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Discretionary

XLY XLP factors for 2022 and beyondQuick review of the spending habits over last the years since i published my first chart... covid craziness brought the chart heavily into the XLP 'stable needs' but a huge rebound into the luxury spending, probably due to the rich getting richer and all that crazy covid money and legal scams of the mega rich energy price increases and inflation has knobbled that spike and brought it way back down to earth with a lengthy recession in sight its good to review markets on these levels have a great summer, stay sane with all the relentless BS spouted from the MSM everyday! if u feel under the weather, throw out your Te'lie'vision
AMEX:XLY
by majorlee
AMZN targets the 92-82 pandemic D.bottom low & Vol Profile zone?AMZN has been making an ABC correction since the 188 ATH. The decline was very fast once it failed to hold the 150 volume profile zone. It has retraced exactly to 101, the 0.854 FIB of the 82 pandemic low to ATH. There was a little bounce but AMZN basically is just hovering around the 2016 TL while consolidating inside my red box without breaking the downtrend line. LOOKING BEARISH. I think AMZN will target the pandemic low at 82 to make a double bottom ending hew ABC correction. 82 is also the 0.618 FIB retracement from 14.20 (2015 low) to ATH. 82 is also the 1.618 Fib Extention of the ABC correction, making it a very strong support. WARNING: There may still be a 20% downside from latest low at 101 as consumer discretionary will be the first to suffer during an economic downturn. Not trading advice
NASDAQ:AMZN
by xtremerider8
Rare Buying Opportunity for AEOThis monthly chart for American Eagle Outfitters ( AEO ) shows a clear non-logarithmic trend line that has continued throughout the history of the company's existence on the exchange (except briefly during COVID lockdowns). The green shaded area is a definite buy area for long-term investors. This linear trend held up during the Great Recession when 10% of the population was unemployed, and there is no reason to believe that economic circumstances are worse now than in the Great Recession, such as to expect the 25-year trend to end. Similar to VFC , this is another high dividend stock that is sitting in a relatively rare buying zone. Based on my charting analysis, I believe that this stock will likely end 2022 about 25% higher than the current price. So based on the charts, I expect to get about a 25% return on investment in addition to a 5% dividend by the end of the year. Not financial advice. As always nothing is ever guaranteed. Trends can end.
NYSE:AEOLong
by SpyMasterTrades
$SONO back towards $45It has maintained overperformance over the consumer discretionary sector (represented by XLY) but has lost some of its relative strength against it. It appears that the extra alpha and extreme overperformance is going to be back on SONO 's side based on the chart bottom chart where the relative strength is hitting a level that usually would result in a bounce back. They have earnings coming up and tend to trade very well after earnings, at least initially. On average based on the last 3 earnings reports, they could have roughly a 25.77% return after this upcoming earnings report. This is also a holiday/seasonal trade for me. They should have a killer quarter. The company is also extremely well managed and the product is unbelievable. Sonos isn't going anywhere anytime soon unless they get acquired AT A PREMIUM.
NASDAQ:SONOLong
by EBITDAtiger
2
Amazon technical target --> $5000Amazon has been consolidating for almost 10 months. Today's news of a big beat on earnings and guidance has taken us to the top of the consolidation range. It is a classic move for stocks that have been consolidating for a long time, to make a strong move upward before consolidating again. Making a measured move from the last time it did this, we get a potential target around $5000 in a 4-5 months time-frame. To avoid a failed breakout, I would keep on eye on the MACD trend, which has turned positive, but should continue to rise to confirm the move up.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by dorfmanmaster
2
China's Consumer Discretionary ETFFrom the beginning of 2020, emerging markets, and specially China, had been really outperforming. The sector has taken a 12% correction from its high on February 16th. Which was coincidental with the past sell signals from the drawn channel. We have tested the 50sma, which has worked as the lower channel trend line in this system. Risk-reward-ratio is fantastic as we can a stop below the moving average; with a target around $42. Top 5 Holdings: Meituan (10.38%) Alibaba (7.92%) NIO (7.42%) JD (6.98%) PDD (5.94%)
AMEX:CHIQLong
by dorfmanmaster
1
Ferrari is a good portfolio diversifier from hereWhen growth and inflation around the world are seemingly increasing on a MoM basis, consumer discretionary stocks perform well. We've seen this across the board so far this year, and in the latter parts of 2020. Ferrari is no exception, with a premium luxury brand with international recognition. Recently, RACE has been pulling back, and I'd look to start to leg into a position here, with capital to buy more slightly lower as well. Technically, we're near the bottom of the 2std dev Bollinger, as well as oversold on the RSI 1D/4H timelines. The risk/reward from here is favorable.
NYSE:RACELong
by MT-Macro
Copper possible monsterBig demand for indu metals. Or at least price is going up for some reason. Maybe suriv supply problems? Been following this one for a while. Could be a time to buy again. I don't even remember how many times I got in and out in the last 3 months. Not dozens either but more than once or twice. Anyway in general they (real world use metals) go up this year. A big scary rapid move down is exactly what I was waiting to see in this market. I hope other buyers got scared and removed their orders (and will buy higher when there won't be big scary moves) Anyway with a RR huge like this I don't need to win often here. Worth a shot imo.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by MrRenev
4