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DIS The Walt Disney Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven’t sold based on the Head and Shoulders bearish chart pattern on DIS: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DIS The Walt Disney Company prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 100usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-12-20, for a premium of approximately $4.10. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:DISLong
by TopgOptions
Walt Disney Co | DISThe Walt Disney Company is reportedly exploring options to sell or find a joint venture partner for its India digital and TV business, reflecting the company's ongoing strategic evaluation of its operations in the region. The talks are still in the early stages, with no specific buyer or partner identified yet. The outcome and direction of the process remain uncertain. Internally, discussions have commenced within Disney's headquarters in the United States as executives deliberate on the most viable course of action. These deliberations signify the company's willingness to adapt and optimize its business operations to align with changing market dynamics. The Wall Street Journal reported on July 11 that Disney had engaged with at least one bank to explore potential avenues for assisting the growth of its India business while sharing the associated costs. This approach suggests a proactive stance by the company to explore partnerships or arrangements that can drive growth while minimizing financial burdens. While it is too early to ascertain the exact direction this exploration will take, the developments in Disney's India business warrant attention, as they may shape the future landscape of the company's presence in this all-important region. The ongoing shift from traditional TV to streaming has placed Disney and its competitors in a costly and transformative phase. As part of this transition, Disney is actively cutting costs amid macroeconomic challenges that have impacted its advertising revenue and subscriber growth. CEO Bob Iger has been at the forefront of these changes, and his contract was recently extended through 2026 to allow him sufficient time to make transformative changes while strengthening the bench with future leaders of the company. One of the key considerations for Disney is evaluating its portfolio of TV networks, including ABC and ESPN. Bob Iger has expressed a willingness to be expansive in assessing the traditional TV business, leaving open the possibility of selling certain networks while retaining others acknowledging that networks like ABC may not be core to Disney's new business model. ESPN, as a cable TV channel, is being approached differently. Disney is open to exploring strategic partnerships, such as joint ventures or offloading ownership stakes, to navigate the challenges faced by the sports network. CEO Iger, who had previously expressed pessimism about the future of traditional TV, has found the situation to be worse than anticipated since his return to Disney. Although the linear networks segment, which accounts for Disney's TV properties such as ABC, National Geographic, FX, and FreeForm, has struggled to grow in the recent past, this segment is still an important part of the company's business, which is evident from the positive operating income reported by this segment in fiscal 2022. As below data reveals, the DTC business and content licensing made operating losses in FY 2022 which were offset by the operating income reported by linear networks. For this reason, investors will have to closely monitor a potential sale of TV assets to evaluate the impact of such a decision on Disney's profitability. The broadcasting landscape is experiencing a significant shift, with uncertainties surrounding its future and the changing nature of consumer preferences. While linear television channels are not expected to disappear immediately, their consumption continues to decline as viewers increasingly favor OTT platforms. This transition represents a fundamental trend shaping the industry. In terms of business models, subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) services will continue to grow with targeted advertising. As the ascent of streaming video continues, cable, satellite, and internet TV providers in the United States faced their most significant subscriber losses to date in the first quarter of 2023. Analyst estimates indicate a collective shedding of 2.3 million customers during this period. Consequently, the total penetration of pay-TV services in occupied U.S. households, including internet-based services like YouTube TV and Hulu, dropped to its lowest point since 1992, standing at 58.5%, according to Moffett's calculations. In Q1, pay-TV services in the U.S. witnessed a nearly 7% decline in customers compared to the previous year, with cable TV operators experiencing a 9.9% decline, while satellite providers DirecTV and Dish Network registered subscriber losses of 13.4%. Virtual MVPDs, which are multichannel video programming distributors, also suffered significant losses, shedding 264,000 customers during the quarter. Comcast, the largest pay-TV provider in the country, lost 614,000 video customers in Q1, and Google's YouTube TV was the only tracked provider to experience subscriber growth, adding an estimated 300,000 subscribers during the period. These trends illustrate the challenges faced by the pay-TV industry, with factors like increasing sports-broadcast fees driving retail prices higher, leading to cord-cutting and subsequent price adjustments by distributors. By 2026, e-Marketer predicts that the number of non-pay TV households will surpass pay TV households by over 25 million. In efforts to achieve profitability in the streaming business, Disney has implemented significant cost-cutting measures, including saving $5.5 billion through cost reductions and layoffs, and a focus on making Disney+ and Hulu more profitable. Disney aims to enhance Hulu integration, seeing it as a vital component of the company's transition from TV to a streaming-only model. Discussions are also underway for Disney to acquire Comcast Corporation's (CMCSA) stake in Hulu, as Disney currently