GOLD → Gold not ready to fall? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is forming a local bottom and is not ready to continue falling. The price is breaking through the downward resistance amid a weakening dollar and a complicated fundamental backdrop.
At the beginning of the week, the price of gold stabilized above $3,250 as investors returned to defensive assets due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade agreements with China and Japan, as well as growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine.
The weakness of the dollar ahead of the Fed meeting and declining expectations of a rate cut are also supporting demand for gold. The focus remains on US trade news and the possible hawkish tone of the Fed this week.
Technically, the price is testing the bottom of the range as resistance. If there is no reaction to the false breakout and the price continues to storm 3268, then a breakout and consolidation above the level will allow it to strengthen to 3292-3314.
Resistance levels: 3269, 3294, 3314
Support levels: 3243, 3222, 3204
The price is forming a second retest of 3269 since the session opened. Buyers are testing resistance for a breakout. If the bulls break 3269 and consolidate above 3270, the chances for growth will be good. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the liquidity zone at 3243 before growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Descending Triangle
USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend
The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline
The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation...
Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383
Support levels: 1.378, 1.374
Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY → Retest of key resistance before fallingFX:USDJPY breaks the bullish structure of the market. Dolla in the correction phase has a favorable impact on the market. The currency pair is forming a retest of the previously broken trendline after a strong impulse
The yen reached a 10-week high on Thursday, causing the USDJPY pair to fall to 149.5. Investors are looking for safe-haven assets due to increased trade tensions caused by Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policy.
The Japanese currency received additional support due to expectations of an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan, which will increase its attractiveness for investors
For now, the focus is on the 0.5 fibo resistance zone, 150.95, and previously broken upside support
Support levels: 149.5, 148.64
Resistance levels: 150.95, 151.4
Most likely, before a possible fall, the price will be able to test the previously broken support, and now it is resistance 150.95 - 151.4. False breakdown of the key Fibo zones may provoke further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction before NFP. What are the chances of a decline?FX:XAUUSD strengthens amid dollar correction. The market is correcting ahead of NonFarm Payrolls, trying to accumulate potential before high volatility.
Gold recovers ahead of US employment report
On Friday, gold rebounded from a two-week low, recouping some of its losses ahead of the release of US labor market data (NFP), which could set the tone for prices going forward. Amid optimism over trade talks and a strong dollar, gold ended its worst week in two months, but geopolitical tensions and a potentially weak jobs report could boost demand for safe-haven assets again.
The correction in the dollar gives gold a small chance to strengthen. However, fundamentally, the overall trend has already set the tone and gold may continue to fall.
Resistance levels: 3268, 3285, 3295
Support levels: 3227, 3204
The correction may reach a local zone of interest (money pool) — liquidity above 3270, or the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, after which the price may continue its course along the new trend — down to 3193.
However, unpredictable and unexpected data could disrupt the structure and push the price up to 3320-3350.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Trend reversal, downward distribution, and new targetsFX:XAUUSD breaks through 3270 and enters a distribution phase amid a rising dollar. We are most likely at the beginning of a trend reversal...
On Thursday, gold remains under pressure, trading at a two-week low, as the market reacts to Trump's statements about potential trade agreements with a number of countries, including China. Optimism surrounding the negotiations is boosting risk appetite, reducing interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. Even weak US GDP and inflation data failed to halt the rise in gold prices, as traders' attention is focused on the trade agenda and upcoming labour market statistics.
Gold is changing its trend due to the rise of the dollar and a shift in the fundamental background. A breakout of the local low could reinforce the decline. The first target is 3190. There is a possibility of a retest of the previously broken consolidation support at 3268 before the decline continues.
Resistance levels: 3245, 3270
Support levels: 3190, 3186, 3167
A breakout of the local low of 3221 could trigger a further decline. The first stop could be around 3190. From this level, a small correction or consolidation may follow before the decline continues.
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 3245-3270 before the decline continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation. Traders are waiting for news...FX:XAUUSD remains in consolidation at 3370-3270. Traders are in no hurry to take any action, as there is a lot of important news ahead. Let's take a closer look at the situation...
