GOLD → Profit taking led to the rally. But it's not all bad... GOLD after the retest of 2430 fell under the selloff, there is no pressure on the price of metal, but the reason may be profit taking amid the selloff in stocks and in anticipation of economic data from the United States.
Traders are waiting for US GDP and Initial Jobless CLaims, which will be released at 12:30 GMT. The data may have a medium-term impact on the market, but the whole focus is on PCE, which will be released on Friday. Investors expect the Fed to deliver its long-awaited rate cut in September. In a low interest rate environment, gold's appeal increases.
If the data on Friday shows that inflation is slowing down, it will be a good sign for gold.
Technically, a correction is forming, with emphasis on 2370, or 2350. Strong support areas that can keep the market from falling.
Resistance levels: 2377, 2392
Support levels: 2370, 2355, 2350
The price stops in the zone of 2370-2377 in general it can give some prerequisites for a rebound. If gold can consolidate above 2377, the price may move into the recovery phase, if not, traders may test the liquidity in 2355-2350 before further growth.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Descending Channel
EURUSD → Change of mood after a false breakout. $ is rising FX:EURUSD on D1 is trading in a strong and neutral sideways movement. SMAs just lay on the horizontal plane, but on H4-H1 a change of market character is forming on the background of growth of the dollar index
Overall, the global neutral trend allows trading without much emphasis on the trend as there is none. The price is moving between the range boundaries, which simplifies the technical analysis.
On H4 the market is changing its mood on the background of the dollar index growth, which in general can lead to the retest of the support zones and the liquidity located behind them.
At the moment the focus is on the lower boundary of the range 1.08-1.082. A retest is possible in the near term, and the liquidity behind the zone could influence a bullish correction before a subsequent drop.
Resistance levels: 1.085
Support levels: 1.0816, 1.08, 1.078
S&P PMI and New Home Sales are published today, it is worth paying attention to the news, as positive news for the US may strengthen the fall of the currency pair, while unpredictable news may affect the market in the opposite way
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → A retest of trend resistance. Probable rebound FX:USDCHF strengthened as the Swiss franc went into correction due to the actions of the central bank, which is trying to protect the currency from excessive strengthening.
Technically, the dollar is in the phase of correction, which may stop in the near future and the index may go back to the strengthening phase, but against this background the Swiss franc growth looks stronger, as this currency is considered as a hedge asset, which just in the crisis times was used by investors.
Technically, as long as the structure of the downtrend is not broken and a false break of resistance is formed, I would consider a bounce from the upper boundary of the channel to the zone of interest at 0.8885.
Resistance levels: 0.9010, 0.9050
Support levels: 0.892, 0.885
Bears can hold the resistance of the downtrend. The fundamental backdrop is still the same and in general may be maintained for some time, which may allow us to catch a downward movement to the mentioned target
Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM is forming a bullish head and shouldersChart Patterns and Trendlines
1. Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bearish)
- Left Shoulder: Formed around 3,450 USDT.
- Head: Reached a peak around 3,550 USDT.
- Right Shoulder: Formed around 3,450 USDT again.
- The neckline, which was breached, is around 3,300 USDT, indicating a bearish reversal.
2. Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bullish)
- Left Shoulder: Formed around 3,200 USDT.
- Head: Reached a low around 3,000 USDT.
- Right Shoulder: Forming around the current price level of 3,498.35 USDT.
- The neckline for this pattern is around the 3,500 USDT level. If the price breaks above this neckline, it suggests a bullish reversal.
3. Descending Channel
- Ethereum was trading within a descending channel, marked by parallel downward-sloping trendlines.
- The breakout from this channel around mid-July indicates a reversal of the previous downtrend.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
1. Support Levels
- 3,248.81 USDT: A key support level marked on the chart, aligning with the breakout point from the descending channel and the potential right shoulder of the inverse head and shoulders pattern.
- If the price falls below this level, the next support can be around the previous lows at 3,000 USDT.
2. Resistance Levels
- 3,976.07 USDT: The next significant resistance level, which is also a target for the potential inverse head and shoulders pattern.
Price Projections
1. Bullish Scenario
- If Ethereum holds above the 3,248.81 USDT support level and breaks above the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern (around 3,500 USDT), the projected target is around 3,976.07 USDT.
- This target aligns with a previous high and a psychological resistance level.
