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Stock correction.Looking at the recent dividend results the company's dividend yield experienced a minor drop from 2.77% to 2.76 and while the company's P/E ratio increased ( from 18.89 - 20.60) which is not a good sign from an investment perspective and looking at the trend and Elliot wave count which completed at the beginning of the year and Bat harmonic pattern completion at beginning of 2024/2025 financial year, this could be sign of a minor correction waiting to happen.
JSE:KST
by KhoraCapital
NEP -- bottom of rising channel vs. top of declining channelI am starting a position on NYSE:NEP on three thoughts: The company should be able to resolve its financing issues. The stock pays a hefty dividend (14.6%) I expect the gently rising intermediate term trading channel to remain active, and the short-term, declining channel to get broken. Somewhat balancing this view is the concern that a significant dividend cut may be approaching, if the company exits its existing Convertible Equity Portfolio Financings (CEPFs), which total almost $4.6B vs. a market cap of less than $2.2B. NYSE:NEP used 70% stock and 30% cash to retire the first of these contracts. Some of the remaining ones would allow up to 100% stock. This raises the prospect of the share count tripling as the CEPFs get retired. In that case, the dividend expense may be more than the company can manage, forcing a significant cut. But I am looking to gradually shift my "energy" exposure from the current focus on oil and gas producers towards renewable energy and NYSE:NEP may present an opportunity to start this process at an attractive valuation. All in all, I am giving this a try, but I will be quick to exit this position, if the green trading channel were to get violated to the downside.
N
by matthias
8
Stock of the Week: Whirlpool of India with Consistent Dividends Fundamental Analysis: NSE:WHIRLPOOL Whirlpool of India has shown consistent financial strength, making it a top pick for this week. The company has maintained higher dividends for the past seven years, highlighting its commitment to returning value to shareholders. As a prominent player in the household consumables sector, Whirlpool benefits from strong market positioning. Additionally, its liquid assets exceed any obligations, ensuring financial stability and flexibility. Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, NSE:WHIRLPOOL Whirlpool of India is exhibiting a bullish double bottom pattern, which is a strong indicator of potential upward movement. The stock is currently in a buying zone, following a significant two-year breakout on the back of NSE:HINDUNILVR HUL news. This breakout is supported by higher relative strength compared to the broader market and a good volume range, indicating robust investor interest. Trade Setup : • Entry: Buy in the buying zone indicated in the chart • Stop Loss: 1630.15 • Potential Upside: 2553 (35-40%)
NSE:WHIRLPOOLLong
by hrishikeshrahalkar
AMZN Under Pressure to Offer a DividendInventory adjustments are underway for $NASDAQ:AMZN. These adjustments are minor as Dark Pools are holding AMZN long-term, but there are other opportunities to boost ROI in younger companies. AMZN needs to provide a dividend now that it is a Dow 30 stock. The mild rotation is a gentle reminder to the Board of Directors from their most critical and important investors, the Giant Buy Side Institutions. AMZN is the only fortune 500 company on the S&P500 that doesn't provide a dividend YET. The company's CEO is seasoned and aware that the Board must soon offer dividends, as it is no longer merely a "growth" company. The pressure is increasing to force a dividend by the Giant investors. This should happen this year. There are no buybacks going on right now either. So the lowering of inventory is a warning to get this done. The Buy Side has the clout to influence the Board's decisions. This would benefit all investors big and small. The support is at the lows of the red box on the chart, as indicated by the gap down white candle that quickly ended the previous selling by smaller funds. WHEN, not if, AMZN announces a dividend, there is likely to be some brief momentum activity to the upside.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Liquity / LQTY & Binance The price of LQTY is $2.3 today with a 24hour trading volume of 80 million dollars. This represents a 80% price increase in the last 24 hours and a 250% price increase in the past 30 days. With a circulating supply of 91 Million LQTY, Liquity is valued at a market cap of 200 million dollars thanks to CZ! Liquity is a decentralized borrowing protocol built on Ethereum that utilizes LQTY, a USD-pegged stablecoin. Ether holders can draw loans in the form of LQTY with algorithmically adjusted redemption and loan issuance fees as you see LQTY whales are notorious for dumping on retails so don't forget the stop loss(rug). next targets are 2.7 and 2.9$
L
by moonypto
CONY: A Very Speculative Buy w/ Chart Pattern w/Bitcoin&CoinbaseFundamentals: CONY is a covered call strategy. If bitcoin collapses again, the CONY will go bust. It could turn into a dividend trap. It is highly speculative. However, if bitcoin propels forward or goes sideways, then these two scenarios will be best for CONY. Technicals: Plan: To trade CONY buy observing health signals from bitcoin (BTCUSD). Theory: Reading the tape is the same as identifying chart patterns with transaction volume. BTCUSD is retesting its all time highs and consolidating. BTCUSD has given two buy signals after re-testing all time highs: two morning stars on the daily chart. BTCUSD daily uHd with extreme buy indicator. Note: CONY today has issued a dividend of $2.7944 per share today; hence, the drop in the chart on CONY. Meanwhile, bitcoin has given a buy signal today. It is worth the risk. Here is a daily chart of bitcoin with the buy signal: CONY, itself, is within the 23.8% - 38% buy zone area of a large cup-with-handle pattern, after a minor successful cup-with-handle pattern within it that appear in February 2024. If bitcoin does not collapse, then this could be the beginning of "wave b" or "wave 2" and end of minor 4th wave. Comment: I speculate that CONY will reach around $38 buy July or August 2024. The plan is to re-invest dividends along the way. I am treating the money invested as though all of it is gone, for now.
