Disney: This One Doesn't End WellDisney
Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 128.13 (stop at 131.49)
A break of bespoke support at 130.00, and the move lower is already underway. Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation. Our outlook is bearish. The trend of lower highs is located at 142.00. Continued downward momentum from 160.00 resulted in the pair posting net daily losses yesterday.
Our profit targets will be 116.29 and 102.30
Resistance: 142.00 / 158.00 / 185.00
Support: 130.00 / 120.00 / 100.00
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DIS
Longing Disney. DISGoals 150, 156. Invalidation at 129 .
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
DIS: Complete Multiple Time Frame Analysis (H, D and W charts).Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how DIS is doing today, and do a complete Multiple Time Frame Analysis (H, D and W charts)!
First, in the 1h chart, it reacted nicely at the 61.8% Fibonacci’s Retracement, and now it is going up nicely. It is interesting to notice that when it crashed last week, it just hit the previous support at $ 140, and bounced back up quickly.
All of this tells me that DIS wants to engage in a bull trend soon. For now, I would say it is trendless, but we do have some bullish signs around. However, it must lose the 61.8% retracement, otherwise, it could drop all the way down to $ 140 again.
To me, the most important key point is the previous resistance at $ 150, as this is a pivot point seen in the daily chart:
This would be the first pivot point in many months, since DIS started its bear trend, and this could be the beginning of a mid-term reversal, at least. DIS is trendless in the daily chart too, but there are two open gaps (red dashed lines), and if it reverses, they will become targets.
In the weekly chart, I like the fact it is reacting near a support level, but here we see a clear bear trend, as it is doing lower highs/lows and it is below the 21 ema.
Coincidence or not, the 21 ema in the weekly chart ($ 154) is quite close to the pivot point in the daily chart ($ 150), making this point an important resistance.
Let’s see if DIS will trigger its key points or not. Either way, I’ll keep you guys updated, so remember to follow me to not miss any of my future analyses!
DIS: Time to BUY after amazing EARNINGS?Hello traders and investors! Let’s talk about DIS today, as it is flying after earnings, and do a complete Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA) on it.
When we see a movement like this, it is important to not get emotional and euphoric, and see the situation as it is. As a trader and long-term investor in DIS, I’m very pleased with this movement, however, is it the right time to buy it? No.
The reason is very simple: DIS just hit a target, which is the gap at $ 155.18. This point is supposed to work as a resistance in the short-term, and the odds are that DIS will do a pullback from here. If not a pullback, at least a sideways correction.
So, what to do with DIS? It depends on your strategy. If you are a short-term trader I think it is time to book profits, if not totally, at least partially. If you plan on buy DIS, or add positions, wait for it to get near a support level again. Remember what I always tell you guys: Buy near supports. This way, you’ll maximize your Risk/Reward.
If DIS drops to its 21 ema, that’s ok. To me, would be great to see DIS repeating what GOOG did after its earnings:
The bias would still be bullish, and it would be a second chance to add positions here. I say this only because I still believe DIS will fill all its previous gaps:
This reaction came in just in time, as in the weekly chart DIS filled a gap from Nov 2020, and found a very nice support level there, before it did a classic Hammer candlestick pattern:
Even with the possibility of a pullback in the short-term, DIS is doing a very good reaction in the daily chart, and we have two other gaps at $ 173 and $ 182, which are targets of this reversal movement. The weekly chart reinforces this idea of a pullback in the short-term, as DIS just hit its 21 ema there, and this might be another resistance for us, along with the gap area in the 1h chart.
It will probably take a few months to recover, but the signs are looking good. To me, DIS is doing what I like to call “gap reversal ritual”, a pattern that never failed me before, and I talked about it in a very old analysis I did on NVDA, last year (link below this post).
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis on stocks and indices. Let’s keep our eyes on DIS, as probably we’ll see more opportunities here soon.
All the best.
DIS Disney Price TargetsTwo weeks ago you could have bough DIS at the October 2020 level. What an opportunity that was, with one year and 4 months gains washed away.
But now they reported a strong Q1 earnings:
earnings of $1.06 per share vs 57 cents in the Zacks consensus
revenues of $21.8 billion vs $21.2 billion analysts expectations
Disney+ subscriber numbers: 129.8 million vs 125.8 million expected. That was somehow to be expected after the NFLX earnings .
Parks, Experiences and Products segment growth of over 100% YoY
My price target is the $159 resistance and, if they continue like that in the second quarter, $175.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DIS BullFeeling bullish on DIS here lately. New Genie+ in parks will help bring in extra revenue, new rides and updated parks coming 2022. Imagineering getting a refresh it needs with the move to Florida from CA. Whats not to like? Chapek? He isn't my favorite so far but sometimes you have to crack some eggs...
