Disney Stock Pops on Strong Earnings Data. Turnaround Working?The Magic Kingdom just pulled a rabbit out of its hat — and Wall Street’s loving it.
Disney stock NYSE:DIS surged 11% on Wednesday, not just for its best day in a year, but for the kind of earnings beat that makes analysts reconsider their entire valuation model while retail traders tweet “ NYSE:DIS to the moon.”
Is the House of Mouse finally finding its footing? Just a day ago, Disney shares were languishing 60% below their 2021 record. Let’s break it down.
♫ Earnings That Deserve Their Own Theme Song
Starting with the headline: adjusted earnings per share clocked in at $1.45 , stomping the $1.20 consensus estimate. Revenue came in at $23.62 billion, a 7% jump from last year’s earnings performance and another beat that sent traders racing for their mouse ears.
After a year of streaming skepticism, cost-cutting, and investor hand-wringing over whether Bob Iger’s encore CEO tour could work magic, this quarter delivered. Bigly.
💪 Streaming Had No Business Going That Hard — But It Did
Wall Street was braced for a Disney+ subscriber drop. Instead, the company added 1.4 million new subscribers to 126 million, easily topping expectations of 123 million.
Not only are people still subscribing despite price hikes, but the direct-to-consumer segment (Disney+, Hulu, ESPN+) posted revenue growth of 8% to $6.12 billion, powered by both higher prices and surprise stickiness. Operating profit in streaming? A cool $336 million, up from $47 million a year ago.
Disney even raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $5.75, a 16% gain from fiscal 2024 — a confident flex in a market where most companies are still managing expectations with surgical pessimism.
⏫ Mickey’s New Best Friend: Margin Expansion
It wasn’t just top-line fireworks — the net income boom was one for the books: $3.28 billion in profits, compared to a $20 million loss a year ago.
Operating margins in streaming are on the rise. Profitability, once seen as an elusive dream for all the big streaming platforms, is suddenly in sight. Disney is guiding toward $875 million in streaming profit for this fiscal year — and based on this quarter, that may end up conservative.
🎡 Parks Still Pay the Bills — With a Sprinkle of Magic
Now let’s talk about the real engine behind Disney’s machine: the parks and experiences division.
Domestic parks posted a 13% profit increase, powered by higher visitor spending and the launch of a shiny new cruise ship.
That’s important in an economy where every other headline screams “recession imminent.” Disney’s park guests are ignoring macro headwinds and enjoying the fantasy — and that’s music to shareholders’ ears.
Worried about tariffs? Sure, but they haven’t shown up on Disney’s balance sheet just yet. And until they do, Disney’s parks remain a cash printer with castles.
🏟️ A Park in Abu Dhabi — Why It May Be Big
Tucked in among the streaming buzz and EPS upgrade was something that made global investors raise an eyebrow: a new Disney theme park in Abu Dhabi.
On the surface, this sounds like a headline for 2031. And sure, it’ll take a few years to plan and build, and a few more to create the commemorative popcorn bucket. But long-term investors should pay attention.
Abu Dhabi isn’t just a tourist destination — it’s a capital backed by one of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds and a keen interest in diversifying the revenue streams beyond oil. A Disney park there isn’t just another expansion — it’s a geopolitical bet on premium travel.
As Iger put it, it may seem modest now, but it’s quietly huge for the brand’s future footprint.
👀 What’s Behind the Magic? And Can It Last?
So the big question: is this a one-time sugar rush, or the start of a sustained turnaround?
There are reasons to be optimistic. Disney's streaming growth looks increasingly sustainable. Its content pipeline (including ESPN's evolving digital presence) is improving. The parks continue to defy economic gravity. And Iger seems to be rebalancing the business with a more profitable, investor-friendly mix.
But let’s not forget: content costs are still high, competition in streaming hasn’t gone anywhere, and park margins may come under pressure if consumer sentiment shifts. The macro backdrop remains complicated, and even Mickey can't outwit the Fed forever.
Still, this quarter wasn’t just “less bad than feared.” It was actually good — and that's a narrative shift that could power momentum.
