Mastering the dividend cycleECA Marcellus Trust is an example of an extremely high-dividend stock. Because of its high dividend that comes every three months, the stock moves in predictable cycles. The stock gets bought by dividend miners during the lead-up to a dividend, and then it sells off afterward.
There are about 61 trading days between ex-dividends. The low typically comes sometime between day 21 and day 41 after the ex-dividend date, and the high comes on day 60.
This cycle offers an excellent opportunity to make a fairly predictable profit. Even this last, relatively small upswing was worth nearly 35% if you bought at the halfway point between dividend dates and sold the day before ex-dividend.
It's usually a good idea not to actually take the dividend, because the stock will lose more share price overnight than the dividend is worth. (To take the dividend, you have to own the stock at the start of pre-market trading on the ex-dividend date.)
It's worth pointing out that ECA Marcellus Trust is a risky stock. Its dividend distributions vary depending on the price of natural gas and the output of the wells. The output of the wells declines about 8% per year, and the Trust itself expires in July 2021, at which point the stock becomes worthless. So you can expect the swings to get smaller over time, and the stock's average share price to decline at an accelerating rate.
Still, there's an opportunity here for a well-timed play, and its predictability makes it pretty attractive.
Dividends
Global XFDS SUPERDIVIDEND ALTERNATIVES ETF D Cboe BZXMy support and Resistance levels. Im watching for confirmation to buy @14.60 and sell at 14.90 with a stop loss at 14.77
Tariffs could effect my trade so i will keep watching if i continues selling off.
Please comment your thoughts.
Bernie Sanders @ His Finest - Gold Miners & Free Dividends LOLGold Miners XAU Index is dirt cheap and free for all... just ask Bernie
$IVZ Strategies on a Value Growth StockIVZ has low P/E, D/E, and P/B ratios, despite growing revenue and dividends. Therefore, my 5 year outlook is bullish. I suspect the best times to buy are around a low of $19.40 for a short turnaround, but the price may get as low as $18.58 in as little as 2-3 weeks if the impulse from Jan-Feb echos the latest high.
Other possible low points for the suspected echo impulse, using fib levels, are 18.65, 18.93, 19.14, and 19.29. Pyramiding your buys using these levels should give a relatively low average position for long term growth, which can be sold off, probably during the year, for a profit to adjust the weight in the portfolio back to a reasonable level to meet your portfolio diversity goals. Despite the effort in averaging down and out, I do believe it is a worthy strategy to reap greater returns rather than buying once when it looks good.
The average price per book value for this stock is less than one and averages greater than 1.65, according to Yahoo. To reach equivalent value if book value remained constant, which it will not, the factor is 1.8x. Earnings are expected to rise, so book value itself will rise over time. Book value has risen 50% in the past ten years, so a 5 year price target given today's suspected low and a 1.2x oversold factor (because who sells at value?) will be 19.40*1.8*1.25*1.2 = $52.38 or about a 170% return on investment, plus another $6 in 5 year straight dividends at $0.30 per quarter.
Due to the volatility and bullish/bearish runs with bulls beating bears in the end, this makes a great swing trading opportunity. When the stock trends above 1.67% monthly or 0.38% weekly, the stock is performing greater than its exponential averages:
Average Exponential Monthly (%) Growth: (2.7^(1/(12*5))-1)*100 = 1.67%
Average Exponential Weekly (%) Growth: (2.7^(1/(365/7*5))-1)*100 = 0.38%
This is likely to occur now and less likely over the course of 5 years. Therefore, linear price increments may be more useful in determining rapid growth in earlier stages. In which case, when the stock trades above $0.55 a month or $0.13, the stock is performing better than its linear averages:
Average Monthly ($) Growth: (52.38-19.4)/(5*12) = $0.55
Average Weekly ($) Growth: (52.38-19.4)/(5*365/7) = $0.13
Right now, we are in a bit of a bull swing since Dec 24th, as with most (financial sector) stocks. There is some potential to ride this out for a while, so adjust your alerts to watch for the bear once it crosses down on the average expected growths. This stock has a tendency to go up in the early mornings around 10:00AM, so that would be your time to sell if the previous week was low and would not be your time to get hopeful.
