Buy on Weakness BMRI, relatively close to the Bottom.
BMRI has been in a downtrend for 4 months, with the last breaking through the support level of 5400 (January 14, 2025).
cutloss level at support 4450 (-10%) and Target Price 6000 (upper trend line).
Risk and reward ratio 1 : 2.
Buy on Weakness BMRI 4910.
Dividends
FMC - A deep value play for the steel stomach investor The Foxx is back.
After the stellar returns of 2024, and by that I mean triple digits %, the Foxx is back to give out a charity to his followers.
FMC
A deep value agricultural stock with rising inventory and low market demand. But, like the market always does - what goes down - goes up ! the demand is expected to go up in 2026-27 and the invesntory goes down at the same time.
Book value per share is ridiculously close to the price.
The Foxx announces a 10,000 stock position on FMC at an average price of 38.10 as per 10th Feb 2025 830am ET
No lines, no colors, no ATH or no fibonnacci .. Just pure value investing.
Do i sound arrogant ? I do and I am. Because i only give out winners. see my previous ideas and like they say - the rest is history !!
Make money
Foxx
$HSY: A Potential Bargain for Dividend InvestorsThe chocolate giant NYSE:HSY might be approaching a price bottom ahead of Thursday's earnings
The stock of The Hershey Company ( NYSE:HSY ) has now triggered my favorite technical indicator, a Bollinger Bands and RSI oversold signal on a weekly chart (see Chart 1)
This suggests that we might see a price reversal soon if the company effectively addresses its current challenges
Earnings Expectations and Volatility:
The options market anticipates a price movement of approximately +/-3.8% following Thursday's earnings
Recent Price Pressures:
- Surging Cocoa Prices:
Cocoa prices have skyrocketed (see Chart 2), but I believe this might be a bubble ready to burst as such short-term sharp rises are usually not sustainable
- Declining Demand:
There's been a noticeable decrease in sweets consumption, influenced by the rising trend of weight loss medications. I can't imagine that humanity will be deprived of sweets forever 😅
Fundamental Insights:
Chart 3 highlights key financial metrics for NYSE:HSY :
- Market Capitalization: ~$30 billion
- Cash Reserves: Approximately $600 million
- Debt: $5.6 billion, indicating a manageable financial structure for a company of Hershey's stature to weather further market turbulence
- P/E Ratio: Now at 17, which starts to look appealing
- Dividend Yield: At 3.7%, it's particularly attractive for European investors seeking income
Investment Considerations:
Given that this potential reversal signal appears on a weekly chart, expect significant volatility around the earnings announcement
Also the bottoming process can take several months and a capitulation event after earnings could be possible
However, with these signals, an attempt at a price recovery around earnings seems quite probable
I'm banking on this one - LONG @ 24.50I missed this one at the close yesterday and tried to get in after hours at 24.65 but failed. Lucky me- I got in this morning at 24.50 instead. After selling NYSE:NU yesterday I am underrepresented in financials, so I'm in here.
Not the prettiest chart, but it's paying me an almost 4% dividend if I have to wait. I don't expect to have to wait long enough for it to matter, it's just a nice "safety net" in case I have to.
Competing trendlines in play here, but this is is a quick flip, so they are likely not to be significantly influential. Just thought I'd point them out here for the chartists among us.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
On the way to Devidend MomentumThe historical track record indicates that the final dividend share for BBRI typically occurs in March. This presents an opportunity to strategically position our portfolio. We can either aim to capture the dividend payout or capitalize on the potential price pullback that often follows the dividend distribution (At ex-date candle gap). To maximize our entry point, we can wait for BBRI to reach its nearest weekly support level, as it is currently trading close to it and being strong support. This approach allows us to potentially acquire shares at a discounted price, especially considering the current downtrend.
NVDA Multi-Asset Income StrategyRecently, I've been looking a lot at Yield Max ETFs and other options-based yield ETFS more generally such as QDTE, XDTE, RDTE, QQQI, SPYI, YQQQ (inverse), etc.
One possible way to outperform SPY & QQQ, may be to consider investing in such ETFs, though this is purely theoretical s tradingview does not provide a quality backtesting software for a complex multi-asset, multi-directional strategy like this. Nothing in this strategy should be considered financial advice and there are various factors to consider, such as beta decay, mismanagement of the ETFs, tax advantages/disadvantages, reinvestment risk, risks associated with options in income-based derivatives, risks with leveraged assets, and the obviously risks with inverse assets.