2. Bearish Scenario
- If Ethereum fails to hold the 3,248.81 USDT support, it might retest the lower support of around 3,000 USDT.
- A fall below 3,000 USDT could indicate further downside, potentially revisiting the lows around 2,750 USDT.
Trading Strategy
1. Long Position
- Consider entering around the 3,248.81 USDT support level, with a target of 3,976.07 USDT, especially if the price breaks the neckline around 3,500 USDT.
- Set a stop-loss below 3,200 USDT to manage risk.
2. Short Position
- If the price fails to hold the 3,248.81 USDT level, consider shorting with a target towards 3,000 USDT and below.
- A stop-loss above 3,300 USDT can be set to manage risk.
Summary
- Ethereum's price action shows the potential formation of a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern.
- Key support and resistance levels at 3,248.81 USDT and 3,976.07 USDT respectively should be closely watched.
- Trading strategies should be adaptive to the price movements around these critical levels, with proper risk management in place.
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Alikze »» ORDI | Pullback to the broken area.?🔍 Technical analysis: Pullback to the broken area.?
- It is moving in a downward channel in the daily and 4H time frames.
- In the previous post , price reversal zones were identified, which after hitting PRZ-3, the price reversed and corrected the price up to the set targets.
- At present, according to the downward behavior and structure, the price correction can be continued.
- Therefore, if this price reversal cannot lead to the failure of the region, this reversal can be a pullback to the broken structure.
- So, we expect that the price will face selling pressure in response to the supply, first the price will be corrected to $25 and then the price correction will continue until the green box.
💎 Alternative scenario: if the price can break the supply range and stabilize above it, it can navigate the second movement path and move up to the red box range and the ceiling of the descending channel.
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BINANCE:ORDIUSDT
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>4-hour Time FrameBitcoin made the corrections I had expected in previous posts .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($63,410-$62,280) .
According to the good news from the crypto market , we should expect an increase in Bitcoin at least until the end of July, when the annual Bitcoin conference is in a few days.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . If the upper line of the descending channel breaks, we can confirm its end .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN → Fear in the crowd is a bullish sign ↑ Flag and SFPBINANCE:BTCUSD is experiencing times of high fear and negative sentiment among the crowd. From a psychological point of view, this could end in a bullish momentum. But there is always a but!
For now, big buyers are actively holding back a possible fall amid transfers of the previously hacked crypto exchange Mt.Gox to its debtors and BTC sell-offs by German authorities:
Germany will get rid of all its BTC in two days. (at the current pace of sales).
Yesterday, 16,038 BTC were transferred from the country's government wallet to various crypto exchanges and market makers.
Since June 19, 26,071 BTC have been sold.
There are only 23,788 BTC left on the wallet
In April, the average cost of BTC mining among the largest public miners was $53,000, technically, the level of average cost of BTC mining plays the role of an intermediate bottom.
Judging by the growth of volumes and price entry into the area of the lower boundary of the "flag" pattern, buyers appear on the market and at the moment stop the price fall, forming a sideways range of 58500-53500. Accordingly, a breakdown of one of the boundaries may trigger an impulse to one side or the other, based on the technical nuances there is a probability that there will be an attempt to break the resistance.
Resistance levels: 58500, 64000
Support levels: 53500, 53000
Fundamentally, the environment is difficult due to Germany and Mt.Gox, but investors are waiting for the approval of ETH-ETF, which may bring back the bullish mood to the market (indirect impact on BTC).
Technically, the emphasis is on the range. A break of 58500 will give bullish momentum, a break of 53500 may allow the price to decline to the 50500-51000 risk zone
Regards R. Linda!
PEPE → A condition that will lead to growth. Is the buyer back?BINANCE:PEPEUSDT is undergoing a deep correction phase. The price is resting on the strong support and the "discount" zone appears the buyer, holding the market. The focus on the upper boundary of the range...
! For convenience, I will indicate key zones without zeros.
Bulls do not let the price below 0.0761, forming a limit support area, in the neighborhood of which a strong buyer appears, it can be determined by the growth of volumes and the pattern of redemption with the subsequent retest without updating the minimum.
At the moment it is not excluded that the coin can continue falling, but based on the general situation there is a chance that PEPE can move into the recovery phase, but provided that the coin can pass the area of 0.0951-0.0991 with the price fixing above this zone, which will generally define an intermediate bottom for the market.