On Wednesday, gold is trading lower, remaining in a sideways range as traders await the release of US GDP data for the first quarter. A sharp slowdown in growth is expected, and a possible contraction in the economy could increase bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold. Meanwhile, the dollar is holding steady amid tariff news and expectations for key employment and inflation data.
A retest of the range support is forming. The approach is quite sharp, and the pre-breakout potential has been exhausted. A false breakout of support could trigger an upward correction.
Support levels: 3270, 3245
Resistance levels: 3314, 3329, 3352
If the dollar continues to fall after the news, this could support gold and the price could continue to trade between 3370 and 3270. Unpredictable news could trigger a breakout and a fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDUSD Continues to Trade Under the Pressure of a Strong DollarHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating. Focus on 3370 - 3269. Economic data is expected tomorrow, and gold is likely to trade within the consolidation range for several days.
Optimism about US trade talks with key partners boosted risk appetite and supported the dollar. The US Treasury Secretary reported progress with India, while President Trump softened his rhetoric on China, which also strengthened the dollar. At the same time, traders took a wait-and-see stance ahead of the release of US GDP data for the first quarter. If the figures turn out to be weak, gold could rise sharply as a safe-haven asset. Thus, the gold market remains sensitive to trade news and macro data, especially against the backdrop of rebalancing at the end of April.
At the moment, as part of the current momentum and correction, I expect prices to recover from the 0.5 - 0.7 Fibonacci zone. Gold may test 3323-3325 before resuming its correction within the consolidation.
Resistance levels: 3323, 3352, 3370
Support levels: 3290, 3270
Traders are waiting for a resolution in the tariff dispute as well as economic data due tomorrow. However, while the price is consolidating, I expect a rebound from support. BUT! If the price continues to squeeze towards any boundary, with priority to support, then the chances of a breakout from the consolidation base may increase.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → The chances of a further decline are growing...FX:XAUUSD continues to test support at 3270 for a breakout. Any de-escalation of the conflict between the US and China could trigger a price drop. But it's not that simple...
Gold under pressure amid tariff war and ahead of US data
On Monday, gold is testing last week's low of $3260, remaining under pressure from a strengthening dollar and easing trade risks between the US and China.
Investors are preparing for the release of key US GDP and labor market data, which could influence expectations for Fed rates. Against this backdrop, the correction in gold could be replaced by growth if macro statistics turn out to be weak and geopolitical risks remain.
Another retest of support could trigger a breakout. It is necessary to monitor the situation between China and the US. Any de-escalation will trigger a decline.
Resistance levels: 3299, 3326
Support levels: 3268.9, 3245, 3232
Since the opening of the session, the potential for a further decline has been exhausted. Gold may strengthen to the indicated resistance zones. A false breakout of 3300/3326 could trigger a decline, which could bring the price closer to the support breakout of 3270.
With respect, R. Linda!
GOLD → Reversal or correction? What to do now?FX:XAUUSD reaching the psychological high of $3500 has entered the correction phase, which was also influenced by a slight easing of the tariff conflict between the U.S. and China....
After falling without reaching the zone of interest 3288, the gold price is strengthening at the beginning of the European session, expecting PMI data from the U.S.. Earlier, the metal reached a record of $3,500, but rolled back amid hopes for an easing of the trade war with China and words of the US Treasury Secretary about a possible “détente”.
The dollar recovered as part of the correction, but investors doubt Trump's predictability, gold at this time begins a correction. In the center of attention is the PMI index from S&P Global: its results may affect expectations for Fed Funds rates and give a new direction to the market.
Resistance levels: 3340, 3360, 3366
Support levels: 3317, 3288
Technically gold is in correction and confirms the bearish structure. But any unexpected statement by Trump may attract aggressive buying.
Nevertheless, we should now consider a possible decline from 3340 - 3360 - 3366. Buying could be considered on a retest of support or a close above 3370.
Regards R. Linda!
Learn These Patterns And You'll Never Regret ItEVERYTHING ON THE TRIANGLE PATTERN
a triangle chart pattern involves price moving into a tighter and tighter range (like a consolidation phase which has a triangle-like shape) as time goes by and provides a visual display of a battle between bulls and bears.