AMEX:CONYLong
by Rocketman
15
ZIM: Crown PatternFundamentals: high dividend Earnings report projection seems positive. Sales has been accelerating and expected sales and earnings going in to the second quarter and third quarter should be positive. This company is cyclical and is affected by freight prices. So, something like FREIGHTOS BALTIC INDEX (FBX): GLOBAL CONTAINER FREIGHT INDEX at freightos.com is something to monitor; or Worldwide Container Index: www.drewry.co.uk If freight prices go up, then this is good for the company. If they are relatively stable, that is ok too. Technicals: Weekly d3 volume w/ doji bar Weekly NR4/7 bar 61.85 fib support uHd on weekly MACD histogram Weekly Crown with good volume. Comment: I would like it if the price moved back above the weekly kijun. Below that invalidates the Crown. Daily: hit daily a-b-c completion area which is also the weekly 61.8% fib support area (confluence). Comment: If this is the bottom and prices begin to rise, then I project 18 or 20 by August 2024 if it does not consolidate before that. If the stock prices do rise to 18 or 20, then it would be good to hold just for the dividend yield alone if it consolidates.
NYSE:ZIMLong
by Rocketman
4
EIC: EAGLE POINT INCOME COMPANY Extension Buy ZoneFundamentals: Eagle Point Income Company (EIC) is not a super stock, but a solid monthly dividend payer. The dividend seems stable, and the outlook of the company is stable. Eagle Point Income is a closed-end investment company whose primary investment objective is to generate high current income, with a secondary objective to generate capital appreciation. Eagle Point Income invests primarily in junior debt tranches of CLOs in addition to investing up to 35% of their total assets (at the time of investment) in CLO equity securities and related securities and instruments. CLO Junior Debt is an Attractive Asset Class because BB-rated CLO debt has had a relatively low historical default rate of 4 bps per annum. BB-rated CLO debt offers the potential for higher returns as compared to senior secured loans and high yield bonds. The Credit Suisse Leveraged Loan Index has generated positive returns in 29 of the past 32 full calendar years. EIC currently is paying a 13% to 15% annual dividend yield with a monthly payout. Technicals: Weekly: Weekly Triangle breakout on top of horizontal support test from Feb. 2023's high. Weekly Crown pattern Stage 3 ichimoku crown trend (strategy 3). ADX trending MACD and MACD Ichimoku up 1st pb of a new trend after a-b-c extension Retracement to weekly 38%-50% area. It could turn into a kijun trend bounce. Could be the "X" point of a W-X-Y wave. Weekly uHd developing inside 200 EMA wave Plan: I plan to reinvest the monthly dividend of this stock as long as I hold it. It is a place to park a little bit of unused capital for primarily dividend income and capital appreciation is seen as a bonus. The target will be the October 2021 all-time-high (19.54ish). I believe the price will reach 17 to 20 by December 2024 or March 2025.
NYSE:EICLong
by Rocketman
New Lower High near previous recent higher low.(IDaily) Over the next the few months , this seasonal analyses is based on the idea that the Dollar could gain in strength over the next few months because of all the money that was used in the purchase of gold and ended pushing the price of it higher. Gold prices are priced in US dollars but not only that situation but also the money that has been flood in the exchanges also has an positive impact on the currency. To simply put it; demand and supply. The idea that more demand causes a increase in the price to 104.403.
