enter a long trade only after the price reversal.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 1.6
Stop Loss: 1.14
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Target 1: 1.848
Target 2: 2.320
Target 3: 2.752
Target 4: 3.658
Target 5: 5.308
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Timeframe: 1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
ANF reversal or dead-cat bounce?
NYSE:ANF
ANF has recently pulled back from its all-time high (ATH) following its latest earnings report. Despite strong earnings, same-store sales, and electronic sales growth, and a dynamic inventory selection, concerns about a potential recession have weighed on the stock.
Key Developments:
Recently dropped below the 100-day Moving Average (MA)
Retested the 200-day MA
Bounced off the 200-day MA
Broke out of a triangle formation on a 15-minute timeframe
Broke above the 100-day MA but failed to break above previous support
Expected Outcomes:
Bullish scenario: If ANF bounces off the 100-day MA and reclaims the previous support level, it could retest the 50-day MA, coinciding with the upper limit of the current negative channel. In this case, I would consider near-term put options to hedge against a potential retest of the 200-day MA.
Bearish scenario: If ANF fails to hold above the 100-day MA and the $150 support level, it is likely to retest the 200-day MA.
I am closely monitoring the $150 level and will make decisions based on price action this week. Given the current macro environment, I prefer to be short this position. If the bullish scenario unfolds, I will wait for a retest of the upper channel limit before taking action. With key economic data, including retail sales, being released this week, expect volatility. Regardless of my position, I plan to be short-term and exit before the next earnings report.
XRP → The court case is complete. Triangle Resistance Retest...↑BINANCE:XRPUSD is forming a rally from the intermediate bottom area. The reason for this is the end of the litigation between Ripple and SEC. The market has been laying a positive outcome for the past few weeks....
The SEC was demanding $2 billion dollars, but the court reduced their demand by 94%, admitting they lost!
This is a positive outcome for Ripple, the industry.
Ripple is only fined $125 million instead of $2 billion.
The rumors have been around for a while, but the market reacted quite positively, giving an initial boost of 27%
Technically, at the moment, all eyes are on the range 0.6378, 0.5663. Emphasis on the resistance breakout. If the bulls can overcome this boundary, it will be a confirmation of the price exit from the global descending triangle, which may affect the formation of a bullish trend, the promising targets of which may be 0.900, 1.300.
Resistance levels: 0.6378, 0.7440
Support levels: 0.5663, MA-50
Fundamentally and technically, everything is unfolding with favorable winds for the bulls. It opens the way to the north, but before that, the bulls need to try to overcome the strong resistance.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:XRPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation above global trend supportFX:XAUUSD is trading inside the global range. The focus is on local support and resistance levels. The dollar is temporarily rising, which has an impact on gold, which is globally in a bullish trend.
The gold price remains vulnerable despite the US Federal Reserve's dovish stance. The gold price continues to lose ground for the fifth day in a row on Wednesday, approaching a one-week low on the back of a generally stronger US Dollar (USD) and rising US Treasury yields. There are not many key news today, so the general fundamental background and technical component should be evaluated as a priority.
Technically, gold is not allowed below 2369 and 2380, forming a correction and a retest of the resistance at 2397-2400. If the bulls are able to break this zone and consolidate above the level, we can get on the train to the north, but an active struggle of differently-minded traders is forming in this zone. The trading range for today is 2420 - 2370 (confirmed by the movement of August 05 - 06).
Resistance levels: 2397, 2400, 2420
Support levels: 2380, 2370
If bears hold resistance, price may test the lower boundary of the range. But, a retest and breakdown of 2420 would disrupt the market structure and character and create a fickle mood, within which the bulls may give impetus.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → False break of range support led to a reboundFX:XAUUSD reaches the liquidity zone of 2370, forming a false breakdown, confirms the presence of a strong range boundary. The market may move into a sideways trend.
Fundamentally, the situation is still complicated.
The U.S. regulators are trying to change the market's mind on the recession issue, trying to keep the market calm. The question of aggressive actions of regulators is still open.