NEO Breaks Out On Enormous Volume Pretty self-explanatory. I'm tired of typing for today, so let's keep this short.
I bought NEO at 2030 with all my TRX (which I bought much lower). I expect NEO to continue its uptrend for now. We're consolidating nicely and building support in a previous MAJOR resistance zone (in red). If we can hold this area, I expect us to head towards the next targets, in green X's. I'm holding NEO long term. Yes, we can revisit lower supports, but currently price action looks very strong, with volume to support it.
We also bounced off a major support in USD value ($5-6). I was looking for a sign of strength after we reached that area, and had been wanting to enter a position on NEO since it was in the $16-30 zone. It looked too weak there so I patiently waited. So far, it was a good move.
This is not financial advice. For future reference and educational purposes earlier.
-Victor Cobra
INTU holding its 200dmaINTU has a strong history of growing dividends since 2011. This pullback, with the market, is still holding its 200dma. The long-term uptrend is still intact.
Disclosure: long INTU
COST holding above 100dmaCOST has been impressive in performance for 2018. it is showing relative strength in a weak tape. This another long-term dividend grower.
Disclosure: long COST
Not all bonds are declining!EMLC has just experienced a bullish breakout of a wedge pattern. That occurred above support (23.6% retracement of all-time high to all-time low), which lends to the bullish slant. It's also recently tested and held a rising channel bottom and had a bullish breakout in the RSI, further strengthening the bullish setup. Volume has been robust and accelerating, as well, suggesting conviction in the move higher.
As rates rise, bonds will obviously fall in value. However, that's not the case everywhere. EMLC primarily owns emerging market government debt (>96% of holdings), along with a few corporate bonds. It invests in debts in the local currency, which reduces exchange rate risks. It has vastly outperformed US government debt with a 1-year return of +11.2%. Compare that to SHY, IEI, IEF, and TLT 1-year returns of -0.1%, -0.41%, -0.54%, and +3.0%, respectively. Not only is the fund experiencing price appreciation, but it also offers a 5.3% dividend via monthly distributions.
This is a great place to park cash and achieve some return while market turbulence and volatility prevail. I'm a buyer at current levels, with an intermediate term target of $20.81, the 38.2% retracement.
COW / Live cattle 2018yr setupBased on US-T as well as "cash cow" yield rising in 2017/18 current draw in live cattle could be continue.
Looking forward to buy the dip in COW, time horizon - early summer.
One to consider for your IRA: AMZAAMZA is a ETF that mainly invests in the energy (mainly oil) industry for high dividends. I see the current drop as an opportunity for dividend investors. Limited partnerships can be tricky at tax time outside a IRA so I only put them there myself. Dropping 3% today. Watch for signs of it bottoming from price action. At a price of 8 it gives a >16% dividend.
"The investment seeks total return primarily through investments in equity securities of publicly traded master limited partnerships and limited liability companies taxed as partnerships ("MLPs"). Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest not less than 80% of its assets in equity securities of MLPs in the energy infrastructure sector. It is non-diversified."
SO Long to 50's with 5.39% yieldDouble Divergence seen on RSI along with price confirmation of SO's most recent bottom. A "W" pattern is also setting up with a break above $45 further solidifying the opportunity for a low risk positional trade when taking the stated yield % into account. Pin bar seen on Heavy volume, and the most recent double bottom also coming on good volume.
Short Put MSFTThis one is for a longer term approach.
MSFT currently has a 2.10% divvy, according to FINVIZ. Selling the $70 put in September yielded $0.77 in credit, which is almost 1/2 of the yearly dividend that MFST gives out to start with.
I will take this stock if the put expires in the money, giving me a basis of $69.23, which is about 5.5% below current price. If put expires worthless, I will look to reestablish again the following cycle.
BPL - dividend stock paying 8% yearlyone long term dividend payer stocks is BPL, which pays 8% yearly as dividend increasing dividends yearly for 6% for 20 years now
48% long term debt, fair value is 65$ trading at 63.50$ at the moment
TROW - dividend champion with 3,2% payout increasing 15% yearlyTROW is another company that pays currently 3,2% dividend per share, increasing their dividends yearly for 15% in the last 20 years.
fair value: 75$ currently trading at 71$
1% long term debt (!), 15% increas of dividend in the last 20 years
AT&T (T) - dividend champion with 5,1% dividend payoutHere is another dividend champion with a payout of 5,1% per share.