In this chart, we are looking at the leveraged ETF NVDL, which tracks NVDA. It's important to note that this asset will decay whenever NVDA trades sideways or goes down over substantial periods of time, and when NVDA goes down the negative % returns are multiplied. Therefore a trader or "sophisticated investor" (FINRA term) needs to not only optimize their position size for a trading period, but also optimize the timing of entry's and exits on multiple position. They will also want to model, volatility, decay, and reinvestment risk (arguably the hardest in this case. This post will not discuss the specifics of those and instead, these topics should be considered as a form of "homework" for you, the reader to think about and discuss in the comments as food for thought.
In this theoretical multi-asset income strategy, risk is managed through the use of income based ETFs that are either bullish or bearish, I think of this as " directional income ". In this case, NVDY is the bullish income asset and DIPS is the bearish income asset, both of which pay dividend monthly and their price performance behaves very similar to a leveraged ETF, in the sense that they only really increase when the underlying the underlying asset moves in the direction of the income derivative. Theoretically, by managing position size with the use of a modified Kelly Criterion which accounts for fed rates, the decay of the asset, and timing (through technical analysis, seasonality and quantitative analysis), I wonder if a trader could swing-trade between various income-based derivatives and leveraged assets, in order to optimize both income and grow irrespective of market conditions.
In truth, I'm still not sure if this is a completely degenerate idea no different to the way banks stacked bad loans together in 2008 and slapped a Grade A rating, and in the process over valued quantitative methods (see the book "Quants") as a sort of grad delusion to completely avoid risks, like a doctor wishing to delete pain from the world with an addictive pill, shilled by Big Pharma... Only in this case, instead of CMBS, it's ETF, leveraged ETFs, options on both, creating a derivative, then stacking more derivative on top of that...
Who knows, though... Maybe this could be a way to profit from this madness?
I honestly don't know.
What I do know is, I find the idea of " directional income " as a hedge more appealing than an inverse leveraged ETF and I'm curious how to apply this to either a single asset or multi-asset portfolio. It's a very interesting idea and I plan to spend the year exploring this idea at the cost of my own capital, rather than someone else's capital.
BTC Ultra SNIPER SCALP to 100,000K!!!PLEASE CHECK RELATED PUBLICATIONS BELOW!!!
As mentioned in my earlier (linked below) BTC to 75k chart,
As it happened ditto,
one can sniper it to 100,450 to 101k from CMP with steep SL's to 97,350. remember its a sniper scalp. Stances are marked as such! Follow the new green line marked and link below marks how its been done earlier!
HAUTO: TP NOK 141,- Generous dividends (+25%) [Pink: HOEGF]Some say Car-carrier (PCTC ) trade macro is challenging in, others claim this comes to pass late '26 or '27. All the while generous dividends are an insurance. Short term movements may meet resistance, must hold +100-ish, looking to medio jan 2025 for more upside.
Conensus TP : NOK 141
Darvas Box Strategy - Break out Stock - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss, best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. Risk to Reward Ratio/ Target Ratio 1:2
Stop loss can be Trail when it make new box / Swing.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
BTCUSDT 1H Falling wedgePossible long trade on 1 hour chart forms Falling wedge pattern.
The 1-hour Bitcoin chart shows a Falling wedge, indicating a short-term downtrend. However, a bullish divergence in the RSI suggests weakening selling pressure and a potential trend reversal. The price is near a support zone, making a potential long entry appealing, especially if there is a breakout above the upper trendline of the Falling wedge. A target could be set around 71,344, with an appropriate stop-loss placed below the support to limit risk. Waiting for confirmation of the breakout is advised to validate the long signal.
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Good look! 🚀
52 Week High Breakout - Positional Trade - Long TermDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
52 Week Breakout. Stock has Crossed 52 week High. Keep in watch list. Buy above the high. Suitable for Positional Trade. Stop loss & Target Shown on Chart. Stop loss Trail by 30 SMA. Exit if Price Close below 30 SMA on Weekly Chart.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
Its also dividend paying stock.
Eye Keypoints for Potential Reversal (Technicals + Fundamentals)In the past several weeks, we've observed the following market movements:
1. First Uptrend: Over 23 weeks (161 days), the price increased from around 64 to 124 with a substantial volume of 438.94M.
