UAN x2 next yearExpect it to return to pre-covid levels.
Maybe with 10-20% discount.
Overall their business seems safe.
Take profit - 25. Or maybe even to keep it long-term, depending on how they will pay dividends.
Dividends
ET has free cashflowEt free cashflow turned positive last earnings in a big way. Let's see how if they continue on the trend on Feb 24, 2021
XOP fractalOil prices have been on a tear lately, driven by a combination of travel recovery and inflation expectations. Oil and gas stocks have been rising along with them. (Other commodities prices are climbing as well, by the way, which bodes well for value stocks for the foreseeable future.)
Oil and gas companies still looks reasonably valued, with roughly 10-15% upside to median valuation of the last 4 years. The space still offers some of the best dividends available, even after a number of companies made dividend cuts last year. However, companies in the space are also still financially pretty weak. Free cash flow has plummeted toward zero even on some of the most secure oil majors. So there's definitely some risk.
In technical terms, I noticed that XOP looks to be making a repeating fractal pattern. If the fractal continues, then we ought to see the price rise more or less straight up from the current close of $72 to my target at about $80, before pulling back toward the trend line. Be aware that I've not traded fractals much, so I don't really know how likely this is to play out. Just posting the idea here for future reference.
Seagate Technologies bullish trend line breakSeagate Technologies has been in a correction since mid-December, but today it made a bullish break across a trend line that has held for about 4 weeks. Seagate is one of the better values in the technology space, with a dividend payout of over 4.5% and about 11% upside to its median earnings-day valuation of the last 3 years. It's a highly innovative company, averaging 26 patents per year per billion in market cap.
Sentiment for Seagate has been somewhat negative, with analysts and technicals neutral and options interest mostly on the put side. However, today's trend line break signals that sentiment is beginning to improve. We may see one or two more dips before the stock moves decisively higher, but I do think an upward move will be coming in the next few weeks.
Long Bristol Myers for 2021 and beyond- Technical w/FundamentalBristol Myers is in a great position both fundamentally and technically. Time horizon is 1-2 years.
Technical:
Ascending Triangle with Price above the 30-day and 210-day simple moving averages. This could squeeze into the previous highs set in 2018 and 2016 (~$75).
We want to see the price continue to stay above these averages as well as the trend line connecting the recent higher lows.
Fundamental:
-Recent Celgene acquisition adds $18B in revenue and diversifies BMY's product portfolio. Before the acquisition, BMY's Top 3 Drugs made up almost 75% of its total revenue. After the acquisition this same ratio is only 43%, decreasing BMY's reliance on its top 3 drugs.
-Last three years the average P/E based on operating earnings for BMY has been 14.21, and at their current price they are trading at a 9.79, suggesting they may be currently undervalued.
-Dividend of $1.92 or 3.14% yield
-21.41% Adjusted Operating Earnings growth rate
-A+ S&P credit rating
Price Target = $100-110
Bullish on Cochin ShipyardCochin shipyard is near near its resistance and looks good to break the resistance and move to 415. On daily chart, EMA 200 is 335 and and RSI is 59.
Long on L&T Finance....But why ?Technical Analysis
1. Close to breakout ie. R1
2. Breakout in RSI
3. EMA bullish Cross about to happen
Fundamental Analysis
* Opportunity
1. P/B ratio is low
2. Dividend Yield is good compares to peers
3. YOY Quarterly profit is Higher then peers
4. Compounded sales growth is increasing
5. Promoters' shareholding is 63.67%
6. Reserves is increasing
*Weakness
1. Company have huge borrowing
2. EPS is low compare to peers and historic data
3. Interest coverage ratio is low
** This is the right time to invest in this company.
XRP - A fundamental case for a long term bias/tradeFacts:
- SEC is suing Ripple Labs for the sale of unregistered securities
- XRP and Ripple are not the same. XRP is the coin, Ripple Labs is the company
- Unless Ripple Labs goes public, XRP it is not a security
Bullish news:
SBI, a Japanese company that has recently acquired multiple crypto exchanges in 2020 and initially invested in XRP with company SBI Ripple Asia in 2016, is interested in a crypto index that is majority XRP
SBI offers shareholders XRP as dividend payouts
SBI Ripple Asia is not being sued by the SEC
SBI Ripple Asia is very interested in using XRP as its blazing fast remittance currency, and MoneyTap (not a U.S. company) will be using it.