🐭 The Mouse Still Got It
Disney’s earnings report, delivered in the heat of the earnings calendar , could be interpreted as a signal that the entertainment giant isn’t just navigating the new entertainment landscape — it might actually be mastering it.
And in a market starved for upside surprises, Disney just reminded investors that storytelling is its business — and this one’s finally got a happy twist.
The question now is whether traders and long-term holders believe in the next chapter. For now, with the stock back above $102 and the Magic Kingdom delivering financial magic, the bulls are back in the castle.
Your turn: Are you buying into Disney’s turnaround? Holding for the next golden age? Or still side-eyeing that subscriber chart? Let’s hear your play on NYSE:DIS below.
Disney
DISNEY for sale?Under the 1974 trend line there’s absolutely no bullish argument. Already retraced a 62% of the whole upside movement since the 70’s. Once too big to fall, now maybe it’s a too big to move company. I am aware of the whole books to market ratio, but still see it as a value trap: over exposed to Asia and Europe, streaming isn’t going that well, parks suffering from slowing demand caused by inflation…
DIS is already at $96.… Don’t miss the train!🚨 🎢✨Disney (DIS) is pushing up and showing strength — are you watching this move? 👀 We’ve been eyeing entry levels between $91 and $81, but with the price at $96.30, this setup is heating up faster than expected! 🔥
Sometimes the perfect dip doesn’t come — and waiting too long can mean watching the rocket 🚀 from the sidelines. If you’re still tracking DIS, this might be your sign to stay alert and have your strategy ready. 🎯
Potential targets? Still aiming for that juicy $100–$120 range if momentum continues! 📈💰
Let’s see how it plays out — keep your plan tight and emotions out. Are you in, or still waiting? 😎👇
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Snow White's very low ratings - Bullish Disney stock ?The SnowWhite IMDB rating can't get any worse - could the same be said of Disney stock?
Price is the ultimate proof but buying the shares of a well established company when sentiment is at a low point can be a fruitful endevour.
The poor box office showing + very weak ratings for Snow White - maybe a contrarian buy signal ?
A) The stock is attempting a long term double bottom via is 2020 + 2023 lows
B) A breakout over the downtrend line (orange) could confirm a bullish trend change
Bottom of the ratings ➡️ Bottom in the stock? NYSE:DIS
Disney: Recovery?!Disney appears to have stabilized after its recent sell-off, holding above the $106.26 support level. From here, the price should push beyond the $123.74 resistance during the turquoise wave 3. However, if it drops below $106.26 (41% probable), it will trigger our alternative scenario, signaling a move into our blue Target Zone between $97.27 and $91.46. After the wave alt.(ii) low in that range, the stock would quickly resume its upward trajectory.
DIS The Walt Disney Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on DIS:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DIS The Walt Disney Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-6-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disney - Don't Miss This Reversal Now!Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) is about to retest strong support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Even though Disney has been consolidating for about 10 years now, it is still providing bullish trading setups. Especially the current horizontal support has been holding Disney above water and it is more than likely that Disney will create another bullish reversal away from this level.
Levels to watch: $85
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
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DIS_1W_Disney_BuyThe Walt Disney Company:
It is known as one of the largest media and entertainment companies in the world. The headquarters of the Walt Disney Company and its main studio are located in the state of California.
Today, this company owns 14 amusement parks, owns 73% of National Geographic shares, many television channels, including ABC, Disney Network and Fox Media Network.
The company is a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
We support and buy. The number range is 100 to 110
The medium-term target number is 180
70% price growth
DIS The Walt Disney Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven’t sold based on the Head and Shoulders bearish chart pattern on DIS:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DIS The Walt Disney Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 100usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $4.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disney (DIS): Strong Recovery After Oversold LevelsWhat a pity! Back in late June, we anticipated that Disney would find its support at a maximum of $89, and it ended up bottoming out at $84 – perfectly aligned with our prediction ✅. Since then, the stock has surged nearly 37%, driven by today’s earnings report. This looks like a very strong bottom for NYSE:DIS , as it was deeply oversold and perfectly touched the 88.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
The surge today was fueled by robust results for its fiscal fourth quarter, showing better-than-expected profits in both streaming and domestic theme parks — Disney’s two most critical business units. Additionally, Disney broke tradition by offering detailed earnings projections for the next two years, emphasizing its forward-looking confidence. With annual revenue of $91.4 billion, Disney achieved a new record, showcasing its growth momentum.