The triangle pattern is generally categorised as a “continuation pattern”, meaning that after the pattern completes, it’s assumed that the price will continue in the trend direction it was moving before the pattern appeared.
note: the triangle pattern depends on the trend however don't hold on to that thought since fake-outs are possible. the point i am trying to make is that you should not be obsessed with which direction the price goes, but you should be ready for movement in either direction.
there are three triangle patterns:
a) the ascending (upward slope consisting of higher-lows and a consistent resistance),
b) descending (downward slope consisting of lower-highs and a consistent support)
c) symmetrical (equal slopes the market is forming lower-highs and higher-lows)..
the triangle is different from a wedge. however, a wedge can be in a triangle or better put the general formation of a wedge is a triangle-like shape (in some cases).
point to note:
• you need at least two points (bullish or bearish) to connect for a triangle to be considered, and a consistent support or resistance.
• the volatility of price of any instrument decreases when there's a triangle pattern and increases on breakout of the pattern.
• measuring the size of the triangle can serve as a good profit target (will explain in meeting)
• keep an open mind at all times.
📝..
DOGE → Will the market hold strength or lose it all?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is testing the liquidity and resistance zone amid a downtrend as part of a news-induced rally. Will the market hold this trend or return to a sell-off?
The downtrend continues. As part of the correction triggered by the news backdrop, bitcoin strengthened and pulled the altcoins with it. But the market may lose all its growth quite quickly, as bearish pressure on the market is still very strong (There are no fundamental positive changes for the market). The fall of BTC may be followed by DOGE as well.
Technically, the price is forming a false break of the resistance zone 0.1622 - 0.15700, consolidation of the price below this zone will provoke the continuation of the fall to the nearest zone of interest 0.13646.
Resistance levels: 0.157, -0.1622
Support levels: 0.13646, 0.1277, 0.1154
A retest of the trend resistance is possible, but price consolidation below the key zone will be a good signal indicating the seller's strength, the decline may continue. On the weekly timeframe we have a trigger at 0.14217, break of which will open the way to 0.1277 - 0.1025.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPCAD bearish view
OANDA:GBPCAD whats next?, we are have two times bounce on trend line,
currently on D is visible DESCENDING TRIANGL,
in triangl we have RECTANGLE PATTERN 4h which is breaked,
below rectangle pattern we have on lower TF better visible BEARISH FLAG pattern 1h (violet doted), which currently looks breaked,
here expecting bearish push now till next trend zone.
SUP zone: 1.85000
RES zone: 1.82250, 1.81600
Triangle Chart Patterns: How to Identify and Trade ThemTriangle Chart Patterns: How to Identify and Trade Them
Triangle chart patterns are essential tools in technical analysis, helping traders identify potential trend continuations. These formations build as the price consolidates between converging trendlines, signalling an upcoming move in the market. In this article, we’ll explore the three types of triangle patterns—symmetrical, ascending, and descending—and how traders use them to analyse price movements.
What Are Triangle Chart Patterns?
Triangle chart patterns are a common tool used to understand price movements in the market. These patterns form when the price of an asset moves within two converging trendlines, creating a triangle shape on a chart. The lines represent support and resistance levels, and as they get closer together, it signals a potential breakout in one direction.
Symmetrical, ascending, and descending are three types of triangle patterns. Each of these patterns reflects a different market sentiment, with symmetrical triangles showing indecision, ascending triangles suggesting a bullish bias, and descending triangles hinting at bearish momentum. These formations are useful because they help traders spot potential breakouts, where the price might move sharply up or down after a period of consolidation.
It’s important to note that triangles and wedge patterns are similar but not the same. Both patterns involve converging trendlines, but wedges tend to slope upward or downward. Triangles, on the other hand, either feature one horizontal trendline and a sloping trendline or two sloping trendlines at roughly the same angle.
Below, we’ll cover the three triangle types. If you’d like to follow along, head over to FXOpen and TradingView to get started with real-time charts.
Symmetrical Triangle
The symmetrical triangle is a popular chart pattern that shows up when the price of an asset starts consolidating within a tighter range. Unlike other triangle patterns, it doesn’t lean heavily in either direction—bullish or bearish—making it a neutral signal. It forms when buyers and sellers are in a bit of a standoff, with no clear trend in sight. However, this period of indecision often leads to a significant move once the price breaks out of the pattern.
What Does It Look Like?