" Interbank transfer fees remained high in Japan and have not been changed for more than 40 years, which is unusual by international standards. "
Japan's regulatory body FSA has already declared XRP is not a security .
Bought on saleIt's 50% off compared to its intrinsic value.
It could go down further, thus the stop. It's "risky".
Out of all the tech stocks I've looked at $ CSCO has the BEST fundamentals.
High growth potential.
You probably want to wait for when it goes back up or grab some call options.
I only bought a single share. So it could go to 0 I wouldn't cry about it.
The fundamentals are there. The price doesn't make sense this low.
BUY REML ETF, annual dividend ~54%ETF will move up to minimum price of $20, buy now and keep it till then.
BTI Dividend playIn the run up to the previous LAST DAY for dividend payout near the end of SEP there was a spike in the share price. It appears we are on track for a similar spike as the LAST DAY is 14 DECEMBER for the final quarterly dividend.
FLIR, somewhat undervalued technology stock on trend line watchFLIR Systems makes high-tech imaging systems. The stock has been selling off since its last earnings report, despite the fact that earnings and guidance both beat analyst estimates. Perhaps the selloff was because the company failed to issue forward guidance, or perhaps it was because free cash flow took an 18% hit last quarter and FLIR announced a 2.5% debt issuance in July. Regardless, FLIR now looks cheap, and sentiment has been improving lately.
Valuation
I expect that FLIR's dividend will yield 1.9% in the next 12 months. Its PEG is about 17, so not great, but not terrible. PSG ratio is 2.72. Again, not great, but not terrible. The real case for the stock being undervalued is that it's near the bottom of its three-year valuation range in P/E, P/S, and P/D terms. Despite the decrease in free cash flow, the company has a 77/100 financial health score from S&P Global. S&P Global also rates the stock 72/100 for its valuation, meaning the stock is solidly, but not extremely, undervalued. One reason I like FLIR is its patent portfolio. Patents granted are a leading indicator of earnings growth, and over the last three years, FLIR has been granted and average of 16 patents per billion dollars of current market cap. That very respectable number puts its patents-to-market cap ratio in the same league as Intel, which ranked 4th in the nation for total patents granted in 2019. In short, FLIR is a leading innovator for its market cap size.
Sentiment and Technicals
Analysts have been steadily upgrading FLIR, and it currently has an 8/10 Equity Starmine Summary Score. Options traders are quite bullish on the stock, with a put/call ratio of just 0.29. The technicals on FLIR are still negative, but improved slightly today to "sell" from yesterday's "strong sell" reading on both the daily and weekly charts. I'll be watching for a bullish cross of the trend line FLIR has formed since February as my buying signal.
Coal India Dividend harvesting analysisCoal India Dividend harvesting using a combination of Stock and single stock future.
One dividend announcement date (Let us call it POD, short for Position Open Date)
Buy 1 future lot worth of Stock on the date of dividend announcement
Sell 1 future lot on the date of dividend announcement.
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Be patient until the Ex-Dividend Date
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One day After Ex-Dividend Date Sell the stocks bought on POD & Buy the future back.
Profit loss from both the above positions should be nullified.
Enjoy the dividend in your bank account, that will be deposited by COALINDIA in a few days (Be sure to plan for taxes before you spend it all !!).
Calculating psychological pressure in close or open deltasThis is a bit of an odd one. I just thought it may be interesting to consider whether the percent movement required to get to 20k had a pattern or specific values that helped it grow or shrink.