$UPS $BA $DIS $BABA I OptionsSwing WatchlistUPS 4H I UPS possible ascending triangle. Seems to be testing the bottom of the pattern we can attempt to catch the bottom on this name with a tight stock below $206.
BA 1H I The breakout we wanted above $219 happened last week. BA can hit $230 resistance this week before pulling back as earnings approach on 01/26.
DIS 2H I Strong bounce on DIS at the bottom of our channel. We've picked up unusual activity betting it could fill the gap to $155. Watching a break above 01/14's high.
BABA 1D I Jumped to a high of $138.70 last week. Retraced as the markets pulled back and it is now holding support above $130. Possible breakout on the 15M time frame.
Disney | Fundamental Analysis | LONG ANALYSIS The Walt Disney Company has been completely crushed by the coronavirus pandemic. The House of Mickey was reluctant to close the doors to several profitable operations, including the theme parks. Management admitted the possible cash trough this could provoke and quickly took steps to shore up the company's balance sheet.
One action management took was to suspend Disney's semi-annual dividend. The move would have allowed the company to avoid sending billions of cash from its balance sheet. The halt was disclosed in May 2020, and remained in place throughout the pandemic, in spite of Disney's enhancing results. This has led some investors to speculate that Disney may resume paying dividends in 2022. Let's take a look at some of the factors that management may consider when deciding whether to resume paying the Disney dividend.
Interestingly, by forgoing the semi-annual dividend, Disney saves $1.6 billion in cash, based on the $0.88 per share dividend it paid in January 2020. That's $3.2 billion a year, which could go a long way toward protecting Disney's balance sheet from any disorder rendered by the pandemic.
When it comes to Disney's balance sheet, it had $15.9 billion in cash and $13.3 billion in accounts receivable as of Oct. 3. To put these numbers in context, Disney had the most cash on its balance sheet before the pandemic - $5.4 billion in 2019. To safeguard itself from any contingency due to the unforeseen essence of a pandemic the company keeps a small hoard on its balance sheet. From that cash hoard, it can pay a semi-annual dividend of $1.6 billion over three years before the cash balance drops to a pre-pandemic high. That's assuming, of course, that the company doesn't lose money on operations during that time.
The cash balance is not a restriction on Disney resuming its dividend payments. But what about cash flow from ordinary operations? In the fiscal year 2021, which ended Oct. 3, Disney brought $5.5 billion in cash from operations. Even after investing in items necessary to run the business, the company generated nearly $2.4 billion in free cash flow. That figure may be a slight limitation since few companies like to spend more on dividends than they earn in free cash flow. In this case, at the former rate, Disney's annual dividend would be $3.2 billion and would be more than free cash flow for 2021 of $2.4 billion.
Nonetheless, management may be ready to handle a slight inequality in the short term, given the company's huge cash balance and recovering business. Nevertheless, one evident factor that could prevent Disney from resuming its dividend payout is the direction of the COVID-19 pandemic. A rise of new cases of the disease caused by the Omicron variant could push Disney into recovery.
Disney could probably resume paying the dividend in 2022. Of course, the chances of resuming the payout at the end of the fiscal year are higher. That would give Disney time to assess any modifications in the company's recovery dynamics caused by Omicron or any other emerging option. Note, however, that it was not the coronavirus outbreak that caused Disney to suspend its dividend payments, but the government-mandated closure of its theme parks and several other businesses. As more people are now vaccinated against the coronavirus, further lockdowns may not occur, making it more likely that dividend payments will resume in 2022.
Mega-Bullish On The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: $DIS)The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
Pirates Of The Caribbean RideDisney is dropping faster than Joe Bidens approval rating .
NEVER short the top, short the bounces!
$170 to $180 are great places to short IF we even make it back there.
This is going to be epic.
This will be more exciting than Disneylands Pirates Of The Caribbean ride !
Are you ready?
Do you have your alerts set?
Grab some popcorn ladies and gentlemen because shorting has never looked so sexy.
- Ninja
Disney 1 hour chart MA lines have just turn all uptrendDISNEY (1-hour chart) had higher lows on 21 Dec compared with 1 Dec, with SMA20, SMA60 and SMA120 moving uptrend indicating a possible bottoming up and reversal.
1D chart showing RSI divergence in Nov resulting in the lowest low of 142 on 1 Dec.
1H chart showing overbought signal now. Wait a while to enter a trade when the price retracted.
Buy @ 151
Stop loss @ 146
Profit @ 169
Profit to loss ratio 3.2
Disney | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ ! LONG SETUPAs you know, Disney World is getting ready for the holiday tour season, and an influx of guests at levels not seen in two years.
