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$VIX hits top part of Symmetrical triangle$VIX rarely tends to trade in a small & tight range. #VIX Sold off big last couple months & traded in a decent range for a bit & recently, including today, popped big. As you can see it hit the top part of the Triangle Formation. Hard to call here but stocks gaining some momentum, being that many were OVERSOLD, including $DJI & $NDX, $SPX and so on, is not out of the question. Risk reward @ day lows in #stocks was good. A lot of fear out there is good for reversals. Keep eye out on 4 hour charts for a good idea of where we stand. FYI $DJI 4hour close was NOT the best setup BUT it did form a BULLISH Engulfing with GOOD VOLUME. IMO 32.5k on #DJI is good & if it breaks & holds that is a good sign.
CBOE:VIX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
SPX500 - The Smallest Retrace & The First To GoI have to point out once again that, despite all the bearish fundamentals, market price action is simply not a bear market. You see this so clearly on SPX's monthly bars: During the worst of October, all the market was really doing was retracing to the two-month late 2020 orderblock that ultimately led to the 4,800 ATH. Price has since retraced and the markets at large don't like to dump, even on bad news. Even CPI coming in hot didn't lead to much of a dump. The Geopolitical Climate With China The most important factor when trading these markets is that you have to keep an eye on what's going on with China at all times. I've talked in my previous posts extensively and ad nauseum about how the Wuhan Pneumonia pandemic has killed a lot more people than the Chinese Communist Party and western establish media let on. But what this all points to is simply that the Party is in a weakened state. What the Party being in a weakened state means is that a number of geopolitical factions, most notably the western globalist (western Communist Party) bloc has its eyes on how to seize and take control of China as the evil regime falls. The way the globalists will do things is not to invade China, because the Chinese people and the world will not recognize a western occupation of the mainland. Instead, over the years, groups like the World Economic Forum and other globalist arms have, for a long period of time, been grooming certain Chinese nationals, who are themselves members of the Party, to make preparations for how to seize control of the country when Xi Jinping falls. The problem the globalists face is that they aspire to install a one world government. But to do that, they need the world's (formerly) largest population and oldest country, China. However, the existence of the CCP with its rogue, arrogant, and dominating nature makes this impossible, unless the globalists would like to make the CCP the center of the world government, which they obviously do not. Because they want to be the center of the world government. And so preparations have been in the works for years as to how to take control of China when the Party is gone. The problem for humanity is that China's 5,000 years of tradition and culture are critical for the future. Yet, everywhere the globalist faction goes you get a twisted, atheist, modernist culture that can't tell the difference between genders, is highly promiscuous, and serves in many ways as a force even worse than the CCP has been in its weakened state over the recent years. And so, this is the real threat: what the globalist faction will do when it feels the CCP is teetering on the edge. Anything is on the table, because a global crisis will be needed in advance. Environmental disasters, pandemics and plagues, war, problems with nuclear plants, social problems within certain countries, Project Bluebeam stuff, all are on the table. And all such risks are on the table at any time, and these problems are arranged to unfold when the markets are high, not low, so as to create an additional layer of pain and panic in both the business and civilian sectors. A layer of the crisis wherein everyone is losing a lot of money is important, because it hurts and causes a lot of damage, and the Party needs a significant and intense crisis in order to have the pretext needed to "save you" from as they install one world government, which is really, the "Ultimate Goal of Communism." So, be careful. Whatever you believe is your own business, but at least someone is willing to warn you of what is unfolding under your nose. The call On weekly bars you can see that the February FOMC pump came up just short of the September CPI gap surprise panic that led markets to the 2022 low of the year: What this should tell you is that no matter the bearish narrative prevailing or the bearish, scary impulse that may be coming, the SPX has not topped. Instead, I believe after we're finished being scary for a bit, we're going to see 4,500. Moreover, because I believe that Oil, Natural Gas, and even Silver are prone to go up in the shorterm, that the SPX's