Possible Movement After CPI 2/14/2023Possible price movement going towards the CPI data on Feb 14th, 2023. Good luck trading!
DJI
AW Dow Jones Analysis - Next Bull Market Closer Than You Think..In this video I do some live analysis as I change the labels for Wave D and explain how we are on the cusp of the next bull market.
Now we are beginning to see a raft of confluence across several markets that indicate that there is not long to go before that happens.
When I see similar things (Not the same) across several charts that start to align it become easier for me to prefer one view over another.
My main goal here is to not miss the beginning of the bull market in Cryptos and have fun in the process of doing the analysis on the other markets.
Refining my ideas takes time as I whittle down the possibilities using the methodology I created.
My analysis gives you extremely unique insights into the markets.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
Dollarization Will Push US Stock Market To Levels Never Seen...Everyone is talking about de-dollarization but nobody is talking about dollarization. This is part of IMF's plan to dollarize the world and change the name to "One World Currency". The future is much brighter than a lot of people think. We are heading towards a world where stock markets around the world is going to do very well due this one world currency. Boarders and barriers between countries are going to taken down where we start treating the world as one country. Any person with clean record can travel wherever they want with no restrictions. Also no barriers in world trades which will bring world's economy to levels we never witness. I see a much brighter future ahead...
Possible Price Movement For S&P500 Week Of 2/13/2023...Major bounce on Monday is likely and a major price drop on Tuesday is also likely... Happy trading!
US30 SHORTGetting some signals on US30 to short the crap out of it. Betting that we gonna see the same stuff across other markets I'm currently building short on US30, DAX, US100 (propably most risky at the moment)
DJI30Looking and watching Re-testing previous movement and re-down from the above downtrend line,
Our stop activates only of the price goes up and stabled above it.
Calculate ur risk, this is a good chance besides my view of NASDAQ.
CURRENCYCOM:US30
DJI Potential to Previous swing high On the H4 chart, the overall bias for DJI is bullish. To add confluence to this, the price is crossing above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. Looking for buy entry at 33607.93,take profit at 35428.85, stop loss at 35428.85 which is the recent swing low.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DJI potential for bullish rise to previous highLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DJI is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy entry at 33704.98, where the support is. Stop loss will be at 32948.93, where the recent low is. Take profit will be at 34712.28, where the previous high is.
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You Haven't Seen Anything Yet. Warning!The trend was started in 2017. Covid crash was just a bump on the road to something really big.... Once in a lifetime crash in one the way IMO...
US30 Potential Sell off.My overall consensus for the Dow Jones is to drop back down to the October lows and take them out.
How we will reach there will vary but I'm looking for the downside momentum to carry on from today into tomorrow, and into next week.
Trade safely traders.
This is not financial advice.
SPX | The RSI WarningRelative Strength Index, is one of the most famous indicators. If analyzed correctly it can show us warnings very early on.
Look at this period between 2010-2014 for USOIL
Price is supported by a very wide ribbon, while RSI is under significant resistance. When we are talking about such wide timeframes, RSI action is VERY important. One could say that RSI analysis is more important than price analysis.
On to the protagonist, SPX...
While price is under WIDE support, RSI shows the oncoming weakness.
After the recession, this is the confirmation that we reached a bottom.
Onto todays outlook:
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
DOW Jones Buy or Sell ?Pair : US30 ( DJI - Dow Jones )
Description :
Impulse Correction Impulse
Completed " 1234 " Corrective Pattern
Divergence
S / R Level
Symmetrical Triangle as a Corrective Pattern need to wait until it Breaks the Upper or Lower Trend Line
dji short idea ello everyone
how are you all. I am saying this area is date of 27 January the first witness in this index. and then we say the weakness is so much high and then prices going to upside but he didn't break the Last high. and then he came down also and there is also I am seeing a very good weakness in the next few days until 6 February nowadays today or next day we will see a good fall from this level price is 34200 is a major level and my opinion is a good sell Entry from here
and my SL is 34 415 and TP is 32 9 55 let's see how price react
thank you
Always Watch The Junk Bonds. Six Sigma Bubble Is About To Fall..Flashing big warning signs. You guys need to be really carful. All the gains can get wiped out in just a few days. Covid is proof where most stocks got halted while the prices are dropping like a stone.