- Two converging trendlines;
- One sloping down from the highs (resistance);
- One sloping up from the lows (support);
- The price oscillates between these two lines, forming lower highs and higher lows;
- The formation narrows as the lines get closer together, creating a point of breakout.
What Does It Indicate?
A symmetrical triangle pattern indicates a period of indecision in the market. Buyers and sellers are evenly matched, causing the price to move within a narrowing range. As it gets smaller, the pressure builds, and the price is likely to break out either up or down. Since the formation is neutral, the breakout could occur in either direction, and traders wait for this moment to see where the market is heading.
How Do Traders Use It?
Traders typically watch for a breakout from the symmetrical triangle to signal the next significant price movement. They often look for an increase in trading volume alongside the breakout, as this can confirm the strength of the move. In most cases, it’s used as a signal for potential price continuation. However, some traders see it as a reversal indicator, depending on what the preceding trend looks like.
Ascending Triangle
An ascending triangle is a bullish triangle pattern that’s often looked for when analysing potential price breakouts. It usually forms during an uptrend but may also appear in a downtrend. It suggests that buyers are becoming more aggressive, while sellers are struggling to push the price lower, creating a situation where the market might break upwards.
What Does It Look Like?
- A horizontal resistance line at the top (price struggles to break above this level);
A rising trendline at the bottom, connecting higher lows (buyers are stepping in earlier each time);
- The price moves between these two lines, creating a triangle shape;
- The formation narrows over time, putting pressure on the resistance level.
What Does It Indicate?
An ascending triangle pattern signals that buyers are gaining control. While the price keeps hitting a ceiling (resistance), the higher lows show that the market’s buying pressure is increasing. This often leads to a breakout above the resistance level, where the price can make a significant upward move. Traders usually see this formation as a sign that the market is primed for a continuation of the current uptrend. However, sometimes it can appear in a downtrend and signal a trend reversal.
How Do Traders Use It?
Traders typically use the ascending triangle to spot potential breakouts above the resistance level. When the price finally moves and closes above this line, it’s seen as confirmation that the upward trend is continuing. Many also pay close attention to the trading volume during this breakout—rising volume can confirm that the breakout is genuine.
In some cases, the price may break through the resistance quickly, while in others, it could take time before the upward move happens. There may also be false breakouts before the true bullish move occurs, with the price typically closing below resistance.
Descending Triangle
A descending triangle is a bearish chart pattern that signals potential downward movement in the market. It typically forms during a downtrend but can also appear in an uptrend. It shows that sellers are becoming more dominant, while buyers are struggling to push the price higher, which could lead to a breakdown below a key support level.
What Does It Look Like?
- A horizontal support line at the bottom (price struggles to break below this level);
- A descending trendline at the top, connecting lower highs (sellers are pushing the price down);
- The price moves between these two lines, creating a triangle shape;
- The formation narrows over time, with the pressure building on the support level.
What Does It Indicate?
A descending triangle chart pattern suggests that sellers are in control. While the price holds at the support level, the series of lower highs shows that selling pressure is increasing. This often leads to a breakdown below the support line, where the price might experience a sharp decline. Traders see the formation as a bearish signal, indicating that the market could continue its downward trend.
How Do Traders Use It?
Traders typically use the descending triangle to identify potential breakdowns below the support level. When the price falls and closes below this line, it’s considered confirmation that the sellers have taken over and that further downside movement could follow.
Similar to other triangle patterns, it’s common to watch for a rise in trading volume during the breakdown, as it can confirm the strength of the move. It’s also possible to see false breakouts below the support level when the price closes back inside the pattern almost immediately.
How Traders Use Triangle Patterns in Technical Analysis
These patterns are just one piece of the puzzle in technical analysis, but they can offer us valuable insights when used correctly.
Triangle Pattern Trading: Entry, Stop-Loss, and Profit Targets
Entry Points
Traders typically wait for a confirmed breakout from the triangle formation’s boundaries before entering a trade. For ascending triangles, this means watching for the price to break above the upper trendline (resistance), while for descending triangles, they look for a breakdown below the lower trendline (support). In a symmetrical triangle, the breakout may be in either direction, usually informed by the broader market trend.
The entry is often confirmed by a closing candle above or below these key levels to reduce the risk of false breakouts.
