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Forecast of financial results for Q4`21 - an upside of 20%We calculate financial indicators for the 4th quarter of 2021 Revenue — $3163.3 million (3278*965) EBITDA — $1250.2 million (3278*381.4) Profit - $911M (1250-125)*(1-0.19) Change in NCF - $125 decrease based on 12% of revenue (1643-3163.3*0.12*4) FCF — $875.2 mln 92% qoq increase (EBITDA-change in PFC-CAPEX-taxes = 1250.2+125-286-214) Dividend - 5.7 rubles. an increase of 214% qoq (875.2*73/11174.33) received more than the target of 4.5 rubles. that means there will be other regular expenses with an increase in CPAEX by $200 million.
RUS:MAGNLong
by lebedev.k.m
Kroger stock is investor's safehaven in a volatile period.Hi everyone, Today I want to raise an interesting topic of stock market sector rotations. NYSE:KR is a great example to demonstrate that. Since late November broad risk assests have been selling off. When investors see the rise in volatility and sell their tech stocks, where do they put their money? They reinvest their money into low risk assets. NYSE:KR stock recently fired off a signal for a great buy opportunity . That's because Kroger represents Consumer Defensive stock sector and money has been flowing in from all the risk assets selling. And indeed, we can see that since November 22 stock gained around 25% in price. Now it is making all time highs, while all major indexes are nowhere near their tops. As the cycle continues, money will outflow from the stock, which will cause it to retrace back. But do not forget that Kroger is an established business with decent earnings and a long history of dividend payments. It won't crash like tech stocks tend to do. Instead, it will retrace to around 40-43 level. And when the tech recovers and we reach peak of bullish euphoria once again, just buy some Kroger stock . Trade wisely and good luck! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer!!! This is not financial advise
NYSE:KR
by AyBe_Invest
AT&T ready to for the next big jump? Dear TradingView-Community, today I want to share the first investment idea and I hope it will help you making the right decisions or bring a new perspective to your analysis. I really would like you to ask for feedback, that I can also learn from different views to become better over time. Thanks a lot for your time and I really hope it is not wasted, but for your benefit. As you can see on the chart, it is a really long cycle of the AT&T stock performance. As many communication stocks at that time AT&T hit its all-time high shortly before the dot-com bubble reached its biggest volume. AT&T have never seen this price since. Instead over the years there were several up and downs, but all had one thing in common >> every high and low stayed within a triangle (purple lines) and the volatility went down more and more. In October 2021 after presenting Q3 results, the stock price went to free fall and left the triangle to the lower end. But the downturn haven't stopped there, also the last significant support zone at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement - red line and active since 2005 - couldn't stop the sell off. Instead the chart went down almost until the last significant low from both - end of the dot-com correction (2002-2003) and end of the financial crisis (end of 2008-2009) (red bubbles). Now let's take a closer look to the indicators, to find out if this also is a similar extreme reaction of the market as it was twice in the last decade. 1. RSI - Relative Strength Index As you can see in the picture only 4 times since 2000 we could see a oversold situation in the weekly RSI chart until today. It is relatively easy to interpret the first 3 oversold situation because it was always the end of a broader market correction (dot-com, financial crisis, Covid 1st wave). Therefore it was also pretty easy to predict that the oversold situation will be corrected by increasing stock prices after the fear went out of market and the optimisim took place. But what about the current situation? We have an even more oversold situation, in fact we reached a new all-time low at 16.46. It would be very easy to argue that this is a perfect moment to buy stocks as much as possible, because this oversold situation will be cleared for sure very soon. But... In my opinion there are several obstacles on the way and it is not that clear that a higher RSI also comes along with a higher stock price. 1. Currently we don't have had a broader market event that explains the downturn of this stock. 2. The competitor situation has changed dramatically over the last decade. (rise of T-Mobile US and recently the rollout of Tesla's StarLink project. 3. The liability situation becomes worse dramatically over the last 5 years with acquisitions of DirecTV and TimeWarner. 4. Both really large acquisitions are already on the way to separate again from AT&T in new corporations, but for a far lower value than purchased before. 5. The necessity of investing into 5G and fiber optic infrastructure to fight the competitors. 6. The latest spin-off announcement and the merger of HBO and Discovery also leads to dividend cuts for the first time since 50 years. 7. Technically the bearish cross of the triangle is a massive sell signal, but this is already happen and the price dropped already 20% since then. Nevertheless, I need to point out that all above arguments also have some positive counterparts + we need to differentiate between a long-term investment based on value investment strategies and an short to mediate technical based investment. So let's find out the positive things about the current situation and the nearer future: 1. Technically we are at an extreme low point when it comes to fib-retracement and RSI - that can lead to a turnaround with a short-term potential until $24.75 (23.6% Fib-retracement) or even $29.34 (38.2% Fib and connection to the triangle. 