DJI Crash IdeaPotential DJI Crash Idea. Within 2-4 weeks. Good luck everyone, NFA, DYR.
If no crash, new bull run, LFG!
DOW JONES Triangle trades and breakoutsDow Jones is trading within a Triangle pattern that starting forming on November 3rd.
So far we have have several rejections within its Lower Highs zone and rebounds within its Higher Lows zone.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy when the price touches the Higher Lows zone.
2. Sell when the price touches the Lower Highs zone.
Targets:
1. The bottom of the Lower Highs zone.
2. The top of the Higher Lows zone.
Tips:
1. If the price breaks above each Resistance, buy and target the next one. Vice versa, sell if the price breaks below each Support and target the next one.
2. The RSI is trading within its own Triangle. A breakout can be a leading indicator as to where the price will break as well.
Please like, follow and comment!!
DOW JONES Scalping range emerged and our medium-term plan.Dow Jones (DJI) got rejected yesterday following Powell's speech as the Resistance Zone of 34300 - 34370 held (August 16 and January 15 Highs respectively), we expect it to turn neutral for a while and trade sideways within the rough 33640 - 34180 Scalping Range illustrated on the chart.
The 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) has assumed the role of the Pivot and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) that of the Support. Our short-term trading plan is to scalp this range for as long as the price remains/ re-enters inside it. On the more medium-term, above the green Pivot Zone we are buyers targeting 34300, while below the Higher Lows trend-line we are sellers targeting 32700 (above the 32480 Support). Similarly, we will take the buy break-out if the price breaks the 34370 January 15 High and target the 34910 December 13 High.
Keep in mind that this Higher Lows trend-line is what helped us take this accurate buy entry 3 weeks ago as you can see on the chart below:
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DOW on a bullish price action 🦐The Dow Jones Index is currently facing resistance at the 34,200 level, and the recent speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has created a bullish sentiment in the market.
The trendline for the index appears to be ascending and if the index were to break above the 34,200 resistance level, it could signal a buying opportunity for investors according to Plancton’s strategy.
The market's reaction to Powell's speech and the potential for a break above the resistance level are important factors for traders to consider in their decision-making.
AW Dow Jones Analysis - Path Toward the Next Bull Market...This is the follow up chart from the video I posted earlier (linked below).
In my view we need to see another leg up and down before the next major bull market begins.
All my analysis helps me understand why markets are producing the moves they are making.
During these 2 moves I expect the Euro and Cryptos to still be correcting.
Once this Wave (B) since 2018 ends, that's when I expect things to take off.
I like posting these types of ideas so that we are clear on my biases that I create using the AriasWave methodology.
You may be inclined to think that if the Dow Jones moves up now that cryptos should also follow.
It wouldn't be the first time this happened, in October 2018 the Dow Jones finally peaked whilst most cryptos were down.
Just follow the waves, price action is the best indicator.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
AW Dow Jones Analysis - A Snapshot of the Things to Come...In this video I give you a quick rundown of what I believe is happening overall in the Dow Jones.
Down below I have linked the video that explains the bigger picture since the Great Depression and what I expect to happen in the future.
At current levels we are getting ready to move higher to complete this smaller Wave D.
After this Wave D is over the larger pattern suggests that we will begin to see a series of booms and busts which should send Crypto's to the stratosphere.
I am slowly bringing all my analysis together in an attempt to understand the length of time remaining until the next real bull market begins.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
DJI potential to Previous Swing high On the H4 chart, the overall bias for DJI is bullish. To add confluence to this, the price is crossing above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. Looking for buy entry at 33607.93, take profit at
35428.85 which is the previous swing high and stop loss at 32611.98 which is an overlap support.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
SPX | What goes up......must come down.
Conservation of Energy
We all know QE... The god-given gift which made everyone rich! Well, not everyone...
Consumers sure took a hit. But who cares about them?
We want corporations rich! And they got rich .
And boy some of them did go rich... That's the beauty of the American Dream!
Sure we were cheating...
...but look at all this money we made!