Stop-Loss Placement
Stop-loss orders are crucial here. For ascending triangles, stop losses might be placed just below the last swing low, while for descending triangles, they might be set just above the recent swing high. In the case of symmetrical triangles, traders often place the stop-loss just outside the formation’s apex.
Profit Targets
To set profit targets, traders typically use the triangle's height (the distance between the highest and lowest points). This height is then projected from the breakout point, offering a realistic target for the trade. For example, if a triangle stock pattern’s height is $10 and the breakout occurs at $50, the target would be $60 for a bullish move.
Combining with Market Context
Triangles may become more reliable when considered in the context of the broader market environment. Traders don’t just look at the pattern in isolation—they analyse the prevailing trend, market sentiment, and even macroeconomic factors to gauge whether a breakout aligns with the larger market movement. For instance, an ascending formation in a strong uptrend adds confidence to the idea of a bullish breakout.
Using Other Indicators for Confirmation
While triangles provide a useful framework, they’re usually combined with other technical indicators for confirmation. Traders often align triangles with volumes, moving averages, or momentum indicators to assess whether the breakout has strong support behind it. For instance, a breakout confirmed by high volume or a moving average crossover might add confluence to the trade.
Limitations and Considerations of Triangle Patterns
Triangles are useful tools in technical analysis, but they come with limitations and important considerations. While they can signal potential breakouts, it’s essential to approach them cautiously.
- False Breakouts: Triangles often experience false breakouts, where the price briefly moves beyond the trendline but quickly reverses. This may trap traders in unfavourable positions.
- Subjectivity: These formations are open to interpretation. Different people may draw trendlines slightly differently, leading to varying conclusions about where the breakout occurs.
- Need for Confirmation: Relying solely on patterns can be risky. They may work better when combined with other indicators, such as volume or moving averages, to confirm the trend direction.
- Market Conditions: In volatile or news-driven markets, chart patterns may not behave as expected, reducing their reliability. They may provide false signals or lose significance in these situations.
The Bottom Line
Triangle chart patterns are popular tools among those looking to analyse market movements and potential breakouts. Whether it’s a symmetrical, ascending, or descending triangle, these patterns provide valuable insights into price consolidation and future trends. While no pattern guarantees a winning trade, combining triangles with other indicators may improve market analysis.
Ready to apply your knowledge? Open an FXOpen account to explore chart patterns in more than 700 live markets and take advantage of our low-cost, high-speed trading environment backed by advanced trading platforms.
FAQ
What Is a Triangle Chart Pattern?
A triangle chart is a pattern in technical analysis that forms when the price of an asset moves between converging trendlines, creating a triangle shape on a price chart. They typically signal a period of consolidation before a strong potential breakout in price.
What Are the Patterns of Triangles?
There are three main types of triangles in chart patterns: symmetrical, ascending, and descending. Symmetrical triangles indicate indecision in the market while ascending triangles are often bullish, and descending triangles tend to be bearish.
How to Trade a Triangle?
Traders typically wait for a confirmed breakout from the triangle’s trendlines. According to theory, entry points are based on a breakout above resistance or below support, with stop-loss orders placed just outside the triangle. Profit targets are often set based on the height (the distance between the highest and lowest points) of the pattern.
What Is the Triangle Pattern Strategy?
The triangle pattern strategy involves waiting for a breakout and using the formation’s height to set profit targets. It’s combined with tools like volume, moving averages, and momentum indicators to confirm the move and avoid false breakouts.
Is the Triangle Pattern Bullish or Bearish?
They can be both bullish and bearish. Ascending triangles are generally seen before a bullish movement, descending triangles are bearish, and symmetrical triangles can be either.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BITCOIN → Break of the bullish structure. Moving to 78-68KBINANCE:BTCUSD has been slowly recovering for the last two weeks, but failed to overcome the resistance. The bears held the trend. The price is breaking the local bullish structure and preparing for a strong fall.
Bitcoin's fundamental background is weak, expectations were not met by the crypto summits, nor by any major announcements or hints of a crypto reserve. The crypto community still didn't get what they expected from Trump. The strong drop was triggered by the SP500 index falling, driven by rising inflation, reduced consumer pressure and new trade tariffs. These factors have contributed to increased uncertainty in the markets, prompting investors to move to safer assets such as gold and government bonds
Technically, the price has been in consolidation (correction channel) for two weeks and after breaking the support of the figure, the price entered the realization phase within the global downtrend.