With today’s move, NYSE:DIS closed the remaining gap between $108-$111. However, the close doesn’t look very promising on the 3D chart, and if Disney ends up below this range, it could signal a pullback. A retest of $104-$97 seems likely and could provide the necessary momentum to fully reclaim this resistance zone.
We will continue to monitor the situation closely and will update if key levels are breached.
Walt Disney Co | DIS | Long at $84.00The Walt Disney Co NYSE:DIS is wrapped up in bad press and is predicting a future decline in theme park revenue (recession red flag...). However, the company has historically had tricks up its sleeve to return to prominence in an ever-changing entertainment environment (last was streaming). The potential of AI and robotic technology benefiting Disney is huge. The recent dip to $84.00 is a personal buy zone.
A word of caution: there may be an amazing opportunity near $50.00 if the "recession" is announced and the company, like other entertainment industries, take a massive hit. That's where the true opportunity lies for this American staple. At $84.00, though, a "starter position" is my mindset until the stock rotates to an upward trend.
Target #1 = $110
Target #2 = $127
Target #3 = $135
Target #4 = $182 (long-term view...)
The Walt Disney Company - monthly (log)Hello community,
A look at the Walt Disney stock in monthly, still in log.
Bullish channel since 1970.
The trend is really magnificent, price respects its regression channel, a textbook case.
The trend is your friend as they say in Trend Following.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
Walt Disney Co | DISThe Walt Disney Company is reportedly exploring options to sell or find a joint venture partner for its India digital and TV business, reflecting the company's ongoing strategic evaluation of its operations in the region. The talks are still in the early stages, with no specific buyer or partner identified yet. The outcome and direction of the process remain uncertain. Internally, discussions have commenced within Disney's headquarters in the United States as executives deliberate on the most viable course of action. These deliberations signify the company's willingness to adapt and optimize its business operations to align with changing market dynamics. The Wall Street Journal reported on July 11 that Disney had engaged with at least one bank to explore potential avenues for assisting the growth of its India business while sharing the associated costs. This approach suggests a proactive stance by the company to explore partnerships or arrangements that can drive growth while minimizing financial burdens. While it is too early to ascertain the exact direction this exploration will take, the developments in Disney's India business warrant attention, as they may shape the future landscape of the company's presence in this all-important region.
The ongoing shift from traditional TV to streaming has placed Disney and its competitors in a costly and transformative phase. As part of this transition, Disney is actively cutting costs amid macroeconomic challenges that have impacted its advertising revenue and subscriber growth. CEO Bob Iger has been at the forefront of these changes, and his contract was recently extended through 2026 to allow him sufficient time to make transformative changes while strengthening the bench with future leaders of the company.
One of the key considerations for Disney is evaluating its portfolio of TV networks, including ABC and ESPN. Bob Iger has expressed a willingness to be expansive in assessing the traditional TV business, leaving open the possibility of selling certain networks while retaining others acknowledging that networks like ABC may not be core to Disney's new business model. ESPN, as a cable TV channel, is being approached differently. Disney is open to exploring strategic partnerships, such as joint ventures or offloading ownership stakes, to navigate the challenges faced by the sports network. CEO Iger, who had previously expressed pessimism about the future of traditional TV, has found the situation to be worse than anticipated since his return to Disney.
Although the linear networks segment, which accounts for Disney's TV properties such as ABC, National Geographic, FX, and FreeForm, has struggled to grow in the recent past, this segment is still an important part of the company's business, which is evident from the positive operating income reported by this segment in fiscal 2022. As below data reveals, the DTC business and content licensing made operating losses in FY 2022 which were offset by the operating income reported by linear networks. For this reason, investors will have to closely monitor a potential sale of TV assets to evaluate the impact of such a decision on Disney's profitability.