retrace is going to be the smallest, and it'll be the first of the indexes to go up. WTI Crude - Step 1) $88 --> Step 2) $58 Natural Gas? More Like Natural Go. 4-Handle Coming. Silver SI - A Simple Trendline and Levels Scalp A 200 point dump into the 3,800s is enough to make SPY calls expire worthless, enough to scare bulls, trap bears, and enough to give you a 15% upside for a run to 4,500. You need to fade the bear hype right now, but you also have to be careful about how and when you get in. That means utilizing ETFs, commons that compose the index, and calls that have a 3-6 month expiry, because things could take 30 or 45 days to really unfold and really breakout. But importantly, if you do see SPX 4,500 and 4,600, you have to check your enthusiasm. You might see a new ATH, but that ATH may serve to be a bump and run reversal that will seriously hurt you. And most critically, you need to focus your effort on improving your character, taking care of your family, and patching up whatever regrets you're carrying around. Because life is short. Human life is so short. Everyone is about to experience and understand again just how fragile human life really is. Be careful, friends.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by LordWrymouth
11
TLT - iShares Long-Bond ETF / US30 - Scalp Short, Switch LongThe TLT 20+ year bond ETF has, at this point, been bearish since August. Personally, I thought after the late December-early January push upwards that TLT would have made a new high before dropping for a while because yields were trading a lot lower than the Fed rate, but that move never transpired and the shares have instead been mucking around. I don't specifically like this price action for puts/shorts, because there's two big factors that make me believe TLT is going up: 1. On the monthly bars, there's nowhere lower for TLT to go, unless you believe a new all time low is coming: Monthly The 2014-2015 lows were taken during last year's bear pulses, in fact. The same can be said for the weekly candles: Weekly When taken in light of the fact that TLT has not traded like it wants to go down for the last three months, this really is a spot that I think a trader has to either stay flat or look for a long at lower prices. However, there's a big tell that there's a premium short scalp opportunity manifest in US30, the 30-year US Treasury Bond: US30 30-year US Treasury Bond - Daily The key factors are: 1. July of '21 was a complete gap fill 2. December of '22 made a lower low 3. The enormous November CPI surprise pump candle gap has been left untouched 4. The '22 year end retrace left the psychological 99.xx level untouched 5. The retrace on TLT to $99.60 was only a sweep of range equilibrium, evidenced by the fact that a new high has not been set. The FOMC candle failed to set a new high, too. And all of that combines to lead me to believe that the US30 has in the range of 6-10 percent to retrace, and imminently, which would drive TLT down by $7-11. Moreover, a $10 raid on TLT would make a lot of sense if there's about to be a significant moon mission in the markets. It would take out the December pivot lows, rebalance the CPI-candle gap, and give permanent bears a chance to lose their accounts going short at the bottom. But I believe if you're going to go short here, you have to treat it as a scalp. Because there's no downside left besides setting a new all time low on the ETF, which mirrors the bond market in its own manifestation, chances are we go up. Moreover, with the Fed clearly slowing the pace of their rate hikes, there's no reason to believe bond yields will exceed 5% for more than a few days until late 2023 at the earliest. $98-95 TLT would be a long with targets at $120 and $130. When the markets start to go up again, you have to avoid being short, but you also need to be super, super careful being long. The reason is that the situation in China with Xi Jinping and his Chinese Communist Party being sacked by the Wuhan Pneumonia pandemic is many, many, many times worse than we're being led to believe by establishment media and social influencers. The number of deaths in China has been terrifying, and whenever you're dealing with so many excess deaths, a country is going to lose a certain percentage of its engineers, technicians, and supply chain. This, in my opinion, is the real reason companies like Apple are moving their production out of China. So one day in this lifetime of ours when the CCP falls like the USSR did, it will happen overnight, and China daytime is US night time, meaning the US equities and bond markets will go gap down, but this time they'll just stay gap down. Moreover, the world will change when the Party is gone. The normalcy we've become accustomed to and this way of living as human beings will all change. But the transition won't be so pleasant. It's very important to value virtue and do your best to cultivate your heart. Atheism and the theory of evolution are unscientific poisons. Never forget this.
