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$DJI $NDX $SPX $RUT all pumping but giving back, what now?DJ:DJI is having hard time here, again. The RSI is much lower, negative divergence, steam running out? NASDAQ:NDX is higher but also losing steam, RSI lower. SP:SPX AMEX:RSP & AMEX:IWM all put higher highs but they're also giving back. All the #indices have low volume. Kind of normal for this time of year. TVC:VIX is lower....... Sell on news? Lots of GAINS over past few months. Hmmm, let's see what transpires by end of day. #stocks
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$DJI $NDX $SPX $RUT Long & Short term viewsBringing indices up again, Let's look at the SHORT TERM first. (Unfortunately can only show 1 chart, see profile for more info) DJ:DJI longer term still showing an ascending triangle, current pattern is sideways channel, there's some negative divergence. NASDAQ:NDX maintains the uptrend, HOWEVER - we're seeing SEVERE negative divergence. SP:SPX also in current sideways channel, and also showing SEVERE negative divergence. TVC:RUT completes the bunch with a sideways channel and some neg divergence. ---------------------------------------------------- Longer term #indices are interesting. Using weekly. DJ:DJI showing slight negative divergence, needs to break out FAST NASDAQ:NDX Extremely overbought, last 3 times; 2 corrections, 1 major drop. SP:SPX Nothing out of the ordinary, lil overbought, see #NDX notes. TVC:RUT Severe underperformer and it looks like it wants to catch up to the others. #stocks
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Dow Jones Industrials suddenly not looking too shabbyThe Dow Jones has been out on vacation for the first half of this year, not really participating in the melt-up, and instead, consolidating and working off that sharp rally from Q4 2022. After all, it was one of the first indexes to bottom from the depths of the bear and start leading things higher. But now after all of this sideways consolidation, it's starting to offer up a favorable reward-to-risk if it can build momentum over 34,500. Perhaps a possible rotation into YTD leaders and back into industrials for the second half of the year? I'm not so sure about that yet, but it's a chart worth paying attention to.
TVC:DJI
by EvanMedeiros
2
What is the $VIX showing us?Good Morning SMALL THREAD While we did call the NASDAQ:NDX weakness & top, at that time we didn't think it would be as bad as it got, at least I didn't. Last year we really thought TVC:VIX would break out & the markets would collapse. Our original expectations didn't pan out but we, mostly I, changed as more data came in. We called a bunch of bounces & tops, ALL DOCUMENTED, BUT our best call was becoming BULLISH in late September on DJ:DJI & Bullish on NASDAQ:NDX in October. Since then we've been cautious Bull with a few bearish calls but ultimately, we were/are still bullish. During this time the TVC:VIX was forming a HUGE Symmetrical Triangle that we posted on countless times. We were biased and thought the TVC:VIX would break out and #stocks would be cremated. Obviously, were bullish after Sept 2022 but we thought there would be an eventual harsh crash that made 2022 like a walk in the park. When #VIX broke down we were SHOCKED! That's when we knew that the can was being kicked further down the road. There's a lot more at play that we've been discussing on occasion. SP:SPX has been on a tear but it is currently in a consolidation phase as seen on a daily chart. However, as you can see, RSI can remain overbought on a weekly for long periods of time. TVC:VIX is slowly closing in on a major support level. While it can break through, IMO, don't think it will do it the 1st time. #VIX will likely get a nice bounce. This bounce will likely be strong and could mean possible weakness for #stocks, soon.
CBOE:VIX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
SDOW a triple leveraged ETF shorts the DOWSDOW is shown here on a 30 minute chart current rising above a parallel descending channel which is within a longer trend of a downward-facing megaphone pattern where it is currently situated near the top of the megaphone. I have drawn the two trendlines onto the chart and added an RSI indicator. My plan is to take a short trade on SDOW by looking for an entry on the 5 minute time frame where the HA candles are red and the RSI has dropped below 50. I will set the stop loss above the resistance trendline while targeting the support trendline at the low of the pattern.
