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Divergence

BTC Potential Short-Term PullbackBINANCE:BTCUSDT could be setting itself up for a short-term pullback. It might be forming a Daily RSI Bear Divergence, with the latest retest of the the main supply zone, and RSI Divs/Breakouts have been reliable leading signals for recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA. Key Levels to Watch • $119k - Measured wedge target, confirmed with last month's breakout. • $106.2k-$109.5k - Main supply and ATH, a sustained break above it would invalidate any bearish PA. • $89.6k-$91.9k - Lots of confluence here: - Unmitigated daily FVG - The 200-day EMA is sitting there - A move here would be between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib retracement of the last leg up, consistent with the typical pullback length of Wave 2 (Elliott Waves theory) - It has also been an important S/R since November 2024, and a retracement here could form an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. I would be patient with it, as I still see a lot of uncertainty short-term, but I think a pullback to ~$90k could offer a great long entry. Worth keeping a close eye on it.
Short
by AliferCrypto
I Think I Should Just Trade This SetupI Think I Should Just Trade This Setup So long story short, I just: 0. Assess whether price has Seeked Liquidity, or Rebalanced Fair Value to get a clue of current price intention. 1. Wait for Overextended Price (Bearish or Bullish), Higher TF = Better 2. Wait for 4HR up to 15min Divergence + Oversold/Overbought, at least 2 TF with same divergence 3. On 15min, plot your FVA (PDA must be respected). 4. Look for your FVG entry once price has left the FVA. 5. Target nPOCs that align with divergence + price action direction (ex. npoc below price + bearish div + premium array respected + bearish orderflow leg) I've been winning "random" trades like this, no TradingView needed, just MT5, and has saved my funded account from imminent death lol. But here's how, if I looked back on those trades, I entered. I mean, this makes sense. Combine Price Action(PDA + FVA Respected) with Volume Momentum. Oh, and just to add. I think nPOCs from previous sessions give a good clue about where price wants to go. For example, npoc below price + bearish div & overbought + premium array respected + bearish orderflow leg = target nPOC. I might have to track tradingview entries to see if this actually works.
by reventioaxie
Divergence Since 2020 - What Happens When Bonds Continue?When Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction what does it mean? We have observed a divergence between the stock and bond markets since 2020. While U.S. Treasury bonds entered a bear zone, the stock markets continued their upward climb. What are the implications of this decoupling? Will the stock market resume its uptrend and hit new highs? Or is this merely a retracement before further downward pressure? A healthy, three-way interdependent relationship occurs when the economy, bonds, and stocks move in the same direction. When investors have confidence in the U.S. economy, they tend to invest in long-term bonds, which it usually will benefits the stock market. This alignment was evident between 2000 and 2020, during which bonds and stocks moved largely in tandem. However, from 2020 onward, bonds began declining—signaling a loss of investor confidence in the economy. Technically, this should exert downward pressure on stocks as well. Yet, we are witnessing a divergence: Where U.S. Treasury bonds have fallen while stocks have continued to rise. When such a divergence surfaces, it signals the need for caution in our approach in the stock markets. What could be the other reasons why US T-bond has peaked in 2020 and depreciated by 44% since then? Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by konhow
2
BTC Potential Breakout, Daily DivergenceBTC on the daily has the opportunity to expand way upwards over the next month - a divergence on the daily evidently takes longer to play out but RSI could easily reach 80 off the back of the structure. I have been shorting, confidently, for a good few weeks now, with longs in between, but I'm starting to feel like I should flip long. Solana is also trying to reclaim the daily/weekly range - things to think about for sure. Good luck out there!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by hokblake
1
MARA...Poised to turn ??MARA Holdings, Inc. is a digital asset technology company, which engages in mining cryptocurrencies with a focus on the Bitcoin ecosystem. They have a current P/E of 8.18 and a slightly positive seasonal rating. Generally there is a fairly good correlation with BTC. Technically I see several patterns at present: 1. A Bullish Wolfe Wave 2. A Complete ABCD pattern 3. A Longer term Harmonic Bullish Crab pattern. 4. Positive RSI divergence appears to be present, I point this out being fully aware of the present chaos the market is in. Specifically : 1. With a Tariff Policy probably formulated from a CHATGPT search by a DOGE junior staffer. 2. Where s 401(K)s risks becoming a 201(K)s. 3. Where the Waffle House appears not to care and but can shift and change policy at any point. 4. Analysts estimated are positive (insert) That said and with a stronger BTC and a generally positive market shift, I believe MARA will participate. Note: There is a longer term crab pattern in play which suggests we may bottom out around the $7 area. We need clarification and a reversal of currently ill advised and destructive tariff policy. I will entertain a long position if we close above the $11.60 area with volume, a stronger BTC a positive market outlook and tariff nullification. My Targets are marked. Analysts targets ate an insert. Q4 and Full year earnings are set for early May. Q3 exceeded expectations This is not Investment advice. Do your own due diligence. S.
