Does divergence work?Candlesticks indicate the lack of sufficient strength for growth, therefore, according to the strength of the fall and the lower support area, and of course, the divergence, the probability of returning from that area is more likely.
If the line is broken, we can imagine the upward growth trend up to the specified limits
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Banipal : @hosseinbakrani
📅 02.14.2023
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
Divergence
META - falling wedge pattern (bullish)After a strong 28% gap post earnings on 2nd Feb, META has now given up about half its post-gap gain. However, its longer term bullish picture remains intact if we look at the following factors:
1. Stock is still trading above both its 20 and 200 day moving average (the latter of which is beginning to flatten out, a precursor to turning up)
2. A falling wedge pattern is forming (potentially bullish)
3. Bullish divergence forming between price and RSI (*see Note below)
A break out of this wedge could be an opportunity to long again if one has taken profit earlier or has gotten stopped out as stock went into this steep retracement. I would put initial stop loss slightly below the most recent pivot low (which will be the candle just prior to the wedge breakout).
However bear in the mind the stock's momentum could be slower for now until the next catalyst appear.
*Note that while a bullish divergence could materialize into a short term bounce lasting about 2 to 3 candles, it does not translate into a longer term trend change on it's own.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
USDCAD SELLI expect USDCAD to drop in the following days, because it is at the resistance zone of the M15 and M30 price channels respectively. Secondly, it overextended price in order to fulfill EW impulsive move evident through the divergence on TDI and Awesome oscillator. As such, the correction of that count is expected. My short term target is resistance zone that was broken during the upside move around 1.34778. If broken, I will expect price to drop further.
Bearish Divergence on Daily BTC Chart and SMA200/W ResistanceIf we look at the current situation, we are faced with an unexpected rise in the BTC table, considering both the USA inflation data, the global markets and the US Dollar Index.
We've come to the resistance zone of an already rising channel, as if that wasn't enough, there is a weekly period death cross presence. In addition, there was a serious negative mismatch between the price and the relative strength index in the daily timeframe.
Considering these data, it would not be surprising if the price tries the channel subband $18.5K from this point.
Read CaptionIt is an important level that we have to wait for the reaction
In case of failure, the analysis level will be updated
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Banipal : @hosseinbakrani
📅 02.13.2023
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
BITCOIN showing some Bullish Divergence on the 3 HRBTC holding above $21500 (On the Edge! Just had a wik down to $21455!), looks to be some Bullish Divergence...
It shows Divergence all the way up to about the 12 HR (Tiny one) and the daily (Micro one) LOL!
Looking for a move tomorrow with the Inflation numbers.
Can we get some Valentines Day love to the upside? We'll see... <---
Lots of Negative talk all over News & social so it may start making a move in the opposite direction.
This is what happens when there is too much Hype for one direction IMO.
Good Luck Out There!
SPX - Just a "correction" so farThe correction in the markets last week may appear steep & violent, especially for some stocks. However, on the bigger scale of things, SPX is still looking like a "normal" correction (within a bull trend) so far.
In fact, a few factors could be aligning for a possible bounce in the near term:
1.SPX closed a "dragon-fly" candlestick last Friday, signifying some buying towards the close of the session
2.A bullish divergence between price and RSI could be emerging
3.So far, the magnitude of the current retracement (CD) is similar to that of the previous retracement (AB), ie CD swing is the 100% fibonacci extension of AB, projected from point C.
4. The pullback to D is 50% fib retracement of the BC upswing (still within reasonable limits of a "correction")
There is no real reason "panic" yet, unless we have SPX going below 4000 (worst case 3950) again for a start.
Let's see how this week will play out.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Trading Divergence Divergence is one of the well-known and widely used methods for determining price reversal areas, whether positive or negative and thus helps to determine entry or exit areas 📉📈
Divergence is when the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator, or is moving contrary to other data. Divergence warns that the current price trend may be weakening, and in some cases may lead to the price changing direction.
There is positive and negative divergence. Positive divergence indicates a move higher in the price of the asset is possible. Negative divergence signals that a move lower in the asset is possible.
Divergence is one of the many trading methods that we use to build an integrated strategy, and of course, we can use it in any time frame we want ✍️
It's AAVE---Long IDEAHello everyone;
This Idea is for AAVE/USDT, spot pair, BUT It's Tradable on AAVE's Laveraged token as well .
So Aave has multi divergences at various Time frames, BuT we are Looking at ones on D and W charts,
I Marked Them with brush, They are visible on RSI,AwsomeOS and...
We are Also at 50% FIB Support, And of course a Giant BAT Pattern which is pretty much complete!
-So You can open your orders NOW or after confirmation on spot or ETF .
I Marked The First and second Targets on it,it may go Higher But ..
GOOD LUCK!
Preference for EMA`s over standard MA`s.Hi.
Another comment on signal compatibility.
In EMA crossing a true death cross should be considered the crossing of EMA100/EMA200.
This is usually always dangerous.
Since the model situation I want to discuss is now occurring on the daily DXY, let us take it.
1. So there is a fresh death cross printed on January 6.
2. There is no crossing of EMA100/EMA200 now.
3. The candles came out from under diagonal resistance
(what about the fact that the rate hike was already built into the conditions by the market?! lol).
But how do I know if the momentum is depleted?
The index has no volume...