The broadcasting landscape is experiencing a significant shift, with uncertainties surrounding its future and the changing nature of consumer preferences. While linear television channels are not expected to disappear immediately, their consumption continues to decline as viewers increasingly favor OTT platforms. This transition represents a fundamental trend shaping the industry. In terms of business models, subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) services will continue to grow with targeted advertising.
As the ascent of streaming video continues, cable, satellite, and internet TV providers in the United States faced their most significant subscriber losses to date in the first quarter of 2023. Analyst estimates indicate a collective shedding of 2.3 million customers during this period. Consequently, the total penetration of pay-TV services in occupied U.S. households, including internet-based services like YouTube TV and Hulu, dropped to its lowest point since 1992, standing at 58.5%, according to Moffett's calculations.
In Q1, pay-TV services in the U.S. witnessed a nearly 7% decline in customers compared to the previous year, with cable TV operators experiencing a 9.9% decline, while satellite providers DirecTV and Dish Network registered subscriber losses of 13.4%. Virtual MVPDs, which are multichannel video programming distributors, also suffered significant losses, shedding 264,000 customers during the quarter. Comcast, the largest pay-TV provider in the country, lost 614,000 video customers in Q1, and Google's YouTube TV was the only tracked provider to experience subscriber growth, adding an estimated 300,000 subscribers during the period. These trends illustrate the challenges faced by the pay-TV industry, with factors like increasing sports-broadcast fees driving retail prices higher, leading to cord-cutting and subsequent price adjustments by distributors. By 2026, e-Marketer predicts that the number of non-pay TV households will surpass pay TV households by over 25 million.
In efforts to achieve profitability in the streaming business, Disney has implemented significant cost-cutting measures, including saving $5.5 billion through cost reductions and layoffs, and a focus on making Disney+ and Hulu more profitable. Disney aims to enhance Hulu integration, seeing it as a vital component of the company's transition from TV to a streaming-only model. Discussions are also underway for Disney to acquire Comcast Corporation's (CMCSA) stake in Hulu, as Disney currently holds 66% ownership. The company believes that the integration of Hulu and Disney+ will bolster the streaming business and contribute to its profitability. While the negotiations with Comcast over Hulu's valuation are ongoing, the combined offering of Disney+ and Hulu is expected to be available to consumers by the end of the calendar year. Although Disney's plans for ESPN+ and the fate of its other cable channels, such as the Disney Channel, remain uncertain, Bob Iger expects ESPN to eventually move to a streaming-only model, acknowledging the disruptive nature of the traditional TV business model.
The discussions surrounding Walt Disney's TV and streaming business in India come at a critical juncture for the company, as it grapples with intensified competition and significant challenges in the market. The emergence of Reliance Industries' JioCinema streaming platform has posed a considerable threat to Disney's dominance, especially after Reliance secured digital rights for the highly popular Indian Premier League cricket tournament. This strategic move by Reliance, which offered free access to the tournament earlier this year, caused a substantial decline in Disney+ Hotstar's subscribers, a popular streaming service under Disney's India business.
Additionally, Viacom18, which is backed by Reliance and Paramount Global (PARA), made a significant impact on Disney's market position in India. Through its partnership with Warner Bros, Viacom18 secured content rights to popular shows on HBO including Succession, previously aired on Disney's platform. This collaboration forms a formidable alliance challenging Disney's dominance in the Indian market. Reliance's freemium model poses the most significant threat to Disney's current position. By offering content for free on its streaming platform, JioCinema attracted a substantial number of subscribers through the broadcast of IPL. With its ample cash reserves, Reliance has the advantage of focusing on subscriber growth without immediately focusing on monetization strategies. The loss of streaming rights for the IPL, combined with a subsequent decline in paid subscribers, had a profound impact on Disney's reputation in India in the first quarter of this year, which could very well be the most challenging Q1 Disney has had in India for a long time.