NASDAQ:MARA
by Steve666
1
Crypto Bulls Awaken – Is This Just the Beginning?In the past 48 hours, the crypto market has brought joy to traders and investors who managed to buy near the bottom. (Sorry to the cryptobros still holding floating losses—your time will come too! 😊) Some of you might be thinking it's too late to ride this bull run. But if you zoom out and look at the bigger picture, there's still plenty of room for the bull to run. Just switch to a higher timeframe like the weekly or monthly chart, and you'll see the potential upside. One coin that looks particularly interesting is BINANCE:SUIUSDT . There's been a pullback from 2.1829 - 1.7997, and it's supported by bullish divergence, suggesting a continuation of the impulsive move with 7.6108 as the first major target. This bullish scenario remains valid as long as the price holds above 1.7174. You might be wondering, " So can I just buy/long BINANCE:SUIUSDT now? " Not yet. For a better entry and a more favorable risk-reward ratio, I suggest using the daily chart. Wait for a pullback, then look for confirmation using candlestick patterns. (I'll cover those patterns in my next post—stay tuned!)
Long
by EkyFabyanto
Nifty Closes 1000 Points Higher – Will It Catch Up with BNFIn a strong move, Nifty 50 surged by 1000 points to close at 23,851, compared to last week’s close. The index made a weekly high of 23,872 and a low of 23,207. As highlighted in last week's analysis, a breakout above 23,400 could push Nifty toward 23,900 — a target it missed by just 23 points. However, an intriguing divergence has emerged between Nifty and Bank Nifty. While Bank Nifty has scaled a new all-time high, Nifty still trades significantly below its previous all-time high of 26,277. This sets the stage for an interesting dynamic: Will Nifty rally to close the gap, or will Bank Nifty face a correction? What to Expect Next Week? For the upcoming week, Nifty is expected to trade in a range between 23,200 and 24,414. Despite the bullish signals on the daily and weekly timeframes, the monthly chart remains weak, indicating that volatility is likely to persist until a broader trend confirmation. S&P 500 Outlook: Bounce or Breakdown? The S&P 500 index saw a mild pullback, closing around 80 points lower from the previous week’s close of 5,363. Our “sell on rise” strategy mentioned last week worked well, as the index dipped post-rally. Now, things get technically interesting. On the weekly chart, the S&P 500 is forming a potential bullish W pattern and an inside bar. A breakout above the previous week's high of 5,481 could trigger upward targets of 5,551, 5,637, and 5,679. However, on the downside, a break below 5,115 would reintroduce bearish pressure, which could have negative ripple effects across global markets. Key Market Takeaways: Nifty 50: Strong rally, but still below ATH. Watch 23,200–24,414 range next week. Bank Nifty: At ATH, diverging from Nifty – crucial to monitor. S&P 500: At a technical crossroads – potential for breakout or breakdown
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
No Bearish Divergence on Monthly Tf.No Bearish Divergence on Monthly Tf. But 39-40 is a Very Strong Resistance that needs to Cross & Sustain with Good Volumes to reach 45 - 46 & then 50+ We should not ignore that it has taken Support from a Very Important Fib level around 32.40 Monthly Closing above 33.60 would be a Very Healthy sign. So any dip towards 32.50 - 33.50 can be a Buying Opportunity. However, it should not break 31.80 otherwise we may witness further Selling Pressure towards 28.50 - 28.70
PSX:PRL
by House-of-Technicals
How Momentum Divergence Reveals Hidden Market Strength and WeaknMost traders watch price action closely: candlesticks, moving averages, trendlines. But there’s a deeper, less obvious layer of information that often signals shifts in direction before price confirms it: momentum. 📌 Quick overview – what you'll learn: What momentum divergence is (clearly explained) How it helps predict potential trend shifts Practical ways to spot and trade divergences 📈 Price vs Momentum: They're Not the Same! Momentum doesn't simply track price direction. Instead, it measures the strength behind price movements. Rising prices, falling momentum often signals upcoming bearish reversals. Falling prices, rising momentum often hints at bullish reversals building beneath the surface. These subtle divergences are powerful because they reveal hidden market shifts before everyone else notices them. ⚠️ How to Spot Momentum Divergence (Simple Steps): Step-by-step: - Find clear price swings: Clearly defined highs/lows on your chart. - Check momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, CCI, etc.): Does the indicator agree or disagree with the price action? - Spot divergence: Bullish divergence: Price makes lower lows, indicator shows higher lows. Bearish divergence: Price makes higher highs, indicator shows lower highs. - Confirmation: Always wait for price confirmation like a reversal candle or break of a trendline. 🔥 Why Momentum Divergence Works: Divergence highlights hidden accumulation or distribution by smart money. Helps you anticipate reversals before price confirms. Filters out weak moves and helps you avoid fake breakouts. 📊 Real Example (XAUUSD – April 2025): Recently in Gold: Price was dropping steadily, reaching new lows. Meanwhile, RSI showed clear higher lows – classic bullish divergence. Result: Price exploded significantly shortly after momentum divergence appeared clearly. 🧠 Trading Tips to Remember: Divergence signals are stronger near key support/resistance zones. Use momentum divergence with your existing strategy for confirmation, not isolation. Always define your risk clearly (set stops above/below recent highs/lows). 🚩 Common Pitfalls to Avoid: Trading divergence without confirmation: always wait for the market to show its hand. Ignoring the bigger picture: check higher timeframes for stronger signals. Overtrading: not every divergence leads to a reversal; quality beats quantity. 🚀 Your Action Plan for Next Week: Pick one momentum indicator and identify at least 3 divergences on your favorite assets. Monitor how they play out. Note down what works best in your trading journal. 💬 Question for you: What’s your go-to momentum indicator when spotting divergence? RSI, MACD, CCI, or something else? Drop a comment below! Happy trading! TrendGo Team
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TrendGo_Official
1