Resistance levels: 0.0952, 0.0991, 0.1084
Support levels: 0.0886, 0.0761
Technically, the situation is complicated because of bitcoin, which is consolidating in the discount zone, but in general there are bullish prerequisites. If the guide (BTC) goes up, it may favor altcoins.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with PEPE / USDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BOME/USDT LONG TRADE SETUP!!Hey everyone!
If you enjoy this analysis, a thumbs up and follow would be greatly appreciated!
BOME forming a descending channel pattern here. It has already broken out and is currently, retesting it. Long some here and add more in the dip.
Targets:- $0.0094/$0.0106/$0.0124
SL;- $0.079
Lev:- 3x-5x
What are your thoughts on BOME's current price action? Do you see a potential breakout? Share your analysis in the comments below!
BTC: NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE FROM HERE!!Hey everyone!
If you're enjoying this analysis, a thumbs up and follow would be greatly appreciated!
BTC is currently trading around $63k level. When BTC is trading around the $57k level, I told you that it would hit the $62k-$63k level soon(see chart below) and it going exactly. Hope you guys followed and earned some money.
Now, what's the possible move of BTC from here?
As you see in the chart, we have a strong resistance at the $63k-$64.5k level and there is a high chance of rejection from this zone. BTC is forming a descending channel-like structure and break out is done. After rejecting the resistance, it might go for a retest of this channel where we strongly support GETTEX:59K -$60k level lies.
So overall I'm bullish only expecting a healthy correction from here that's why I'm trading cautiously until we hit the GETTEX:59K -$60k level and bounce from there.
Let's see how things will play out in the next few hours. Will keep updating you.
What are your thoughts on BTC's current price action? Share your analysis in the comments below!
Gold Set for Explosive Breakout! Key Levels & Patterns to Watch!Daily Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: Daily
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart indicates a strong uptrend with the formation of higher highs and higher lows. This suggests that the market is in a bullish phase.
Flag Pattern: The price action has formed a flag pattern, which is a continuation pattern. The
breakout from this pattern could lead to further upward movement.
Channels:
The price has been moving within an ascending channel, indicating sustained upward momentum. A descending channel breakout in the past led to the current ascending channel, showing a reversal and continuation of the bullish trend.
Conclusion:
The daily chart shows a strong bullish trend with key levels to watch for potential entries and take-profit targets. The flag pattern and ascending channel support the bullish outlook.
4-Hour Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-Hour
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Flag Pattern: The price action is forming a flag pattern similar to the daily chart. This reinforces the bullish continuation expectation.
Channels:
Descending Channel: A descending channel was broken, leading to the current ascending channel.
Ascending Channels: Multiple ascending channels are observed, indicating strong bullish momentum with higher lows and higher highs.
Conclusion:
The 4-hour chart aligns with the daily chart, showing strong bullish momentum with clear patterns and channels supporting further upward movement. Watching the key levels mentioned can help identify entry points and targets.
1-Hour Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 1-Hour
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Flag Pattern: A smaller flag pattern is forming, suggesting a short-term bullish continuation.
Channels:
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong upward momentum.
Holding Channels: The price has respected the ascending channels, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Conclusion:
The 1-hour chart provides a detailed view of the recent price action, confirming the bullish trend seen in higher time frames. The ascending channels and flag pattern suggest continued upward movement with key levels acting as potential targets.
Overall Summary
The analysis across daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour charts shows a consistent bullish trend with the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Flag patterns and ascending channels indicate strong upward momentum, with key liquidity zones and take-profit targets identified for potential trading opportunities.
EURUSD → The morning gap is bought out. The bulls are aggressiveFX:EURUSD opens with a gap down, but buyers are actively buying back the move. The nature of the market is bullish, but at the same time consolidation, as there is strong resistance ahead.
The fundamental background is favorable, there is no news today. Last week traders took well the fact of unemployment growth, within the framework of which active buying started.
Technically, on H4 a bullish distribution is forming towards 1.085, from which, after the initial testing of the liquidity area, a correction may follow. But in general, I expect the continuation of growth (rebound from 1.0816 or breakdown of 1.085).
