DIS
DIS EARNINGS PLAYSDIS announces earnings today after market hours, so look to put on any setup before New York close.
Here are the two "classic" setups:
Feb 19th 82.5/100 short strangle
Probability of Profit %: 74%
Max Profit: $127/contract
Buying Power Effect: Undefined
Feb 19 77.5/82.5/100/105 iron condor
Probability of Profit %: 72%
Max Profit: $86/contract
Buying Power Effect: $414
Notes:
You can naturally play with the width of the iron condor wings to increase/decrease buying power effect and/or max profit potential.
As always, look to take the setup off at 50% max profit post-earnings or a side at or near max. In the event a side is tested, look to roll the tested side out for duration to a later expiry and then sell an oppositional side against the rolled side for a credit that exceeds the debit paid for any roll and look to exit the rolled out setup for scratch (total debits paid minus total credits paid = 0) and to redeploy your buying power elsewhere. They are, after all, meant to be quick and dirty plays ... .
THIS WEEK'S OPTIONS WORTHY EARNINGS PLAYS -- DIS, BIDU, TSLAUnfortunately, I was fiddling around so much with setups in index ETF's and GLD last week that I didn't get a chance to do a single earnings play ... But it's all good.
Naturally, if volatility remains high in SPY, DIA, QQQ, and/or IWM, I'll continue to work those. However, while I'm waiting for some kind of bounce to occur to leg into the short call side of those on strength, maybe I'll be able to fit one of these plays in just to keep myself entertained.
CVS -- announces on 2/9 (Tuesday) before market open. Implied volatility rank: 83/implied volatility 31. I'll have to look at that one closer to earnings. The implied vol number suggests that while volatility is temporarily high, it's just not one of those underlyings that are very volatile generally speaking.
DIS -- announces on 2/9 (Tuesday) after market. Its implied volatility rank isn't quite where I'd like it (63; >70 is better), but you never know what'll happen going into the last couple of days here.
BIDU -- announces "some time" on 2/10, which could be before/after market (you'd think they'd know at this point ... ). High implied volatility rank (83) plus high volatility (58) equals good premium. I would probably just look to put on a play on Tuesday if the premium looks attractive (it does right now; even for an iron condor setup).
WYNN -- announces "some time" on 2/10. Rank: 95/implied 80. This little guy is not for the faint of heart. I've been in and out of WYNN several times this year as a non-earnings premium selling play and it whips all over the place, with a Daily 14-Period ATR of between 3 and 4 bucks ... .
TSLA -- announces on 2/10 after market close. What's not to like about a TSLA play? Implied volatility rank is at 100 and the implied volatility is 82. Beaucoup premium ... .
There are naturally a bunch of others announcing earnings, it's just that they're not necessarily good premium selling plays due to their implied volatility, so they'll probably just have to be played some other way ... .
Bearish on DIS Toward 93.25DIS is displaying bearish MACD divergence after a double top and a break of a 4 month long trendline. I am short on the retest of the trendline until the 93.25 area where a bullish bat could potentially be completed. SL is placed above .618AB with target above the completion of the bullish bat.
DOW JONES OVERVIEW (END): DISNEY IN FIRM UPTRENDFinalizing our Dow Jones overview is Disney - and it is doing it on a positive note! DIS is one the best-looking stock from our Dow Jones overview - on par with Nike and UNH, also Viza.
On long term perspective it trades firmly above upper 1st standard deviation from 5 and 10 year means - which means that long term uptrends are well in progress.
On short term basis the long term picture is confirmed by the positive slope of 1-year mean. Price here trades within 1st standard deviations from both weekly and quarterly means, showing no short term trend, so nothing stands in the way of long term uptrend.
(LIVE TEST) - STEVE PRIMO #8 SETUPS (Day 2)Day 2 - Seems like an important day for these stocks.
Most stocks here are wound in a some sort of patterns.. This Strategy #8 trigger today can take signal a technical breakout. Watch out for the market...
SPY Lagging behind QQQ lagging behind IWM.
- Nimble and selective are the words i want to remind again.
Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) Gets Frozen By Disney (NYSE:DIS)Since the beginning of the year, Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) one of the largest manufacturers of toys has seen its stock price decline from the highs of $47.00, to a closing print this past Friday of $30.81. Mattel's recent earnings report was not well received by Wall Street. Over the past few days the decline accelerated after Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) lost Licensing Rights to The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) popular movie Frozen to Hasbro, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAS). This fall represents a decline of over 30% for Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT). Making it a clear under performer, and sending investors running for the exit. But like any other equity there is always opportunity for a trade.
Let's take a look at the charts as they will reveal the best place to enter this trade...
Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) is nearing a key level of technical support, in an oversold condition. As technical traders, it is our job to isolate and identify these levels before anyone else. Doing so will enable us to be positioned on the right side of the trade before anyone else.
I have isolated the $29.00 level for a long play on Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT), however, this is only a third of the job. Next, we will need to align Pattern and Time with this price level, to make it a high rate of success trade. I will be monitoring this equity over the coming week. As soon as the time is right to enter this trade, I will issue an alert to our Elite Round Table members for what could be a rebound of over 7% in shares of Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT). Be ready for the action!
Kiliam Lopez
Elite Round Table
@kiliamLopez