AMEX:SDOW
by AwesomeAvani
UDOW a triple leveraged ETF of the DOW indexUDOW is shown here on the 30-minute chart rising over the past month in an ascending parallel channel. The chart shows the price currently situated near to the bottom of the channel which is the support trendline drawn onto the chart with the resistance trendline as well. My trading plan is I will take a long trade of 50 shares with a stop loss immediately below the support trendline. I see a targets as $ 62 and $ 65 making for a very favorable reward for the risk taken. For the entry, I will use the 5- minute chart and enter when the HA candles are green and the RSI is above 50. I realize that the DOW has less volatility than the S & P or NASDAQ but with that is less overall risk of reversals and pullbacks. I tend to take higher-risk trades but see this as having a balancing effect in my overall portfolio.
AMEX:UDOW
by AwesomeAvani
DIA - Horizontal Trend Channel🔹DIA is breakout horizontal trend channel in the medium long term. 🔹DIA has marginally broken up through resistance at 341. 🔹Overall assessed as technically POSITIVE for the medium long term. Chart Pattern; 🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵 🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
AMEX:DIALong
by wavepoint99
SPY - It's Life or Death For BearsIn this post I would like to remind everyone of two critical points: 1. Overall market fundamentals are not very good because the situation in the whole world right now is not very good. The Millennial-themed Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) was ultimately little more than a pretext to drop economic stimulus under because the economy was already #rekt in 2019. 2. The three major indexes have been in a bearish market impulse, but not in a bear market. Just because something goes down, even for several months, doesn't mean it's a "bear market." == A Caveat: The situation in Mainland China under the Chinese Communist Party is not something you can see from the English Internet, or the other languages' Internet, or even the Chinese Internet. What's really going on is extremely dangerous. There's the dueling threats inside the world's oldest country of the Wuhan Pneumonia pandemic and the collapse of the CCP. By the time the news hits the west, most of the dominos will already be collapsed and the gap down will destroy every bull there is, everywhere, including banks and governments. The 24-year persecution, genocide, and organ harvesting of Falun Gong by Jiang Zemin and the CCP is looming like the Sword of Damocles over Xi Jinping's head, and if he's smart, he'll dump the Party and the Babylon toads in the middle of the night. If Xi Jinping is a fool, Gods will dump him and all of them all together at once. It's coming very, very soon. It will be sudden. You are likely to be asleep when it happens because of the time difference between Beijing and New York. == I see on Twitter and in some other venues that there are people flexing about how they're goin' hard short at $445 and dumpin their whole portfolio. This area also happens to be the 79% retracement level of the most recent monthly dealing range. The problem is that shorting a bounce at the 79% is either really optimal or total suicide. What determines which one it is has a lot to do with whether the MM has begun to take sellside liquidity. The problem is that following the insane COVID QE, the markets had a 120% rally in only 22 months and really never formed any monthly pivots for funds to place their stops behind. Monthly Whatever the markets did last year was nothing more than an elementary retrace to the 2020 manipulation order block, which means that the MM's ultimate target is 100% the 5,000 psychological level and even possibly a David J. Hunter-style run higher. So, we're really at a key point right now. The keyest of the key points. There's really only one question, in my opinion: Do the indexes set a new ATH this year, or in 2024? Two things to consider: 1. Markets have gone straight up since January, printing their Low Of The Year only a few days into '23. (This is usually consistent with a very bullish or bearish impulse) 2. 2024 is the U.S. Presidential Election So where we're at right now is make or break: Weekly For bearish anything to work, you need to see Friday's price action, which swept the August high by a few cents, to form a double top that can be targeted later. Or you need to see it make a slightly higher high and very quickly retrace. If you were to get a bearish drive, the target would be $365, setting a LOY, but holding the 2022 pivot, marking the lowest prices the market will see before they set their ultimate all time high in 2024. However, if the markets hang out in what I call "the monthly zebra," a price area that is of significant note based on the monthly bars, then you can expect these markets to pump to new heights in short order. Shorts will be dead. It would be one of those cases from Diary of a Stock Operator where "there's no price too high to pay" applies because it's going up and you need some Bank of Japan intervention in the JPYUSD-level stuff to break the momentum. What this means is that if you missed the move in the markets up, there is no dip to buy. If you missed the move on the way up, any kind of significant dip now is a short setup. The long case for a new ATH would be to pay more in the $450 area. But it's very dangerous. Things can change in this world at any time. Wall Street and the globalist controllers believe they are in control and are very attached to their power, but ultimately, Heaven will show its hand sooner than later. Since human beings, especially today's modern atheists who believe in the laughable Theory of Evolution, only "believe in what I can see," then the Cosmos will show you reality. But once reality unfolds before your eyes, it's too late for regrets. It's the same as how when you're at the casino playing poker, neither the Dealer nor the House lets you keep betting after the River and everyone's Cards are turned Face Up.