2. First Downtrend: Following this, the price declined over 11 weeks (77 days) from 124 to 108, with a volume of 237.994M.
3. Second Uptrend: The price then rebounded over 18 weeks (126 days) from 107 to 168, supported by a volume of 319.661M.
Currently, we are in the 11th week of the latest downtrend, where the price has decreased from 168 to around 140, with a volume of 282.442M.
Key Insights:
The current downtrend mirrors the previous downtrend in duration (11 weeks) and volume.
The proximity of the current volume to past downtrends suggests we may be nearing a reversal point.
If historical patterns hold, we might anticipate a potential price rebound beginning within the next week or two.
Next Steps:
Monitor for an increase in volume (towards the 300M+ range) to confirm a reversal signal.
Target a potential price high of around 200 to complete this cycle if the upward trend resumes.
Furthermore , if we expect a dividend of 30 Rs next year and the expected interest rate is 15% , then the target price based on the dividend can also be calculated as follows:
Target Price = Expected Next Year Dividend / Expected Next Year Interest Rate
Target Price = 30 / 0.15 = 200 Rs
Conclusion:
While the current short-term trend is bearish (11 bars area), the increased volume hints at a possible reversal soon. With a projected dividend of 30 Rs next year and an expected interest rate of 15%, the target price based on dividends would be 200 Rs. This fundamental target supports the technical signals suggesting potential upward movement. Proper risk management and self-study should be incorporated.
Investors Brace for Key CPI Data That Could Impact MarketsGold is currently trading in a sideways range between $2,470 and $2,532, as it consolidates after reaching its yearly highs. The market is awaiting key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to determine the future price movement of gold. If the data indicates lower inflation, it could strengthen gold and push prices beyond $2,532. Conversely, higher inflation might lead to a stronger dollar, putting pressure on gold and potentially driving it below $2,470
Dividend Paying Stock - Long TermI am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
This is One of the Dividend Paying Stock for Long Term Investors and Right Now in Good Position to take Entry.
Always take entry near the Support to Moving average.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Guardian Health SciencesGuardian Health Sciences released news on August 21 - declaring a $5 cash dividend per share of common stock - available to stock holders active on sept 9, payout date set as September 23.
GHSI
Time sensitive cash opportunity with deadline Momentum building until
Sept 9
Price action shows rapid increase since news day
Trading above the 200 day EMA
Volume activity supports
Double EMA 8/20 crossing above
Stochastic indicator crossing up out of zone
Rakon NZ long term buying level approachingRakon Monthly chart
I'm currently looking at long term investments to hold for years, and noticed this one
Current price is $0.80, but I think it could easily fall to $0.41c
Downside $0.42c
Dividend ~ ~5% at that price level
Potential capital gain, 300% gain is pretty easy to get to $1.20, the all time high was $5.80
Could easily hold for a couple of years sell half and make 100%+ on your original money and still own some shares
The upside with volatile stocks like this is that there are very few real support or resistance levels on the chart i.e. big bars... these can easily get blown through both ways as there are no major order pools there that take time to fill
See what happens but its on my watchlist with price alerts set
Air New Zealand Monthly ChartAir New Zealand monthly chart,
Descending triangle which is at 25 year low, triangle are often wave 4s which suggest it still wants to go lower
I actually want to see this break the low and create a 5th wave triangle overthrow as shown
This would be a great buying zone as the current price of $0.587 is offering a 7% dividend, if it were to drop to 42-44cents then it will increase to 10% yield, going back to pre COVID, the dividend went up to 0.08c
Downside is $0.40
Upside is dividend 7-10% possibly increasing up to 20%
Capital appreciation even up to the top of the triangle is 300% gain...
Risk is the company is carrying too much debt and the operating profit is very low at sub 5%, so there likely needs to be a restructure
Blowing the price to a new all time low will definitely create a catalyst for change and offer a good buying opportunity
This is partially government owned so very very unlikely to go bankrupt, but can still go through a restructure to reset debt and operating expense ratios
KMD NZ Buying long term positionMonthly chart
Buying long term position trade for a set and forget position
Currently at
- 16% forward dividend
- Large monthly AB=CD pattern
- Monthly oversold RSI
These 3 reasons alone are enough for me to get in....
Retail is doing it tough and there are going to have to be some restructuring taking place, but it is a good brand that makes good products and I know it very well and have some of their clothes in my wardrobe