Nifty Closes 1000 Points Higher – Will It Catch Up with BNFIn a strong move, Nifty 50 surged by 1000 points to close at 23,851, compared to last week’s close. The index made a weekly high of 23,872 and a low of 23,207. As highlighted in last week's analysis, a breakout above 23,400 could push Nifty toward 23,900 — a target it missed by just 23 points.
However, an intriguing divergence has emerged between Nifty and Bank Nifty. While Bank Nifty has scaled a new all-time high, Nifty still trades significantly below its previous all-time high of 26,277. This sets the stage for an interesting dynamic: Will Nifty rally to close the gap, or will Bank Nifty face a correction?
What to Expect Next Week?
For the upcoming week, Nifty is expected to trade in a range between 23,200 and 24,414. Despite the bullish signals on the daily and weekly timeframes, the monthly chart remains weak, indicating that volatility is likely to persist until a broader trend confirmation.
S&P 500 Outlook: Bounce or Breakdown?
The S&P 500 index saw a mild pullback, closing around 80 points lower from the previous week’s close of 5,363. Our “sell on rise” strategy mentioned last week worked well, as the index dipped post-rally.
Now, things get technically interesting. On the weekly chart, the S&P 500 is forming a potential bullish W pattern and an inside bar. A breakout above the previous week's high of 5,481 could trigger upward targets of 5,551, 5,637, and 5,679.
However, on the downside, a break below 5,115 would reintroduce bearish pressure, which could have negative ripple effects across global markets.
Key Market Takeaways:
Nifty 50: Strong rally, but still below ATH. Watch 23,200–24,414 range next week.
Bank Nifty: At ATH, diverging from Nifty – crucial to monitor.
S&P 500: At a technical crossroads – potential for breakout or breakdown