I think there is a better way of analyzing this; mostly in the deltas of the open/closes themselves without regard to '20,000', as the number is meaningless in a market sense, and only a value 1 below 20,001 and 1 above 19,999
quiz included. Take what you want from it.
The important part is that you think differently, but not so differently that you begin to make decisions that ignore your more trusted signals, or whateveryoumayhave.
edit: nvm you can't see info lines in these I guess lol
just trust the %
Eaton (ETN) Long-Short PlayThe time frame is the daily time frame for this trade.
If the stock closes at the contested zone on the higher side, initiate the trade and close the trade at the stop if the daily price closes above $110. Sale zones are highlighted in yellow to close the trade going into resistance at key price levels.
Can leave trailers on if the stock blows past the resistance zones on a profitable trade, but take 3/4 of the profits off the table to keep it as a profitable trade at that point.
Green Vertical Line:
Date the trade becomes in play, after earnings on Tuesday, November 3rd. Earnings for other companies have experienced drops the weeks prior. Took risky to be in before earnings announcement or a potential contested election on Wednesday. Will have more clarity on whether this is a trade on not on Wednesday afternoon or Thursday Morning.
Orange Lines (Dividend Dates):
Ex-Dividend is November 5th, which means risk for assignments on the credit side, so this will be a debit play.
Dividend is paid out on November 20th.
Expect directional pressure on those dates indicated by the arrow direction due to the dividend announcements.
Risk-Reward Ratio Short: 7.58
Risk-Reward Ratio Long: 4.64
I know, it's scary… But it's on my watchlist. This is one of my favorites in the industry.
It's overall solid. I plan to buy this year.
I think positive future earnings are priced in so I'll wait for people to be disappointed by Q4 :| (If they're not, it's an even stronger buy)
It's at about $0.70 on the dollar according to my latest valuation. I'm kinda waiting for the earnings, really.
It's been pretty solid over the last decade, before 'rona. I don't see why it wouldn't in the future, in fact I believe that it's bound to go up despite the apparent "wedge".
I need to look deeper into the background of the company before really committing.
I may buy before finishing my homework, in which case I'll use a stop loss.
Please don't rely on my opinion. Do your own research (especially since I'm not done with mine)
$Marps seasonal advantage looking for a retestNatural gas in the winter have a seasonal advantage
the low number of outstanding shares and the 5 mil market cap makes this stock a candidate for a big upside move
price target 9-11$
Long term bullish trendSouth African Rand is entering a relative strength period against the Australian Dollar that unleash 2 trading Ideas.
First Idea: buy for 10-20% profit with similar stop-loss.
Second Idea: buy for long term (at least 1 year) and benefit from both positive interest differential and positive trend for at least 30% estimated gain with 20% stop-loss.
Altria poised to climb from hereOn this week's ISM PMI report, the fastest-growing industry for September was "Food, Beverage, and Tobacco." So I looked at the tobacco space over the weekend and noticed that the tobacco company Altria recently made a fairly large price correction and looks to be making a U-shaped bottom, with an imminent bullish cross on the MACD. With the positive technicals and positive economic data for the sector, it looks like a pretty good buy.
Plus, fundamentals and sentiment look fairly good, too. Altria pays a 9% dividend, and its earnings, sales, book value, and free cash flow are currently priced an average of about 37% below the median price for the last three years. Investors have been discounting tobacco stocks due to competition from e-cigarettes, but the reality is that Altria is poised to capture market share in the e-cig space too, with a couple hundred vape-related patent filings over the past few years. In terms of sentiment, there's 23% upside to the average analyst price target, according to TipRanks, and the Equity Starmine analyst summary score is 9.2/10. Options traders are bullish, with more than twice as many calls as puts.
Consumer staples and dividend payers tend to outperform in a recession, so Altria has potential as a defensive hedge should the recession double dip.