Resistance levels: 1.0852, 1.091, 1.1
Support levels: 1.0816, 1.078
The nature of the market is changing and the bulls are actively holding key areas. The market is bullish and a breakout of the nearest resistance will favor the continuation of growth.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → The bulls are coming back. Trend change. Target 1.1FX:EURUSD is breaking the downtrend pattern on a smooth change of fundamental background. Traders are selling off the dollar, which is favorable for the euro.
A local bullish pattern is forming on D1 on the background of the global downtrend. Strong fundamental background is favorable for the strengthening of the currency pair.
On H4, the price is correcting after updating the local maximum and consolidates above the level formed by the gap. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this area. The key focus is on the breakout of the 1.0816 zone. This will open the way to the zones of interest: liquidity and imbalance. Today is a day off in the US, the fundamentals are still in place, trading may be calm.
Resistance levels: 1.0816, 1.0852, 1.0916
Support levels: 1.078, 1.073
I expect the trend to continue, as traders are showing interest in the market. Local ATH may become a potential target for MM
Regards R. Linda!
Simple Strategies for NZDUSDA complicated trading strategy doesn't guarantee profits. Sometimes, a simple trading strategy works best. Here are two straightforward approaches I have for the NZDUSD trade.
Strategy:
1. Retest of Resistance at 0.6096:
- Setup: Watch for a retest of the resistance level at 0.6096.
- Entry: Enter a short position on confirmation of resistance holding.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just above the resistance level.
- Target: Aim for key support levels below for potential profit.
2. Retest of the Tip of the Bearish Channel:
- Setup: Look for a retest at the tip of the bearish channel.
- Entry: Enter a short position if the price respects the channel boundary.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just above the bearish channel.
- Target: Aim for the lower boundary of the channel or key support levels below.
Key Points:
- Simplicity: Simple strategies can be effective and easier to manage.
- Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
- Confirmation: Always wait for confirmation of the levels holding before entering trades.
Sometimes, simplicity is the key to effective trading. What’s your take on NZDUSD?
Do you have any other straightforward strategies that work for you?
Share your thoughts and strategies below!
EURUSD → Weak market. The target is 1.06. But, news... FX:EURUSD is forming a consolidation, characteristic of a pre-breakout, against a key support line as the dollar index continues to gain support and hold north.
A strong bearish situation is developing on D1. There is no strong buyer in the market that can turn around a weak market under pressure from strong bears. The market is below the MA200-MA50 daily moving averages and is also forming consolidation relative to the support, which with a high degree of probability speaks about the intentions to go lower.
On H4 the price is in consolidation, above the local maximum is the area of liquidity, as well as resistance, which can test the market before the subsequent decline.
BUT! Today's news. Traders are waiting for PCE inflation data....
Resistance levels: 1.07238, 1.07816
Support levels: 1.0664, 1.0606
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is in a neutral-negative outlook. If the fundamental background does not change today, I will still stick to the downward movement to 1.06- 1.055.
Regards R. Linda!
PEPE → The end of the correction may take us back to an uptrend BINANCE:PEPEUSDT - the meme coin is showing signs of a possible end to the correction and a return of price to the bullish trend continuation phase.
On the local timeframe, the price forms an exit beyond the resistance of the descending channel, characteristic of the correction against the background of the bullish trend. Against the background of bitcoin capitulation and the general mass of altcoins, the meme coin PEPE looks quite cheerful. The price can move into the phase of the 5th wave realization if the bulls can keep the defense above 0.0000114. The next boundary is the range resistance. The breakout of this area will be a green traffic light signal for the buyers, the potential of which could strengthen the price towards ATH
Resistance levels: 0.0000125
Support levels: 0.0000114, 0.00001084
I expect that the bulls will do their job and will soon be able to bring the price to the nearest resistance, where a fierce struggle for further space between buyers and sellers may take place.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The market maker's trap. Ready to go down ↓ ?FX:GBPUSD is losing after a prolonged struggle for resistance. A major player does not let the market beyond 1.2800. On the background of the dollar growth, the currency pair may change the local trend
The fundamental background is unstable, the US dollar is still going through Wednesday, but based on the position of regulators the dollar looks ready to strengthen further, which is generally negative for GBPUSD. On D1, the area of 1.285-1.28 is worth watching. A major player is not still holding the barrier of limit resistance zones. After a shakeout and liquidity grab (trap from the market maker), the market is ready to go down as the current zones of interest are 1.258-1.257, 125.