2. The merger of HBO-Discovery leads to a lot of additional stocks from the new corporation (70% of the AT&T stocks when you hold your stocks until the merger went through (approx. mid 2022). As you can see after several spin-off of different companies (e.g. Mercedes-Benz AG split from Mercedes-Benz Truck and Buses) the sum of both stocks are very often more worth than the stock before the spin-off. Means even when the AT&T stock price is not tending upwards, the spin-off and merger next year brings lots of potential. 3. The Spin-off leads to a significant liability reduction for the AT&T stock and that leads to a better value for the whole company. 4. The new merger is one of the market entertainment leader and with its digital and subscription growth strategy as well as its plans to expand to Europe, the best position in sport documentation and the strong brands will be a great base for expansion. 5. The reduced dividend kicks out dividend investors, but also leads to more free cash-flow to speed up the extension of 5G and fiber network. 6. The separation from the media section leads to more focus on the core business and allows to slimline the customer approach what also will safe operational costs. 7. AT&T is still a strong brand and one of the biggest communication companies in the world. It serves not just the US but the most countries of the world on all continents. Especially in raising Latin America AT&T is leader in costumer experience and working environment. A great foundation for further growth. Also the connection to the US government and especially into the emergency and health sector is a Garant for stable returns. What I am now looking for to find a safe trade-in point with a W/L ratio of at least 2/1: 1. MACD weekly When the blue line is crossing the red line again upwards that is a clear sign of strength and very bullish to interpret. Especially on the weekly basis. To trade-in earlier and have both - more potential and risk - you can use the daily basis instead. But the risk of a false signal is slightly higher. 2. OBV weekly OBV stands for On-Balance-Volume and symbolize the activity of "smart money". Means a new high in OBV symbols massive institutional activities and could be interpreted that there is a lot of big money in the stock. On the other side new lows symbol the complete opposite. As you can see in the chart above the idea is to figure out new extreme points and use them as an investment chance. In my opinion, we currently see a big uncertainty from institutions about the plans AT&T is planning to go. Or more likely because of the uncertainty the big money went out of the stock to observe the ongoing events and the next steps of the company from the side lane. This brings me to think about against the main stream and feels a lot like over fearing. For me a good signal to get in, because as soon as the smart money comes back, the stock price is likely already jump by 10% or more. 3. CMV weekly The Chaikin-Money-Flow stands for buying pressure when positive and for selling pressure when negative. As you find in the Chart, very often a new low of the CMV leads to a massive return reaction in the chart price. Therefore I am thinking again with this new all time low, the technical pressure to the upside is already in the making and could lead to a new buying period over the next couple of month. What do you think about my interpretation on AT&T? Is it a buy, a hold or still a stock to short? I am already excited about your additional indicators that had work for you and what this indicators may tell about the next move of the AT&T stock. Please also feel free to comment critic on my interpretation, but it would be great, when you also add some value how to do better in future. Again thank you very much for your time and if this was value for you, you are always welcome to donate. That helps me to stay motivated in sharing my analysis. Best wishes and maximum profit for all of you. Daniel from EcoFinLife >>> When all passengers in a boat are leaning to much over port it's time to go to starboard. Earlier than later the others will follow. <<<
NYSE:TLong
by TradingMasteryHub
6
Balance Sheet - What year! Dear subscribers In order to give our subscribers a better overview of my positions, we have created a balance sheet again after a long break. This balance sheet shows our publicly announced positions and gives everyone an update which positions are still open. If you like our work feel free to like and subscribe so you won't miss future updates. We place high value on transparency and honesty, therefore we link every single featured article with the announced entry below. APPLE MICROSOFT COCA-COLA VISA SAP1 SAP2 MC'DONALDS XPENG ETHUSD1 ETHUSD2 BTCUSD
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by Mendenmein-Capital
KO - Exactly as predicted in 2020My dear subscribers, my last update on Coca Cola was published more than a year ago. NYSE:KO As I'm sure most of my visitors have noticed, our strategy focuses on mid- to long-term investing in international companies . In the last few months, I have made important decisions in various stocks in addition to Apple, Microsoft, Mc-Donalds and IBM. I publish most of these analyses only on my own website outside of Tradingview. Now some important technical details about Coca Cola. In the past, Coca Cola has mostly tended to run sideways and formed several large Wave 1 / Wave 2 setups. The energy of those formations has now been released in the last few weeks and the stock is going steeply upwards. In the coming weeks and months, we can expect prices close to 67$ and new all-time highs are within reach. As long as the important support at 48.11$ is not invalidated, the coming multi-year bull market is unbroken. If you are curious about the original analysis, feel free to read the post below. 1# Long 14.9.2020 Long at: 50.29$ Profit Targets: 65$, Longterm 70$-80$ Stop-Loss: 50.29$ (On Entry) =================================================================================================================== If you have questions related to a specific stock or the Elliot Wave theory, feel free to contact me.