With volatility outlook.
4. SQZMOM_LB shows a daily divergence and a squeeze entry before jumping up. Further rise in DXY will be supported by expansion momentum.
5. So I have some confusion about the death cross indication and its possible consequences...
If there is no support in the form of right away falling volatility for example...
That is why I am looking at other crosses.
6. It turns out that if I short DXY anyway more important indication would be EMA20 and EMA 50 (red and orange).
Since the move should be taken as early as possible and not wait for "iron" confirmations.
But it turns out that MA cross is too late for a short, and not convincing enough for a
continuation of the short at the moment when the cross finally happened...
7. In this case I think we're in for a ~108 level attack, which will prevent a cross at EMA100/200.
GBPUSD forming a double top before the expected default of U.SHey everyone,
Default on debt of the US concerns because we're amid political tensions in the congress and the maturity date is approaching.
Recap : Democrats want to rise the debt ceiling VS Republicans want to lower the expenses.
The failure to reach an agreement before maturity date may provocate a shock wave on the market.
As we all know, the dollar tend to rise in value when in time of uncertainty.
on a purely technical point of view, we can observe that the second peak of the doble top is formed. As the 1.24 level was strongly rejected again and price action analysis provide us the confirmation that trend is reversing : inside bar pattern breaking down.
So the bulls may have lost power over the market from here, and we should see the bearish momentum increasing.
This scenario is confirmed by the MACD indicator as well, which formed a bearish divergence.
Hence a bearish scenario on GBPUSD is expected within the next days and an optimal entry point will be here. I expect the price to fall sharply to 1.18 level breaking the neckline and causing panic over the market which will trigger a massive bearish sentiment that will lead the price to reach the target of 1.11000 .
Give a thumbs up if you agree !
Good luck ! have a nice week
Litecoin long-term bullish trend promised by technical analysisAdditional notes:
upcoming halving
Strong bullish outlook for weekly long-term perspective. Bullish tendency short term (view follow up)
This information is by no means financial advise, you trade at your own risk, I am in no way responsible for your actions, seek professional advise from licensed financial experts!
SNAP Short Options trading can be difficult in times of such market volatility. However fun stocks like SNAP that are not institutionally traded can tend to follow their own trend. SNAP is set to drop in price as every major trend I look at is screaming sell. This is a great put opportunity for a quick scalping. Indicators to look at:
Triple Confirm Bollinger Bands have initiated two sell signals based on price divergence and volume.
D+ issued a sell signal and you can just look at the past to see how accurate that indicator is. (There is a reason this script cost $$) This script issues buy and sell signals based on divergence.
Speaking of divergence, MACD also shows shrinking bullish divergence and would not be surprised to see growing bearish divergence.
RSI shows that the stock is overbought while the Kurotoga cloud shows that the price is sitting high above support with plenty of room to fall.
I am predicting a $0.75 to $1.00 drop in price for 1.31.23 based on the daily.
XAU/USD Possible BreakdownHello friends.
I saw a Strong Trendline Breakdown in Gold and Decide to share
with you my opinion.
I think Gold is in Overbought Area and It will record some correction
in coming days.
So i have some reasons for my opinion:
1-In Daily chart we can see a strong Bearish Engulfing candle (as you see in picture below)
2-in Daily chart we can see a Divergence Between RSI and Price in Overbought Area (as you see in picture below)
3-A Strong Bullish Trendline Breaks down in 1H.
4-We reach an important Resistance near the last High and psycological level of 2000.
so for this reasons i think Gold experience a little correction in coming days.
I think Gold will reach targets like 1900 an after that 1880.
I hope you like my idea and i will be happy if you share me your opinion too.
Thanks for reading my idea.
Just dont forget to set a good Stoploss and enter a trade with at least 1:1 R/R.
Harmonics & Fibonacci on Turkish IndexIn follow up of BIST:XU100 since Dec 25, 2022;
Previous analysis:
Latest Observations :
Harmonics Bat Pattern; possible reversal zone around 3351;
Harmonics Gartley Pattern; possible reversal zone around 3619;
Fibonacci on Turkish Index; index may stabilize around 3664-3500;
Bearish Divergence
Educational (divergence + volume)Hi guys, in order to spot a divergence you should be careful which timeframe you're looking at. for example in the left picture, the daily timeframe is showing higher highs in price (at each candle) and lower highs in RSI (at each candle). but note that these are not highs and lows and as long as you can't find signs of accumulation and distribution in highs and lows (as long as there's no valid consolidation) you can't name them as highs and lows. so there's no divergence. but in the lower time frame (what is shown is 4h) you can see it more clearer that for every candle in the daily time frame, you have a specific trend in the 4H timeframe. so you can name them as highs and lows and yes, there is a divergence now.
also, keep in mind that in the lower timeframe. every time you're making a new high in rsi, you should expect it to be more volatile and be more sensitive in a way that in the next new rsi high, you have less time spent in the overbought area.
The next part is about the volume profile. you have less resistance in front of the price movement where there is less volume traded in the past. BUT NOT ALWAYS!
less trades made in the past in an area means two things:
1- you can expect the price to move faster and sharper and take less time in that area
2- if the price wants to make a low or high or a pattern, it's less predictable and there's more chance of wrong analysis and fake patterns.
Feel free to leave any comments and ask questions!