Resistance levels: 85300, 86350, 89400
Support levels: 83600, 81270, 79980, 78100
Emphasis on the support at 83600. The price fixing under this zone may provoke further fall to 80-78K. But I do not exclude the fact that a small correction to the zone of interest is possible (to capture liquidity) before a further fall to the previously identified key zones of interest.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis – Bearish Correction ExpectedGold (XAUUSD) has recently broken above a rising wedge resistance on the weekly timeframe but is now showing early signs of potential exhaustion. Price action is currently hovering around the $3,024 level after a strong bullish rally. However, historical patterns and structure suggest a possible bearish correction ahead.
📊 Key Technical Observations:
Rising Wedge Pattern: Price has been following an ascending channel with a sharp parabolic curve. The structure hints at overextension, making it vulnerable to a pullback.
Previous Corrections: Two notable corrections (-8.89% and -8.15%) provide a historical benchmark, reinforcing the possibility of a similar retracement.
Bearish Scenario :
A potential double-top formation and rejection zone is developing around the $3,050 area.
Target Zones:
TP1: $2,935.95 – first major support/resistance flip zone.
TP2: $2,782.94 – deeper retracement aligned with previous corrective structure.
🧠 Trading Bias:
Bearish bias in the short to medium term as gold may seek to correct before any continuation of the bullish trend.
XAUUSD Head And Shoulder pattern breakdownGold update 15m head and shoulder breakdown
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
3,040.000 (Immediate Resistance)
3,050.000
3,060.000
3,070.000 (Major Resistance)
Support Levels:
3,022.000 (Immediate Support)
3,014.000
3,006.500
2,999.000
2,991.000 (Major Support)
Price Action Overview:
Gold is currently trading at 3,033.785, showing a slight upward movement of +1.685 (+0.096%).
The price has been consolidating between 3,031.425 (Low) and 3,034.430 (High) in the last 15-minute candle. The market is testing the 3,035.410 level, which could act as a minor resistance.
Technical Indicators:
USB (Ultimate Support/Resistance Band):
Current Value: 38.301 (-1.279)
Indicates potential support/resistance zones around 3,830.4.
TAT & Skullers Indicator:
Current Value: -38.306 (-1.269)
Suggests a potential retest or breakdown level around 3,830.6.
Market Sentiment:
The market is showing slight bullish momentum, but the price remains within a tight range.
A breakout above 3,040.000 could signal a stronger bullish trend, while a breakdown below 3,022.000 may indicate bearish pressure.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Consider a long position if the price breaks and sustains above 3,040.000.
Targets:
3,050.000 (First Target)
3,060.000 (Second Target)
3,070.000 (Major Resistance)
Stop Loss: Place below 3,022.000 to manage risk.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Consider a short position if the price breaks and sustains below 3,022.000.
Targets:
3,014.000 (First Target)
3,006.500 (Second Target)
2,999.000 (Major Support)
Stop Loss: Place above 3,035.410 to manage risk.
Risk Management:
Always use proper risk management techniques.
Risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital per trade.
Adjust position sizes according to your risk tolerance and account size.
Bitcoin - This indicator is always right! Crash to 40k in 2026.What we can see on the chart is Bitcoin cycles. We can statistically predict Bitcoin moves with this simple chart, because it's always right and never wrong. What can we say with certainty?
Statistically:
Bitcoin's bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days
Bitcoin's bear markets last for 364 to 413 days
Correction is every time weaker, but still huge
The recent uptrend on Bitcoin started in December 2022 and ended in January 2025 (791 days). We know that statistically bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days, so this indicator tells us that the bull market ended! This indicator was never wrong, so do your own research. It's always like this. Moon boys calling for 300k, 500k, or 1M in 2025 do not follow my TradingView profile because otherwise they would know this strong fundamental fact. The market cap of Bitcoin is already too big, so forget about 500K or 1M in the short term because the market cap would be higher than gold. Gold is the number 1 asset in the world.
Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions step in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money.
Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
OMUSDT → Paranormal behavior. Rally readinessBINANCE:OMUSDT as a whole looks stronger than the market. After a strong rally a correction in the format of a bearish wedge is formed, subsequently the price broke the resistance and is trying to consolidate above the key support
Against the background of a weak market OM coin has good prospects as technically someone is interested in this project and the coin as a whole behaves strongly and looks stronger than the market.
A breakout of the bearish wedge (consolidation pattern within the correction) is forming. If the bulls keep the coin above the previously broken figure resistance and above the base of the 6.752 reversal pattern, the growth may continue in the short to medium term
Resistance levels: 7.39, 7.98
Support levels: 6.752, 6.51
One of the few coins that is rising while bitcoin is falling. Focus on the previously mentioned support levels, as well as on the local resistance 7.05, the break of which may provoke a prolongation of growth
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Short-squeeze 86-89K before falling further to 75KBINANCE:BTCUSD continues to form a downtrend after breaking the bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. There is no bullish driver yet, and technically, the price is heading to the global imbalance zone of 75-73K
The past crypto summit and any other talk of cryptovalt support cannot support the market. Such events end with further market decline.
Technically, the market continues to form a downtrend (global counter-trend), based on this alone, we can say that the price is now going against the crowd and this is generally logical behavior. Globally, the zone of interest is located in the following zones - 75K, 73K and order block 69-66K
Locally, I would emphasize the nearest liquidity zones, located at the top, which can be tested before the further fall: 86697, 89.397
Resistance levels: 85135, 86678, 89397
Support levels: 79987, 78173, 73512
After the false break of 78K support there is no strong reaction, the market is forming a struggle for 84-85K zone, which generally indicates buying weakness. Before the further fall there may be a short-squeeze relative to the above mentioned zones of liquidity, which may lead to a further fall
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → The fall continues... 82K → 76K → 73KBINANCE:BTCUSD is in a sell zone. Trump's comments on the federal reserve, crypto summit failed to impact the crypto market other than a global shakeup and liquidation...
The market has failed to see a proper bullish driver, so far. Trump's comments on the Fed ended in a global shakeup (liquidation). Yesterday's summit went so far as to prevent the cryptovalt market from turning green.
Technically. Global growth is temporarily halted, the flagship is moving into a deep correction phase, with 73K still the primary target. The market needs liquidity, as it will not be possible to grow at the expense of buyers and only bullish leverage all the time.
Price is forming a 90K - 82K range in the short zone after exiting the global consolidation. False break of 91K resistance ( global consolidation support ) ended with a fall, which may continue to both 82K and 73.5K.
Resistance levels: 89400, 91K, 93K
Support levels: 82K, 78K, 73K
The key zone of interest and liquidity is 73-66K. The price is working on a false break of resistance, the imbalance of forces in favor of bears, thus the first stop may happen in the zone of 82K ( lower boundary of the range ). Further it is necessary to observe the reaction to the support. Consolidation, breakdown and consolidation below 82K will provoke a fall to lower targets.
Regards R. Linda!
CRUDE is looking weak. Price connection is expected#CRUDE #Analysis
Description
---------------------------------------------------------------
+ Crude has formed a nice descending triangle pattern and price has broken down the support line which formed over the years.
+ A clear breakdown from this support would push down the prices further.
+ Next target is 50-40$ range.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Enhance, Trade, Grow
---------------------------------------------------------------
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
USDJPY → Readiness to break the daily support levelFX:USDJPY is testing strong key support at 148.64 for a breakdown. A falling dollar could affect further movement
The falling dollar is supporting the Japanese Yen, thus we may see the currency pair falling.
The price is trying to break the support of the daily level. A pre-breakdown consolidation of 150.3 - 148.64 is formed relative to this support. The last retest of the level ended with a small false breakdown, indicating that there is no one to defend the support anymore, there was no reaction except for another local consolidation, the purpose of which is to accumulate the potential to break the support.
Resistance levels: 150.3, 150.95
Support levels: 148.64, 147.17
The focus is on the level of 148.64 concerning which the market is struggling. The bulls have little chance to hold this level, as the dollar's fall exerts quite a lot of pressure.
The breakdown and fixing of the price below 148.64 may provoke a fall to 147 - 144.
Regards R. Linda!