holds 66% ownership. The company believes that the integration of Hulu and Disney+ will bolster the streaming business and contribute to its profitability. While the negotiations with Comcast over Hulu's valuation are ongoing, the combined offering of Disney+ and Hulu is expected to be available to consumers by the end of the calendar year. Although Disney's plans for ESPN+ and the fate of its other cable channels, such as the Disney Channel, remain uncertain, Bob Iger expects ESPN to eventually move to a streaming-only model, acknowledging the disruptive nature of the traditional TV business model. The discussions surrounding Walt Disney's TV and streaming business in India come at a critical juncture for the company, as it grapples with intensified competition and significant challenges in the market. The emergence of Reliance Industries' JioCinema streaming platform has posed a considerable threat to Disney's dominance, especially after Reliance secured digital rights for the highly popular Indian Premier League cricket tournament. This strategic move by Reliance, which offered free access to the tournament earlier this year, caused a substantial decline in Disney+ Hotstar's subscribers, a popular streaming service under Disney's India business. Additionally, Viacom18, which is backed by Reliance and Paramount Global (PARA), made a significant impact on Disney's market position in India. Through its partnership with Warner Bros, Viacom18 secured content rights to popular shows on HBO including Succession, previously aired on Disney's platform. This collaboration forms a formidable alliance challenging Disney's dominance in the Indian market. Reliance's freemium model poses the most significant threat to Disney's current position. By offering content for free on its streaming platform, JioCinema attracted a substantial number of subscribers through the broadcast of IPL. With its ample cash reserves, Reliance has the advantage of focusing on subscriber growth without immediately focusing on monetization strategies. The loss of streaming rights for the IPL, combined with a subsequent decline in paid subscribers, had a profound impact on Disney's reputation in India in the first quarter of this year, which could very well be the most challenging Q1 Disney has had in India for a long time. A report on video consumption trends in India by Media Partners Asia sheds light on the dynamic landscape of the online video sector in India. For the 15 months that ended in March 2023, total consumption across the online video sector reached a staggering 6.1 trillion minutes. During this period, Disney+ Hotstar emerged as the dominant player in premium VOD, capturing 38% of viewing time. The report attributes Hotstar's success to its strong sports offerings and the depth of its Hindi and regional entertainment content. During the survey period, Zee and Sony together held a 13% share of the Indian premium video sector viewing time. While the two companies are expected to merge pending regulatory approval, they are projected to operate independently for another year, benefiting from strong engagement across sports as well as regional, local, and international content. Prime Video and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) collectively accounted for a 10% share of viewership in the premium VOD category. Prime Video also garnered a significant portion of viewership from regional Indian titles. The report emphasizes that local content dominates premium VOD viewership, particularly outside the sports category, while international content leads paid tiers. Catch-up TV is prevalent in the free tier across freemium streaming platforms. Although Disney was the clear winner in 2022, this report highlights a significant shake-up in the market brought about by the transformation of JioCinema. JioCinema, which previously held a mere 2% share of the premium video market, experienced a major upswing in growth since April. This surge can be attributed to JioCinema's decision to offer free live streaming of the popular IPL cricket tournament, a property that was previously exclusive to Disney-owned media in India. Despite technical glitches impacting user experience, JioCinema witnessed a more than 20-fold increase in consumption in April 2023, enabling it to dominate the premium VOD category. The report raises questions about JioCinema's ability to sustain this growth and scale in the absence of IPL action after June 2023. That being said, this could be an early indication of growth challenges Disney-owned brands may face in India. Star India, now known as Disney Star following the rebranding last year, is expected to experience a revenue drop of around 20% to less than $2 billion for the fiscal year ending September 2023. Additionally, EBITDA is projected to decline by approximately 50% compared to the previous year. Furthermore, Hotstar is estimated to lose 8 to 10 million subscribers in its fiscal third quarter as well. Given the current scenario, finding an outright buyer for Disney's India business is expected to be challenging. When Disney acquired the entertainment assets of 21st Century Fox in 2019, the enterprise value of the Indian business was estimated at around $15-16 billion. This high valuation, coupled with the intense competition and declining subscriber base, presents a complex landscape for potential buyers or partners. I believe Disney stock is attractively valued today given that the company's streaming business has a long runway for growth internationally while its brand assets will continue to drive revenue higher. As an investor, I am both concerned and curious about what the future holds for Disney's linear networks segment. Going by the recent remarks of CEO Iger, major changes are on their way. A strategic decision to divest non-core assets, in my opinion, will trigger a positive response from the market. That being said, a major divestment of TV assets could materially impact the company's profitability in the next 3-5 years until its streaming business scales enough to replace lost revenue from the linear networks segment. Investors will have to closely monitor new developments to identify a potential inflection point in Disney's story.
