Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergences - The Ultimate GuideIntroduction
SMT Divergences are a powerful concept used by professional traders to spot inefficiencies in the market. By comparing correlated assets, traders can identify hidden opportunities where one market shows strength while the other shows weakness. This guide will break down the major SMT divergences: EURUSD/GBPUSD, US100/US500, and XAUUSD/XAGUSD .
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What is SMT Divergence?
SMT Divergence occurs when two correlated assets do not move in sync, signaling potential liquidity grabs or market inefficiencies. These divergences can be used to confirm trend reversals, identify smart money movements, and improve trade precision.
Key Concepts:
- If one asset makes a higher high while the correlated asset fails to do so, this suggests potential weakness in the pair making the higher high.
- If one asset makes a lower low while the correlated asset does not, this suggests potential strength in the pair that did not make a lower low.
- Smart Money often exploits these inefficiencies to engineer liquidity hunts before moving price in the intended direction.
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EURUSD vs. GBPUSD SMT Divergence
These two forex pairs are highly correlated because both share the USD as the quote currency. However, when divergence occurs, it often signals liquidity manipulations.
How to Use:
- If GBPUSD makes a higher high but EURUSD does not, GBPUSD may be trapping breakout traders before reversing.
- If EURUSD makes a lower low but GBPUSD does not, EURUSD might be in a liquidity grab, signaling a potential reversal.
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US100 vs. US500 SMT Divergence
The NASDAQ (US100) and S&P 500 (US500) are both major indices with a strong correlation, but tech-heavy NASDAQ can sometimes lead or lag the S&P.
How to Use:
- If US100 makes a higher high but US500 does not, it suggests US100 is extended and may reverse soon.
- If US500 makes a lower low but US100 does not, US500 might be experiencing a liquidity grab before a reversal.
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XAUUSD vs. XAGUSD SMT Divergence
Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver (XAGUSD) have a historic correlation. However, due to differences in volatility and liquidity, they can diverge, presenting trading opportunities.
How to Use:
- If Gold makes a higher high but Silver does not, Gold might be overextended and ready to reverse.
- If Silver makes a lower low but Gold does not, Silver might be in a liquidity grab, signaling strength.
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Indicator Used for SMT Divergences
To simplify the process of identifying SMT divergences, this guide utilizes the TradingView indicator TehThomas ICT SMT Divergences . This tool automatically detects divergences between correlated assets, highlighting potential trade opportunities.
You can access the indicator here:
Why Use This Indicator?
- Automatically plots divergences, saving time on manual comparisons.
- Works across multiple asset classes (Forex, Indices, Metals, etc.).
- Helps traders spot Smart Money inefficiencies with ease.
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Final Tips for Trading SMT Divergences
1. Use Higher Timeframes for Confirmation: SMT Divergences on 1H or 4H hold more weight than those on lower timeframes.
2. Combine with Other Confluences: ICT concepts like Order Blocks, FVGs, or liquidity sweeps can strengthen the SMT setup.
3. Wait for Market Structure Confirmation: After spotting SMT divergence, look for a market structure shift before entering trades.
4. Be Mindful of Economic Events: Divergences can appear due to news releases, so always check the economic calendar.
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Conclusion
SMT Divergences are a valuable tool for traders looking to gain an edge in the markets. By analyzing inefficiencies between correlated assets, traders can anticipate smart money movements and improve trade precision. Practice spotting these divergences on real charts, and soon, you'll develop a keen eye for hidden liquidity traps.
Happy trading!
Divergence
Mon 31st Mar 2025 XAG/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAG/USD Buy. This is not a valid Buy set up as per my rules but it is assisting with my original Sell trade dated 24th Mar as I go into my multi sequence hedging technique. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Bullish Divergence on Weekly TF.Bullish Divergence on Weekly TF.
Seems like taking Support from a Very Important
fib. level around 10.30 - 11.40
Falling Wedge Pattern on Daily TF.
10.90 Should be Sustained on Monthly Basis, otherwise
we may witness further Selling pressure till 8.
Important Resistance is around 12.30 - 12.65 as of now.
Bearish Divergence has started appearing but...Bearish Divergence has started appearing
on Weekly TF but not yet on Monthly, so
a pressure might be seen around 116 - 117.
& Sustaining this level will expose 135 - 138 targets.
On the flip side, 101 - 109 may act as a Good
Support zone in case of pressure.
Hidden Bullish Divergence appeared.Hidden Bullish Divergence appeared.
Breaking Out a long Consolidation Box around
145 - 149.
164 - 169 is a Strong Resistance zone.
If this Level is Sustained, we may witness
200+
However, if 135 - 136 is broken, more Selling
Pressure will be witness & it may drag the price
towards 113 - 115.
Bearish Divergence on Monthly TF but Bounce ExpectedBearish Divergence on Monthly TF.
Very important Support lies around
160 - 162; and a Bounce is Expected if this level
is Sustained on Monthly Support.
Bullish Divergence on Short TF; so a bounce can be seen
up to 177 & then 194 (if 177 is Sustained)
Russel 2000 Compared to General MarketTVC:RUT has continued to sell off since my last couple posts and I believe we could see a huge market correction this year if price doesn't look to stop selling.
The next play on RUT I would like to see price pullback to the last breakout zone ($2,200) to confirm a continuation in trend
This play also looks very familiar to the 2022 selloff with equal highs to our current price structure. Seeing that AMEX:SPY is at a higher high tells me there is market-wide divergence and a topping pattern could be in play.
Now when we add CRYPTOCAP:BTC and $OTHER to the mix we can see bitcoin actually tops out first while Alts and SPX look to make one more leg up before crashing out.
The Trend Reader at the lower tab has topped out and has a bearish crossing in the overbought zone indicating we can see a long term play to the downside.
SOLUSD Weekly Outlook: Bullish Shark PatternUPDATE
Bullish Shark Completion & Emerging Divergence
Shark Pattern in Play: Following our previous analysis, BINANCE:SOLUSD has completed the Bullish Shark pattern at the 0.886–1.13 retracement of the 0-X leg. Price action is now reacting around this deeper PRZ, suggesting a potential reversal may be underway.
DMI Delta Divergence: We’re seeing a bullish divergence between price and the DMI Delta—an early sign that bearish momentum could be fading. This divergence reinforces the likelihood of a bounce from the current levels.
If this divergence is confirmed with a strong bullish candle or surge in volume, it may validate the Shark pattern and open the door for a trend reversal. Keep stops below the 1.13 extension to manage risk, and watch for price targets around the 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of the new leg.
Currently making LH LLs but..Weekly & Monthly Closing above 60.67 would be a Positive Sign.
Though currently making LH LLs, but
Bullish Divergence on Daily TF is another Positive Sign.
Upside levels can be around 65 - 67
However, in extreme pressure, it may touch around 53 - 55
& that would be an Important Support level.
a Sign of Hope..Continuously making LH LL (Downtrend).
Currently at an Important Support level.
Double Bottom formation around 1200.
Bullish Divergence is there on Daily TF, which is a Positive Trigger.
However, the stock will reverse its trend once it will Cross & Sustain 1465 atleast.
& if this level is Crossed & Sustained, we may witness 1700 - 1730 initially.
On the flip side, breaking the Current Level (around 1200), will bring more selling pressure
& we may witness 1000 - 1040.