NASDAQ:TLT
by LordWrymouth
DJI intraday sets up for DAILY movementsFrom yesterday ---------- 11:34AM 1hr VOLUME SUCKED BUT That 1Hr Doji is a good sign & RSI positive divergence 4Hr looks ok, reversal but not strong enough NEED more volume More later after #DJI $DJI #stocks --- 12:21PM $DJI Volume pumps up more & we close the 4Hour (around 130est) ABOVE 32793 = GREAT sign (((FYI IT DID NOT DO IT))) ------------------------ 4:05PM It' been a 1k point battle for $DJI Today we close with a DOJI Again, this week IS IMPORTANT! Flat day but 1st signs of buys Time running out but still holding! --------------- TODAY TODAY TODAY $DJI bulls are fighting hard & not giving up here 30Min looks ok Changed 20 EMA to 30 & painting lil better picture 1Hr reversed back to 20EMA 4Hr still not there, Needs to trade north of RED EMA BEST if resolved TODAY
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$DJI call was spot on, bounce so farWent back to basics last week Loaded up on $DJI, specifically $UDOW Will unload as #DJI closer to resistance, red dotted FUD to lower #stocks #crypto Then buy the sellers CLOCKWORK, media is GREAT contrarian indicator --- THIS WAS POST LAST WEEK $DJI What do you see? (Was a CHANNEL & $SJI close to support) IMO RISK REWARD entry point good here if we close above the dotted line $NDX doesn't look as good but will likely follow More POVs for $BTC #BTC Up & Sideways Channels = both good 4 bulls #crypto
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$DIA/#USDT [#DIA]: SuperTrend Resistance_Breakout_Confirmation◳◱ We have identified both a Super Trend pattern and a Resistance Breakout on the $DIA / $USDT chart. Both indicators are signaling a bullish trend, with the Super Trend showing a bullish trend and the Resistance Breakout confirming this trend by showing the price breaking above a key resistance level. Given the alignment of these signals, it may be a good idea to consider entering a long position and targeting higher levels. Our analysis indicates that the key resistance levels are at 0.492 | 0.546 | 0.672 and the major support zones are at 0.366 | 0.294 | 0.168. However, it is important to also consider other factors such as overall market conditions and other technical indicators before making a trade decision. ◰◲ General info : ▣ Name: DIA ▣ Rank: 457 ▣ Category/Sector: Infrastructure - Data Management ▣ Overview: Background details for DIA project are currently unavailable. ◰◲ Technical Metrics : ▣ Mrkt Price: 0.408 ₮ ▣ 24HVol: 316,400.634 ₮ ▣ 24H Chng: 0.493% ▣ 7-Days Chng: -7.46% ▣ 1-Month Chng: 7.32% ▣ 3-Months Chng: 20.95% ◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels : ◥ Resistance: 0.492 | 0.546 | 0.672 ◢ Support: 0.366 | 0.294 | 0.168 ◱◳ Indicators recommendation : ▣ Oscillators: NEUTRAL ▣ Moving Averages: BUY ◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : BUY ◲◰ Sharpe Ratios : ▣ Last 30D: 2.15 ▣ Last 90D: 1.56 ▣ Last 1-Y: -0.15 ▣ Last 3-Y: 0.58 ◲◰ Volatility : ▣ Last 30D: 0.76 ▣ Last 90D: 0.65 ▣ Last 1-Y: 1.28 ▣ Last 3-Y: 1.68 ◳◰ Market Sentiment Index : ▣ News sentiment score is N/A ▣ Twitter sentiment score is 0.58 - Bullish ▣ Reddit sentiment score is 0.90 - Very Bullish ▣ In-depth DIAUSDT technical analysis on Tradingview TA page ▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated! ◲ Disclaimer Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk. ▣ Welcome to the home of charting big: TradingView Benefit from a ton of financial analysis features, instruments and data. Have a look around, and if you do choose to go with an upgraded plan, you'll get up to $30. Discover it here - affiliate link -
by Crypto2AF
3
The Dow - Despite All Your Rage, You Still Just a Bear in a CageThe prevailing narrative in these markets is still that you're in a bear market. Some stocks are in a bear market, specifically the tech junk that retail likes to lose money on, but the indexes are not in a bear market and have not been in a bear market. But it's not that the fundamentals behind the world economy are not bearish. Trouble is brewing, and the trouble is big. Yet, something should trigger your nose when fundamental danger like we have at present has emerged and yet the markets a) don't dump and b) stay high for a long time. Contrary to how things usually are, the Dow is by far the most bullish of the three indexes. I'm calling for a new all time high on the Dow on the next bull impulse. And while you may, perhaps justifiably, guffaw at these moonboy-sounding words, just take a look for yourself: Monthly From a monthly view, based on the February high, the Dow is less than 7 percent away from its bull market highs and a run to 1/2 standard deviation higher is just 12 percent away. And February wasn't the highest month Dow posted since it bounced 23% in a straight line, crushing every other index by a mile during our "bear market." December was higher. Geopolitical Risks As I warn