NYSE:DIS
by moonypto
4
Disney About to Give it Up! | $DIS SHORTLooks like the moment of truth for Mickey & Co. I have been covering this one for a long time, with numerous mentions that Disney is a sell / short. How low this thing will go, we do not know. Right now I am comfortable saying, -50% is probable. While there are many factors in play, the broader economy is weak and Disney has done nothing but push people away with their radical political positions. Additionally, the destruction of "woke" mob is unfolding before our eyes. Short Disney. Make Money. If this changes, I will update.
NYSE:DISShort
by ChiefMacro
4
Disney - Don't Miss This Reversal Now!Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) is about to retest strong support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Even though Disney has been consolidating for about 10 years now, it is still providing bullish trading setups. Especially the current horizontal support has been holding Disney above water and it is more than likely that Disney will create another bullish reversal away from this level. Levels to watch: $85 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:DISLong
by basictradingtv
6
$DIS | Allocation | Market Exec |Technical Confluences: - Price action has bounced off the Demand Zone and a Short-Term Trendline - Price action seems to be strongly supported at these levels for now - Few Interest Zones above the current price action and will need to see a proper break above that to go above the 100% Fibo Extension Fundamental Confluences: - Disney has a strong moat in the entertainment industry, driven by its vast portfolio of iconic brands, intellectual property (IP), and global reach. - Earnings are recovering with growth potential in the their streaming services via Disney+ and further expansion of Disneyland parks in China - FCF has not been good recently due to debt repayment, park expansions and streaming content investments which will target further revenue growth - Development in it's streaming content and reinstatement of dividend announcements should be monitored ----- Have allocated this into my portfolio previously and will be looking to hold this for the Long-Term at least to the 150% Fibo extension range. -----
NYSE:DISLong
by weekendanalyst
DIS - Disney: this is a buy in my opinion. Right now, right hereTrading at 30% below estimate of its fair value Earnings are forecast to grow 21% per year Earnings grew by 108% over the past year Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 29% Disney Announces Massive Theme Parks, Cruise Expansion at D23 Notably, the company has committed to invest a cool $60 billion in its parks over the next decade as it tries to maintain its lead over competitors. Wall Street analysts are quite bullish on Disney stock, despite its dismal price action. The stock has a consensus rating of “Strong Buy,” while its mean target price of $119.43 is almost 39% higher than yesterday’s closing prices. The stock even trades below its Street-low target price of $100, while the Street-high target price of $140 represents an upside potential of about 63%.
NYSE:DISLong
by Maximus20000
Walt Disney Co | DIS | Long at $84.00The Walt Disney Co NYSE:DIS is wrapped up in bad press and is predicting a future decline in theme park revenue (recession red flag...). However, the company has historically had tricks up its sleeve to return to prominence in an ever-changing entertainment environment (last was streaming). The potential of AI and robotic technology benefiting Disney is huge. The recent dip to $84.00 is a personal buy zone. A word of caution: there may be an amazing opportunity near $50.00 if the "recession" is announced and the company, like other entertainment industries, take a massive hit. That's where the true opportunity lies for this American staple. At $84.00, though, a "starter position" is my mindset until the stock rotates to an upward trend. Target #1 = $110 Target #2 = $127 Target #3 = $135 Target #4 = $182 (long-term view...)
NYSE:DISLong
by NicksAnalysis
2
75: Disney Stock Analysis and Outlook with Levels and ScenariosDisney has been experiencing mixed results in its recent earnings, reflecting both strong progress in streaming profitability and ongoing challenges in its theme park operations. The stock is now approaching a crucial zone between $80 to $90, which is a point of interest for potential reversal. Here's a breakdown of possible scenarios: Bullish Scenario : If Disney can hold and reverse in the $80-$90 zone, we could see a rebound driven by continued strength in streaming, especially if fundamentals improve further. The company’s recent milestone of achieving profitability in streaming earlier than expected is a positive indicator. If Disney can sustain and build on this, combined with strategic investments in new content and attractions, the stock may attract buyers and see a move back towards higher resistance levels. Bearish Scenario : However, if Disney fails to hold this key $80-$90 support zone, we could see the price move lower, with the next areas of interest at $65 and potentially $50. The theme parks’ underperformance and increasing operational costs are key risks. If these challenges persist without a significant recovery in fundamentals, particularly in visitor numbers or cost management, further downside pressure on the stock is likely. Technical Outlook: - Support Levels: $80-$90 (Key zone), $65, $50 - Resistance Levels: $111, $145 The upcoming price action in the $80-$90 zone will be critical in determining the next major move for $DIS. Keeping an eye on both the technical levels and fundamental developments will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
NYSE:DIS
by SeventyFive-Invest