Support levels: 1.271, 1.265
Resistance levels: 1.28
Technically, we should wait for a pre-breakdown consolidation and subsequent breakout of 1.271, or price consolidation below this area. Having received confidence and confirmation of readiness to decline, we can wait for the previously mentioned targets.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Readiness for further decline. Target 1.0600FX:EURUSD is in a bearish channel. The price is below the resistance at 1.0725, there is a possibility of retesting the liquidity area before further decline. The fundamental background is weak and the actual target is 1.0606
Globally, the market is neutral-bearish. The lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle on D1 is the actual target (testing the liquidity area). Based on the general situation on H4 it is worth paying attention to such zones as:
Resistance: 1.0725 (possible false breakout)
Support: 1.069 (breakdown. Consolidation below will activate sell-offs).
The market has a potential of about 1.10%.
No news today, the fundamental and technical background is still in place.
Resistance levels: 1.0725, 1.0812
Support levels: 1.069, 1.0606
On the daily timeframe, last week is closing very poorly, which most likely may hint at a possible continuation of the decline. The key target has not been reached yet, the potential is open.
Regards R. Linda!
PEPE still in Decending Chanel but there is hopePEPE is in the huge Decending Chanel and it's almost weekend. What can we distract from the charts.
Before we look into PEPE charts I've check BTC and we are still in de sideways accumalation channel there. On the other hand we see this massive AcendingTriangle that must break out soon.
The question here is will ik go up or down. Again is friday and most weekends aren't that strong.
Inside the AT we can find a Faling Wedge at the end... Those tend to break out to the upside. But again almost weekend.. Will it crawl up along the slope of the AT for a huge break out by monday. Or does it break down and grap more liquidity to gain momentum.
Now the PEPE chart
PEPE is still in de decending chanel. It did bounce on the Golden Pocket of the fib range so it tends to go up a bit. On the other hand we lost the support yesterday and that is now the resistance. On the lower time frames we could make some kind of double bottom but that is not a textbook version so trusting it is gambling.
Lets see if we can get a reversal pattern like an Inverse Head & Shoulders or a nice Cup and Handle.
Bitcoin - Final capitulation before a new ATH (62k)Bitcoin is almost ready for the final capitulation event at 62k. Is this a lifetime opportunity to buy BTC and catch the bottom? Definitely yes, you can do it pretty precisely at 62402 with your limit order. Why is this level so important?
The most important is the 0.618 Fibonacci level that we can measure in the previous impulse wave. Second, we have an unfilled Fair Value GAP (FVGAP) that was created on May 15, 2024, during a significant pump. But with these types of GAPS, they tend to get filled, so the probability is relatively high. Third, we have the Point of Control (POC) of the previous market structure. You can see this level on the volume profile indicator on the left side of the chart.
Levels around 62k are really significant, and we can expect a strong reaction from them. But what about Elliott Wave analysis? My Elliott Wave count suggests, that the previous uptrend is definitely an impulse wave (12345), which gives us more confidence in the overall bull run. Now, the corrective wave (WXY) is in progress, and we need to find its bottom. At this point, we don't really know if it will be a WXY (double three) or WXYXZ (triple three) pattern. But the 0.618 Fibonacci level is a strong support, and we should finish the corrective wave here!
After we finish this corrective wave WXY, we can mark it as wave 2 of a higher impulse wave (higher degree) and prepare for a 3rd wave, which will lead us to an all-time high.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
NZDUSD → Local trend change? Moving down ↓ ?OANDA:NZDUSD breaks trend support amid a strong dollar. The currency pair could move to the downside if the bears hold the resistance area on their count.
On the daily timeframe, the currency pair is inside the sideways channel, but at the same time breaks the ascending support line. Thus, the market is starting to look towards 0.6084 support as an area of interest.
The US market has a day off today, so the volatility may be low, but nevertheless we have prerequisites for the beginning of the downward movement. If the bears keep the price below 0.6150-0.6140, the market may enter the phase of downward movement and head towards such targets as: 0.6083, 0.6000.
Resistance levels: 0.6140, 0.6170, 0.6215
Support levels: 0.6083, 0.6000
At the moment the market is struggling for the area of 0.6140. Consolidation below the level or the beginning of the impulse to the support will confirm that the bears are holding the market, then we will have to wait for the achievement of the goals.
Regards R. Linda!