in every post, the situation in China is really a lot more dire than you're being told. The Chinese Communist Party would have the world believe that Wuhan Pneumonia all but totally went away after Xi Jinping finally dropped his "Zero COVID" LARP and stopped welding people in their apartment buildings and making people take daily nucleic acid swabs in the park if they want to have access to public transit go to work the next day under the Party's social credit system. But nothing could be further from the truth. Just go use a data aggregator like Our World in Data and compare cumulative case counts and death counts reported by China and any other major country in the world and ask yourself how the epicenter of the pandemic, the place where Patient Zero emerged, and the world's (formerly) largest country, could have an exponent less worth of COVID problems than even the countries who emulated the Communist Party's Zero COVID social credit system like Australia and New Zealand. My point with the above is to say that the CCP is weak and is about to fall. But at the same time there is a faction of globalists in this world who want to install a one world government. Think about it carefully, everyone: Can you have a "one world government" without the world's largest and most ancient country - China? Thus, if the one world government was to be installed while the CCP was still around, would it work? It would only work if they made the CCP the center of the New World Order. But why would they do that? Don't the globalists want to be the center of the NWO, the Kings of the World, the "New Gods"? Thus, it's a quandary. And so as the CCP falls, it's very likely that the globalist factions will move to install the NWO and every single thing in our life will change. What I want to point out to you all is this: What is the actual problem with Communism? Is it a bunch of glasses wearing atheists with beards running around doing the Marxist cuckold fist and carrying the Flag of Blood while screaming "Viva la Revolution"? The fundamental nature of communism and the ultimate goal of communism is to create a two class system. One class will be the Party, specifically its elites, who rule. They eat the beef and drive the V8 S550s and live in the mansions and have air conditioning and go to the lake and the mountains. The second class will be everyone else, which includes you, who will live in the pod, eat the bugs, live in the open air prison "15-minute cities," take the bus, ride the bike, rent the Nissan Leaf, and experience "beauty" and "nature" only on Zuckerberg's Metaverse. It's as simple as that. You decide what kind of future you want. If you want to live like a human being, then show you're still "humane" and get rid of the Party and all its Marxist Leninist garbage, cultivate virtue, and take care of your family and your country. The Call The weekly bars show you a lot: Namely, we've had three weeks of pinbars. Volatility has contracted and this pattern pretty much always predicates a big move. So, what direction is the big move coming? If the ATH is only 7% away, then it seems to me that's a pretty likely target. But after three weeks of ranging in a 1,000 point range and this being the 15th week of sideways since the huge move, how many institutions and funds have gone long with stops below the most recent pivot? A lot. If you were the market maker, wouldn't it make sense to liquidate them before running 12% higher and setting a new all time high? It would. It certainly would. And the price action is set up just like this. The December low is the most recent weekly pivot and is a meager 1,200 points (4%~) under where we are, during a short week, that ends the month of February. Moreover, there's a big liquidity gap between 30,000 and 32,000 that has never been touched since the post-October monster bounce. The bearish impulse is over, but you're about to get a bear trap. The people who keep listening to Discord signal groups and charlatan furus, the mainstream media, Zerohedge, FinTwitt, all think it's time for us to trade to zero because FEDERAL RESERVE RATE HIKES and, like... more or less just because the Federal Reserve isn't done hiking the rates yet. So, look to get long in the 30,000 range on the Dow, with a target over the ATH. 20% on the DIA ETF, which does not have Zero Day to Expiry options and whose options have lower implied volatility than SPY and QQQ, will serve you very well over the next two or three months. Most importantly, don't take my word for anything. Not the call, not China, not anything. What you need to do is just think about it. Calm down. Be cold. Be sober. And really, really think about what's going on in this world, and decide for yourself what to do. Until next time, stay safe. Earth and humans were not created to live as slaves to the Red Cult. They were created by the Divine, and it's as simple as that.