AMEX:SPY
by LordWrymouth
3
$BA Breaking Out or Double / Triple Topping?Boeing – This has been a frustrating name for me. It broke out in January, of which I caught some. But it has been in a range, a wide range for 6 months. I took advantage of the bad news on Tuesday, Jun 6 when it dipped and bought a starter at $202 (sometimes its better to be lucky) and added again today as it breaks above an area of resistance. However, it has entered Double / Triple Top Territory so for new entries at this level the caution flag should be out. My average cost is $210.05 and that is where I have my stop. This could be one for your watchlist because of both the breakout and high volume today, already near its 10-day average. I hope this helps someone. These are my ideas and are not meant as investment or trading advice. Thanks for looking. Constructive comments always welcome.
NYSE:BALong
by jaxdog
5
URTY - the 3X leveraged ETF for the Russell 2000 LONGURTY seeks to yield 3X the Russell . The Russell has lagged the other major indices. This is probably because this is a big collection of small companies which are weaker in general and more suspectible to financial pressures like to cost of borrowing to finance growth and so on. This week the Russell is out performing SPY, QQQ and DIA. These leveraged ETFs should not be traded downside as the 3x causes expotential decay over time. Buy and hold will not work well. On the chart, the up trends as tracked by the "alpha trend" indicator are fairly obvious and substantial. The zero lag MACD confirms buy and sell signals with K/ D line crosses. Entry points are marked by a dramatic uptick in relative volatility making it easy to buy fast and early in trend momentum, URTY is up nearly 20% so far in June. ( So much for sell in May and go away). At present, it is waiting in consolidation waiting for more buyers to step into its price action.
AMEX:URTYLong
by AwesomeAvani
8
$TSLA Breakout / Now Resistance?Tesla – one of my favorite stocks. It looks to me that there may be a change in character taking place. It broke out of its long-term downtrend on May 23rd which put it over both the downtrend line AND the 40-week MA. It then pulled back for a successful retest and posted a nice pocket pivot last Friday, May 26th. It is now up against another resistance area today. I am long this name for a few days now and pulled some off today as it flirts with that resistance area. I think it would be healthy if it could form a base in this area for at least a few days and then break through. All TBD. I will be looking to add to my position again if / when it breaks above that area. If it does that, my price target is around $270. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Thanks for looking. Constructive comments always welcome.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by jaxdog
Temporary Debt Ceiling RetracementLooks like Minor wave 3 ended a tad shy of 4136 and a few days late, but still on track overall. Minor wave 4 should only last 2-3 days with the bottom likely occurring by Thursday at the latest. It is possible Minute wave A inside of Minor wave 4 was completed today. Models are pointing to the bottom around 4176 based on historical Minor wave data. Minute wave C could end with a 138.2% retracement of Minute wave A which would place the bottom around 4177. Once Minor wave 4 is finished, Minor wave 5 should complete Intermediate wave 3 up with a larger top at one of the highest prices experienced in over 12 months. Based on all of the Intermediate wave 3 interior waves, Intermediate wave 3 will likely come up short from initial forecasts above 4300. The top will likely occur sometime next week around 4268. I will likely look into Intermediate wave 4’s bottom around the middle of next week. This drop for Minor wave 4 will likely continue until the House and/or Senate votes on the debt ceiling bill. Everything should see a nice jump when the bill is passed, however, something else is lurking around the corner with Intermediate wave 4 down. CPI is June 13, PPI is June 14 along with the next Fed rate decision in the afternoon. Looks like market could drop into the Fed meeting but begin Intermediate wave 5 upward after the meeting. With the debt ceiling likely out of the way by mid-June and Fed news possibly positive, the cause of the major market top near the end of June beginning of July could be earnings related or geopolitical. China action against Taiwan is still my leading catalyst especially after the GPU chip boom. This could turn into a major bust quickly if China takes Taiwan in a short or prolonged conflict. Too much of the world operates on chips moving through Taiwan.