NYSE:KOLong
by Mendenmein-Capital
5
A progressive long-term investment, a poker move?Dear investor, welcome to this new analysis of Senstar Technologies. I offer you a long term investment idea, not short/medium term trading, it is important to make the difference. From an analytical point of view, several indicators point to a weak or strong decline even if the RSI is already in the oversold zone, but the market sentiment is rather optimistic but not positive, which could herald a rise after several declines on the buying zones presented above. It is difficult to guess the market in the short term, that's why this time I suggest you to invest in this company, a rather correct financial health can show us that this company can show a good financial management in the long term and why not pay several dividends in the future : - Current liabilities: SNT's current assets ($38.7M) are greater than its current liabilities ($12.0M). - Long-term liabilities: SNT's current assets ($38.7M) exceed its long-term liabilities ($8.8M). I'll let you look at their annual balance sheet in more detail, to form your own opinion. But feel free to do your own research, this is just an analysis, this scenario may not come true. This is not an investment advice.
NASDAQ:SNTShort
by E-Auvergne
Establishing a position in QYLD - how and why QYLD is a covered call ETF. They write calls on stock they own to bring in more consistent and predictable income. They do this to generate returns via options, this is helpful if you don't know how or aren't comfortable writing calls on your stock. It would behoove you to establish small positions after they pay their dividend should you choose to buy in. This happens monthly so you'll have more opportunities down the road to add onto your position. Their top holdings are VERY concentrated in the FAANG stocks. Does well in neutral markets. QYLD pays a hefty dividend of 11.94% or about $2.70/share annually Here is the wise way to buy this ETF. Wait until the dividend is paid (monthly in this case), and then spread out your buys across the next several days. There is no sure way to tell when the sellers will be done selling, so you want to be strategic - be careful of how long you wait because you may miss the dip all together. Note : QQQ returns are significantly higher over the long term. QYLD is NOT in my opinion a buy and hold forever investment. Use is as a hedge if you want, but however you use it I hope that this short idea helps clarify how to maximize your return with QYLD. NASDAQ:QYLD
NASDAQ:QYLD
by DontSlamTheDoor
3
Positive Data Released by The Bureau of Labor Statistics.The US dollar index has faced a rise of 0.35% between the support line 94.283 and the resistance line 94.609, and this is due to the positive data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics about three economic indicators. Firstly, the unemployment rate which has been less than the expected percentage by 0.1%. Secondly, the average hourly earnings which has been more than the expected percentage by 0.1%. Thirdly, the change in employment in the non-agricultural sector which has been more than the expected data by 76k points. Therefore, the index is expected to rise to breach the resistance line 94.609, on the contrary, if the index declines, it will break the first support line 94.44 to meet the second support line 94.283 then the third support line 94.19
TVC:DXY
by RowaynaAhmed
How to adjust your charts for dividend paymentsBond funds like the SPDR Portfolio Mortgage Backed Bond ETF (SPMB) often look like money-losers when you view their returns on a non-adjusted basis. In this case, the price is down about -0.74% over the life of the fund. The picture looks very different when you adjust for dividends. For SPMB, the return changes to +46.09% over the life of the fund: That's obviously a very different chart than the non-adjusted chart. Dividend adjustment can also make a large difference for high-yield dividend stocks. For instance, IBM is down over the last ten years on a non-adjusted basis, but on an adjusted basis it has gone sideways. IBM, non-adjusted: IBM, adjusted: The commonly accepted adjustment methodology is that the most recent closing price will be the same on an adjusted and non-adjusted chart, but historical closing prices will be different. On an adjusted chart, the stock price on a historical date will be shown as the current closing price minus all dividends paid since then. Dividend subtractions typically are made on a percentage rather than dollar basis to prevent historical prices from showing as negative values. To actually perform the calculation is a little technical, but that's the overall idea. To apply dividend adjustment to a TradingView chart is super easy. In the lower right-hand corner of your chart, you will see the letters "adj". Click to toggle between adjusted and non-adjusted price data. When the text is blue, you are viewing the adjusted chart. When the text is black, adjustment is turned off. Right next to the letters "adj" is a "%" symbol. Toggling this on and off will switch the axis of the chart between dollars and percent change over the period visible on the chart. This is useful for comparing adjusted and non-adjusted returns. One implication of using adjusted charts is that the support levels and moving averages will be in different places. For instance, on a non-adjusted basis, VALE is currently below its 200-week moving average. On an adjusted basis, it is well above the average. VALE, non-adjusted: Vale, adjusted: In short, on an adjusted basis a stock may not be as cheap as it looks on a non-adjusted basis. Many quant traders and hedge funds will be using adjusted moving averages rather than non-adjusted ones.
AMEX:SPMBEducation
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
28
#HEX to a million dollars. Fundamentally, there are reasons..why this could actually be possible. I will post a youtube video on exploring these possibilities (stay tuned) Will it? Idk but i place a High probability that the T share will hit a million dollars within a few years ( a 100X from here or roughly $40 HEX) The only other #Crypto that could possibly reach that magical figure is #Bitcoin but only with significant nation state adoption. HEX does not need the same deep pocket institutional and sovereign state adoption. Because the value proposition remains the same regardless of the price per token. Trustless interest is needed by all. Good monetary behaviour is needed for every man and child.
HLong
by BallaJi
38