A report on video consumption trends in India by Media Partners Asia sheds light on the dynamic landscape of the online video sector in India. For the 15 months that ended in March 2023, total consumption across the online video sector reached a staggering 6.1 trillion minutes. During this period, Disney+ Hotstar emerged as the dominant player in premium VOD, capturing 38% of viewing time. The report attributes Hotstar's success to its strong sports offerings and the depth of its Hindi and regional entertainment content.
During the survey period, Zee and Sony together held a 13% share of the Indian premium video sector viewing time. While the two companies are expected to merge pending regulatory approval, they are projected to operate independently for another year, benefiting from strong engagement across sports as well as regional, local, and international content. Prime Video and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) collectively accounted for a 10% share of viewership in the premium VOD category. Prime Video also garnered a significant portion of viewership from regional Indian titles. The report emphasizes that local content dominates premium VOD viewership, particularly outside the sports category, while international content leads paid tiers. Catch-up TV is prevalent in the free tier across freemium streaming platforms.
Although Disney was the clear winner in 2022, this report highlights a significant shake-up in the market brought about by the transformation of JioCinema. JioCinema, which previously held a mere 2% share of the premium video market, experienced a major upswing in growth since April. This surge can be attributed to JioCinema's decision to offer free live streaming of the popular IPL cricket tournament, a property that was previously exclusive to Disney-owned media in India. Despite technical glitches impacting user experience, JioCinema witnessed a more than 20-fold increase in consumption in April 2023, enabling it to dominate the premium VOD category. The report raises questions about JioCinema's ability to sustain this growth and scale in the absence of IPL action after June 2023. That being said, this could be an early indication of growth challenges Disney-owned brands may face in India.
Star India, now known as Disney Star following the rebranding last year, is expected to experience a revenue drop of around 20% to less than $2 billion for the fiscal year ending September 2023. Additionally, EBITDA is projected to decline by approximately 50% compared to the previous year. Furthermore, Hotstar is estimated to lose 8 to 10 million subscribers in its fiscal third quarter as well.
Given the current scenario, finding an outright buyer for Disney's India business is expected to be challenging. When Disney acquired the entertainment assets of 21st Century Fox in 2019, the enterprise value of the Indian business was estimated at around $15-16 billion. This high valuation, coupled with the intense competition and declining subscriber base, presents a complex landscape for potential buyers or partners.
I believe Disney stock is attractively valued today given that the company's streaming business has a long runway for growth internationally while its brand assets will continue to drive revenue higher. As an investor, I am both concerned and curious about what the future holds for Disney's linear networks segment. Going by the recent remarks of CEO Iger, major changes are on their way. A strategic decision to divest non-core assets, in my opinion, will trigger a positive response from the market. That being said, a major divestment of TV assets could materially impact the company's profitability in the next 3-5 years until its streaming business scales enough to replace lost revenue from the linear networks segment. Investors will have to closely monitor new developments to identify a potential inflection point in Disney's story.
Disney is repeating previous head-shoulders reversal pattern?
My answer for the topic is yes.
Disney has broken above the downtrend line, and formed a bullish head-shoulders reversal pattern, exactly repeating the previous price action in Oct 2023.
Now it moves in a bullish channel.
personally, in a short-term, I will take the nearest resistance level (high volume area) as the target for this rally.
what's your opinion?
Watchlist week ending 10/4/2024Lets get into it! I got a hand full of stocks to keep your eyes on for the week ending 10/4/24. The airlines like #AAL continue to show us that our TA was spot on. Get yourself a warm cup of coffee and soak up this knowledge as we breakdown #SPY #DIS #QQQ #google #intc #MSFT and many more hot #stocks!
Gap Fill - Potential Downtrend BreakoutDisney filled the gap today from early August. Tweezer reversal on the 4-hr candles with a brief breakout of its down trend channel. Possible breakout to $92 first target and $95 second target if it can break and hold $89 but a great short opportunity below $88 that can see a downtrend continuation if it fails to breakout.