PEPPERSTONE:USDX
by KhoraCapital
Alternative Investment: SIMPLIFY VOLATILITY PREMIUM ETFFundamentals: SIMPLIFY VOLATILITY PREMIUM ETF (SVOL) tries to minimize volatility with maximizing dividend income. It is an alternative investment that does not correlate with market drops, but attempts to capture profits from volatility in the VIX. SVOL does not hold stocks and does not use a covered called strategy to generate its dividend yield. This fund makes a profit by betting against the VIX by shorting S&P500 VIX volatility short-term futures while hedging tail events using UVXY calls. It buys call options if volatility suddenly spikes to counter the losing short positions. It sells options and distributes a portion of its profits to investors in the form of a dividend. The value of the VIX contracts in contango (upward slope) will drop over time, generally (similar to time decay or theta decay), but the contango must be present in order to generate its returns; that is, with contango, the long-term contracts must be more expensive than the shorter-term contracts with sufficient spread. This fund minimizes its risk with buying calls on the VIX using UVXY calls with small 25% of asset positions max (less than 1/4 of assets), not 100% of its assets to short like XIV (which dead because of a volmageddom even back in 2018). When things are normal (fear is low) SVOL does well. Technicals: Weekly: Price is on cloud support in stage 3 ichomiku trend MACD and MACD-ichimoku above zero Daily: daily hammer with d3 volume between 38%-50% fib support Comment: If price breaches the high of the hammer tomorrow, I probably will hop in.
AMEX:SVOLLong
by Rocketman
$CINF and $AFG long investmentUPDATE: The image I embedded in the TV chart for this idea was somehow rejected on the post. So I posted it on Imgur instead. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ The chart I present for this idea doesn't look like a normal TradingView chart. The reason is that this is not a trade, based on chart technicals, but an investment, which I intend to hold for years. So, I don't care quite so much whether the stock wiggles upward or downward or sideways over the next two weeks. If you're looking for a trade, stop reading now. This idea is not for you. If you're still reading, you're waiting for an explanation of the above chart. I I'll get to that, but first I want to step back a bit further. I spent the last week looking through US-listed insurance companies for a candidate to invest for the long haul. Why? First: Real yields are at 2.5%, a level not seen since the GFC. This favors owning low-risk bond portfolios -- the kind insurance companies have. Both NYSE:AFG and NASDAQ:CINF have about $1.50 in investments for every dollar in market cap. Second: As rates plateau, the AOCI losses that depress the tangible equity of insurance companies can gradually reverse, becoming a value creation tailwind. AOCI is 6% of NASDAQ:CINF 's tangible BV, and 14% of NYSE:AFG 's. This is very modest. Other insurance companies ($LNC...) ignored duration risk and had their portfolio bludgeoned half to death. From a short-term point of view, that makes NYSE:LNC perversely intriguing. If that stock survives its could get quite the bounce. But owning insurance stock shouldn't be a thrilling experience. Third: Insurers are raking in big rate increases as they reprice catastrophe risks, inflation, and "social inflation". Florida homeowners know what I'm talking about. And lastly: NASDAQ:CINF has a beta of 0.65, NYSE:AFG has a beta of 0.8. In other words these are "defensive" stocks, unlike banks, say. In uncertain times, insurers may suffer less than other industries. Though, the record is a bit uneven on that: During the dotcom crash they did well, in the GFC and pandemic, not so much. So, to finally get to the chart: What even is the Tangible Value Creation Ratio? It's a modification of a key metric that NASDAQ:CINF uses to manage their business. Here's their definition : “Value Creation Ratio” means the total of 1) rate of growth in book value per share plus 2) the ratio of dividends declared per share to beginning book value per share. I prefer tangible book value to book value, so that's what I use. But that quibble aside, I really like this metric: It captures what I am truly interested in as an investor: Dividends and growth in the value of common shareholder's tangible equity. And the ratio also doesn't penalize companies for their choices with respect to dividend policy, capital structure, stock splits, and so on. It simply holds management responsible for the outcome to common shareholders. So, I calculate that ratio on a quarterly basis, aggregate it over multi-period spans and then annualize it. I think this ratio is particularly suited for a long-term analysis, since there's a certain variability in the short term, due to catastrophe losses and/or rate fluctiations. I actually did create the chart for a full 20-year span. If anyone wants to see it, let me know. But NASDAQ:CINF 's executive team came on in 2011, and it seems that the performance of the company has improved substantially since then. Obviously, Berkshire Hathaway is the biggest insurer in the group. And based on this chart it looks very fairly priced for its excellent long-term performance. So why don't I want it? It's not that I don't trust Buffett & Munger, or their eventual replacements. I am more concerned about investors' reaction to these legends passing the baton. Whenever and however that might happen. To me, this just seems like a big event risk. As for NYSE:PGR , I'd love to own it, if it ever comes back from the valuation stratosphere. NYSE:RLI also seems like a very well-run insurer. But the slight edge in long-term performance doesn't seem to justify the huge bump in valuation. A word about my data: I calculated these metrics programmatically, using financial statements downloaded from public sources. I did verify some of the data and calculations, but the testing is limited at this point. If anyone wants to compare notes, I am happy to. As a last note: NASDAQ:CINF will report earnings after the close today. (Thursday, 2023-10-26). I bought some yesterday. But I doubt that the stock will jump in a meaningful way after earnings, even if they turn out to be brilliant. This thesis will likely take several years to play out one way or the other.
NASDAQ:CINFLong
by matthias