Recently, the media titan's theme parks have been a positive aspect of its financial performance. The parks, entertainment, and products segment stunned analysts by returning to profitability two quarters ago, and park revenues virtually tripled in the quarter ended Oct. 2. There may have been some obstacles along the way, but the House of Mickey is making sure Disney World is all set to surge in business. Let's see what changes this week.
Residents of California must have heard the explosions coming from Disney's Hollywood Studios shortly afternoon on Sunday. It was just the sound of The Indiana Jones Epic Stunt Spectacular returning to the park for the first time since the resort closed from the pandemic in mid-March 2020. Due to quarantine issues and staffing difficulties, the corporation has not hurried to resume live shows since the park reopened. Nevertheless, they are slowly returning to the resort's four closed theme parks, and the Indiana Jones-themed extravaganza is a pretty big deal given the show's large capacity. If your objective is to keep the seasonally increasing crowd of visitors scattered throughout the park complex, you'll want to make sure they have something to do.
Another welcome development this weekend was the return of streetcars to the parking lot. Streetcars play an important role in moving guests from the huge parking lots to the entrance gates. Since most guests are walking through the gates, they will no doubt be glad to be spared the long walks to and from their cars.
In addition, Disney World will expand its hours of operation slightly over the next two weeks. Usually, guests staying at fine Disney resorts can get into the park 30 minutes before the official opening. During the holiday season, they will be able to get into the park a full hour earlier. This will help reduce early traffic at the turnstiles, which is certainly a good thing.
This is the first holiday season for Disney World with Genie, Genie+ and Lightning Lane+, which the company launched two months ago. The new park optimization app and the more contentious replacement of the old FastPass system at a premium price show that Disney is raising the bar when it comes to using machine learning to deliver more personalized recommendations.
Guests can use Genie for free but must pay $15 a day for access to Genie+, which permits booking return windows for access to the Lightning Lane expedited queues that replaced the old FastPass system. And for the two attractions in each of the complex's four parks that require the longest wait times, Disney has added so-called Lightning Lane+ -- guests can pay an additional fee for one-time access to one of these expedited queues.
Over the next two weeks, however, Disney will move several attractions from the Lightning Lane+ system to the Genie+ platform. It may seem like Disney is losing money by doing this at the busiest time of the year, but the fuss makes sense. Genie+ has been criticized by novice users who feel the key return windows fill up quickly. Adding some Lighting Lane+ attractions to the Genie+ options will help boost supply at a time when demand is skyrocketing.
Four weeks ago, Disney World suspended the sale of most annual passes to new customers. It was a rather unexpected move for Florida, but it's a strategy that has been used for years at Disneyland in California.
Annual pass holders are some of the biggest fans of the resort, but they also pay $1 to $4 a day for year-round access. This is in stark contrast to the high prices guests who buy single-day tickets have to pay. Disney also recently made changes to the annual pass system, specifically adding more blackout dates during peak periods for less expensive options. The suspension of annual pass sales -- and the introduction of additional restrictions on when they can be used -- will cause Disney World's average revenue per guest this season to be much higher than in previous years.
The unpleasant backdrop to all of this is that cases of COVID-19 are on the rise again in Florida, across the country, and the planet. The omicron variant is highly virulent, even among people who have been fully vaccinated.
Disney World is not about to close, however. The company has already learned how to deal with fluctuating COVID-19 cases since it reopened last July. It has precautions and measures it can take, which tend to work, allowing it to operate safely in the new normal. Guests will still come, and Disney, as a leading company in the entertainment industry, knows - the show must go on.
DIS Bearish Continuation Play Following Descending Triangle GapDescription
Been tracking the descending triangle that DIS was working since early MAR, with a short alert set and triggered on the lower boundary. It was a massive gap though (an indication of a strong break-out), so I have been waiting on a retracement before entry.
Today marks a solid rejection of the resistance set in NOV19 and retested before the gap into the pattern on 9DEC20' @ 154.5 , conveniently located at the .382 retracement following the start of this decline, thus triggering the short entry.
The implied move from the Descending Triangle takes DIS down to 136.
I am not a perma-bear by many means, but I am seeing the same things in almost every chart I look at. The rebound to near ATHs in the indexes earlier this week were only textbook retracements in a lot of the names that have made major bearish breaks in the last 3 months.
The VIX is also finding support at 20.
Long Put
Levels on Chart
SL > 154.5
PT : 136
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
12/31 145P
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
Tight Stops and Risk Management
Only invest what you are willing to lose
DIS setup with potential magic mountain profitsThere is a wolfe wave setup on thed daily time frame. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the green perforated line, as shown in the chart. The projected target is 189 with potential psych 200 tgt. These targets are expected before March 10, 2021.