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Long
by LordWrymouth
1
$DIA/#USDT [#DIA]: SuperTrend & ResistanceBreakout+ConfirmationWe have identified both a Super Trend pattern and a Resistance Breakout on the $DIA/$USDT chart. Both indicators are signaling a bullish trend, with the Super Trend showing a bullish trend and the Resistance Breakout confirming this trend by showing the price breaking above a key resistance level. Given the alignment of these signals, it may be a good idea to consider entering a long position and targeting higher levels. Our analysis indicates that the key resistance levels are at 0.401 | 0.429 | 0.485 and the major support zones are at 0.345 | 0.317 | 0.261. However, it is important to also consider other factors such as overall market conditions and other technical indicators before making a trade decision. - Technical Metrics : -- Current price: 0.379 -- 24H Volume: 877,762.1988 ₮ -- 24H Price change: 11.471% - Pivot Points - Levels : -- Resistance: 0.401 | 0.429 | 0.485 -- Support: 0.345 | 0.317 | 0.261 - Indicators recommandation : -- Oscillators: BUY w/: 3 BUY - 0 SELL and 8 NEUTRAL -- Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY w/: 14 BUY - 0 SELL and 1 NEUTRAL --> Summary: STRONG_BUY w/: 17 Total Buy - 0 Total Sell and 9 Total Neutral
by Crypto2AF
Bunch of copy paste quotes on Fed Meeting, $DJI $NDX GREAT DAY!Apologize for the LATE post on this We posted this elsewhere, documented, and bringing it here ---- Yesterday So, #fed tomorrow....... We get 25, likely rally and fade next day or few days later We get 50, likely sell off decently & then rally This could reverse in one day or take week or more #FederalReserve meeting #stocks #crypto #inflation Done for today :) Good day overall ---- Early Today, after announcement- Was at least expecting a pop first before the fall Interesting day today Maybe we get the fall and then the rally... However how we end the day, the next day tends to be a reverse of some sort $DJI $NDX $SPX ---- After- For a second we though we were going to get put (sold a bunch of put options when $DJI was off 340 points and $NDX was closer to day lows) a ton of #stock ROFL Limits being filled, not being greedy #crypto green US #Dollar $DXY hitting lows (did say HISTORICALLY doesn't hold) - We've been cautious #BULL for a bit & we need 2b weary of EUPHORIA We're watching for that, IMPORTANT! $VIX @ bottom trend (we'll know VERY SOON what's up) #yield falling $TNX, 2yr not as much, hmmm #stocks huge turnaround #crypto as well What about volume? Soon ---- $NDX & $DJI BUY volume is still there but it's lowering #DJI looking GOOD atm $NDX NO slouch testing downtrend soon #markets ARE IRRATIONAL Look at volume, patterns & trend!!! ---- Recent Awesome #stock day today! Good for the week! Raised cash again for trading Have some longs still $DOW $META (taking some off here), $KHC $INTC $ATVI & some others BUT aggressive TRADING still 1/3 in bonds, expire soon, & cash for tomorrow & other days Done for day &👀direction --- Look at $RUT $IWM RISK is ON ON ON Has been on Volume is ok #stocks have been looking ok $DJI breaking symmetrical = continuation pattern Staying cautious BULL! More haters of rally = GOOD! Keep eye on EUPHORIA!
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
YOU need to see this now - THE DANGER LINEThis is a wave trend indicator on the S&P 500 index that is based on relative strength with straightforward oversold or overbought conditions. Relative strength is a measure of momentum where both speed (time) and magnitude (change) is measured and plotted with simple or weighted moving averages. What you are seeing above is a snapshot of a RSI/wave trend of the S&P 500 index based on monthly candles. Understand that it takes the measure of a month of time just to get a single plot of data and this particular snapshot represents over two decades. But right before your eyes are very clear trends. The data is just pure and simple math and math does not lie. Ignore the news. Follow price, volume, momentum.. just follow the data. I will try not to state my opinion too much.. and just follow the data. What I see on the chart is concerning. If this decline continues over the next month or two, momentum is going to accelerate and volatility go up while the market basically crashes... i.e. if the DANGER LINE is breached. I found it odd that volatility (VIX) has been quite docile considering the amount of downside we've seen in the indices this year. That is concerning. It is entirely possible that the September thru November monthly candles are positive and this trend finds support.. and the danger line is not breached. On the flipside, this decent can continue and really pick up speed and we see a 2000-2003 correction or 2007-2009. Here is an overlay snapshot with those corrections to similar scale. That is what could happen if the current trend continues.. we could see 12-24 months of recession and very steep drops and sharp bearish reversals. Be careful, manage risk, consider hedging certain positions, and know that you DO NOT know what is going to happen.
SP:SPX
by gghsusa
11
FORECAST for 2023 is finally set PROJECTION 2023 low june 18 2022 forecast called for drop see dec 2021 projection a Panic low due oct 4th to the 20th focus on the 10th target was 3510/3490 . I also gave you the aug turn see august 2022 forecast peak and panic .We have now ended the last bull phase within the fractals and in spiral in time as well . We should see a break down and it should be rather sharp by APRIL 2/9 we should be near the oct low with a nice but muted rally into may 10th and then the last LEG down into june 18th targets are from 3170 to 2987 . then a year end rally into sept 2 . 2023 after this date we will decline back into mid oct to form a long term base best of trades WAVETIMER
FRED:WILL5000INDFCShort
by wavetimer
1