Disney Faces Mixed Fortunes On Fiscal Third quarter ResultsWalt Disney Co. (NYSE: NYSE:DIS ) recently reported mixed results for its fiscal third quarter, revealing a challenging landscape ahead. While the company achieved significant milestones in its streaming services, the theme park business faces headwinds that could impact future profitability. Key Financial Highlights - Earnings per share (EPS): $1.39, beating analysts’ expectations of $1.19 - Revenue: $23.2 billion, slightly above forecasts of $23.1 billion - Total segment operating income: Increased by 19% to $4.225 billion - Entertainment unit operating income: Nearly tripled due to streaming success Streaming Triumph Disney’s streaming segment, comprising Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, turned a profit for the first time, a quarter ahead of projections. This success was driven by subscription revenue growth due to price increases and a slight rise in Disney+ Core subscribers to 118.3 million. Hulu also saw subscriber growth, reaching 51.1 million. The streaming business posted an operating profit of $47 million, a significant turnaround from the $512 million loss in the same period last year. Theme Parks Struggle Despite the streaming success, Disney's theme parks and experiences segment reported a decline in operating income by 3%. The company warned of a "moderation in demand" at its U.S. parks, which is expected to continue into the next few quarters. Revenue for the overall experiences unit, which includes domestic and international parks and consumer products, increased by 2% to $8.386 billion. However, operating income for U.S. parks decreased by 6%, with international parks seeing a modest 2% increase. Market Reaction and Future Outlook Disney’s stock fell by 3% following the announcement, reflecting investor concerns over the slowing demand at theme parks. CFO Hugh Johnston mentioned that operating income at the parks is expected to drop by "mid single-digits" in the fiscal fourth quarter. This moderation is partly attributed to the economic slowdown in the U.S. and global uncertainties affecting travel and tourism. The present valuation of Disney stock (NYSE: NYSE:DIS ) demonstrates a 1.49% decline, accompanied by a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 33.90, indicating an oversold status. A descending wedge pattern is evident on the daily price chart, succeeding a prolonged ascending wedge pattern. Ben Barringer, a technology and media analyst at Quilter Cheviot, highlighted the broader economic concerns impacting the travel and recreation sectors. He noted that the slowing demand at Disney parks mirrors trends seen in other travel companies, indicating consumers are tightening their spending on tourism and recreation. Strategic Investments Despite the current challenges, Disney remains committed to its theme park business, planning to invest approximately $60 billion over the next decade. This investment aims to drive innovation and enhance the visitor experience, ensuring long-term growth and competitiveness. Industry Trends Disney’s theme park performance reflects broader industry trends. Competitor Comcast has also reported pressure on its Universal theme parks due to increased competition from cruises and international tourism. Both companies remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of their park businesses, focusing on strategic investments to counteract current challenges. Conclusion Disney's third-quarter results highlight a company navigating through mixed fortunes. The streaming segment’s profitability marks a significant achievement, demonstrating Disney's adaptability to changing consumer preferences. However, the theme park business faces hurdles that require strategic investments and innovative approaches to sustain growth. As Disney continues to invest in its core strengths, the market will watch closely to see how it balances streaming success with theme park challenges.
NYSE:DISShort
by DEXWireNews
$DIS one last dance around $100 NYSE:DIS is compelling. Has been stuck in this channel dating all the way back to 2014. Hard to imagine that if you invested around 2014-2015, you're likely still sitting around your cost basis, but I guess that will happen when you have zero direction. Broke through it's previous resistance ~ $100 after previous earnings and is down big today after a major rejection at a decade long EQ. I think NYSE:DIS is a great play, if we get the chance to enter around that level. If we tag $100, we're likely going to enter a longer term bag.
NYSE:DIS
by drcrypto14
Disney: Test Of StrengthOn the Disney chart, bulls and bears are currently engaged in a trial of strength within our magenta Target Zone (between $101.24 and $88.36). The price has already tested the 61.80% retracement once, but has since remained above this level. Primarily, we expect further sell-offs and, accordingly, a lower low of the magenta wave (2) in our Target Zone. Once this low is set, the stock should turn upward in order to continue the current upward trend. However, we now consider it 37% likely that the magenta wave alt.(2) has already been completed and that the stock will break out directly above the resistance at $110.62.
NYSE:DISLong
by MarketIntel
Disney (DIS): Waiting for the Right MoveIt's been a while since we last checked on Disney. We hit our target for Wave A, getting close to $126. Now, we are working on Wave B, which we think will finish between $96 and $89. This range matches the 61.8% to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a Zig-Zag correction. Current Situation: Regarding the future outlook, we are looking at $156 to $176 for the next upward move, matching the 61.8% to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels for the larger Wave B. Strategy: Our plan is to be patient. We are not trading or taking any positions right now. The correction might extend and could bring the price below $77 if Wave (A) isn’t fully done. It’s important to wait for clear signs of stability and the end of the correction before making any moves. Conclusion: Patience is very important for Disney right now. We are watching the $96 to $89 range to see if Wave B completes. If this correction phase ends well, we might see a move towards $156 to $176. However, we need to stay cautious and wait for a clear signal before taking any action.
NYSE:DISLong
by freeguy_by_wmc