Violets are green, dollars are green, stocks are green, everything is green!
And stocks are everything!
(This chart shows the stock market "dominance". How much of the wealth one can have is inside the stock market.)
And now everything is inside crypto.
We are all-in. In a Poker Game where The House always wins.
After all that fun party, it is time for the bill, not clinton bill, not treasury bill, not dollar bill.
It is time for debt to get paid. As always, nature will do it's trick... Nature seeks equilibrium.
Entropy.
When we cheat and inflate, it comes and deflates.
Nature is a closed circuit. When some deflate, others inflate.
And the cycle goes on...
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
The Good, the Bad and the Ugly YieldsI have this question... Why are high yields bad? What is bad?
We are in a period of big changes. There are lot's of balances changing, one of them is money. We have just passed (?) the biggest monetary experiment ever (QE) and we are about to enter the successor to that experiment, digital money. Digital money conveniently came about just at the time when hyperinflation became an expected reality. If you talked about hyperinflation 4 years ago, you were crazy, now it is expected (and perhaps actually coming).
... Instinct tells us that the unknown is a threat, rather than an opportunity. Instinct slyly and covertly compels us away from change and progress. ...
-Dr. Breen
In the center of the stages is the paradigm shift in yields. After decades of consistently lower yields, now we are expecting consistently higher ones. Many (including me) have prejudged themselves into be lie ving that high yields are inherently bad.
I cannot conclude into what high yields are bad at. The title suggests that they have 3 faces, good bad and ugly. I can conclude that now, like always throughout history, we are rolling in a cycle.
Some things have changed in unpredictable ways. This unorthodox chart shows us that this year, we have lived through something unique. Perhaps this will be the way things move forward.
From the charts above I have tried hard to conclude into something. The only thing I have learned is the following:
Bonds are the new equities.
In QE world, lower yields made more money. How? Money printing and borrowing needs low yields for it to be popular. Immense liquidity bubbled everything and productivity skyrocketed. QE is the fuel of globalism. Equities paid out dividends, so higher equities led to even more money.
In QT world, higher yields make more money. How? Money burning and lending needs high yields for it to be profitable. Money makes more money, and every day it makes even more money. Commodity producers (GOLD*PPIACO as an example) and wealthy individuals/corporations/nations can enjoy this new era. QT is the fuel of war. Everything is precious and everyone fights for it.
In a globalized world, you could make money by being an intermediate entity. Now to make money you must actually own the resources and money. Rich get richer, and poor get poorer.
This is the purchasing power of the consumer dollar. Poor get poorer...
Poor get poorer when rich get richer.
These charts above are simple to understand and analyze. Down below I will add some of my favorite charts. These charts calculate the value of commodities compared to equities or money supply.
Commodity production bull-flags against equities.
Commodity production bull-flags against money supply itself.
The bull flag is against yields as well.
True Production Cost (PPIACO*yields) is bull-flagging (?)
PPIACO is used as a historical alternative to USOIL. For some reason, we cannot perform old historical calculations using oil.
They show that the commodities prove a big motive for everyone. Especially to those who seek war.
Would anyone in their clear mind expect WWIII to be talked about in the 2020s? With the knowledge we have collected throughout all these years, this would be out of the question! Yet, here we are, casually talking about it. Again, changes are happening but we are stuck in a cycle. All we can do about it is to understand where we are, and not constantly deceive ourselves and others into thinking otherwise. So there is a clear benefit into just realizing where we are, it is not financial profit, it is speaking truth.
Conclusion? This is a zero-sum game for consumers. Also, with bonds we are committing hubris. Bonds is a mechanism that helps money itself make more money.
Have you heard about the Ancient Greeks? They talked about the fact that when money makes money, it is Hubris (something like sin, only worse).
Equities gave more output than there was input, if someone includes long-term dividends. You working and making money is not Hubris (according to Ancient Greeks). Making a system which enables money to make money, then you commit Hubris. Consistently higher yields will help money make even more money.
Equities are facing Nemesis (compared to bonds). Bonds have just now committed Hubris. There may be many years until they face Nemesis as well.
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
PS. This movie "good bad ugly" was released in 1966, a period financially similar to the one we live now.