At the moment everyone is watching the actions in the Middle East, as the activity on the background of the war already unleashed can again affect the price of gold.
Markets continue to estimate almost 90% probability of a 50 basis points cut in US interest rates in September. Let me remind you that it is not the fact of reduction that matters, but the hints and comments of regulators.
At this time, gold is forming a global range of 2480 - 2370.
Resistance levels: 2420
Support levels: 2400
Technically, gold may go into a consolidation phase, but in the future it is worth watching the resistance at 2420. As a pre-breakout consolidation or a quick retest may lead to a breakout attempt and growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → A retest of trend support. ISM PMI ahead...FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid unstable fundamental environment. The price of the metal is declining towards the rather important zone of 2420, which has shown itself more than once.
Fundamentally, the market is in fear because of possible recession, which may become a motivation for the Fed to take hasty actions and more aggressive easing of monetary policy
Rumors are emerging about a possible emergency FED meeting in the near future.
Not to forget gold as a hedge asset, which continues to feel supported in volatile times.
Speculators are cautious and refrain from premature actions ahead of the ISM services PMI data and the tense situation in the Middle East.
Support levels: 2419,6, 2403, 2382
Resistance levels: 2451, 2474
Technically, gold is at a strong support at 2419 and judging by the reaction of the price to the level, the buyers are acting quite aggressively, trying to hold the market. Against this background, the price may strengthen to the nearest resistance 2430, 2445, 2450, but if the price starts to return to 2419, forming a quick retest, it will increase the chances of a possible breakdown of the bullish channel and further decline to the zone of interest and liquidity.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Descending Channel on USD/CHF @ D1This descending channel pattern has formed on the daily chart of the USD/CHF pair following a rising trend that lasted from the start of the year till May 1. The pattern's borders are marked with the yellow lines. The potential entry level is at the cyan line. The potential take-profit level is at the green line. The stop-loss can be set to the low of the candle preceding the breakout candle. It's not shown SL isn't shown on the chart. I will ignore bearish breakouts from this descending channel formation.
Potential Bullish Reversal for Stader (SD/USDT)#SD/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ The chart shows a descending channel pattern forming since the peak in end of 2023. The price has respected the upper and lower bounds of this channel multiple times, indicating a strong bearish trend within this range.
+ The price is currently near the lower boundary of the descending channel, around $0.51, which has acted as a significant support level.
+ A breakout above the upper boundary of the channel around $0.93 could signal a potential trend reversal.
+ If the price holds above the $0.50 support level and breaks out of the descending channel, we can expect a potential move towards the $1.15 resistance zone.
+ Further upside could see the price targeting the $2.00 - $2.50 levels
+ The RSI is currently at 40.42, indicating that the asset is nearing the oversold region. A reversal in RSI towards the 50 mark would support a bullish momentum shift.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: $0.5109
Stop Loss: $0.37
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Target 1: 0.8259
Target 2: 1.15
Target 3: 2.0
Target 4: 3.0
Target 5: 5.0
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Timeframe: 1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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VectorAlgo
GOLD → Ahead of NFP. Shall we get to 2500?FX:XAUUSD is making new highs and approaching a strong resistance zone from which a small correction may follow before a further rise. NFP is ahead, which may set a short-term backdrop
The dollar is in a sideways range ahead of the news, which generally indicates a neutral mood among traders. Strong news can either renew the dollar's decline, which will be favorable for gold, or have the opposite reaction, so it is necessary to look at the actual data.
Technically, the gold is approaching the ATH and there is a high probability that the price will not only test the high, but also update it. In general, the fundamental and technical background is positive this week and I think that in the short and medium term we should wait for the continuation of growth.
Resistance levels: 2368, 2475, 2483
Support levels: 2451, 2440, 2430
Gold reduces volatility before the news as speculators go into wait-and-see mode. High volatility is expected, on this background the price may test the support before further growth. But if the resistance of 2483-2475 is broken at once, the price may go to 2500-2550.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;
Regards R. Linda!