Fair value: 43$ currently trading at 38$
Rating BBB+, 47% long term debt, yearly dividend increase of 4%
Analyse stocks by looking at DIVIDEND GROWTH and DIVIDEND/PRICE Analyse stocks by looking at 3 MONTH time frame looking at Dividend Payouts and Dividend/Price Ratio.
For example: A stock that raises its dividends for many years now yearly by more than 10% and has currently a 4,2% dividend/price ratio (meaning you get 4,2% dividends per every USD you pay) is a good buy, since it is very cheap historically and will probably increase dividends in the next years, meaning you can double your money by dividends in approx. 10 years (additionaly adding the rise of stock value).
Use this indicator in stocks and 3 MONTHS timeframe (if your use stocks with 1 or 12 dividend payments per year, please switch to 1/12 month time frame).
long hbi expecting 50% gains took a small position in hbi as like to get in early if i can, Share prices have almost halved since the 4 for 1 split and i think some dividend investors could find interest at this level expecting 50% gains if goes well. will be looking to add after break of the downtrend. will update
Iconomi - a LONG story that nobody cares to understandDespite the fact that that ICN got no pump during this recent bull run on basically all the alt coins out there, the fundamentals have not changed, i'm still holding and i'm gonna do it until 10$ but that's not what most people want because it is at least 2 year away.
Is funny how people are waiting for etf's here and there when they got a fund out of SEC approval right in their faces, ICN is not just a coin that sits in the portfolio and does noting, you can see it as shares in the company since your're going to receive weekly dividends ( to get them you have to hold min 42ICN in your ether wallet) ; this project is a bit more complicated at first glance because we talk about ICN, ICNx and ICNp which are 3 different things. And later on the OFM platform ( open fund management )
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The ICONOMI.INDEX FUND ( ICNx )
will reflect the development of the credible cryptocurrency market. It will be transparently managed and traded on major exchanges. ICONOMI.INDEX fund will include several thoroughly researched cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Lisk, Steem and other major value tokens.
The ICONOMI.PERFORMANCE FUND ( ICNp)
will aim at high performance - multiplication of investment. It will be actively managed by a team of ICONOMI experts. The team will scout for propitious early investment I.C.O opportunities (crowdfunded startup projects and companies). Through the company-focused fund, everyone can become a venture capitalist, without any of the hassle and capital requirements.
The ICONOMI Open Fund Management (OFM platform )
is a simple management tool where traders with knowledge and experience create their own investment funds. Investors, on the other hand, are able to invest even the smallest amounts, offering a clear overview of available investment fund managers and their current & past performance. The ICONOMI Open Fund Management (OFM) platform will disrupt the asset management industry.
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This project is due to news in 2-3 weeks, ICNx is about the launch the beta phase, if people would do their research ICN would be at 1.4$ by now but at some point they will, it's inevitable, meanwhile is a screaming BUY.
Yieldco sector, don't miss the 8point3 buy.CAFD, already sporting a 7.5% yield, just broke out of volatility consolidation to the downside. This is a very easy chart to trade, as the key levels are very obvious. You should be able to pick this guy up close to $12 a share with a nice 8% divy that has almost doubled in last two years. Balance sheet is good, i've checked myself. Aim to sell around $16 or just hold forever. Excellent risk/reward here
BX - Great way to Own Apartments, Hotels and Office SpaceBX Bottoming Process + High Vol Support + IPOs to Resume + Private-Equity / Venture-Capital to SUCCEED. Great Dividends. Put Sell and Call Sell while making money on Dividends. ALL of this without owning any apartments or hotels or office space. I am long the stock right now, but getting ready to do a Call sell on it since up move seems to have ended as of 11/30/2016. As it starts to move down, and the stock bottoms, it is time to do an aggressive Put Sell and get your stock back if you lost it. Remember, you might have double ownership of the stock, so do NOT go in with a full position. Start with 1/3rd position.