SP:SPX
by StockSignaler
Entering SDOW is the ideaDIA daily went to a sell, waiting for price action to approach the P.O.M.O Position of maximum opportunity on DIA. With such a nice risk reward why not. My idea would be to play it via SDOW This short is riskier, Vix 1hr and 15min are R/R. DIA and SPY 1hrs went green. You just want to note the daily went to sell on DIA, waiting for it to retrace up to the pomo'y area for a small risk trade. Overall trading this way (waiting for a pomo that meets your bias) is about like a sore peter, you just can't beat it. AMEX:SDOW AMEX:DIA AMEX:SPY
AMEX:DIAShort
by lightningfreek
$QQQ all time outlook - prediction for FOMC MayNASDAQ:QQQ From this all-time chart, we can see that price is still holding above the "all-time upper support line"; that is, above the 300s. ~ IMO, we can swing between that support line and the "all-time resistance line", for the rest of the year. ~ In that regards, we can hit the low 300s again sometime this quarter, since we are hanging high for now, on this quarterly chart. ~ Also, in my opinion, we are possibly going to crack below that upper support line, later this year, or early next year. That's because of that "Channel Overhead Resistance". ~ Cracking below that all-time support line would push the market into a long term downtrend, similar to what we experienced during the 2000 bust. ~ As for the rest of this year, as long as we keep swinging between those 2 pivotal lines, we can run up till close to all-time highs, imo. ~ As for today's FOMC, I think we are looking at an FOMC spike till the 321s/322s, before the fall back to fill the gap at the low 300s....where it meets that "all-time support line.....for the next rebound. ~ Trade Safe - Cheers and good luck.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by RexMan
SPY Long Term Trending Up LONGOn the weekly chart, SPY has formed an inverted head and shoulders in the past 9 months Importantly price has now passed above the POC lines of the long term and intermediate term volume profiles. The inverted head and shoulders pattern is classical for a bullish bias for price action. Price has been cconsolidated about the central VWAP of the anchored VWAP bands locked onto the covid lows. SPY should now make an attempt to rise toward the 2022 high of 480. The RSI indicator confirms the long term trend with increasing strength. In consideration of this I will take a call option trade of the strike of $415 to HKEX:425 with 90-120 DTE. Overall, the SPY weekly chart, suggests a general market recovery is increasingly probable. Those keeping their powder dry and staying ready with cash will be rewarded once the market slows down for the summer and gets more active in the fall months/
AMEX:SPYLong
by AwesomeAvani
$QQQ Falling Out of Rising Wedge?NASDAQ:QQQ may be flashing a warning sign here. Rising Wedge Patterns often lead to a new down leg but not always. Looks like we have a breach to the downside on this wedge. Additionally, it looks like today’s candle is a Shooting Star. These too often are a sign of weakness. The good news is that it bounced off the 20 EMA (blue). If it loses the 20 EMA I will be looking for a short sale entry using NASDAQ:SQQQ as a short, NASDAQ:SQQQ is a 3 times short leveraged ETF. This is my personal observation that may or may not play out. I would rather the market head higher, but I am open to it heading lower too. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by jaxdog
4